FinalWin Prob.pScore
638%104
74
262%108
76
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
85.18789.9
SAS logo SAS
86.48885.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW74
0%
76
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound74
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Iguodala 9' Driving Jump Shot74
0%
76
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0GSWWarriors Rebound74
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 274
16.2%
76
83.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASSPURS Rebound74
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 274
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)74
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Bogut 10' Jump Shot74
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup74
19.2%
76
80.8%
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 1:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q4 - 1:23GSWMISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
18.4%
76
81.6%
Q4 - 1:42GSWWarriors Rebound74
27.2%
76
72.8%
Q4 - 1:42SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot74
24.0%
76
76.0%
Q4 - 2:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot74
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q4 - 2:23GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q4 - 2:23GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 2:23SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q4 - 2:45SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 272
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 2:58GSWIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q4 - 2:58GSWMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 271
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q4 - 3:13SASParker 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q4 - 3:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q4 - 3:34SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot71
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q4 - 3:57GSWLee 6' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)71
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q4 - 4:09GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)69
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot69
15.0%
73
85.0%
Q4 - 4:29SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 4:30SASMISS Belinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q4 - 4:52GSWThompson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)69
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 5:15SASParker 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 5:31GSWThompson Foul Turnover (P3.T20)66
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q4 - 5:53SASParker 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)66
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q4 - 6:07GSWBogut Foul Turnover (P3.T19)66
19.5%
69
80.5%
Q4 - 6:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)66
25.4%
69
74.6%
Q4 - 6:29GSWO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)66
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q4 - 6:29GSWO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q4 - 6:50GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Diaw 9' Jump Shot64
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 7:05SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q4 - 7:06GSWMISS Douglas 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 7:14GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Baynes 2' Layup64
15.7%
69
84.3%
Q4 - 7:34GSWIguodala 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q4 - 7:46GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q4 - 7:47SASMISS Baynes 10' Jump Shot62
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q4 - 8:01SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q4 - 8:02GSWMISS Thompson 16' Jump Shot62
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q4 - 8:23SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q4 - 8:40GSWBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)62
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q4 - 8:53GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q4 - 8:54SASMISS Diaw 8' Jump Shot62
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q4 - 9:12GSWDouglas 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)62
19.0%
66
81.0%
Q4 - 9:29GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q4 - 9:51GSWLee 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)59
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q4 - 10:12GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q4 - 10:13SASMISS Baynes 12' Jump Shot57
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q4 - 10:28GSWThompson 2' Layup (8 PTS)57
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q4 - 10:35GSWWarriors Rebound55
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q4 - 10:35GSWMISS O'Neal 3' Layup55
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q4 - 10:57SASDiaw 2' Layup (8 PTS)55
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q4 - 11:18SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q4 - 11:19GSWMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q4 - 11:23GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
9.8%
64
90.2%
Q4 - 11:25GSWMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot55
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q4 - 11:44SASBaynes Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T12)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS55
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot55
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0GSWMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot55
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASBaynes 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)55
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0GSWGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)55
13.2%
62
86.8%
Q3 - 1:21SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)55
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 1:33GSWIguodala 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 1:50GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 153
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 2:12GSWBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)53
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 2:25GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)50
16.1%
57
83.9%
Q3 - 2:27GSWMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 2:52SASDiaw 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 3:11GSWDouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)50
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 3:23SASGinobili 13' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 3:38GSWSpeights Foul Turnover (P2.T17)47
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q3 - 3:48GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 3:49SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 4:03GSWSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 4:03GSWSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q3 - 4:17GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)45
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 4:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 4:35SASMISS Leonard 10' Running Jump Shot45
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 4:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 4:42GSWMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q3 - 5:01SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)45
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 5:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 5:09GSWMISS Bogut 10' Jump Shot45
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 5:27GSWDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 5:28SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot45
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 5:37GSWLee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)45
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 5:53GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)45
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 5:54SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup45
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 6:06SASSPURS Rebound45
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q3 - 6:07GSWMISS Lee 5' Jump Shot45
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 6:29SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)45
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 6:45GSWIguodala Player Out of Bounds Violation Turnover (P5.T15)45
20.1%
50
79.9%
Q3 - 6:55GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
23.1%
50
76.9%
Q3 - 6:56SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot45
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 7:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q3 - 7:16GSWMISS Douglas 4' Driving Jump Shot45
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 7:25GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q3 - 7:26SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot45
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q3 - 7:37GSWDouglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)45
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q3 - 7:59GSWWarriors Rebound42
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q3 - 7:59SASMISS Splitter 4' Jump Shot42
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q3 - 8:18GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q3 - 8:18GSWBogut Tip Shot (6 PTS)42
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q3 - 8:19GSWMISS Lee 14' Jump Shot40
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q3 - 8:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q3 - 8:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q3 - 8:46GSWSplitter STEAL (1 STL)40
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q3 - 9:04GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 140
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q3 - 9:08GSWLeonard STEAL (4 STL)40
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q3 - 9:15GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup40
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q3 - 9:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q3 - 9:28GSWMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q3 - 9:41SASLeonard 18' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q3 - 9:58GSWDouglas 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)40
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q3 - 10:15GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q3 - 10:16SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q3 - 10:39GSWBogut 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASLeonard 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)35
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q3 - 11:12GSWDouglas 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q3 - 11:31SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q3 - 11:31SASSplitter 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q3 - 11:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot33
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q3 - 11:47GSWParker STEAL (1 STL)33
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW33
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot33
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0GSWDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)33
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 233
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 233
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0GSWLeonard STEAL (3 STL)33
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 1:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 1:02GSWMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot33
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 1:11GSWWarriors Rebound33
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 1:12GSWDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)33
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 1:25SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)33
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 1:50GSWIguodala 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)33
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 1:56SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)31
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 2:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 2:04GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 2:19GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 2:21SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Bank Shot31
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 2:39GSWLee Foul Turnover (P2.T10)31
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 2:51SASLeonard 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)31
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 3:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 3:03GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 3:03GSWMISS Bogut 1' Tip Shot31
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 3:04GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 3:28SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T8)31
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 3:38GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 3:38GSWBogut 1' Layup (2 PTS)31
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 3:40GSWMISS Lee 2' Reverse Layup29
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 3:52SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)29
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 3:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 3:59GSWMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 4:15SASParker 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)29
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 4:36GSWLee 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)29
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 4:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 4:53GSWGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)27
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 5:16GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 5:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 224
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 5:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 5:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 5:22GSWMISS Lee 9' Jump Shot24
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 5:40GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot24
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 5:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 5:56GSWMISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot24
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 6:04GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot24
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 6:20GSWBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)24
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 6:39GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 6:39SASMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 224
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 6:39SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 6:48GSWMISS Thompson 3' Alley Oop Layup24
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 6:58GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 6:59SASMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot24
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 7:12GSWLeonard STEAL (2 STL)24
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 7:15GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 7:16GSWMISS Thompson 14' Jump Shot24
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 7:24GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 7:25SASMISS Baynes 14' Jump Shot24
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:50GSWGreen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)24
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 8:03SASAyres Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 8:03SASAyres Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 8:07SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 8:08GSWMISS Douglas 18' Pullup Jump Shot22
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 8:28SASBaynes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ayres 2 AST)22
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 8:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 8:37GSWMISS Barnes 5' Jump Shot22
18.9%
30
81.1%
Q2 - 8:48GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 8:50SASMISS Ayres 2' Layup22
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 9:04SASSPURS Rebound22
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q2 - 9:05GSWMISS Barnes 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 9:10GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q2 - 9:12SASMISS Mills 16' Jump Shot22
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 9:30GSWThompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q2 - 9:39SASAyres Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 9:55GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)20
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 10:16GSWDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q2 - 10:18SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:18SASMISS Baynes 2' Putback Dunk20
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:19SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:23GSWSpeights Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:26SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ayres 1 AST)20
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q2 - 10:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 10:37GSWMISS Speights 20' Jump Shot20
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:47GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.2%
27
77.8%
Q2 - 10:48SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot20
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:02SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 11:04SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q2 - 11:15GSWO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 11:34SASAyres Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 11:45SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 11:46GSWMISS Speights 13' Jump Shot20
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW20
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup20
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0GSWMills STEAL (1 STL)20
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0GSWMISS O'Neal 2' Layup20
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 1:07SASBaynes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 1:20GSWIguodala 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 1:35SASDiaw 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q1 - 1:52GSWDouglas 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)18
21.3%
25
78.7%
Q1 - 2:06SASGinobili 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)16
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 2:31GSWLee 2' Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 2:48GSWO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q1 - 2:49SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot14
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 3:11GSWLee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:21SASGinobili 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 3:37GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 3:37GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 213
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 3:53GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Diaw 10' Turnaround Jump Shot13
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 4:12GSWDouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)13
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 4:25SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 4:41GSWDouglas 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 5:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 5:03GSWMISS Thompson 10' Jump Shot8
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 5:19SASSplitter 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)8
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 5:33SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
21.9%
15
78.1%
Q1 - 5:34GSWMISS Bogut 4' Jump Shot8
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 5:53SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
23.4%
15
76.6%
Q1 - 6:09GSWLeonard STEAL (1 STL)8
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 6:15GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 6:16SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot8
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 6:29SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 6:30GSWMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot8
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 6:50SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 6:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:00GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 7:14SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 7:22SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:23GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 7:33GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 7:34SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot8
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 7:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:49GSWMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot8
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 8:09SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)8
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 8:27GSWThompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)6
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 9:01GSWBarnes 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 9:14SASSPURS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#1)4
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 9:14SASSPURS Rebound4
28.2%
7
71.8%
Q1 - 9:15SASMISS Parker 1' Running Reverse Layup4
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 9:34GSWThompson 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)4
28.2%
7
71.8%
Q1 - 9:56SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)2
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 10:12GSWLee 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 10:25GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot0
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 10:42GSWDuncan STEAL (1 STL)0
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:56SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:16GSWMISS Thompson 19' Jump Shot0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 11:37SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:49SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:50SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bogut: Tip to Parker0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
9
20
45%
SAS
14
24
58%
Midrange
GSW
12
31
39%
SAS
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
SAS
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
GSW
8
10
80%
SAS
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Douglas2175%10.5 / 14
D. Lee1343%6.5 / 15
K. Thompson1134%5.5 / 16
A. Iguodala956%4.5 / 8
A. Bogut643%3.0 / 7
H. Barnes542%2.5 / 6
D. Green5125%2.5 / 2
J. O'Neal220%1.0 / 5
M. Speights233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1847%9.0 / 19
K. Leonard1381%6.5 / 8
T. Duncan833%4.0 / 12
B. Diaw850%4.0 / 8
M. Ginobili627%3.0 / 11
P. Mills675%3.0 / 4
A. Baynes531%2.5 / 8
T. Splitter440%2.0 / 5
D. Green325%1.5 / 6
M. Belinelli338%1.5 / 4
J. Ayres250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
68
+9
-19
77
SAS
76
+14
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
110.3
GSW 85.1
SAS 86.4 +1.3
Pace
96.1
95.2
GSW 89.9 +4.7
SAS 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.1
GSW 16.0 +0.9
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
53.7%
GSW 46.5% +4.1%
SAS 42.4%
TO %
15.4%
14.7%
GSW 21.0%
SAS 13.9% +7.1%
ORB %
25.2%
22.8%
GSW 16.2%
SAS 22.0% +5.8%
FTrt
24.7
24.0
GSW 14.1
SAS 22.8 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
62.1%
GSW 55.2%
SAS 61.3% +6.1%
STL %
8.1%
7.7%
GSW 8.0%
SAS 10.2% +2.2%
BLK %
7.7%
7.7%
GSW 6.7% +0.8%
SAS 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.0%
GSW 46.3% +4.1%
SAS 42.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
63.1%
GSW 45.0%
SAS 58.3% +13.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.6%
GSW 38.7% +5.4%
SAS 33.3%
3P %
38.0%
39.7%
GSW 40.0% +13.7%
SAS 26.3%
FT %
75.4%
78.6%
GSW 80.0% +30.0%
SAS 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
36.5%
GSW 28.2%
SAS 30.4% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
37.4%
37.8%
GSW 43.7% +1.9%
SAS 45.6%
3P Att. %
29.1%
25.7%
GSW 28.2% +4.1%
SAS 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsGSWSAS
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points7476
Rebounds4542
Assists1619
Steals79
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals29-7131-79
At-the-Rim FG9-2014-24
Midrange FG12-3112-36
2-Point FG21-5126-60
3-Point FG8-205-19
Free Throws8-109-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
44.0
9
56%
6
2
4
0
6
0
0
6
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
39.5
11
34%
1
2
3
1
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-11
36%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
36.1
13
43%
10
3
0
0
3
3
1
9
3-4
75%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 29
32.2
6
43%
13
5
0
0
3
5
4
9
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
21.2
5
42%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
27.8
21
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35
15.8
2
20%
7
1
0
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 230 · 24
15.0
5
125%
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26
8.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
G · 6'5" 201 · 24
G · 6'3" 192 · 22
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
#31 · C · 6'11" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
46%
45
16
7
4
19
0
6
39
8-10
80%
21-51
41%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.