FinalWin Prob.pScore
275%104
97
3025%94
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.18586.2
CHA logo CHA
93.18785.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHAMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHATolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIABeasley 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28CHAWalker 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McRoberts 8 AST)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42CHAMISS Walker 1' Dunk89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:47MIATolliver BLOCK (1 BLK)89
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:10CHATolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)89
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:29MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T15)89
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50MIACole 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02CHAMISS Henderson 5' Jump Bank Shot87
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAAndersen 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)87
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 4:39CHAMISS Henderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 4:49CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:08CHAMISS Tolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:25MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)85
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 5:46CHAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)83
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 6:12CHAMISS Sessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q4 - 6:29CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 6:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Lewis Tip Shot81
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHeat Rebound81
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 6:41MIASessions BLOCK (1 BLK)81
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 6:58CHAMcRoberts 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)81
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHeat Rebound79
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 7:35CHAMISS Taylor 16' Jump Shot79
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 7:52MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q4 - 7:52MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 8:13CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 8:13CHATaylor Tip Shot (14 PTS)77
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 8:14CHAMISS Taylor 1' Layup77
96.6%
68
3.4%
Q4 - 8:43MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)77
96.0%
68
4.0%
Q4 - 8:59CHASessions 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)75
94.9%
68
5.1%
Q4 - 9:05MIATaylor STEAL (1 STL)75
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q4 - 9:30CHAMcRoberts 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)75
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q4 - 9:48MIABeasley 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
97.1%
64
2.9%
Q4 - 9:55CHAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)73
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)73
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q4 - 10:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)73
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)73
96.7%
62
3.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
96.0%
62
4.0%
Q4 - 10:56CHAMISS Tolliver 19' Jump Shot71
95.7%
62
4.3%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)71
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 11:32CHAKidd-Gilchrist Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
91.7%
62
8.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)68
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA68
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound68
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 68' 3PT Jump Shot68
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames 16' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)68
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHATaylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)66
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIALewis 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)66
94.1%
57
5.9%
Q3 - 1:02CHAWalker 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)64
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 1:14CHABOBCATS Rebound64
93.8%
55
6.2%
Q3 - 1:14CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup64
94.5%
55
5.5%
Q3 - 1:23CHASessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
93.8%
55
6.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
94.1%
55
5.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
94.8%
55
5.2%
Q3 - 1:44CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
94.5%
55
5.5%
Q3 - 2:07MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)64
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 2:28CHASessions 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tolliver 4 AST)62
92.1%
55
7.9%
Q3 - 2:42MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)62
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 2:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
92.1%
53
7.9%
Q3 - 2:48CHAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot60
91.7%
53
8.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
89.8%
53
10.2%
Q3 - 3:28CHAHenderson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)58
88.8%
53
11.2%
Q3 - 3:47CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
86.7%
53
13.3%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot58
87.3%
53
12.7%
Q3 - 4:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q3 - 4:06CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot58
87.9%
53
12.1%
Q3 - 4:19CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw Technical58
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 4:19CHAMISS Walker Free Throw Technical58
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T11)58
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q3 - 4:34CHAMISS Zeller 15' Jump Shot58
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)58
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 5:16CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
84.3%
53
15.7%
Q3 - 5:23CHABOBCATS Rebound56
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 5:23CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup56
83.5%
53
16.5%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)56
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 5:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
84.3%
53
15.7%
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Biyombo 3' Layup56
83.5%
53
16.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIACole 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
81.8%
53
18.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 6:25CHAMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot54
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q3 - 6:34CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
76.6%
53
23.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot54
77.5%
53
22.5%
Q3 - 6:48CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 6:48CHABiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
80.7%
52
19.3%
Q3 - 7:02CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
81.7%
51
18.3%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
82.4%
51
17.6%
Q3 - 7:20CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
84.1%
51
15.9%
Q3 - 7:20CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
84.4%
50
15.6%
Q3 - 7:22CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup54
86.5%
49
13.5%
Q3 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound54
87.8%
49
12.2%
Q3 - 7:43CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot54
87.2%
49
12.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)54
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 8:18CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
82.1%
49
17.9%
Q3 - 8:18CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
82.4%
48
17.6%
Q3 - 8:50MIABosh Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
83.9%
47
16.1%
Q3 - 9:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 9:11CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Driving Layup49
81.3%
47
18.7%
Q3 - 9:22MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)49
79.7%
47
20.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 9:27CHAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
81.3%
47
18.7%
Q3 - 9:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
79.6%
47
20.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (22 PTS)49
79.6%
47
20.4%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS James 2' Layup47
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q3 - 10:04CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)47
78.1%
47
21.9%
Q3 - 10:09CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot47
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q3 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q3 - 10:19CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot47
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q3 - 10:43MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)47
82.4%
44
17.6%
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
80.3%
44
19.7%
Q3 - 10:58CHAMISS Henderson 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot45
79.6%
44
20.4%
Q3 - 11:12CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot45
79.3%
44
20.7%
Q3 - 11:36CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 7 AST)45
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
84.7%
41
15.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tolliver 3 AST)45
86.5%
41
13.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
89.2%
38
10.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 21' Jump Shot45
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
89.3%
38
10.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
89.3%
38
10.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot45
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0CHAHenderson 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 6 AST)45
90.2%
38
9.8%
Q2 - 1:06CHABOBCATS Rebound45
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 1:06CHAMISS McRoberts 2' Driving Layup45
91.8%
36
8.2%
Q2 - 1:22CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 1:24CHAMISS Henderson 17' Jump Shot45
91.8%
36
8.2%
Q2 - 1:46CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot45
91.6%
36
8.4%
Q2 - 2:12CHAHenderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)45
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 2:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)45
93.6%
33
6.4%
Q2 - 2:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
94.3%
33
5.7%
Q2 - 2:34CHAMISS Sessions 1' Driving Reverse Layup45
94.1%
33
5.9%
Q2 - 3:00MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)45
93.6%
33
6.4%
Q2 - 3:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
92.9%
33
7.1%
Q2 - 3:09CHAMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
92.6%
33
7.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS)43
91.8%
33
8.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
91.1%
33
8.9%
Q2 - 3:36CHAMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot41
90.7%
33
9.3%
Q2 - 4:01MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)41
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
88.6%
33
11.4%
Q2 - 4:08CHAMISS Taylor 2' Layup39
88.3%
33
11.7%
Q2 - 4:33MIACole 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 4:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 4:52CHAMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 237
85.9%
33
14.1%
Q2 - 4:52CHATaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 5:13MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
86.2%
32
13.8%
Q2 - 5:20CHASessions 1' Layup (7 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)37
87.4%
32
12.6%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T6)37
88.6%
30
11.4%
Q2 - 5:53CHASessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)37
89.7%
30
10.3%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)37
91.4%
27
8.6%
Q2 - 6:22CHATaylor 2' Layup (8 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)34
89.7%
27
10.3%
Q2 - 6:26CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
90.5%
25
9.5%
Q2 - 6:27CHAMISS Taylor 3PT Jump Shot34
91.2%
25
8.8%
Q2 - 6:49CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
90.5%
25
9.5%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS James 2' Layup34
90.8%
25
9.2%
Q2 - 7:04CHATaylor 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)34
91.3%
25
8.7%
Q2 - 7:14CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
92.8%
22
7.2%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup34
93.0%
22
7.0%
Q2 - 7:32CHAHenderson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)34
93.6%
22
6.4%
Q2 - 7:57CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
94.1%
20
5.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
94.3%
20
5.7%
Q2 - 8:20CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)34
94.5%
20
5.5%
Q2 - 8:44CHABOBCATS Rebound34
93.9%
20
6.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup34
94.1%
20
5.9%
Q2 - 9:09CHAHenderson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
94.4%
20
5.6%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
94.9%
18
5.1%
Q2 - 9:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
95.4%
18
4.6%
Q2 - 9:34CHAMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot34
95.2%
18
4.8%
Q2 - 9:52MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
94.9%
18
5.1%
Q2 - 10:00CHASessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
94.4%
18
5.6%
Q2 - 10:05CHASessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
93.5%
18
6.5%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot32
93.7%
18
6.3%
Q2 - 10:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
94.2%
18
5.8%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
93.8%
18
6.2%
Q2 - 10:36CHAMcRoberts 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)32
94.2%
18
5.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
94.7%
16
5.3%
Q2 - 10:52MIABeasley Putback Layup (5 PTS)32
94.7%
16
5.3%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup30
93.8%
16
6.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)30
93.9%
16
6.1%
Q2 - 11:09MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
93.4%
16
6.6%
Q2 - 11:11CHAMISS Taylor 1' Layup29
93.2%
16
6.8%
Q2 - 11:27MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
92.7%
16
7.3%
Q2 - 11:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
91.3%
16
8.7%
Q2 - 11:45CHAMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 226
91.2%
16
8.8%
Q2 - 11:45CHAMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 226
90.8%
16
9.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
90.5%
16
9.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound26
90.5%
16
9.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot26
91.1%
16
8.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
90.4%
16
9.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup26
90.6%
16
9.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
91.0%
16
9.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot26
90.8%
16
9.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
90.4%
16
9.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot26
90.6%
16
9.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
91.0%
16
9.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHAMISS Sessions 13' Floating Jump Shot26
90.8%
16
9.2%
Q1 - 1:09CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
90.4%
16
9.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
90.4%
16
9.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
91.0%
16
9.0%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
90.2%
16
9.8%
Q1 - 1:21CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
90.0%
16
10.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIALewis 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)25
89.5%
16
10.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
88.4%
16
11.6%
Q1 - 1:49CHAMISS Taylor 10' Jump Shot23
88.2%
16
11.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJames 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)23
87.5%
16
12.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
86.4%
16
13.6%
Q1 - 2:21CHAMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
86.1%
16
13.9%
Q1 - 2:39MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
85.4%
16
14.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
85.2%
16
14.8%
Q1 - 2:51CHASessions 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
84.2%
16
15.8%
Q1 - 2:58CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
85.4%
14
14.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS James 1' Layup19
85.8%
14
14.2%
Q1 - 3:10CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
86.6%
14
13.4%
Q1 - 3:10CHABiyombo 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
86.6%
14
13.4%
Q1 - 3:15CHAMISS Taylor 1' Layup19
88.2%
12
11.8%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
87.5%
12
12.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
85.5%
12
14.5%
Q1 - 3:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup16
85.2%
12
14.8%
Q1 - 3:48CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
84.3%
12
15.7%
Q1 - 3:50CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot16
85.2%
12
14.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:09CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)16
85.7%
12
14.3%
Q1 - 4:09CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:09CHAMISS Tolliver 13' Jump Shot16
85.3%
12
14.7%
Q1 - 4:33MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:33MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
84.2%
12
15.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
83.4%
12
16.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot14
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 5:00CHATaylor Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
83.4%
12
16.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
85.2%
9
14.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
84.9%
9
15.1%
Q1 - 5:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
84.2%
9
15.8%
Q1 - 5:28CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot12
83.8%
9
16.2%
Q1 - 5:38CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS James 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
83.4%
9
16.6%
Q1 - 5:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
84.2%
9
15.8%
Q1 - 6:09CHABOBCATS Rebound12
83.1%
9
16.9%
Q1 - 6:11CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
83.9%
9
16.1%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 6:37MIAHeat Rebound12
84.2%
9
15.8%
Q1 - 6:39CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup12
83.9%
9
16.1%
Q1 - 6:45CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 6:46CHAMISS Taylor 17' Jump Shot12
83.9%
9
16.1%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJames 1' Dunk (6 PTS)12
83.1%
9
16.9%
Q1 - 7:15CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
82.2%
9
17.8%
Q1 - 7:28MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
80.8%
9
19.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAHeat Rebound7
78.6%
9
21.4%
Q1 - 7:56CHAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
78.1%
9
21.9%
Q1 - 8:10CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup7
78.1%
9
21.9%
Q1 - 8:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
79.0%
9
20.9%
Q1 - 8:26CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup7
78.6%
9
21.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)7
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 8:48CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
79.0%
9
21.0%
Q1 - 8:48CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
79.3%
8
20.7%
Q1 - 8:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
80.1%
7
19.9%
Q1 - 8:50CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot7
81.0%
7
19.0%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
80.1%
7
19.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
79.9%
7
20.1%
Q1 - 9:18CHAWalker 16' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
79.5%
7
20.5%
Q1 - 9:39CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
80.5%
5
19.5%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 25
80.7%
5
19.3%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
81.4%
5
18.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound4
80.6%
5
19.4%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)4
79.7%
5
20.3%
Q1 - 9:58MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
80.6%
5
19.4%
Q1 - 9:59CHAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
80.2%
5
19.8%
Q1 - 10:17MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
79.6%
5
20.4%
Q1 - 10:38CHAKidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)2
78.5%
5
21.5%
Q1 - 10:49CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
79.5%
3
20.5%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup2
79.9%
3
20.1%
Q1 - 11:04CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)2
80.7%
3
19.3%
Q1 - 11:07MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)2
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
83.7%
0
16.3%
Q1 - 11:11CHAMISS McRoberts 29' 3PT Jump Shot2
83.4%
0
16.6%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Biyombo vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
81.8%
0
18.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
CHA
13
28
46%
Midrange
MIA
12
23
52%
CHA
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
CHA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
21
23
91%
CHA
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3079%15.0 / 19
M. Beasley1554%7.5 / 14
C. Andersen10100%5.0 / 5
R. Lewis956%4.5 / 8
R. Mason Jr.975%4.5 / 6
N. Cole836%4.0 / 11
C. Bosh788%3.5 / 4
S. Battier5125%2.5 / 2
D. Wade422%2.0 / 9
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2255%11.0 / 20
J. Taylor1444%7.0 / 16
G. Henderson1346%6.5 / 14
R. Sessions1169%5.5 / 8
M. Kidd-Gilchrist844%4.0 / 9
J. McRoberts630%3.0 / 10
B. Biyombo467%2.0 / 3
A. Tolliver317%1.5 / 9
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+9
-15
79
CHA
79
+16
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
103.7
MIA 114.1
CHA 93.1 +21.0
Pace
91.5
92.4
MIA 86.2 +0.4
CHA 85.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
MIA 16.7 +0.1
CHA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.1%
MIA 55.1% +15.3%
CHA 39.8%
TO %
15.4%
12.5%
MIA 15.9%
CHA 9.8% +6.1%
ORB %
20.6%
21.9%
MIA 18.8%
CHA 21.3% +2.5%
FTrt
30.0
29.7
MIA 33.3 +9.2
CHA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
59.7%
MIA 51.4%
CHA 69.0% +17.6%
STL %
9.7%
6.5%
MIA 5.9% +0.2%
CHA 5.7%
BLK %
8.1%
8.4%
MIA 14.3% +8.7%
CHA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
50.6%
MIA 59.9% +17.3%
CHA 42.6%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.4%
MIA 54.8% +8.4%
CHA 46.4%
Mid FG%
42.8%
38.1%
MIA 52.2% +23.6%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
36.4%
35.1%
MIA 40.0% +10.4%
CHA 29.6%
FT %
76.0%
73.7%
MIA 91.3% +16.3%
CHA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
35.2%
MIA 44.9% +11.2%
CHA 33.7%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
43.0%
MIA 33.3% +0.4%
CHA 33.7%
3P Att. %
29.2%
21.9%
MIA 21.7%
CHA 32.5% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9781
Rebounds4336
Assists1820
Steals55
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals35-6929-83
At-the-Rim FG17-3113-28
Midrange FG12-238-28
2-Point FG29-5421-56
3-Point FG6-158-27
Free Throws21-2315-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
35.8
8
36%
7
5
1
0
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
31.9
30
79%
4
7
1
1
3
1
1
3
4-4
100%
13-18
72%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
24.7
5
125%
3
0
1
2
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
23.0
4
22%
2
3
0
1
4
3
0
2
2-4
50%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
15.6
7
88%
3
0
0
0
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
33.3
9
56%
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
23.9
10
100%
7
1
1
2
1
2
0
7
6-6
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
23.3
15
54%
3
1
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
20.1
9
75%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
3-3
100%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'5" 205 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
60%
43
18
5
8
15
0
6
37
21-23
91%
29-54
54%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.