FinalWin Prob.pScore
1820%101
93
180%113
103
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
103.39094.6
MIA logo MIA
117.08883.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0WASAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASBeal Foul Turnover (P5.T21)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0WASBeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0WASMISS Beal Free Throw 1 of 193
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0WASWebster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13WASGortat 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)91
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:34WASMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)89
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 1:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:18WASGortat 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Webster 4 AST)89
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:45WASWebster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50WASWebster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51WASBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31WASGortat Foul Turnover (P3.T20)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:46MIABosh Player Out of Bounds Violation Turnover (P2.T16)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58WASMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11MIAJames Foul Turnover (P6.T15)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:32WASGortat 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Webster 3 AST)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJames 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05WASAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHEAT Rebound82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:23WASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:35MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:50WASMISS Wall 19' Jump Shot82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)82
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 6:38WASMaynor 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)82
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 6:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 280
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 7:12WASAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)80
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 7:19WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup77
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:43WASAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Maynor 4 AST)77
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:29WASMaynor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)74
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:49WASMaynor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Andersen 5' Jump Hook Shot71
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:19WASSeraphin 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Maynor 3 AST)71
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25WASMaynor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:26WASMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade 1' Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 9:54WASCole STEAL (2 STL)69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)69
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 10:22WASAriza 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)67
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 11:00WASAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Webster 2 AST)67
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 11:10WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 11:32WASMISS Beal 22' Jump Shot64
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 11:35WASWizards Rebound64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 11:36WASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)64
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 11:49WASMISS Beal Free Throw Technical64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)64
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)64
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0WASSeraphin Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)64
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)61
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAndersen Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAndersen Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 1:39WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 1:39WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:14WASMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:28MIAAllen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 2:32WASJames STEAL (1 STL)59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:44WASAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)59
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHEAT Rebound59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 259
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 259
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:54WASMISS Gortat 8' Hook Shot59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:06WASWizards Rebound59
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:16WASMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot59
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)59
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 3:39WASMISS Wall 9' Running Jump Shot59
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 3:56MIABosh 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)59
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:18WASWall 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 4:23WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)57
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 4:24WASMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 4:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)57
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 4:48WASMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot57
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)57
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 5:24WASMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 5:31WASAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot57
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 5:45WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)57
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 5:50WASWall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup54
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 6:02WASMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot54
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)54
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 6:34WASWade STEAL (2 STL)54
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 6:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 254
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 7:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 7:03WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 7:12WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot54
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 7:28WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)54
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)51
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 7:56WASAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 7:56WASAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 7:56WASAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)49
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 7:57WASMISS Ariza 1' Layup49
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 7:58WASAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)49
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 7:59WASMISS Ariza Layup49
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 8:02WASAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:03WASHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 8:04WASAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:05WASMISS Booker 4' Jump Shot49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 8:17MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:33WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)49
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 8:38WASBooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:39WASMISS Wall 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 8:57WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot49
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 9:09MIAHEAT Rebound49
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot49
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 9:27WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 9:27WASMISS Beal Free Throw 1 of 248
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)48
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 9:43WASChalmers STEAL (3 STL)48
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 9:52WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 248
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup48
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:12WASMISS Gortat 16' Jump Shot48
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 10:24MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)48
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:35WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 10:53WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot48
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 11:06WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)48
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 11:07WASWizards Rebound48
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 11:08WASMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot48
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 11:29WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASGortat 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST)48
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade 1' Layup (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0WASWall Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)45
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)45
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Allen 1' Layup45
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 1:08WASMISS Wall 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 1:57WASWall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 2:01WASWall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:02WASMISS Beal 20' Jump Shot42
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 2:13WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)42
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot42
4.6%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 2:25WASBooker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)42
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 2:35WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper42
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 3:08WASWebster 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)42
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 3:29MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 3:39WASLewis STEAL (1 STL)39
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)39
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 4:09MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 4:10WASMISS Gortat 16' Jump Shot39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAJames 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)39
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 4:50WASWall 2' Layup (6 PTS)39
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 4:51WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 4:52WASMISS Wall 9' Jump Shot37
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 4:57WASWall Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)37
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)36
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)36
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 5:12WASChalmers STEAL (2 STL)36
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIAHEAT Rebound36
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 5:46WASBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)36
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 5:51WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)36
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 5:52WASMISS Booker Free Throw 1 of 136
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 6:08WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 6:25WASWall Foul Turnover (P1.T8)34
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)34
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 6:45WASWade STEAL (1 STL)34
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 6:53WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 7:07WASMISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 7:34WASSeraphin Foul Turnover (P2.T6)34
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 7:45MIAAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)34
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 7:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 7:57WASMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)34
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 8:33WASWebster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 8:33WASWebster Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 8:57MIAAndersen 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 9:23WASBeal 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)32
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
11.8%
35
88.2%
Q2 - 9:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot30
11.5%
35
88.5%
Q2 - 10:09WASWebster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 10:09WASMISS Webster Free Throw 1 of 229
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup29
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 10:37WASCole STEAL (1 STL)29
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 11:01WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Cole 14' Jump Shot29
12.8%
33
87.2%
Q2 - 11:16WASSeraphin 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)29
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 11:33WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0WASSeraphin 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)27
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 225
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot25
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 1:10WASMISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot25
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 1:18WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 1:33WASMISS Wall 19' Jump Shot25
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 1:40WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 1:41WASMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 1:45WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 2:01WASBeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)25
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q1 - 2:45WASWall Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 2:48WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
10.3%
29
89.7%
Q1 - 2:49WASMISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
10.3%
29
89.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.0%
27
89.0%
Q1 - 3:20WASMISS Webster 19' Jump Shot22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)22
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q1 - 3:58WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)22
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 4:12MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 4:29WASGortat 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)19
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)17
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 4:52WASWebster 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 5:02WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 5:03WASMISS Wall 17' Jump Shot15
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 5:15MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)15
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 5:26WASWebster 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)15
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 5:32WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 5:33WASMISS Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 5:47WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 5:48WASMISS Beal 17' Jump Shot13
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)13
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 6:24WASBooker 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)13
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 6:39MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 7:00WASAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)11
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 7:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 7:30WASMISS Booker 1' Layup11
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)11
16.5%
11
83.5%
Q1 - 7:50WASBooker 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)11
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 7:56MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 8:05MIAJames Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 8:16WASGortat Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)9
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 8:22WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup9
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 8:28WASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)9
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:02WASMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 9:30WASMISS Gortat 2' Layup9
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:49MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:08WASMISS Ariza 14' Jump Shot9
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 10:42WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)9
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:51WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS James 2' Floating Jump Shot6
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:01WASGortat 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 11:16MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:37WASBooker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:41WASGortat 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)2
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gortat: Tip to Wall0
15.6%
0
84.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
14
21
67%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
WAS
9
31
29%
MIA
10
18
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
MIA
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
WAS
11
16
69%
MIA
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal1959%9.5 / 16
M. Gortat1554%7.5 / 14
T. Ariza1338%6.5 / 17
M. Webster1372%6.5 / 9
J. Wall1146%5.5 / 12
K. Seraphin990%4.5 / 5
T. Booker867%4.0 / 6
E. Maynor5125%2.5 / 2
A. Harrington0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2578%12.5 / 16
C. Bosh2475%12.0 / 16
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
N. Cole975%4.5 / 6
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
R. Allen440%2.0 / 5
R. Lewis350%1.5 / 3
S. Battier0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
70
+19
-20
89
MIA
72
+12
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
110.7
WAS 103.3
MIA 117.0 +13.7
Pace
93.7
91.5
WAS 94.6 +10.7
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
WAS 15.2 +1.9
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
55.4%
WAS 50.0%
MIA 60.7% +10.7%
TO %
14.8%
15.4%
WAS 19.1%
MIA 17.2% +1.9%
ORB %
25.2%
20.6%
WAS 41.5% +16.5%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
WAS 19.5
MIA 38.6 +19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.8%
WAS 62.9%
MIA 86.5% +23.6%
STL %
8.5%
9.7%
WAS 8.9%
MIA 10.2% +1.3%
BLK %
7.7%
8.1%
WAS 4.7%
MIA 11.5% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
57.5%
WAS 52.2%
MIA 59.9% +7.7%
Rim FG%
61.8%
66.7%
WAS 66.7% +2.7%
MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%
37.7%
42.8%
WAS 29.0%
MIA 55.6% +26.6%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
WAS 40.0%
MIA 40.7% +0.7%
FT %
73.1%
76.0%
WAS 68.8% +2.1%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
38.3%
WAS 25.6%
MIA 35.7% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
41.6%
32.5%
WAS 37.8%
MIA 25.7% +12.1%
3P Att. %
24.6%
29.2%
WAS 36.6%
MIA 38.6% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points93103
Rebounds4132
Assists2232
Steals89
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)24 (6)
Field Goals35-8237-70
At-the-Rim FG14-2116-25
Midrange FG9-3110-18
2-Point FG23-5226-43
3-Point FG12-3011-27
Free Throws11-1618-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 207 · 20
40.9
19
59%
3
3
0
0
5
4
1
2
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
4-8
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
39.0
11
46%
4
9
1
0
5
5
2
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
31.8
15
54%
11
1
0
0
3
2
5
6
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
30.4
13
38%
7
0
2
0
3
4
4
3
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
3-9
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
22.1
8
67%
6
0
2
0
2
3
3
3
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27
33.9
13
72%
7
4
2
0
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24
15.0
9
90%
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
1
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 175 · 26
14.2
5
125%
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
12.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31
F · 7'0" 242 · 24
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23
#31 · F · 6'9" 228 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · F · 6'8" 198 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
41
22
8
2
20
0
17
24
11-16
69%
23-52
44%
12-30
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.