Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 11, 2013

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	9	Grizzlies	39%	91	79
	6	Pacers	61%	94	95

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	94.0	84	86.5
IND	113.1	84	81.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-10

IND

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.0%

IND

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	IND
Q4 - 0:00.0	IND		79 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MEM	Koufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	79 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MEM	Koufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	78 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:22.0	MEM	Franklin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:23.0	IND	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	77 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:29.0	IND	PACERS Rebound	77 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:29.0	IND	MISS Sloan 4' Jump Shot	77 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:47.0	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	77 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0	MEM	MISS Calathes Free Throw 2 of 2	77 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0	MEM	MISS Calathes Free Throw 1 of 2	77 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0	IND	Sloan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	77 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 1:11	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	77 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:12	IND	MISS Copeland 27' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:35	MEM	Conley 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	77 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:46	IND	Hill Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)	75 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 2:06	MEM	Koufos 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)	75 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 2:27	IND	Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	73 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 2:51	MEM	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	73 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 2:51	MEM	MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2	72 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:11	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	72 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:14	IND	MISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	72 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:24	IND	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:25	MEM	MISS Conley 13' Jump Shot	72 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:43	IND	Johnson 2' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	72 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 3:59	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	72 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 3:59	MEM	Davis 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	72 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 4:00	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	70 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 4:00	MEM	MISS Davis 2' Tip Shot	70 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 4:01	MEM	MISS Davis 2' Layup	70 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 4:11	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	70 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 4:11	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	70 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q4 - 4:24	IND	Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	70 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 4:26	IND	MISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	70 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 5:02	MEM	Randolph 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	70 0.4%	85 99.6%
Q4 - 5:19	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 5:20	IND	MISS Scola 17' Jump Shot	68 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 5:34	MEM	Conley 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)	68 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 5:48	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	66 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 5:48	IND	MISS Stephenson 4' Jump Shot	66 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 6:11	MEM	Koufos 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Calathes 6 AST)	66 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 6:37	IND	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)	64 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 6:57	MEM	Franklin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calathes 5 AST)	64 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 7:03	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	62 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 7:05	IND	MISS Mahinmi 18' Jump Shot	62 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 7:26	MEM	Scola STEAL (1 STL)	62 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 7:41	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	62 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 7:56	MEM	Koufos Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)	62 0.2%	82 99.8%
Q4 - 8:18	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	62 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 8:18	IND	MISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 1	62 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 8:35	MEM	Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Franklin 1 AST)	62 0.6%	80 99.4%
Q4 - 8:40	MEM	Franklin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	59 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q4 - 8:41	IND	MISS Scola 3' Layup	59 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 8:46	IND	George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	59 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 8:49	MEM	MISS Calathes 18' Jump Shot	59 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 9:09	MEM	Franklin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	59 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q4 - 9:11	MEM	MISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot	59 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q4 - 9:28	MEM	Franklin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	59 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q4 - 9:28	IND	MISS Scola 20' Jump Shot	59 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q4 - 9:41	MEM	Randolph 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	59 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q4 - 9:57	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	57 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 9:58	IND	MISS Stephenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	57 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 10:16	MEM	Calathes 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	57 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q4 - 10:25	IND	George 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)	55 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 10:37	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55 0.3%	78 99.7%
Q4 - 10:38	MEM	MISS Miller 3' Jump Shot	55 0.4%	78 99.6%
Q4 - 10:56	IND	George 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stephenson 10 AST)	55 0.4%	78 99.6%
Q4 - 11:07	MEM	Mahinmi STEAL (1 STL)	55 0.7%	76 99.3%
Q4 - 11:25	IND	George Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	55 0.9%	76 99.1%
Q4 - 11:25	IND	George Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	55 0.9%	75 99.1%
Q4 - 11:34	IND	George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	55 1.1%	74 98.9%
Q4 - 11:36	MEM	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	55 1.1%	74 98.9%
Q4 - 11:48	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	55 1.3%	74 98.7%
Q4 - 11:48	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	55 1.4%	73 98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		55 1.6%	72 98.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0	IND	George Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	55 2.3%	72 97.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0	IND	George Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	55 2.4%	71 97.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0	MEM	Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)	55 2.9%	70 97.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	52 1.9%	70 98.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0	IND	MISS West 8' Jump Shot	52 1.8%	70 98.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0	MEM	Allen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	52 1.6%	70 98.4%
Q3 - 1:07	IND	George 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	52 2.2%	70 97.8%
Q3 - 1:19	IND	MISS George Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2	52 2.7%	68 97.3%
Q3 - 1:19	IND	George Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	52 2.3%	68 97.7%
Q3 - 1:19	IND	George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	52 3.2%	67 96.8%
Q3 - 1:20	MEM	West BLOCK (2 BLK)	52 3.4%	67 96.6%
Q3 - 1:53	IND	George 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)	52 3.9%	67 96.1%
Q3 - 1:57	MEM	Johnson STEAL (1 STL)	52 4.7%	65 95.3%
Q3 - 2:12	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	52 6.2%	65 93.8%
Q3 - 2:14	IND	MISS George 20' Jump Shot	52 5.9%	65 94.1%
Q3 - 2:22	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	52 5.2%	65 94.8%
Q3 - 2:23	MEM	MISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot	52 5.5%	65 94.5%
Q3 - 2:47	IND	George 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)	52 6.2%	65 93.8%
Q3 - 3:04	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	52 7.9%	63 92.1%
Q3 - 3:17	IND	Hill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)	50 6.8%	63 93.2%
Q3 - 3:24	MEM	Gasol 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calathes 4 AST)	50 5.7%	63 94.3%
Q3 - 3:36	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	48 4.8%	63 95.2%
Q3 - 3:37	IND	MISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot	48 4.6%	63 95.4%
Q3 - 3:53	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	48 4.0%	63 96.0%
Q3 - 3:55	MEM	MISS Calathes 8' Jump Shot	48 4.3%	63 95.7%
Q3 - 4:11	IND	Hibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	48 5.3%	63 94.7%
Q3 - 4:27	IND	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 4.4%	63 95.6%
Q3 - 4:28	MEM	Hibbert BLOCK (5 BLK)	48 4.6%	63 95.4%
Q3 - 4:53	IND	West 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 9 AST)	48 5.3%	63 94.7%
Q3 - 5:10	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	48 6.5%	61 93.5%
Q3 - 5:24	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	48 7.7%	61 92.3%
Q3 - 5:25	IND	MISS Hill 9' Jump Shot	48 7.3%	61 92.7%
Q3 - 5:59	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	48 6.5%	61 93.5%
Q3 - 5:59	MEM	Randolph 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)	48 6.5%	61 93.5%
Q3 - 6:00	MEM	MISS Conley 2' Layup	46 5.0%	61 95.0%
Q3 - 6:24	IND	Stephenson 1' Layup (13 PTS) (West 3 AST)	46 6.1%	61 93.9%
Q3 - 6:27	MEM	Hill STEAL (1 STL)	46 7.0%	59 93.0%
Q3 - 6:56	IND	Hill 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	46 8.2%	59 91.8%
Q3 - 7:21	MEM	Gasol 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)	46 9.7%	57 90.3%
Q3 - 7:35	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	44 8.6%	57 91.4%
Q3 - 7:35	IND	MISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2	44 8.4%	57 91.6%
Q3 - 7:35	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	44 7.7%	57 92.3%
Q3 - 7:55	MEM	Randolph Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	44 8.5%	56 91.5%
Q3 - 7:56	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	44 9.9%	56 90.1%
Q3 - 7:58	MEM	West BLOCK (1 BLK)	44 8.9%	56 91.1%
Q3 - 8:15	IND	Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	44 10.2%	56 89.8%
Q3 - 8:34	MEM	Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	44 13.1%	53 86.9%
Q3 - 8:58	IND	George 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)	41 10.2%	53 89.8%
Q3 - 9:05	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)	41 11.9%	51 88.1%
Q3 - 9:06	MEM	MISS Randolph 15' Jump Shot	41 12.3%	51 87.7%
Q3 - 9:23	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	41 13.5%	51 86.5%
Q3 - 9:24	IND	MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot	41 13.0%	51 87.0%
Q3 - 9:29	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 11.8%	51 88.2%
Q3 - 9:30	MEM	MISS Prince 4' Jump Shot	41 12.3%	51 87.7%
Q3 - 10:07	IND	George 3' Layup (6 PTS)	41 13.8%	51 86.2%
Q3 - 10:23	MEM	Gasol 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)	41 15.5%	49 84.5%
Q3 - 10:44	IND	West Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)	39 13.8%	49 86.2%
Q3 - 11:00	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	39 12.1%	49 87.9%
Q3 - 11:01	MEM	MISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot	39 13.2%	49 86.8%
Q3 - 11:26	IND	Stephenson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 2 AST)	39 14.3%	49 85.7%
Q3 - 11:46	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	39 17.9%	46 82.1%
Q3 - 11:46	MEM	MISS Conley 17' Jump Shot	39 18.6%	46 81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND		39 20.1%	46 79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	39 17.9%	46 82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	39 18.2%	46 81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	39 19.6%	46 80.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	38 18.4%	46 81.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0	IND	MISS Stephenson 14' Jump Shot	38 17.9%	46 82.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	38 16.9%	46 83.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MEM	MISS Conley 30' 3PT Jump Shot	38 17.3%	46 82.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 18.4%	46 81.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0	IND	MISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot	38 17.9%	46 82.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0	MEM	Randolph Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	38 16.9%	46 83.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	38 18.4%	46 81.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0	MEM	Hill BLOCK (1 BLK)	38 17.3%	46 82.7%
Q2 - 1:05	IND	Hill 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Stephenson 8 AST)	38 18.8%	46 81.2%
Q2 - 1:27	MEM	Prince 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)	38 21.5%	44 78.5%
Q2 - 1:51	IND	West 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 7 AST)	36 18.7%	44 81.3%
Q2 - 2:16	MEM	Randolph 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	36 21.4%	42 78.6%
Q2 - 2:35	IND	West 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST)	34 19.4%	42 80.6%
Q2 - 2:57	MEM	West STEAL (1 STL)	34 21.4%	40 78.6%
Q2 - 3:14	IND	George Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	34 24.1%	40 75.9%
Q2 - 3:30	MEM	Conley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)	34 21.5%	40 78.5%
Q2 - 3:34	IND	Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	32 19.9%	40 80.1%
Q2 - 3:48	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	32 17.7%	40 82.3%
Q2 - 3:49	MEM	MISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot	32 18.4%	40 81.6%
Q2 - 4:02	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 20.1%	40 79.9%
Q2 - 4:04	IND	MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot	32 19.6%	40 80.4%
Q2 - 4:17	MEM	Conley Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)	32 18.3%	40 81.7%
Q2 - 4:28	MEM	Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	31 16.6%	40 83.4%
Q2 - 4:45	IND	West 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)	28 13.7%	40 86.3%
Q2 - 5:00	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	28 15.1%	38 84.9%
Q2 - 5:01	MEM	MISS Conley 16' Jump Shot	28 15.9%	38 84.1%
Q2 - 5:16	IND	Mahinmi Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)	28 17.0%	38 83.0%
Q2 - 5:29	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	28 15.5%	38 84.5%
Q2 - 5:29	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	27 15.2%	38 84.8%
Q2 - 5:43	IND	Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	26 14.0%	38 86.0%
Q2 - 6:04	MEM	Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	26 17.2%	35 82.8%
Q2 - 6:04	MEM	Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 16.8%	35 83.2%
Q2 - 6:30	IND	Scola 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)	24 16.0%	35 84.0%
Q2 - 6:44	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 17.2%	33 82.8%
Q2 - 6:45	MEM	MISS Davis 14' Jump Shot	24 17.8%	33 82.2%
Q2 - 7:05	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	24 19.4%	33 80.6%
Q2 - 7:06	IND	MISS Johnson 1' Layup	24 18.9%	33 81.1%
Q2 - 7:14	IND	PACERS Rebound	24 17.7%	33 82.3%
Q2 - 7:15	IND	MISS Stephenson 4' Layup	24 18.9%	33 81.1%
Q2 - 7:21	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	24 17.6%	33 82.4%
Q2 - 7:23	MEM	Mahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 18.2%	33 81.8%
Q2 - 7:35	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	24 19.4%	33 80.6%
Q2 - 7:35	MEM	MISS Koufos 16' Jump Shot	24 18.2%	33 81.8%
Q2 - 7:46	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 19.4%	33 80.6%
Q2 - 7:47	IND	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	24 18.9%	33 81.1%
Q2 - 8:06	MEM	Prince 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	24 18.0%	33 82.0%
Q2 - 8:27	IND	Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)	22 16.5%	33 83.5%
Q2 - 8:43	IND	PACERS Rebound	22 19.5%	30 80.5%
Q2 - 8:43	MEM	MISS Koufos 7' Jump Shot	22 20.1%	30 79.9%
Q2 - 9:09	IND	Scola 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)	22 21.5%	30 78.5%
Q2 - 9:17	IND	PACERS Rebound	22 23.2%	28 76.8%
Q2 - 9:19	IND	MISS Watson 18' Jump Shot	22 24.5%	28 75.5%
Q2 - 9:24	IND	Scola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	22 23.2%	28 76.8%
Q2 - 9:25	MEM	MISS Pondexter 27' 3PT Jump Shot	22 23.8%	28 76.2%
Q2 - 9:48	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 25.1%	28 74.9%
Q2 - 9:48	IND	MISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot	22 24.5%	28 75.5%
Q2 - 9:55	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	22 23.2%	28 76.8%
Q2 - 9:56	MEM	MISS Koufos 7' Jump Shot	22 23.7%	28 76.3%
Q2 - 10:12	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 25.4%	28 74.6%
Q2 - 10:14	IND	MISS Scola 2' Layup	22 24.7%	28 75.3%
Q2 - 10:36	MEM	Koufos 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Calathes 3 AST)	22 23.3%	28 76.7%
Q2 - 10:47	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	20 21.8%	28 78.2%
Q2 - 10:48	MEM	MISS Calathes Free Throw 1 of 1	20 20.2%	28 79.8%
Q2 - 10:58	IND	Stephenson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)	18 18.6%	28 81.4%
Q2 - 11:25	MEM	Davis 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)	18 21.9%	25 78.1%
Q2 - 11:35	IND	Stephenson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)	16 20.4%	25 79.6%
Q2 - 11:41	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	16 21.9%	23 78.1%
Q2 - 11:42	MEM	MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot	16 22.4%	23 77.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND		16 23.7%	23 76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND	PACERS Rebound	16 21.9%	23 78.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND	MISS George 1' Finger Roll Layup	16 23.1%	23 76.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND	George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	16 21.9%	23 78.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0	IND	MISS Scola 3PT Jump Shot	16 23.2%	23 76.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	16 22.4%	23 77.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0	IND	MISS George 3PT Jump Shot	16 23.2%	23 76.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 22.4%	23 77.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0	IND	MISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot	16 23.2%	23 76.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	16 22.4%	23 77.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0	MEM	Hibbert BLOCK (4 BLK)	16 22.8%	23 77.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0	MEM	Pondexter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 23.6%	23 76.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0	MEM	Hibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)	16 22.8%	23 77.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0	IND	Scola Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	16 23.6%	23 76.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0	IND	Scola Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	16 24.0%	22 76.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0	IND	Scola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	16 25.8%	21 74.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0	MEM	MISS Pondexter 19' Jump Shot	16 26.2%	21 73.8%
Q1 - 1:25	IND	Scola 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)	16 27.3%	21 72.7%
Q1 - 1:34	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	16 29.7%	19 70.3%
Q1 - 1:35	MEM	MISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot	16 30.1%	19 69.9%
Q1 - 1:54	IND	George 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16 31.1%	19 68.9%
Q1 - 2:07	MEM	Gasol 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)	16 33.6%	17 66.4%
Q1 - 2:19	IND	Hill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	14 31.4%	17 68.6%
Q1 - 2:27	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	14 29.7%	17 70.3%
Q1 - 2:28	MEM	MISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot	14 30.2%	17 69.8%
Q1 - 2:41	IND	Scola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	14 31.4%	17 68.6%
Q1 - 2:41	IND	Scola 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	14 31.4%	17 68.6%
Q1 - 2:43	IND	MISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	14 34.9%	15 65.1%
Q1 - 2:55	IND	Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14 33.6%	15 66.4%
Q1 - 2:56	IND	MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot	14 34.9%	15 65.1%
Q1 - 3:02	IND	George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	14 33.3%	15 66.7%
Q1 - 3:04	IND	MISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot	14 34.8%	15 65.2%
Q1 - 3:21	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	14 33.3%	15 66.7%
Q1 - 3:21	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 33.0%	15 67.0%
Q1 - 3:36	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	12 31.5%	15 68.5%
Q1 - 3:37	IND	MISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot	12 30.9%	15 69.1%
Q1 - 3:52	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 29.5%	15 70.5%
Q1 - 3:53	MEM	MISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot	12 30.1%	15 69.9%
Q1 - 4:15	IND	George Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	12 31.5%	15 68.5%
Q1 - 4:40	MEM	Randolph 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)	12 29.4%	15 70.6%
Q1 - 4:50	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 27.9%	15 72.1%
Q1 - 4:51	IND	MISS Stephenson 1' Layup	10 27.3%	15 72.7%
Q1 - 5:11	MEM	Randolph 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	10 26.3%	15 73.7%
Q1 - 5:31	IND	Hill 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)	8 24.9%	15 75.1%
Q1 - 5:36	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	8 26.3%	13 73.7%
Q1 - 5:37	MEM	MISS Conley 27' 3PT Jump Shot	8 26.8%	13 73.2%
Q1 - 5:57	IND	Hibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	8 28.0%	13 72.0%
Q1 - 6:13	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 26.5%	13 73.5%
Q1 - 6:14	MEM	Hibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)	8 27.0%	13 73.0%
Q1 - 6:33	IND	Hill 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)	8 28.2%	13 71.8%
Q1 - 6:50	MEM	Gasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	8 29.7%	11 70.3%
Q1 - 7:11	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 28.3%	11 71.7%
Q1 - 7:12	IND	MISS Hill 3' Layup	6 27.8%	11 72.2%
Q1 - 7:18	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	6 26.6%	11 73.4%
Q1 - 7:19	MEM	MISS Prince 12' Jump Shot	6 27.1%	11 72.9%
Q1 - 7:37	IND	Hill 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	6 28.3%	11 71.7%
Q1 - 7:41	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 29.6%	9 70.4%
Q1 - 7:43	MEM	Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)	6 30.2%	9 69.8%
Q1 - 8:06	IND	Hibbert 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)	6 31.5%	9 68.5%
Q1 - 8:27	MEM	Allen Layup (5 PTS)	6 33.0%	7 67.0%
Q1 - 8:30	IND	Stephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 31.5%	7 68.5%
Q1 - 8:33	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	4 29.8%	7 70.2%
Q1 - 8:34	MEM	MISS Prince 20' Jump Shot	4 30.3%	7 69.7%
Q1 - 8:47	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 31.5%	7 68.5%
Q1 - 8:48	IND	MISS West 10' Jump Shot	4 31.0%	7 69.0%
Q1 - 8:50	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 29.8%	7 70.2%
Q1 - 8:51	IND	MISS West Layup	4 31.0%	7 69.0%
Q1 - 8:58	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 29.8%	7 70.2%
Q1 - 8:59	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	4 30.3%	7 69.7%
Q1 - 9:10	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	4 31.7%	7 68.3%
Q1 - 9:12	IND	MISS George 16' Jump Shot	4 31.1%	7 68.9%
Q1 - 9:30	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 30.0%	7 70.0%
Q1 - 9:30	MEM	MISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 2	3 29.7%	7 70.3%
Q1 - 9:46	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	3 30.1%	7 69.9%
Q1 - 9:48	IND	MISS George 12' Jump Shot	3 29.6%	7 70.4%
Q1 - 9:55	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 28.5%	7 71.5%
Q1 - 9:56	MEM	MISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot	3 29.0%	7 71.0%
Q1 - 10:11	IND	George 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	3 30.3%	7 69.7%
Q1 - 10:23	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 31.6%	5 68.4%
Q1 - 10:24	MEM	MISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot	3 32.1%	5 67.9%
Q1 - 10:42	IND	Stephenson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)	3 33.3%	5 66.7%
Q1 - 10:59	MEM	Allen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	3 36.2%	2 63.8%
Q1 - 11:09	IND	West 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)	0 32.9%	2 67.1%
Q1 - 11:20	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 34.6%	0 65.4%
Q1 - 11:21	MEM	MISS Allen 3' Layup	0 35.0%	0 65.0%
Q1 - 11:23	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 36.0%	0 64.0%
Q1 - 11:24	MEM	MISS Randolph 3' Jump Shot	0 35.0%	0 65.0%
Q1 - 11:45	IND	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 36.0%	0 64.0%
Q1 - 12:00	IND	Jump Ball Hibbert vs. Gasol: Tip to West	0 34.6%	0 65.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.0%

IND

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

47%

IND

58%

Midrange

MEM

35%

IND

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

6.0

50%

75%

IND

9.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

MEM

68%

IND

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gasol	15	47%	7.5 / 16
Z. Randolph	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Conley	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Allen	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Koufos	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Miller	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Prince	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Davis	5	28%	2.5 / 9
N. Calathes	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Franklin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	23	64%	11.5 / 18
L. Stephenson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Hill	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Scola	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. West	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Mahinmi	10	100%	5.0 / 5
O. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Hibbert	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Sloan	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Copeland	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 3
S. Hill	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-10

IND

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.0%

IND

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.7 104.5	MEM 94.0 +19.0 IND 113.1
Pace	89.6 92.2	MEM 86.5 +4.8 IND 81.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 16.1	MEM 16.7 +1.0 IND 17.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.4% 49.0%	MEM 44.0% IND 52.6% +8.6%
TO %	14.3% 15.6%	MEM 10.7% +2.7% IND 13.4%
ORB %	28.3% 24.9%	MEM 16.3% IND 26.5% +10.2%
FTrt	24.8 29.0	MEM 25.3 +1.6 IND 23.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.4% 56.0%	MEM 61.3% IND 67.6% +6.3%
STL %	8.5% 7.3%	MEM 7.1% +1.1% IND 6.0%
BLK %	7.9% 8.5%	MEM 7.0% IND 13.4% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.3% 52.0%	MEM 47.0% IND 55.9% +8.9%
Rim FG%	57.9% 56.4%	MEM 46.7% IND 58.3% +11.6%
Mid FG%	40.5% 41.0%	MEM 35.1% IND 51.5% +16.4%
3P %	35.3% 35.7%	MEM 50.0% +18.4% IND 31.6%
FT %	74.1% 77.9%	MEM 68.4% IND 83.3% +14.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	39.2% 33.3%	MEM 40.0% +8.4% IND 31.6%
Mid Att. %	43.8% 43.3%	MEM 49.3% IND 43.4% +5.9%
3P Att. %	17.1% 23.5%	MEM 10.7% IND 25.0% +14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	MEM	IND
Possessions	84	84
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	79	95
Rebounds	32	45
Assists	19	25
Steals	6	5
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	36 (1)
Field Goals	31-75	37-76
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	14-24
Midrange FG	13-37	17-33
2-Point FG	27-67	31-57
3-Point FG	4-8	6-19
Free Throws	13-19	15-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 29	29.6	15	47%	6	3	2	1	2	2	0	6	5-6	83%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 26	29.4	11	46%	0	2	1	1	1	4	0	0	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 32	27.1	12	50%	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 34	25.9	6	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 32	23.8	8	100%	3	3	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 25	25.2	4	33%	2	6	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-3	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 25	22.1	8	57%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	21.7	8	67%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	17.3	5	28%	7	0	0	2	0	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 22	10.9	2	100%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 26	7.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 25
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	47%	32	19	6	4	10	0	7	25	13-19	68%	27-67	40%	4-8	50%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 29	29.6	15	47%	6	3	2	1	2	2	0	6	5-6	83%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 26	29.4	11	46%	0	2	1	1	1	4	0	0	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 32	27.1	12	50%	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 34	25.9	6	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 32	23.8	8	100%	3	3	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 25	25.2	4	33%	2	6	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-3	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 25	22.1	8	57%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	21.7	8	67%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	17.3	5	28%	7	0	0	2	0	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 22	10.9	2	100%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 26	7.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 25
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	47%	32	19	6	4	10	0	7	25	13-19	68%	27-67	40%	4-8	50%

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6 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.1	13	59%	11	12	0	0	1	3	0	11	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Paul George F · 6'8" 220 · 24	31.8	23	64%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	5-6	83%	9-13	69%	0-3	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 33	25.9	10	63%	5	3	1	2	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	24.8	13	72%	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	24.2	3	30%	7	1	0	5	2	2	1	6	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 27	23.8	10	100%	2	0	1	1	1	4	0	2	6-6	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	20.0	0	0%	1	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	18.9	12	55%	4	0	1	0	0	4	2	2	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Orlando Johnson G · 6'5" 220 · 25	16.4	5	50%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Solomon Hill F · 6'7" 225 · 23	13.6	0	0%	4	1	0	0	3	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26	3.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	3.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 34
Danny Granger #33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	56%	45	25	5	9	13	0	9	36	15-18	83%	31-57	54%	6-19	32%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE