FinalWin Prob.pScore
1541%100
109
1259%104
118
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
105.8103103.9
DAL logo DAL
115.7102101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL109
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)109
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)108
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLBrand 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ATLMartin 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Horford 14' Fadeaway Jumper102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)102
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:54ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 1102
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 2:04DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)100
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 2:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 2100
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)100
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 2:32DALMarion 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)99
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 2:38DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup99
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 2:56DALCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)99
3.2%
107
96.8%
Q4 - 3:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 3:09ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)99
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 3:10ATLDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)97
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 3:19DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot97
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 3:36ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)97
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 3:43ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 3:44ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 3:51DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)97
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 4:08ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)97
4.4%
104
95.6%
Q4 - 4:22DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)94
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 4:22DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 4:25ATLMarion STEAL (2 STL)94
3.0%
102
97.0%
Q4 - 4:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
4.5%
102
95.5%
Q4 - 4:36DALMISS Dalembert 11' Jump Bank Shot94
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 4:43ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)94
3.0%
102
97.0%
Q4 - 4:48ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
4.4%
102
95.6%
Q4 - 4:49DALMISS Ellis 15' Pullup Jump Shot94
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 5:07ATLTeague 14' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)94
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 5:13DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)92
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 5:31ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T14)92
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 5:36ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 5:37DALMISS Dalembert 1' Layup92
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 5:50ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)92
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 6:02DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)89
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 6:21ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 288
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 6:38DALBlair 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)88
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 6:54DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot88
4.5%
97
95.5%
Q4 - 7:04ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 7:09DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 288
6.6%
97
93.4%
Q4 - 7:09DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 7:24DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 7:25ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 7:40DALEllis 11' Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)88
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q4 - 8:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
12.8%
94
87.2%
Q4 - 8:02ATLMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot88
13.6%
94
86.4%
Q4 - 8:13DALBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T17)88
15.8%
94
84.2%
Q4 - 8:24DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 8:26ATLMISS Horford 2' Driving Layup88
13.5%
94
86.5%
Q4 - 8:39DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)88
15.7%
94
84.3%
Q4 - 8:39DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
16.4%
93
83.6%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMillsap 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)88
19.5%
92
80.5%
Q4 - 9:21DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mekel 3 AST)86
17.0%
92
83.0%
Q4 - 9:27DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)86
24.8%
89
75.2%
Q4 - 9:28DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot86
28.1%
89
71.9%
Q4 - 9:46ATLKorver 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)86
24.8%
89
75.2%
Q4 - 10:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 10:02DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper84
20.3%
89
79.7%
Q4 - 10:23ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)84
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 10:27ATLHawks Rebound81
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q4 - 10:27ATLMISS Schroder 20' Jump Shot81
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q4 - 10:46DALMekel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)81
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q4 - 10:54DALMekel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
9.8%
89
90.2%
Q4 - 10:55ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q4 - 11:13DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mekel 2 AST)81
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q4 - 11:33ATLMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 11:33ATLMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q4 - 11:47ATLHawks Rebound79
15.6%
86
84.4%
Q4 - 11:48ATLMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL79
15.6%
86
84.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
15.6%
86
84.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)79
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALCarter 13' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLBrand 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)76
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q3 - 1:15ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q3 - 1:15DALMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q3 - 1:30ATLBrand Layup (4 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)74
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q3 - 1:50DALEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)72
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 1:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q3 - 2:00ATLMISS Millsap 5' Hook Shot72
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 2:18DALMarion 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)72
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
15.0%
79
85.0%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q3 - 2:58DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)70
12.8%
79
87.2%
Q3 - 3:07ATLEllington STEAL (1 STL)70
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 3:21DALMarion 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)70
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q3 - 3:36DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q3 - 3:37ATLMISS Brand 6' Jump Shot70
25.2%
74
74.8%
Q3 - 3:57DALEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
27.8%
74
72.2%
Q3 - 3:57DALMISS Ellington Free Throw 1 of 270
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q3 - 4:00ATLCarter STEAL (1 STL)70
27.5%
73
72.5%
Q3 - 4:16DALEllis 23' Jump Shot (25 PTS)70
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q3 - 4:35DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
34.9%
71
65.1%
Q3 - 4:36ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot70
36.4%
71
63.6%
Q3 - 4:50DALMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)70
39.8%
71
60.2%
Q3 - 4:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
34.9%
71
65.1%
Q3 - 4:52ATLMISS Scott 7' Jump Hook Shot70
36.4%
71
63.6%
Q3 - 5:10DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
39.4%
71
60.6%
Q3 - 5:10DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
40.2%
70
59.8%
Q3 - 5:15DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
42.8%
69
57.2%
Q3 - 5:16ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot70
44.3%
69
55.7%
Q3 - 5:34DALCarter 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)70
47.6%
69
52.4%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMillsap 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)70
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q3 - 6:05ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
47.0%
67
53.0%
Q3 - 6:06DALMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot68
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 6:18ATLMillsap 5' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
42.6%
67
57.4%
Q3 - 6:24ATLHawks Rebound66
39.2%
67
60.8%
Q3 - 6:24ATLMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)66
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 6:29ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
39.2%
67
60.8%
Q3 - 6:30DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 6:51DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
35.0%
67
65.0%
Q3 - 6:52ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 266
35.6%
67
64.4%
Q3 - 6:52ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 266
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 7:05DALMarion 14' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)66
38.8%
67
61.2%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMillsap 12' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
42.2%
65
57.8%
Q3 - 7:25DALEllis 14' Driving Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
38.8%
65
61.2%
Q3 - 7:40ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)64
42.2%
63
57.8%
Q3 - 7:44DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)62
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 7:57ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)62
34.9%
63
65.1%
Q3 - 8:07DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)62
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 8:16ATLCarroll Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)62
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 8:33DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)62
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 8:42ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)62
41.9%
61
58.1%
Q3 - 8:45DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)59
35.3%
61
64.7%
Q3 - 8:55ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T9)59
31.5%
61
68.5%
Q3 - 8:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
35.3%
61
64.7%
Q3 - 8:59DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot59
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)59
31.6%
61
68.4%
Q3 - 9:25ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q3 - 9:26DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
33.9%
61
66.1%
Q3 - 9:40DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
31.6%
61
68.4%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 259
32.0%
61
68.0%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 259
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 9:47DALMarion 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)59
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q3 - 10:07ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 10:07ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
37.6%
59
62.4%
Q3 - 10:17DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)57
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 10:32DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot57
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 10:49DALEllis 14' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)57
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 11:02ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
38.0%
57
62.0%
Q3 - 11:02ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
37.4%
57
62.6%
Q3 - 11:11DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
34.9%
57
65.1%
Q3 - 11:24DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q3 - 11:44DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)55
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL55
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
48.3%
53
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Carter 6' Jump Shot55
47.2%
53
52.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0ATLMillsap 6' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)55
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot53
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
38.5%
53
61.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot53
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 1:08DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q2 - 1:09ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
39.3%
53
60.7%
Q2 - 1:15ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
40.7%
53
59.3%
Q2 - 1:16DALMISS Ellis 3' Driving Layup53
40.1%
53
59.9%
Q2 - 1:34ATLCarroll 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)53
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q2 - 1:54DALEllis 6' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
37.2%
51
62.8%
Q2 - 2:24DALCarter 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)49
35.2%
51
64.8%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
38.1%
49
61.9%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q2 - 2:44ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
35.2%
49
64.8%
Q2 - 2:46DALMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot47
34.3%
49
65.7%
Q2 - 3:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 3:08ATLMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 3:15DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)47
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q2 - 3:21DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMISS Teague 7' Driving Jump Shot47
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 3:25DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q2 - 3:27ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)47
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 3:31ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMISS Teague 6' Jump Shot47
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 3:52DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)47
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q2 - 4:07ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)47
37.8%
47
62.2%
Q2 - 4:14ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
40.6%
47
59.4%
Q2 - 4:15ATLMISS Schroder 7' Running Hook Shot47
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 4:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
40.6%
47
59.4%
Q2 - 4:24DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot47
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q2 - 4:44ATLMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)47
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 5:00ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
32.6%
47
67.4%
Q2 - 5:02DALMISS Marion 1' Finger Roll Layup44
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 5:09ATLCalderon STEAL (1 STL)44
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 5:13DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
32.6%
47
67.4%
Q2 - 5:31DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 5:32ATLMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot44
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 5:43DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)44
32.6%
47
67.4%
Q2 - 6:03ATLSchroder Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)44
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q2 - 6:09ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 6:11DALMISS Marion Layup44
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 6:26ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q2 - 6:26ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 6:30DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 6:48ATLMillsap 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)42
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q2 - 7:08DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q2 - 7:26DALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
26.1%
45
73.9%
Q2 - 7:27ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
26.8%
45
73.2%
Q2 - 7:44DALBlair 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
28.4%
45
71.6%
Q2 - 7:46DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)40
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 7:47DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 8:11ATLMillsap 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)40
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 8:26DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
28.4%
43
71.6%
Q2 - 8:32DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 8:33ATLMISS Korver 19' Floating Jump Shot38
26.9%
43
73.1%
Q2 - 8:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
28.4%
43
71.6%
Q2 - 8:41DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 8:48DALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 8:49DALMISS Blair 5' Turnaround Jump Shot38
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 9:06ATLTeague 11' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)38
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 9:19DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 9:19DALBlair Putback Layup (4 PTS)36
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 9:21DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup36
27.9%
41
72.1%
Q2 - 9:37ATLMillsap 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)36
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 9:44ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 9:51DALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Hook Shot34
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 10:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 10:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 10:26ATLTeague 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
26.5%
39
73.5%
Q2 - 10:43DALEllington 17' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)32
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 10:55ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 10:55ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 11:00DALCarter 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mekel 1 AST)30
24.9%
37
75.1%
Q2 - 11:13DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 11:13DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 11:24ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 11:44DALBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)28
25.0%
35
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL28
26.8%
33
73.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMekel Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
28.6%
33
71.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMekel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALMekel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMillsap 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)28
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 1:07DALMekel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q1 - 1:24ATLMartin 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)26
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q1 - 1:26ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q1 - 1:27ATLMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot24
24.3%
31
75.7%
Q1 - 1:38DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)24
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q1 - 1:38DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q1 - 1:55ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
27.5%
29
72.5%
Q1 - 2:07DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 221
24.2%
28
75.8%
Q1 - 2:16ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)21
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 2:39DALCarter 20' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q1 - 2:50DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 2:52DALMISS Carter 17' Fadeaway Jumper18
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q1 - 3:05ATLScott Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 3:22DALCarter 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)18
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 3:29DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 3:38ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 3:39DALMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot18
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 3:55ATLMarion STEAL (1 STL)18
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 4:13DALCarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q1 - 4:23ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 4:23ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q1 - 4:38DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)16
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 4:54ATLBrand 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 5:01ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 5:03DALMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 214
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 5:03DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 214
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 5:18ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)14
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 5:22DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 5:32DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 5:33ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot12
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 5:51ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 5:52DALMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot12
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 6:06ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)12
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 6:17DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)10
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 6:17DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)10
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 6:23DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot10
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 6:39DALDalembert Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)10
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 6:55ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 6:55ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 7:08DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)8
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 7:16DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 7:17ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 7:30ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 7:31DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 7:48ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 7:57DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)8
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 8:13DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Millsap 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 8:25DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)8
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 8:41ATLTeague 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 8:46DALDalembert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
31.6%
9
68.4%
Q1 - 8:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 8:50DALMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot5
31.1%
9
68.9%
Q1 - 9:08DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 9:09ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 25
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 9:09ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 9:12DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 9:26ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)4
28.6%
9
71.4%
Q1 - 9:45DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 9:45DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 9:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 9:55ATLMISS Horford 10' Running Hook Shot2
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 10:15DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 10:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:27ATLMISS Horford 17' Step Back Jump Shot2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:52DALDalembert 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)2
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 11:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 11:01ATLMISS Millsap 2' Turnaround Hook Shot2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:10DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:35ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Horford: Tip to Millsap0
37.9%
0
62.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.15 57.4%
DAL
1.31 65.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
22
73%
DAL
13
19
68%
Midrange
ATL
13
30
43%
DAL
20
34
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
DAL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
ATL
27
35
77%
DAL
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2467%12.0 / 18
P. Millsap2059%10.0 / 17
C. Martin1777%8.5 / 11
D. Carroll1464%7.0 / 11
A. Horford1142%5.5 / 13
K. Korver844%4.0 / 9
E. Brand880%4.0 / 5
D. Schröder550%2.5 / 5
S. Mack2100%1.0 / 1
P. Antic0-0.0 / 1
M. Scott0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3276%16.0 / 21
D. Nowitzki2480%12.0 / 15
V. Carter2162%10.5 / 17
S. Marion1260%6.0 / 10
D. Blair975%4.5 / 6
W. Ellington660%3.0 / 5
J. Calderon531%2.5 / 8
S. Dalembert450%2.0 / 4
J. Crowder3150%1.5 / 1
G. Mekel2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
86
+8
-17
94
DAL
82
+7
-20
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.15 57.4%
DAL
1.31 65.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.7
ATL 105.8
DAL 115.7 +9.9
Pace
95.0
94.1
ATL 103.9 +2.9
DAL 101.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.7
ATL 13.9 +0.4
DAL 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.6%
ATL 53.9%
DAL 64.3% +10.4%
TO %
15.2%
13.9%
ATL 15.7% +2.9%
DAL 18.6%
ORB %
21.0%
24.7%
ATL 12.5%
DAL 20.0% +7.5%
FTrt
26.6
25.3
ATL 46.1 +14.9
DAL 31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
59.6%
ATL 73.0% +2.5%
DAL 70.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.1%
ATL 15.5% +8.6%
DAL 6.9%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
ATL 9.4% +5.6%
DAL 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
55.0%
ATL 57.4%
DAL 65.6% +8.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.9%
ATL 72.7% +4.3%
DAL 68.4%
Mid FG%
41.3%
42.4%
ATL 43.3%
DAL 58.8% +15.5%
3P %
36.3%
38.4%
ATL 33.3%
DAL 45.8% +12.5%
FT %
78.1%
79.5%
ATL 77.1%
DAL 79.2% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
32.8%
ATL 28.9% +4.3%
DAL 24.7%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
39.9%
ATL 39.5% +4.7%
DAL 44.2%
3P Att. %
31.6%
27.4%
ATL 31.6% +0.4%
DAL 31.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDAL
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points109118
Rebounds3342
Assists2731
Steals167
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals37-7644-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2213-19
Midrange FG13-3020-34
2-Point FG29-5233-53
3-Point FG8-2411-24
Free Throws27-3519-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 29
35.8
20
59%
5
3
1
1
2
4
2
3
2-4
50%
9-13
69%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 212 · 33
35.7
8
44%
5
3
2
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
34.5
14
64%
7
1
3
0
2
1
1
6
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
34.3
24
67%
2
9
4
0
6
3
0
2
9-12
75%
6-9
67%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
32.0
11
42%
5
3
5
4
3
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 20
18.5
5
50%
4
5
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 220 · 29
16.8
17
77%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
6-6
100%
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 254 · 35
13.1
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31
7.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 203 · 24
4.3
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
G · 6'4" 194 · 22
#3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · · 6'10" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
57%
33
27
16
5
17
0
5
28
27-35
77%
29-52
56%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.