FinalWin Prob.pScore
2811%91
111
189%107
110
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
119.49391.1
MIA logo MIA
122.29091.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wallace 7 AST)111
95.9%
110
4.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound108
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2108
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:01.0BOSWallace 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)108
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)106
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)106
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)106
2.5%
108
97.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSMISS Olynyk 16' Jump Bank Shot106
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)106
12.3%
108
87.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot106
8.5%
108
91.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSBradley 18' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)106
5.8%
108
94.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
3.7%
108
96.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper104
3.0%
108
97.0%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHEAT Rebound104
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 1:16BOSMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
3.4%
108
96.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)104
6.3%
108
93.7%
Q4 - 2:06BOSCrawford 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)104
10.1%
106
89.9%
Q4 - 2:21BOSCeltics Rebound102
7.4%
106
92.6%
Q4 - 2:22BOSMISS Green 7' Hook Shot102
5.0%
106
95.0%
Q4 - 2:38MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)102
7.5%
106
92.5%
Q4 - 3:04BOSOlynyk 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)102
10.6%
104
89.4%
Q4 - 3:25MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 10 AST)100
7.9%
104
92.1%
Q4 - 3:43BOSBradley 6' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)100
11.9%
102
88.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)98
8.6%
102
91.4%
Q4 - 4:33BOSBradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)98
5.7%
102
94.3%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)95
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 4:59MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 5:00BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot95
6.4%
99
93.6%
Q4 - 5:10BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
9.2%
99
90.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS James 6' Hook Shot95
8.3%
99
91.7%
Q4 - 5:35BOSOlynyk 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)95
6.5%
99
93.5%
Q4 - 5:51MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 6:05BOSBradley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)93
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 6:28BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 191
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 6:49BOSMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 191
7.2%
95
92.8%
Q4 - 7:08BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot89
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 7:23BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)89
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (James 9 AST)89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 8:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 8:09BOSMISS Pressey 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q4 - 8:18BOSCeltics Rebound89
10.0%
93
90.0%
Q4 - 8:19BOSCole BLOCK (1 BLK)89
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q4 - 8:28BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 8:43BOSMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot89
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)89
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 8:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 8:59BOSMISS Lee 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup89
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 9:25MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)89
10.2%
93
89.8%
Q4 - 9:39BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
12.7%
91
87.3%
Q4 - 9:39BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
12.2%
91
87.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
10.2%
91
89.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 10:08BOSPressey 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
12.5%
89
87.5%
Q4 - 10:09BOSPressey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 10:10BOSMISS Pressey 10' Jump Shot85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 10:51BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pressey 5 AST)85
15.2%
86
84.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)82
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 11:19BOSSullinger Layup (12 PTS)82
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q4 - 11:20BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Pressey 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 11:41MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)80
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS80
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
15.1%
82
84.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
12.8%
82
87.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Humphries 1' Layup80
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0BOSSullinger 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pressey 4 AST)80
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q3 - 1:05BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot78
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 1:21BOSSullinger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)78
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q3 - 1:37BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 278
14.5%
80
85.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)78
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)78
14.9%
79
85.1%
Q3 - 1:53BOSHumphries 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pressey 3 AST)78
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 2:07MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T8)76
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q3 - 2:17BOSBradley 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 2:22BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup74
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 2:30MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 2:31BOSAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)74
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q3 - 2:34BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q3 - 2:35BOSMISS Bradley 1' Driving Layup74
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)74
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q3 - 3:16BOSSullinger 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 6 AST)74
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 3:22MIAChalmers 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)72
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 3:45BOSBradley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)72
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 3:49BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup70
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q3 - 4:02BOSMISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot70
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 4:27BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 170
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q3 - 4:34BOSCrawford 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)70
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 4:40BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS James 4' Hook Shot68
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 4:53BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)68
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 4:56BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 4:57BOSMISS Sullinger 9' Jump Shot68
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 5:06BOSCeltics Rebound68
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 5:07BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 5:20BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 5:26BOSMISS Bradley 1' Alley Oop Layup68
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 5:52BOSMISS Olynyk 8' Jump Shot68
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 5:59BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 6:00BOSMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot68
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)68
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 6:12BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)68
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q3 - 6:38MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)68
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 7:04BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wallace 5 AST)68
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q3 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:43BOSMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 7:49MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)65
19.5%
64
80.5%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 8:02BOSMISS Olynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 8:06BOSCeltics Rebound65
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 8:07BOSBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)65
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 8:22BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 8:37BOSBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)65
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 8:41BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 8:42BOSMISS Bradley 22' Jump Shot65
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 9:06MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)65
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 9:17BOSCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T10)65
20.5%
62
79.5%
Q3 - 9:22BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
23.1%
62
76.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot65
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 9:30MIAJames Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)65
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q3 - 9:40BOSMISS Bass 7' Turnaround Jump Shot65
23.9%
61
76.1%
Q3 - 9:52BOSCeltics Rebound65
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 9:53BOSBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)65
23.9%
61
76.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIABosh 1' Layup (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)65
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 10:33BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 10:56BOSCeltics Rebound63
24.5%
59
75.5%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot63
23.7%
59
76.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 11:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 11:34BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)63
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q3 - 11:40BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 11:41BOSMISS Bradley 2' Driving Layup60
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCrawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSPressey 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)57
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot55
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSBradley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)53
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 1:07BOSBosh STEAL (1 STL)53
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIABeasley 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 1:51BOSPressey 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)53
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 2:14BOSMISS Sullinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q2 - 2:31BOSPressey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot51
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 2:45BOSMISS Pressey Free Throw 2 of 251
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q2 - 2:45BOSPressey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 3:00MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)50
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 3:27BOSWallace 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Sullinger 1 AST)50
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 3:36BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Beasley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot48
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 3:46BOSMISS Pressey 9' Running Hook Shot48
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 4:03MIABeasley 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)48
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 4:15BOSWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T8)48
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 4:26MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 4:47BOSSullinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 4:47BOSSullinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 4:47BOSCeltics Rebound46
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 4:48BOSMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot46
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 4:55MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 5:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 5:07BOSMISS Pressey 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIABeasley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 6:00BOSLee 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 6:13BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 6:26BOSLee 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 6:50MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)42
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 7:05BOSSullinger Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)42
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)42
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:27BOSMISS Green 1' Driving Layup42
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAAndersen 14' Running Bank Hook Shot (10 PTS)42
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 7:57BOSLee 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 8:37BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
12.7%
39
87.3%
Q2 - 8:42MIAAndersen 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)37
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound37
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup37
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 8:55BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)37
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAAndersen Tip Shot (6 PTS)37
12.3%
37
87.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup37
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:19BOSHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 9:19BOSHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 9:35BOSCeltics Rebound35
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 9:53BOSFaverani 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)35
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 10:10BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 233
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 10:20BOSHumphries Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 10:22BOSPressey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot30
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 10:42BOSWallace 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pressey 1 AST)30
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 10:48BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot28
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q2 - 11:03BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)28
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)25
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 11:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 11:21BOSMISS Green 10' Jump Shot25
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 11:25BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 11:26BOSAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 11:38BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 11:39BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS25
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot25
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSSullinger 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)25
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIACole 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)23
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 1:17BOSCrawford 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q1 - 1:34MIAAndersen Dunk (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 1:53BOSSullinger 1' Layup (2 PTS)21
6.8%
27
93.2%
Q1 - 1:54BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 1:55BOSMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot19
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 2:05BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot19
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 2:23BOSCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 2:37MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)19
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 2:49BOSHumphries 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
5.2%
27
94.8%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 217
5.4%
26
94.6%
Q1 - 3:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
5.2%
26
94.8%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot17
5.5%
26
94.5%
Q1 - 3:17BOSSullinger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
5.2%
26
94.8%
Q1 - 3:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)17
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q1 - 3:49BOSCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
6.7%
23
93.3%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJames 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)14
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 4:35BOSBass 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)14
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 4:40BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
5.7%
21
94.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 212
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 4:53BOSWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
6.3%
20
93.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6.7%
18
93.3%
Q1 - 5:19BOSMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot12
6.9%
18
93.1%
Q1 - 5:43MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
7.3%
18
92.7%
Q1 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 5:55BOSMISS Sullinger 19' Turnaround Jump Shot12
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:20BOSCeltics Rebound12
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot12
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:34BOSOlynyk Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 6:44MIABosh 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 6:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 6:56BOSMISS Olynyk 21' Jump Shot12
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJames Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)12
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.4%
13
90.6%
Q1 - 7:14BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot12
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 7:31MIAJames 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)12
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 7:56BOSBradley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 8:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 8:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 8:21BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)10
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound8
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 8:48BOSMISS Bradley 21' Jump Shot8
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 8:58MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 9:07BOSMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 18
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 9:11BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
11.2%
5
88.8%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot6
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:30BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 9:31BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
11.2%
5
88.8%
Q1 - 9:32BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)6
10.6%
5
89.4%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJames Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
11.2%
5
88.8%
Q1 - 10:17BOSCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)6
11.7%
3
88.3%
Q1 - 10:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
10.4%
3
89.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 23
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 10:44BOSMISS Olynyk 16' Jump Shot3
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 11:09MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 11:26BOSOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)3
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:42BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.1%
0
89.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup0
10.0%
0
90.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Olynyk: Tip to James0
9.6%
0
90.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
21
34
62%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
BOS
15
34
44%
MIA
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
MIA
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
BOS
9
12
75%
MIA
23
34
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2467%12.0 / 18
A. Bradley1761%8.5 / 14
J. Crawford1575%7.5 / 10
J. Sullinger1260%6.0 / 10
K. Humphries975%4.5 / 6
K. Olynyk739%3.5 / 9
P. Pressey735%3.5 / 10
B. Bass643%3.0 / 7
G. Wallace660%3.0 / 5
C. Lee675%3.0 / 4
V. Faverani2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2578%12.5 / 16
C. Bosh2067%10.0 / 15
D. Wade1850%9.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
C. Andersen1071%5.0 / 7
M. Beasley1071%5.0 / 7
R. Allen563%2.5 / 4
N. Cole563%2.5 / 4
R. Lewis440%2.0 / 5
S. Battier375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+17
-12
98
MIA
80
+5
-10
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
110.7
BOS 119.4
MIA 122.2 +2.9
Pace
93.5
91.5
BOS 91.1
MIA 91.9 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.8
BOS 15.8
MIA 15.7 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
55.4%
BOS 57.3%
MIA 61.3% +4.0%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
BOS 12.9%
MIA 10.4% +2.5%
ORB %
27.4%
20.6%
BOS 28.9% +16.4%
MIA 12.5%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
BOS 13.5
MIA 47.9 +34.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.8%
BOS 52.2%
MIA 63.4% +11.2%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
BOS 4.3%
MIA 4.4% +0.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.1%
BOS 8.2%
MIA 10.3% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
57.5%
BOS 56.6%
MIA 63.2% +6.6%
Rim FG%
55.2%
66.7%
BOS 61.8%
MIA 70.8% +9.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.8%
BOS 44.1%
MIA 51.4% +7.3%
3P %
33.3%
36.4%
BOS 47.6%
MIA 50.0% +2.4%
FT %
77.7%
76.0%
BOS 75.0% +7.4%
MIA 67.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
38.3%
BOS 38.2% +4.4%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
40.3%
32.5%
BOS 38.2% +13.9%
MIA 52.1%
3P Att. %
25.1%
29.2%
BOS 23.6% +9.5%
MIA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points111110
Rebounds3931
Assists2426
Steals44
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals46-8941-71
At-the-Rim FG21-3417-24
Midrange FG15-3419-37
2-Point FG36-6836-61
3-Point FG10-215-10
Free Throws9-1223-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
35.9
24
67%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
3-8
38%
5-8
63%
G · 6'2" 180 · 23
29.7
17
61%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 195 · 25
27.7
15
75%
2
4
2
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 240 · 23
22.8
7
39%
8
4
0
1
1
5
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 29
14.9
6
43%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
30.9
6
60%
6
7
0
0
3
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22
24.2
12
60%
8
1
1
0
3
4
3
5
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 175 · 23
20.6
7
35%
3
5
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
18.6
9
75%
5
0
0
2
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 28
12.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25
#9 · G · 6'1" 186 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
39
24
4
5
12
0
11
28
9-12
75%
36-68
53%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.