FinalWin Prob.pScore
1132%102
104
368%108
110
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
105.19995.5
MIA logo MIA
113.497102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALLedo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)104
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)102
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)102
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)99
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)99
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALJames STEAL (1 STL)99
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
3.7%
104
96.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
6.4%
102
93.6%
Q4 - 1:00DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
7.9%
102
92.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
14.7%
102
85.3%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 299
14.0%
102
86.0%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 299
10.3%
102
89.7%
Q4 - 1:43MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Blair: Tip to Bosh99
10.1%
102
89.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS)99
18.0%
102
82.0%
Q4 - 2:31DALNowitzki 17' Step Back Jump Shot (28 PTS)99
24.1%
100
75.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)97
18.6%
100
81.4%
Q4 - 3:16DALCole STEAL (3 STL)97
11.9%
100
88.1%
Q4 - 3:31DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
20.7%
100
79.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS James 1' Layup97
18.7%
100
81.3%
Q4 - 3:45DALBlair Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)97
14.4%
100
85.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)97
20.2%
100
79.8%
Q4 - 4:17DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Blair 5 AST)97
26.1%
98
73.9%
Q4 - 4:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
19.9%
98
80.1%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot95
17.9%
98
82.1%
Q4 - 4:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
14.0%
98
86.0%
Q4 - 4:43DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot95
15.6%
98
84.4%
Q4 - 5:01DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
21.2%
98
78.8%
Q4 - 5:01DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
20.5%
98
79.5%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)93
12.0%
98
88.0%
Q4 - 5:39MIAHEAT Rebound93
15.6%
96
84.4%
Q4 - 5:40DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
17.2%
96
82.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)93
21.1%
96
78.9%
Q4 - 6:16DALCarter 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
16.7%
96
83.3%
Q4 - 6:29DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
13.3%
96
86.7%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
12.1%
96
87.9%
Q4 - 6:47DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)91
9.8%
96
90.2%
Q4 - 7:08MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)91
14.3%
96
85.7%
Q4 - 7:18DALCarter 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)91
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 7:20DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
8.7%
96
91.3%
Q4 - 7:21DALMISS Carter 1' Layup89
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 7:38MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)89
8.7%
96
91.3%
Q4 - 8:00DALCarter 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blair 4 AST)89
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 8:23DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot87
11.3%
93
88.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
9.7%
93
90.3%
Q4 - 8:34DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
10.4%
93
89.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
12.1%
93
87.9%
Q4 - 9:05DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)87
19.5%
90
80.5%
Q4 - 9:11DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 9:12DALWade STEAL (7 STL)84
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 9:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup84
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup84
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q4 - 9:24MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup84
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q4 - 9:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 9:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
10.3%
90
89.7%
Q4 - 9:52DALMavericks Rebound82
8.4%
90
91.6%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup82
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q4 - 10:10MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
9.1%
90
90.9%
Q4 - 10:32DALBlair 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)82
11.1%
88
88.9%
Q4 - 10:38DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
9.1%
88
90.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot80
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 10:56DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)80
7.4%
88
92.6%
Q4 - 11:14MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)78
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 11:24DALCole STEAL (2 STL)78
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL78
8.0%
86
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound78
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Ellis 37' 3PT Jump Shot78
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJames 21' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS)78
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)78
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)75
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
12.4%
81
87.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 274
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q3 - 1:09MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
12.8%
81
87.2%
Q3 - 1:09MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q3 - 1:11DALCole STEAL (1 STL)74
15.2%
79
84.8%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJames 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)74
17.9%
79
82.1%
Q3 - 1:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q3 - 1:45DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q3 - 1:55MIAJames 12' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)74
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q3 - 2:23DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
27.8%
75
72.2%
Q3 - 2:37MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)72
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
31.7%
72
68.3%
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Blair 1' Driving Layup72
33.0%
72
67.0%
Q3 - 2:59MIALewis 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (5 PTS)72
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q3 - 3:20DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)72
39.6%
70
60.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)69
31.7%
70
68.3%
Q3 - 3:37DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
27.7%
70
72.3%
Q3 - 3:37DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
27.1%
70
72.9%
Q3 - 3:49DALMavericks Rebound67
24.5%
70
75.5%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup67
23.5%
70
76.5%
Q3 - 4:13DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 4:13DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 4:32DALMavericks Rebound65
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot65
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 4:58DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 265
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 4:58DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 5:01DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Battier 6' Jump Shot64
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 5:16MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 5:17DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 5:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 164
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 5:51DALWade STEAL (6 STL)64
18.6%
68
81.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)64
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 6:05DALWade STEAL (5 STL)64
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q3 - 6:16DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot64
20.8%
68
79.2%
Q3 - 6:36DALCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)64
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q3 - 6:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup61
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 7:10DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 3 of 361
13.1%
68
86.9%
Q3 - 7:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)61
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 7:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)60
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q3 - 7:19DALMavericks Rebound59
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 7:41DALBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)59
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 7:44DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 7:46DALMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot59
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 8:10MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 8:10MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 8:30DALMarion 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)59
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 8:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup57
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 8:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Hook Shot57
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 8:58DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 9:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 9:27DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)57
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 9:40DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 10:03DALDalembert 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)55
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAJames 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 10:21DALWade STEAL (4 STL)53
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 10:36MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 10:53DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)53
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)51
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 11:28DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 11:32DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 11:35DALMISS Ellis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot51
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALWade STEAL (3 STL)51
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot51
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (James 1 AST)49
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q2 - 1:31DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)49
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q2 - 1:52MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)46
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 1:55MIAHEAT Rebound46
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 146
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup46
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q2 - 2:13DALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)46
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 2:25DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper46
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 2:40DALMISS Carter 2' Driving Layup46
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)46
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 3:05DALBattier STEAL (2 STL)46
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 3:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot46
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 3:42DALMarion 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)46
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 4:02DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot44
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAJames 3' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)44
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q2 - 4:35DALMarion 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)44
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 4:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Calderon 24' Jump Shot42
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 4:52MIABattier 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)42
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 4:53MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot42
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 5:09DALEllis 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)42
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q2 - 5:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot40
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q2 - 5:39DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)40
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 6:13DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot40
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)40
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 6:58DALMarion 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)40
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 7:26DALBeasley STEAL (2 STL)38
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 7:36DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Beasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot38
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 7:48DALMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot38
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 8:16DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)38
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 8:16DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 8:17DALBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)35
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 8:25DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 8:40DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIACole Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)35
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
17.1%
41
82.9%
Q2 - 8:55DALMISS Ellis 4' Jump Shot35
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 9:13MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)35
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 9:26DALMekel Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)35
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 9:31MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)35
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 9:36DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS)35
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 10:02DALBeasley STEAL (1 STL)35
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 10:40DALLewis STEAL (1 STL)35
27.4%
35
72.6%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
29.8%
35
70.2%
Q2 - 11:12DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)35
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 11:27MIACole 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 11:44DALMekel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mekel 1 AST)30
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q1 - 1:15DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot25
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 1:35DALMISS Blair 12' Jump Shot25
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 1:58DALMISS Mekel 7' Jump Shot25
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
26.1%
26
73.9%
Q1 - 2:16MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q1 - 2:17DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)25
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 2:41DALMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot25
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 3:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 3:11DALMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot25
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 3:21DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 3:46DALCarter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
34.8%
21
65.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)23
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 4:12DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
34.1%
19
65.9%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 4:30DALBosh STEAL (1 STL)21
34.2%
17
65.8%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 4:51DALBlair 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)21
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
38.4%
14
61.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHEAT Rebound19
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup19
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 5:24DALWade STEAL (2 STL)19
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 5:43MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
37.7%
14
62.3%
Q1 - 5:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 5:54DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAChalmers Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)19
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 6:20DALEllis 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 6:58DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)17
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:24DALEllis 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 7:57DALWade STEAL (1 STL)12
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 8:02DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)12
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:20DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot11
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 8:31DALBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)11
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:56DALDalembert 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)11
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 9:26DALCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)9
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 9:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:35MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:36DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:08DALBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)6
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot6
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 10:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:34DALChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)6
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:46DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS James 9' Hook Shot6
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:00DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)6
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:06DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot3
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:10DALBattier STEAL (1 STL)3
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)3
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:28DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)3
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:40DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Dalembert: Tip to Wade0
26.0%
0
74.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.25 62.7%
MIA
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
10
19
53%
MIA
19
28
68%
Midrange
DAL
15
27
56%
MIA
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
DAL
18
21
86%
MIA
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2893%14.0 / 15
V. Carter2175%10.5 / 14
M. Ellis2053%10.0 / 19
J. Calderon1260%6.0 / 10
D. Blair945%4.5 / 10
S. Marion867%4.0 / 6
S. Dalembert440%2.0 / 5
R. Ledo2100%1.0 / 1
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 1
G. Mekel0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3989%19.5 / 22
D. Wade1750%8.5 / 17
C. Bosh1450%7.0 / 14
R. Lewis1192%5.5 / 6
N. Cole1192%5.5 / 6
M. Beasley660%3.0 / 5
M. Chalmers425%2.0 / 8
S. Battier440%2.0 / 5
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
75
+8
-24
83
MIA
81
+6
-16
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.25 62.7%
MIA
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
110.7
DAL 105.1
MIA 113.4 +8.4
Pace
94.1
91.5
DAL 95.5
MIA 102.3 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.8
DAL 15.1
MIA 14.1 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
55.4%
DAL 58.1% +0.7%
MIA 57.4%
TO %
13.9%
15.4%
DAL 22.4%
MIA 15.5% +6.9%
ORB %
24.7%
20.6%
DAL 16.7% +4.2%
MIA 12.5%
FTrt
25.3
30.0
DAL 28.4
MIA 40.5 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
58.8%
DAL 59.5% +17.0%
MIA 42.5%
STL %
9.1%
9.7%
DAL 11.1%
MIA 19.6% +8.5%
BLK %
7.4%
8.1%
DAL 9.8%
MIA 10.9% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
57.5%
DAL 62.7% +1.6%
MIA 61.1%
Rim FG%
60.9%
66.7%
DAL 52.6%
MIA 67.9% +15.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
42.8%
DAL 55.6% +7.1%
MIA 48.5%
3P %
38.4%
36.4%
DAL 42.9% +4.4%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
79.5%
76.0%
DAL 85.7% +2.4%
MIA 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
38.3%
DAL 25.7%
MIA 37.8% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
32.5%
DAL 36.5% +8.1%
MIA 44.6%
3P Att. %
27.4%
29.2%
DAL 37.8% +20.3%
MIA 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes24.922.8
Points104110
Rebounds3434
Assists2217
Steals1119
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals37-7440-74
At-the-Rim FG10-1919-28
Midrange FG15-2716-33
2-Point FG25-4635-61
3-Point FG12-285-13
Free Throws18-2125-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
41.7
20
53%
3
4
1
0
5
4
0
3
4-6
67%
5-10
50%
2-6
33%
F · 7'0" 245 · 35
35.6
28
93%
6
3
2
1
5
3
0
6
9-10
90%
5-7
71%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
35.5
12
60%
1
5
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-9
44%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
30.5
8
67%
4
2
1
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
20.3
4
40%
9
0
3
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
27.2
21
75%
3
1
1
1
3
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
26.9
9
45%
7
5
3
2
1
3
2
5
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
15.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 191 · 26
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 21
0.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
#34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 5'11" 175 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 185 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
63%
34
22
11
6
24
0
6
28
18-21
86%
25-46
54%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.