FinalWin Prob.pScore
2417%94
95
183%107
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
97.99793.2
MIA logo MIA
121.498102.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIACole 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)95
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MILHenson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MILHenson 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MILBucks Rebound91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MILNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MILNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILAntetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MILNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MILRaduljica REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MILAntetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIABeasley 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIABeasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MILHenson 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MILAntetokounmpo 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Raduljica 1 AST)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12MILNeal 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42MILNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16MILNeal 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41MILUdoh 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57MIACole 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:18MILNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAFree Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIABeasley 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27MILNeal 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:42MILBucks Rebound62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49MILLewis STEAL (2 STL)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAAndersen 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:16MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:17MILMISS Henson 1' Alley Oop Layup62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27MILAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL62
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound62
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIALewis 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)62
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILAntetokounmpo Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)62
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot60
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 1:10MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10MILBucks Rebound58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Udoh 17' Jump Shot58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:26MILBucks Rebound58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:37MILUdoh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 2:05MILBattier STEAL (2 STL)58
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJames 16' Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:43MILKnight Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:16MILHenson 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)58
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:22MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 3:23MILMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 3:35MILButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot56
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 3:53MILHenson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)56
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 4:26MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (28 PTS)54
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 4:43MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:01MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 5:23MILButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)54
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:29MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 5:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:36MILMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot54
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)54
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 6:34MILWolters 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)54
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)52
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 6:46MILMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 7:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 7:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Wolters 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)52
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:05MILButler 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)52
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 8:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 250
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)50
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 8:28MILWade STEAL (2 STL)50
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 8:34MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 9:00MILMISS Middleton 21' Jump Shot50
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 9:14MILBucks Rebound50
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 9:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 9:23MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup50
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 9:34MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup50
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 9:49MILButler 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 10:13MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 10:22MILBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:38MIABosh 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)48
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 10:54MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)48
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q3 - 10:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 10:56MILMISS Middleton 3' Driving Layup45
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 11:05MILWolters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 11:06MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 11:40MILMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot45
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)42
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILWade STEAL (1 STL)42
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup42
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Butler 2' Layup42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)42
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 1:15MILMISS Henson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup42
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 1:35MILHenson 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)42
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 1:46MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)40
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 2:01MILMiddleton 1' Layup (7 PTS)40
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 2:03MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 2:04MILMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 2:14MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 2:32MILWolters 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)38
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)36
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 2:54MILMayo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)36
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 3:05MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot36
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 3:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot36
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 3:30MILButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)36
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot33
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 4:10MILMiddleton 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)33
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 4:34MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot31
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 4:49MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot31
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 5:16MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 5:38MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)31
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 5:55MIABosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 6:14MILButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wolters 3 AST)31
3.3%
46
96.7%
Q2 - 6:23MILBucks Rebound28
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 6:24MILWade BLOCK (2 BLK)28
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 6:25MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)28
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.4%
46
97.6%
Q2 - 6:28MILAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAJames 6' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)28
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 6:52MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 6:53MILMISS Pachulia 5' Hook Shot28
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 6:58MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 6:59MILMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 7:29MILPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)28
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)28
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 7:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Wolters 2' Driving Layup28
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 8:01MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Beasley 2' Alley Oop Dunk28
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 8:11MILWade BLOCK (1 BLK)28
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)28
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 8:50MILMISS Wolters 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 9:02MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 9:16MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 9:38MILUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 9:38MILMISS Udoh Free Throw 1 of 227
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Cole Free Throw Technical27
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 9:42MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 9:54MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 9:55MILMISS Udoh 6' Jump Shot27
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 10:14MIABeasley 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 10:39MILUdoh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)27
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 10:55MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)25
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 11:14MILUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 11:14MILUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q2 - 11:41MILLewis STEAL (1 STL)23
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Andersen 7' Jump Shot23
7.2%
32
92.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
6.1%
32
93.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILAntetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)21
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIABeasley 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
5.6%
30
94.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:03MILMISS Neal 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 1:24MIALewis 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 1:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 1:45MILMISS Henson 5' Hook Shot18
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 2:07MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot18
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 2:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 2:20MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Udoh 1' Tip Shot18
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 2:22MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Driving Layup18
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 2:42MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 218
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 218
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 2:56MILHenson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)18
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
6.9%
26
93.1%
Q1 - 3:14MILAntetokounmpo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)16
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 3:20MILNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.9%
26
93.1%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Battier 18' Jump Shot16
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 3:47MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 3:47MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)14
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 214
5.9%
25
94.1%
Q1 - 4:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
5.8%
25
94.2%
Q1 - 4:06MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
5.9%
25
94.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)14
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.3%
22
92.7%
Q1 - 4:28MILMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot14
7.6%
22
92.4%
Q1 - 4:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 4:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 4:51MILBattier STEAL (1 STL)14
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 5:13MIAChalmers 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 5:19MILMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot14
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 5:31MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 214
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 5:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 5:38MILChalmers STEAL (2 STL)14
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAChalmers 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 6:08MILMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wolters 2 AST)14
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 6:16MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot11
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 6:34MILPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 6:40MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot11
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 6:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 6:52MILMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Shot11
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 7:27MILWolters Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 7:27MILMISS Wolters Free Throw 1 of 210
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 7:31MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wolters 1 AST)10
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 8:16MILMiddleton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)7
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 8:35MILMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.2%
8
89.8%
Q1 - 8:49MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 24
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 8:55MILWolters 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:22MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)2
10.0%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 9:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
5
89.4%
Q1 - 9:29MILMISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot2
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 9:56MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)2
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIAChalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:25MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)2
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 10:34MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot2
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 10:41MILMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:03MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:16MILWolters 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:38MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup0
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Pachulia: Tip to James0
12.6%
0
87.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
13
27
48%
MIA
23
29
79%
Midrange
MIL
9
22
41%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
MIA
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIL
18
21
86%
MIA
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Neal1869%9.0 / 13
J. Henson1875%9.0 / 12
G. Antetokounmpo1169%5.5 / 8
C. Butler1033%5.0 / 15
N. Wolters950%4.5 / 9
K. Middleton739%3.5 / 9
E. Udoh744%3.5 / 8
O. Mayo650%3.0 / 6
B. Knight660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3372%16.5 / 23
M. Beasley1968%9.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1575%7.5 / 10
C. Bosh1045%5.0 / 11
D. Wade857%4.0 / 7
C. Andersen867%4.0 / 6
R. Lewis7117%3.5 / 3
N. Cole770%3.5 / 5
S. Battier650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+11
-18
90
MIA
85
+7
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.2
110.7
MIL 97.9 +23.5
MIA 121.4
Pace
91.7
91.5
MIL 93.2
MIA 102.2 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.8
MIL 15.5
MIA 14.1 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
55.4%
MIL 48.7%
MIA 65.8% +17.1%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIL 16.9%
MIA 13.5% +3.4%
ORB %
27.1%
20.6%
MIL 18.6% +2.5%
MIA 16.1%
FTrt
27.4
30.0
MIL 26.6
MIA 30.4 +3.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
58.8%
MIL 57.6%
MIA 63.0% +5.4%
STL %
7.1%
9.7%
MIL 10.3% +1.1%
MIA 9.2%
BLK %
8.2%
8.1%
MIL 1.8%
MIA 14.3% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.4%
57.5%
MIL 52.2%
MIA 64.7% +12.5%
Rim FG%
54.2%
66.7%
MIL 48.1%
MIA 79.3% +31.2%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.8%
MIL 40.9% +0.2%
MIA 40.7%
3P %
35.3%
36.4%
MIL 36.7%
MIA 52.2% +15.5%
FT %
74.7%
76.0%
MIL 85.7% +23.2%
MIA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
38.3%
MIL 34.2%
MIA 36.7% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
37.9%
32.5%
MIL 27.8% +6.3%
MIA 34.2%
3P Att. %
23.1%
29.2%
MIL 38.0% +8.9%
MIA 29.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points95119
Rebounds3440
Assists1929
Steals109
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)35 (0)
Field Goals33-7946-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2723-29
Midrange FG9-2211-27
2-Point FG22-4934-56
3-Point FG11-3012-23
Free Throws18-2115-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
25.3
6
50%
2
3
2
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 228 · 34
24.9
10
33%
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-8
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
24.4
9
50%
3
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 222 · 22
23.1
7
39%
7
1
1
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 30
17.9
3
38%
5
0
0
0
3
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
26.1
18
69%
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
C · 6'11" 229 · 23
25.1
18
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 22
23.6
6
60%
0
6
1
0
4
3
0
0
6-6
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 19
21.6
11
69%
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26
17.0
7
44%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
11.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'2" 175 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
34
19
10
1
18
0
8
26
18-21
86%
22-49
45%
11-30
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.