FinalWin Prob.pScore
1333%101
88
667%107
104
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
95.79299.9
MIA logo MIA
113.09285.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL88
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACole 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)88
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup88
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLLewis STEAL (5 STL)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T16)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLLewis STEAL (4 STL)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLMISS Schroder Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11ATLScott 12' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Jenkins 2 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ATLHawks Rebound83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ATLLewis STEAL (3 STL)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Cole 16' Pullup Jump Shot80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34ATLMISS Brand 12' Jump Shot80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24ATLJenkins 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)80
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02ATLMISS Jenkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:40ATLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:57ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup78
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 6:18ATLMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:18ATLMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 6:37ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:57MIAAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 376
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)76
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 7:12ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13ATLMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 7:23ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 7:33ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)73
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:15ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 8:34ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 9:01ATLMack 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)73
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 9:07ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup71
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:16ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)71
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 9:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 9:42ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot71
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 9:51MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 9:51MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 10:08ATLMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)71
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)68
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 10:37ATLLewis STEAL (2 STL)68
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T13)68
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q4 - 11:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Lewis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot68
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Antic 24' Jump Shot68
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q4 - 11:46ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Andersen 2' Reverse Layup68
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL68
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)68
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLAntic Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)68
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 268
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 268
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)68
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIALewis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLMack 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)65
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)63
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 1:29ATLScott 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)63
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 1:30ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Martin 4' Driving Layup61
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 1:38ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot61
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 1:53ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 2:00ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 2:01ATLMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 2:19MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 2:41ATLAntic 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)61
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 2:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)59
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 3:03ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)59
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 3:19ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 259
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 259
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 3:32ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)59
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIABattier 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 3:58ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 4:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot56
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 4:20ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)56
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)56
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 4:51ATLScott 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)56
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 5:12ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup54
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)54
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 5:31ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)54
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 5:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)54
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 6:01ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)54
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 6:05MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 6:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 6:11ATLMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)54
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 7:03ATLAyon 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)54
24.6%
56
75.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)52
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 7:35ATLTeague 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q3 - 7:38ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup50
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 8:05MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)50
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 250
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup50
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 8:13ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)50
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q3 - 8:29MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)50
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 8:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 8:50ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
24.9%
53
75.1%
Q3 - 8:51ATLMISS Ayon 18' Jump Shot50
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 9:10MIABattier 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHEAT Rebound50
27.3%
51
72.7%
Q3 - 9:30ATLMISS Horford 22' Jump Shot50
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)50
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q3 - 10:21ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)50
36.2%
48
63.8%
Q3 - 10:36ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot47
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
27.0%
48
73.0%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 247
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 247
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q3 - 11:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMISS Horford 2' Driving Layup47
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q3 - 11:24ATLHawks Rebound47
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q3 - 11:48ATLTeague 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)47
26.9%
48
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
24.3%
48
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 39' 3PT Jump Shot45
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)45
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAJames 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)45
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLTeague Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)45
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)43
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)43
22.4%
46
77.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot43
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 1:24ATLScott 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)43
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 1:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)40
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 1:56ATLHorford Putback Dunk (12 PTS)40
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 1:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 1:59ATLMISS Scott 11' Jump Shot38
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 2:10ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot38
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 2:46ATLCole STEAL (1 STL)38
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)38
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 3:14MIAHEAT Rebound38
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup38
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 3:47MIAJames 1' Layup (8 PTS)38
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 3:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS James Layup38
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup38
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 3:54ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)38
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 4:10MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)38
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 4:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 4:22ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 4:43MIACole 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
36.7%
36
63.3%
Q2 - 4:56ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 4:56ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)36
36.3%
34
63.7%
Q2 - 5:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
39.1%
32
60.9%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup36
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJames 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)36
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 5:56ATLCarroll 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)36
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 6:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 6:15ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)34
38.4%
30
61.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIAAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)34
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 6:43ATLLewis STEAL (1 STL)34
43.8%
28
56.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
47.0%
28
53.0%
Q2 - 7:05ATLHorford Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 7:22ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup32
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q2 - 7:35ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)32
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)32
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 8:13ATLAyon Foul Turnover (P2.T6)32
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:26ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Beasley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot32
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMISS Antic 9' Jump Shot32
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q2 - 8:53MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)32
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 9:19ATLAyon 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)32
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIALewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q2 - 9:49ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 9:49ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 9:49ATLMISS Antic 18' Jump Shot27
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q2 - 10:07ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot27
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30.1%
26
69.9%
Q2 - 10:33ATLMISS Scott 2' Driving Layup27
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 10:35ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 10:36ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 11:00MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 11:19ATLJenkins 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Antic 1 AST)27
34.4%
24
65.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 11:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q2 - 11:41ATLMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot25
30.8%
24
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLScott 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)25
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)23
27.9%
24
72.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLAntic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Antic Free Throw 1 of 222
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIABeasley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:02ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Cole 14' Pullup Jump Shot22
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 1:21ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 1:21ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 1:27ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 1:46ATLAntic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)20
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 2:05MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)17
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:10ATLAndersen STEAL (1 STL)17
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)17
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 2:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 2:36ATLMISS Mack 17' Jump Shot17
32.5%
15
67.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 2:56MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 3:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 3:16ATLMISS Jenkins 19' Jump Shot17
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 3:37ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot17
37.1%
13
62.9%
Q1 - 4:06ATLScott 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)17
34.9%
13
65.1%
Q1 - 4:12MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)15
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 4:30ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 4:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS James 2' Driving Reverse Layup15
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 4:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Carroll 16' Jump Shot15
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 5:21ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)15
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)12
31.0%
11
69.0%
Q1 - 5:50ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)12
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 5:54ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 5:55ATLMISS Carroll 9' Floating Jump Shot9
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 6:10MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 29
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 6:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
28.8%
8
71.2%
Q1 - 6:24ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)9
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 6:37ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper9
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 6:59ATLAyon 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)9
28.8%
8
71.2%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 7:30ATLHorford 10' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)9
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 7:39ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:54ATLHorford 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 8:06ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot5
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 8:29ATLHorford 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIABattier 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 8:53ATLMISS Horford 1' Tip Shot3
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 8:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 8:55ATLMISS Teague 11' Jump Shot3
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:05MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:18ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 9:31ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:52ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)3
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:16MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAHEAT Rebound0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot0
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:44ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:45ATLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 11:02ATLHawks Rebound0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:11ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:16ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:17ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Horford: Tip to James0
26.7%
0
73.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
28
57%
MIA
17
30
57%
Midrange
ATL
6
22
27%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
ATL
11
15
73%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Scott1568%7.5 / 11
A. Horford1255%6.0 / 11
P. Antic1267%6.0 / 9
J. Teague938%4.5 / 12
K. Korver990%4.5 / 5
D. Carroll867%4.0 / 6
S. Mack750%3.5 / 7
J. Jenkins650%3.0 / 6
C. Martin536%2.5 / 7
G. Ayon450%2.0 / 4
D. Schröder150%0.5 / 1
E. Brand0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1995%9.5 / 10
R. Allen1771%8.5 / 12
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
L. James1346%6.5 / 14
N. Cole833%4.0 / 12
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem788%3.5 / 4
S. Battier675%3.0 / 4
M. Beasley660%3.0 / 5
R. Mason Jr.375%1.5 / 2
R. Lewis225%1.0 / 4
C. Andersen225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+14
-24
82
MIA
77
+13
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.7
ATL 95.7 +17.4
MIA 113.0
Pace
95.0
91.5
ATL 99.9 +14.4
MIA 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.8
ATL 14.4 +2.4
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
55.4%
ATL 52.0%
MIA 56.8% +4.8%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
ATL 22.9%
MIA 15.2% +7.7%
ORB %
21.0%
20.6%
ATL 32.5% +4.7%
MIA 27.8%
FTrt
26.6
30.0
ATL 20.3
MIA 23.5 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
58.8%
ATL 66.7% +3.3%
MIA 63.4%
STL %
8.7%
9.7%
ATL 8.7%
MIA 14.1% +5.4%
BLK %
6.5%
8.1%
ATL 5.0%
MIA 8.0% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
57.5%
ATL 53.7%
MIA 57.1% +3.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
66.7%
ATL 57.1% +0.4%
MIA 56.7%
Mid FG%
41.3%
42.8%
ATL 27.3%
MIA 46.7% +19.4%
3P %
36.3%
36.4%
ATL 45.8%
MIA 47.6% +1.8%
FT %
78.1%
76.0%
ATL 73.3% +10.1%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
38.3%
ATL 37.8% +0.8%
MIA 37.0%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
32.5%
ATL 29.7% +7.3%
MIA 37.0%
3P Att. %
31.6%
29.2%
ATL 32.4% +6.5%
MIA 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.125.8
Points88104
Rebounds3937
Assists2226
Steals813
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals33-7441-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2817-30
Midrange FG6-2214-30
2-Point FG22-5031-60
3-Point FG11-2410-21
Free Throws11-1512-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
26.4
9
38%
2
7
0
0
3
4
2
0
0-0
-
3-10
30%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 212 · 33
25.6
9
90%
3
2
0
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 245 · 27
25.6
12
55%
7
2
0
0
7
1
3
4
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
22.7
8
67%
2
1
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
22.1
4
50%
6
0
0
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
27.9
15
68%
10
1
1
0
2
1
3
7
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 203 · 24
25.1
7
50%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 220 · 29
20.1
5
36%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
18.9
6
50%
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31
15.3
12
67%
4
1
2
0
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 175 · 20
5.2
1
50%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 35
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
#4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
54%
39
22
8
3
24
0
13
26
11-15
73%
22-50
44%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.