FinalWin Prob.pScore
2123%102
111
677%112
122
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.0100102.6
HOU logo HOU
122.010097.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU111
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 17 AST)111
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Casspi 20' Jump Shot108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)107
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DENHickson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Lawson 16 AST)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33HOULin 1' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)105
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DENMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02HOUMISS Harden 20' Jump Shot105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21DENLawson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33HOUMISS Parsons 7' Jump Shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42DENLawson 23' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DENHamilton 11' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 3:37DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)99
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 3:46HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)97
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 3:46HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 3:56HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 297
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 4:06HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 195
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 4:09HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Hickson 3' Driving Layup95
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 4:26HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 4:26HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 4:29DENChandler 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 15 AST)95
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 4:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)92
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 4:37HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 292
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 4:37HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 4:37HOUJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)92
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:39DENMISS Faried 2' Tip Shot92
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:43DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot92
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:54HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:54HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 4:59HOUJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)92
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 4:59HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 292
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 4:59HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 292
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 5:04DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 5:14HOUJones 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Lin 6 AST)89
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 5:25DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)89
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 5:37HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 5:37HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 286
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:41DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)86
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 5:49DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)86
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 5:50HOUMISS Parsons 7' Running Jump Shot86
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 6:07HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Hickson 12' Jump Bank Shot86
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 6:33HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)86
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 6:50DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)86
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 6:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56HOUMISS Lin 18' Jump Shot84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 7:04HOUMISS Beverley 13' Floating Jump Shot84
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 7:16DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 14 AST)84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 7:29HOUGarcia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:38DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56HOUHoward 4' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Lin 5 AST)81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 8:13HOUROCKETS Rebound81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:13HOUMISS Garcia 12' Jump Shot81
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 8:24HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:38HOUJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)81
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 8:43HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:46DENMISS Fournier 3' Driving Layup81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:53HOULin 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)81
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 9:08DENLawson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 9:17DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 9:19HOUMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:32DENMozgov 1' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:36HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 9:49DENJones STEAL (1 STL)77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 10:03HOUMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 277
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 10:03HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 10:26HOUROCKETS Rebound77
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 10:31DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot77
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 10:48DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 13 AST)77
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 11:06HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)75
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 11:19HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 11:20DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot75
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 11:36HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)75
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 11:36HOUROCKETS Rebound75
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 11:36HOUMISS Beverley 16' Fadeaway Jumper75
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU75
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENRobinson 9' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS)75
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 273
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENMISS Fournier 10' Running Jump Shot72
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Casspi 3' Layup72
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot72
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:20HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P3.T12)72
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 1:24DENCasspi STEAL (1 STL)72
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:27DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 1:28HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 1:41DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:41DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:53HOUCasspi Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T11)70
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 2:01DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)70
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 2:01DENMozgov 1' Putback Slam Dunk (7 PTS)70
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot68
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 2:14HOULin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)68
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 2:18DENLin STEAL (1 STL)68
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 2:29HOUCasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)68
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 2:48DENFournier 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)68
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 3:08HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 3:08HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 266
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 3:10HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 3:27DENFournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 12 AST)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 3:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 3:39HOUMISS Lin 15' Pullup Jump Shot63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:46HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 3:48DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:49DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 3:51DENHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 4:02HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 4:02HOUMISS Jones 3' Layup63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 4:02HOUParsons 1' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 4:03HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:04HOUMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 4:06HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:07HOUMISS Parsons 16' Jump Shot63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 4:33DENHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:36DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 4:37DENMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:53HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 4:53HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 5:05DENParsons STEAL (1 STL)63
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 5:14DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 5:17HOUMISS Harden 5' Driving Jump Shot63
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 5:26HOUROCKETS Rebound63
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 5:26HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup63
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 5:38DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 5:38DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 5:47HOUCasspi 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)61
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 5:57HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 5:58DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot61
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 6:16HOUJones 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)61
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 6:23HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 6:25DENJones BLOCK (3 BLK)61
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 6:39HOUJones 1' Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS)61
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 6:56HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)61
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 6:57DENChandler 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 11 AST)61
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 7:12HOUJones Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)59
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 7:16DENHarden STEAL (1 STL)59
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 7:28HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)59
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 7:42DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T6)59
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 7:49HOUParsons Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)59
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 7:52HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 7:54DENJones BLOCK (2 BLK)59
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 8:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 8:07HOUMISS Parsons 3' Driving Layup59
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 8:16HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 8:17HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 259
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 8:17HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 259
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 8:27DENHamilton 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)59
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 8:40HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T9)57
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 8:55DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)57
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 9:04DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 9:07HOUMISS Harden 17' Pullup Jump Shot54
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 9:19DENHamilton 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 9:23HOUJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)52
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 9:45DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 9:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 9:54HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 10:19DENLawson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 10:31HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)48
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 10:48DENHamilton 3' Layup (2 PTS)48
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 10:50DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Foye 20' Jump Shot46
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 10:55DENNuggets Rebound46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot46
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Faried 2' Layup46
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 10:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Foye 4' Driving Layup46
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 11:03DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 11:04HOUMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot46
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 11:31HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 11:32DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 11:47DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)46
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 11:48DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound46
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lin 13' Running Jump Shot46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENHickson 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)46
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)44
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)44
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENLawson 3' Layup (5 PTS)44
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUParsons 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)42
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q2 - 1:04DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)42
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q2 - 1:19HOUJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)39
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q2 - 1:38DENChandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)39
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q2 - 1:45DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q2 - 1:46HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot37
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q2 - 2:06DENHickson 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)37
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q2 - 2:33HOUMotiejunas 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)35
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 2:51DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 2:51DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 2:57HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T7)33
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 3:06DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 3:11HOULin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 3:36DENHickson Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)33
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 3:50HOULin 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 3:56HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 3:57HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 4:13DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 4:13DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 230
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 4:20DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 4:32HOULin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)30
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 4:38HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 4:39DENMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot30
2.5%
50
97.5%
Q2 - 4:52HOUParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)30
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q2 - 5:15HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
2.5%
50
97.5%
Q2 - 5:15DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 130
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 5:33HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)28
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 5:46HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 5:47DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot28
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 5:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 6:00DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot28
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 6:22HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)28
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 6:28HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 6:29DENHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)28
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 6:53HOUMotiejunas 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)28
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 7:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 7:12DENMISS Miller 4' Driving Layup28
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 7:32DENNuggets Rebound28
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 7:32HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot28
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 7:42HOUGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 7:45DENLin BLOCK (1 BLK)28
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 8:03DENNuggets Rebound28
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 8:04HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 8:17DENMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)28
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 8:34HOUCasspi 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)28
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 8:55DENArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 9:08HOUMotiejunas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)28
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 9:13HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 9:15DENMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 9:18DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot28
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 9:41HOUMotiejunas 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)28
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 10:00DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 10:00DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 10:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 10:00DENMISS Mozgov 1' Dunk26
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 10:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 10:03DENMISS Fournier 4' Driving Layup26
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 10:07DENRobinson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 10:26HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)25
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 10:31HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 10:32HOUMISS Casspi 22' Jump Shot25
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 10:45HOUROCKETS Rebound25
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 10:45HOUMISS Motiejunas 9' Turnaround Hook Shot25
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 10:59HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 11:01DENCasspi BLOCK (1 BLK)25
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 11:20HOULin 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q2 - 11:38DENMozgov 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)25
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound23
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMotiejunas BLOCK (1 BLK)23
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 223
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENFournier 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 220
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Casspi 3' Driving Layup20
7.5%
32
92.5%
Q1 - 1:02HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:03HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot20
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q1 - 1:22HOUROCKETS Rebound20
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:24DENMISS Lawson 20' Pullup Jump Shot20
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q1 - 1:31DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q1 - 1:33HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot20
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q1 - 1:51DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q1 - 1:57HOUHarden 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)18
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q1 - 1:58HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup18
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 2:09DENFournier 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
7.4%
30
92.6%
Q1 - 2:31HOUMotiejunas 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)16
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 2:46DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)16
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q1 - 2:56HOUParsons Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)14
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 3:12DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)14
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q1 - 3:25HOUParsons Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q1 - 3:45HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q1 - 3:45DENMISS Mozgov 7' Fadeaway Jumper12
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 3:55DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q1 - 3:57HOUMISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
5.6%
28
94.4%
Q1 - 4:07HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
5.3%
28
94.7%
Q1 - 4:09DENMISS Foye 4' Jump Shot12
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q1 - 4:34HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)12
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q1 - 4:38HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 4:39DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup12
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q1 - 4:50HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 4:50HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 5:09DENFaried Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)12
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 5:28HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 5:28HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 210
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 5:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8.3%
21
91.7%
Q1 - 5:37DENMISS Faried 6' Turnaround Hook Shot10
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 6:00HOUHoward 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)10
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 6:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 6:02HOUMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 6:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 6:19DENFaried 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)10
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 6:21DENMISS Faried 3' Driving Layup8
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 6:40HOUHarden 12' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 6:48DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 6:53HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 7:10HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 7:11DENMISS Faried 16' Jump Shot8
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 7:30HOUBeverley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 7:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 7:51DENHickson 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Faried 7' Running Jump Shot6
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 8:09HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 8:21HOUROCKETS Rebound6
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 8:21HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup6
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 8:23HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 8:25DENMISS Lawson 15' Pullup Jump Shot6
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 8:36HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 8:36HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 26
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 8:50DENHickson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)6
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 8:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 9:01HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot4
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 9:10DENFaried 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 9:17HOUHoward 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)2
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 9:27DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 9:44HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)2
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 9:56HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 9:57DENMISS Hickson 19' Jump Shot2
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 10:16HOUJones 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:23HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:25DENBeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:40HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:49HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 10:50DENMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:55DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 10:56DENMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:15HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 11:30DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:45HOUParsons 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Hickson: Tip to Beverley0
17.3%
0
82.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.4%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
28
47
60%
HOU
27
37
73%
Midrange
DEN
9
28
32%
HOU
5
23
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
DEN
13
18
72%
HOU
31
44
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2864%14.0 / 22
J. Hickson1458%7.0 / 12
W. Chandler1464%7.0 / 11
E. Fournier1045%5.0 / 11
T. Mozgov956%4.5 / 8
K. Faried836%4.0 / 11
R. Foye831%4.0 / 13
J. Hamilton850%4.0 / 8
D. Arthur660%3.0 / 5
N. Robinson375%1.5 / 2
Q. Miller3150%1.5 / 1
A. Miller0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2569%12.5 / 18
C. Parsons2083%10.0 / 12
J. Harden1747%8.5 / 18
J. Lin1657%8.0 / 14
T. Jones1454%7.0 / 13
D. Motiejunas1286%6.0 / 7
P. Beverley1179%5.5 / 7
O. Casspi739%3.5 / 9
F. Garcia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+20
-13
107
HOU
84
+18
-16
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.4%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
110.9
DEN 111.0
HOU 122.0 +11.0
Pace
97.8
96.4
DEN 102.6 +5.0
HOU 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.6
DEN 14.0 +0.7
HOU 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
53.1%
DEN 49.5%
HOU 56.2% +6.7%
TO %
15.7%
15.9%
DEN 10.8% +3.7%
HOU 14.5%
ORB %
27.5%
27.4%
DEN 34.0% +1.6%
HOU 32.4%
FTrt
30.6
38.6
DEN 18.2
HOU 54.3 +36.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
56.3%
DEN 48.9%
HOU 65.9% +17.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.8%
DEN 8.0% +2.0%
HOU 6.0%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
DEN 11.7%
HOU 12.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.98 and 2.98.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
55.4%
DEN 51.4%
HOU 58.7% +7.3%
Rim FG%
57.6%
59.7%
DEN 59.6%
HOU 73.0% +13.4%
Mid FG%
36.2%
38.5%
DEN 32.1% +10.4%
HOU 21.7%
3P %
35.8%
35.8%
DEN 33.3%
HOU 42.9% +9.6%
FT %
72.6%
71.2%
DEN 72.2% +1.7%
HOU 70.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
45.4%
DEN 47.5% +1.8%
HOU 45.7%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
21.6%
DEN 28.3% +0.1%
HOU 28.4%
3P Att. %
27.8%
33.0%
DEN 24.2%
HOU 25.9% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.36 and 3.36.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points111122
Rebounds4347
Assists2227
Steals86
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals45-9941-81
At-the-Rim FG28-4727-37
Midrange FG9-285-23
2-Point FG37-7532-60
3-Point FG8-249-21
Free Throws13-1831-44
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
39.4
28
64%
2
17
2
1
5
3
0
2
4-6
67%
9-15
60%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 242 · 25
27.4
14
58%
8
1
1
1
0
4
5
3
0-1
0%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
25.3
8
36%
10
1
1
0
1
4
5
5
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
25.3
8
31%
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
2-7
29%
F · 6'7" 220 · 23
14.4
8
50%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
28.6
14
64%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
21.4
10
45%
2
0
0
2
1
6
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 275 · 27
16.6
9
56%
10
0
0
1
0
2
6
4
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 38
15.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
13.1
6
60%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 29
11.9
3
75%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
1.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
· 6'10" 225 · 24
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
51%
43
22
8
7
13
0
18
25
13-18
72%
37-75
49%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.