FinalWin Prob.pScore
1638%102
95
1462%106
102
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
100.09587.5
ATL logo ATL
108.594102.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR95
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORMISS Gay 16' Fadeaway Jumper95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORJohnson Dunk (13 PTS) (Fields 2 AST)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0TORFields REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Millsap 13' Fadeaway Jumper93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORCarroll STEAL (3 STL)93
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)93
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORRaptors Rebound93
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Teague Driving Dunk93
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 1:19TORGay 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)93
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMillsap Driving Layup (15 PTS)91
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 1:50TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS)91
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 2:05ATLTeague 6' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 2:12TORGay 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)89
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 2:16TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 2:18TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Dunk87
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 2:37ATLMillsap 3' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)87
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 2:53TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Fields 1 AST)87
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 2:56TORFields REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 2:57TORMISS DeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper84
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 3:21TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 3:22ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 184
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 3:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)84
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Johnson 2' Putback Layup84
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 3:32TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q4 - 3:33TORMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot84
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 3:52ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS)84
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 4:06TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 4:06TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 283
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 4:28TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q4 - 4:29ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 283
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 4:29ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 4:38ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q4 - 4:40TORMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot83
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 4:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
12.1%
88
87.9%
Q4 - 4:58ATLMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot83
10.7%
88
89.3%
Q4 - 5:13TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (29 PTS)83
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 5:24TORRaptors Rebound81
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 5:26TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot81
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 5:37ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 5:50TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)81
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 6:15TORCarroll STEAL (2 STL)79
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 6:37TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 6:40ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 279
8.9%
86
91.1%
Q4 - 6:40ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 279
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 6:56TORDeRozan 20' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)79
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 7:11TORRaptors Rebound77
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 7:15TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 7:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 7:54TORDeRozan 15' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS)77
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 8:12ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 8:25ATLHAWKS Rebound75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 8:25TORMISS Buycks 21' Jump Shot75
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 11 AST)75
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 8:52ATLHAWKS Rebound75
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 8:52ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot75
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 9:14TORFields 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)75
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 9:21TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 9:22ATLMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot73
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 9:46ATLHAWKS Rebound73
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 9:46TORMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)73
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 10:12ATLScott 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)73
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 10:27TORBuycks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 10:47ATLMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 10:47ATLMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q4 - 10:48ATLHAWKS Rebound70
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 10:48ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup70
8.6%
79
91.4%
Q4 - 10:58ATLHAWKS Rebound70
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 10:58ATLMISS Scott 5' Driving Jump Shot70
8.6%
79
91.4%
Q4 - 11:21TORFields 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)70
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 11:36ATLKorver Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)68
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 11:39ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 11:42TORMISS Fields 8' Driving Jump Shot68
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL68
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound68
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Scott 29' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORAugustin 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)68
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLSchroder Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)66
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0TORDeRozan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0TORRaptors Rebound64
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)64
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 1:16TORDeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:38ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)62
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 1:44ATLMISS Antic 2' Layup62
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 1:54TORRoss Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)62
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 2:11ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 2:11ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 2:13TORKorver STEAL (3 STL)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 2:26ATLScott 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 10 AST)62
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 2:38TORDeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 3:03ATLAntic Foul Turnover (P2.T8)59
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 3:10TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 3:23ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 3:23ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 3:34TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)56
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 3:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 3:37TORMISS Gay 6' Driving Jump Shot54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 3:50TORRaptors Rebound54
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 3:51ATLMISS Antic 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 4:07TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)54
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 4:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)52
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 4:32ATLHorford Putback Dunk (17 PTS)52
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 4:33ATLMISS Carroll 2' Running Layup52
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 4:38ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 4:40TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 4:56TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 4:57ATLMISS Carroll 7' Driving Jump Shot52
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 5:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)52
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 5:09TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot52
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 5:28ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Antic 1 AST)52
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 5:44TORJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 5:56TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 5:57ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 250
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 5:57ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 250
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q3 - 6:08TORDeRozan 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)50
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 6:23ATLCarroll Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)48
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 6:23ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)48
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 6:23ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)48
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 6:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)48
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 6:31TORMISS DeRozan 11' Driving Jump Shot48
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 6:50ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carroll 3 AST)48
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)48
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 7:02TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 248
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 7:02TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 248
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 7:09ATLMillsap Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)48
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 7:32TORJohnson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)48
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 7:44ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 7:50TORKorver STEAL (2 STL)46
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 8:07ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)46
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q3 - 8:30TORValanciunas 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMillsap 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)44
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 8:52ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 8:53TORMISS Gay 1' Layup44
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMillsap 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)44
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q3 - 9:15ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 9:17ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q3 - 9:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)44
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 9:25TORMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q3 - 9:50ATLHorford 2' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)44
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 10:04TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 10:25TORRaptors Rebound41
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 10:25ATLMISS Millsap 13' Fadeaway Jumper41
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 10:38TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)41
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:56ATLMillsap 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)39
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q3 - 11:22ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 11:24TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q3 - 11:47TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 11:48ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR39
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound39
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Hansbrough 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLTeague Running Dunk (8 PTS)39
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORTeague STEAL (1 STL)39
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)39
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)39
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
23.1%
44
76.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0TORDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)39
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0TORMISS Gay 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot39
23.1%
44
76.9%
Q2 - 1:11ATLMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)39
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 1:24TORGay 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)39
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 1:35ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
27.0%
41
73.0%
Q2 - 1:35ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)37
27.6%
40
72.4%
Q2 - 1:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 1:39TORHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)37
31.1%
39
68.9%
Q2 - 1:53ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)37
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 2:15ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 2:16TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 2:31ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)37
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:47TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 2:47TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 2:51TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
35.6%
36
64.4%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMISS Horford 9' Hook Shot35
34.7%
36
65.3%
Q2 - 3:10ATLHAWKS Rebound35
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 3:10TORMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
33.5%
36
66.5%
Q2 - 3:24ATLHorford 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)35
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 3:45ATLHAWKS Rebound35
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 3:46TORMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 4:02ATLTeague Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)35
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 4:02ATLAntic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)35
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 4:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 4:07ATLMISS Teague 4' Jump Shot35
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 4:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 4:22TORMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot35
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 4:28TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMISS Teague 5' Jump Shot35
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 4:41TORLowry Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)35
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 4:49ATLAntic 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 5:07TORJohnson 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)35
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 5:16TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot33
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 5:38ATLHAWKS Rebound33
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 5:39TORMISS Gay 4' Jump Shot33
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 5:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 5:56ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
40.1%
31
59.9%
Q2 - 6:11TORMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot33
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 6:36ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 6:49ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q2 - 6:50TORMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 233
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 6:50TORMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 233
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 6:52TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Teague 4' Jump Shot33
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 6:59TORLowry 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 7:09TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 7:27ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 7:28TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 7:45TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 7:48TORMISS Fields 1' Driving Reverse Layup31
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 8:00ATLKorver 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)31
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 8:11TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 8:11TORHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)29
42.3%
27
57.7%
Q2 - 8:50ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
44.8%
25
55.2%
Q2 - 8:52TORMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q2 - 9:05TORAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 9:06ATLMISS Korver 20' Jump Shot29
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 9:19ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 9:20TORMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot29
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q2 - 9:43TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
46.9%
25
53.1%
Q2 - 9:45ATLMISS Brand 13' Fadeaway Jumper29
46.1%
25
53.9%
Q2 - 9:58TORJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)29
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 10:09TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q2 - 10:11ATLMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot26
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.8%
25
63.2%
Q2 - 10:24TORMISS Hansbrough Driving Layup26
37.6%
25
62.4%
Q2 - 10:30TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q2 - 10:33ATLMISS Millsap 9' Fadeaway Jumper26
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q2 - 10:56TORHansbrough 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)26
36.8%
25
63.2%
Q2 - 11:19TORRaptors Rebound24
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q2 - 11:20ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup24
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q2 - 11:29ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q2 - 11:31TORMISS Fields 10' Fadeaway Jumper24
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Augustin 4' Driving Jump Shot24
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORAugustin 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Millsap 2' Alley Oop Dunk22
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORKorver STEAL (1 STL)22
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
34.4%
23
65.6%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Korver 20' Jump Shot22
33.8%
23
66.2%
Q1 - 1:15TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 1:32TORDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 1:33ATLMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 222
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 1:33ATLMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 222
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 1:41TORBrand BLOCK (1 BLK)22
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 1:50ATLBrand 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 1:53ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 1:54ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup22
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 2:13TORDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 2:13TORDaye 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 2:14TORMISS Gay 4' Turnaround Jump Shot20
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 2:22TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:24TORMISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 2:30TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 2:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
32.7%
21
67.3%
Q1 - 2:40TORMISS Gay 3' Driving Layup20
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 2:54ATLSchroder Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)20
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 3:18TORGay 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)20
32.4%
21
67.6%
Q1 - 3:43ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)18
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 3:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 3:51TORMISS DeRozan 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot18
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 4:17ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)18
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 4:27TORCarroll STEAL (1 STL)18
36.1%
17
63.9%
Q1 - 4:51TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
38.4%
17
61.6%
Q1 - 4:52ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 218
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 4:52ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 5:12TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)18
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 5:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 5:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 5:34TORMISS Gay 4' Driving Layup15
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:50ATLHorford 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)15
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 6:00TORDeRozan 4' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)15
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 6:22ATLTeague 6' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 6:42TORGay 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
35.6%
12
64.4%
Q1 - 6:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 7:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS Gay 17' Fadeaway Jumper11
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 7:26TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 7:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 7:41TORMISS Valanciunas 10' Driving Jump Shot11
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 7:52ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 8:09TORGay Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 8:19ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 8:19ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 29
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 8:30TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 8:47ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)7
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 9:00ATLHAWKS Rebound7
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:00TORMISS Gay 2' Layup7
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 9:09TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 9:12ATLMISS Teague 2' Layup7
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 9:23TORDeRozan 1' Running Layup (3 PTS)7
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 9:28ATLMISS Millsap 3' Layup5
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:29ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:31ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup5
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:34ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup5
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:49TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:49TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 24
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 10:02ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Johnson: Tip to Valanciunas4
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 10:14TORValanciunas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 10:33ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)4
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 10:44TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
35.2%
3
64.8%
Q1 - 10:44TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
34.9%
3
65.1%
Q1 - 10:50TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 10:51ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 11:00ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.1%
3
67.9%
Q1 - 11:02TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Tip Shot2
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 11:03TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 11:05TORMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 11:25ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 11:39TORValanciunas 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Lowry0
35.0%
0
65.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.98 49.0%
ATL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
23
38
61%
ATL
15
30
50%
Midrange
TOR
10
27
37%
ATL
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
ATL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
TOR
8
14
57%
ATL
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3165%15.5 / 24
K. Lowry1680%8.0 / 10
R. Gay1428%7.0 / 25
A. Johnson1372%6.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas440%2.0 / 5
L. Fields440%2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough450%2.0 / 4
D. Augustin440%2.0 / 5
D. Buycks350%1.5 / 3
A. Daye225%1.0 / 4
T. Ross0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2261%11.0 / 18
J. Teague1750%8.5 / 17
K. Korver1771%8.5 / 12
P. Millsap1554%7.5 / 14
D. Carroll844%4.0 / 9
C. Martin867%4.0 / 6
P. Antic563%2.5 / 4
D. Schröder440%2.0 / 5
M. Scott450%2.0 / 4
E. Brand250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+14
-12
97
ATL
81
+11
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.98 49.0%
ATL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.7
105.6
TOR 100.0
ATL 108.5 +8.5
Pace
92.0
95.0
TOR 87.5
ATL 102.8 +15.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.9
TOR 16.5
ATL 14.0 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
51.5%
TOR 49.4%
ATL 53.2% +3.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
TOR 11.3% +1.2%
ATL 12.5%
ORB %
27.2%
21.0%
TOR 25.0% +7.1%
ATL 17.9%
FTrt
30.6
26.6
TOR 15.9
ATL 40.3 +24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
66.7%
TOR 37.5%
ATL 66.7% +29.2%
STL %
7.6%
8.7%
TOR 5.3%
ATL 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %
6.9%
6.5%
TOR 11.1% +6.5%
ATL 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
53.7%
TOR 49.0%
ATL 54.8% +5.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.2%
TOR 60.5% +10.5%
ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.3%
TOR 37.0%
ATL 45.8% +8.8%
3P %
37.2%
36.3%
TOR 30.4%
ATL 43.5% +13.1%
FT %
78.3%
78.1%
TOR 57.1%
ATL 64.5% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.9%
TOR 43.2% +4.2%
ATL 39.0%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
34.5%
TOR 30.7% +0.5%
ATL 31.2%
3P Att. %
28.5%
31.6%
TOR 26.1%
ATL 29.9% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points95102
Rebounds4237
Assists1524
Steals57
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)30 (6)
Field Goals40-8836-77
At-the-Rim FG23-3815-30
Midrange FG10-2711-24
2-Point FG33-6526-54
3-Point FG7-2310-23
Free Throws8-1420-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
36.6
31
65%
4
2
1
1
2
3
0
4
1-2
50%
12-18
67%
2-5
40%
G · 6'0" 196 · 28
33.6
16
80%
3
4
0
0
4
2
0
3
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
33.0
13
72%
8
2
2
0
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
32.2
14
28%
5
1
0
2
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
6-20
30%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
17.7
4
40%
4
0
1
2
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
23.2
4
40%
9
2
1
0
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 28
20.5
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 26
12.4
4
40%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 25
8.3
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
5.8
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 200 · 25
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 23
#16 · F · 6'10" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
42
15
5
6
12
0
10
32
8-14
57%
33-65
51%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.