FinalWin Prob.pScore
1134%98
95
366%104
107
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
97.997105.2
MIA logo MIA
108.19991.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 8 AST)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIBoozer 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIGibson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAJames 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHIDeng 1' Layup (4 PTS)91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:23CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)89
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 1:41CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 1:41CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Rose: Tip to Bosh87
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:08CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 2:18CHIMISS Butler 10' Running Bank Shot87
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 2:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)87
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot87
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 2:46CHIBoozer 1' Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)87
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 2:51CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:52CHIBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 2:57MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 3:20CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:20CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:28MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:46CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:53CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:14CHIDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:14CHIDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)79
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 5:28CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)79
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 5:33CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 176
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 5:37MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:05CHIGibson 1' Dunk (8 PTS)74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:06CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:07CHIMISS Hinrich 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:23MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:41CHIMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIACole 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:17CHIDunleavy 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)72
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 7:21MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)70
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:36CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)70
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:51CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 267
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:55CHICole STEAL (1 STL)67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIAWade 3' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)67
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 8:35CHIButler 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:52MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 9:15CHIDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot61
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 10:08CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 10:28CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 10:50MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)58
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 10:55CHIMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)58
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 11:45CHIMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI58
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound58
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Butler 40' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup58
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIACole Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T14)56
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:03CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 1:21MIACole 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)56
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 1:34CHIAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)56
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 2:02CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:05CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Battier 8' Jump Shot56
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 2:31CHIBoozer 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T13)54
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 3:04CHIRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)54
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 3:22MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 7 AST)51
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 3:34CHIGibson 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)51
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 3:58CHIButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T17)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 4:31CHIButler 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)47
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 4:51CHIBoozer 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)47
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 5:18CHIBoozer 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)45
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)43
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot43
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 5:48MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 5:59CHINoah 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)43
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 6:02CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 6:26CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)41
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 6:43CHIBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 7:08MIAChalmers 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 12' Pullup Jump Shot41
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 7:21CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P3.T15)41
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 7:34CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot41
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 8:00CHIButler 1' Running Dunk (7 PTS)41
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)39
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
1.9%
60
98.1%
Q3 - 8:11CHIMISS Noah 1' Driving Layup39
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 8:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 9:00CHIDeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)39
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q3 - 9:18MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)37
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 9:37CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)37
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 9:54MIAChalmers 9' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)35
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 10:21CHIButler 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)35
2.9%
54
97.1%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 10:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 10:32CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 10:38CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)33
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 10:39CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 10:48CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)33
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot33
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q3 - 11:10CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)33
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q3 - 11:11CHIBulls Rebound33
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q3 - 11:12CHIMISS Rose 40' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 11:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)33
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot33
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIRose Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)33
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)33
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0CHIChalmers STEAL (5 STL)33
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0CHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)33
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIABattier 13' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 1:23CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)33
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 1:23CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)32
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 1:28MIAHEAT Rebound31
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 231
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 1:29CHIChalmers STEAL (4 STL)31
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 1:30MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)31
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 1:43CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)31
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 2:15CHIRose 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)28
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 2:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 2:33CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot26
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)26
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 2:57CHIBoozer 2' Layup (14 PTS)26
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 2:59CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 3:00CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 224
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 3:00CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 224
3.5%
45
96.5%
Q2 - 3:14MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)24
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 3:35CHIBoozer 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)24
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 3:46CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)22
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 222
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 3:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 4:07CHIBoozer 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 4:23MIAJames Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)20
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 4:30CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 4:35CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 4:35CHIMISS Snell 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)20
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
6.7%
36
93.3%
Q2 - 5:02CHIMISS Boozer 6' Hook Shot20
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q2 - 5:04CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)20
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 5:05CHIMISS Rose Layup20
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q2 - 5:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 120
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 5:20CHIMISS Snell 14' Jump Shot20
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 5:37CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup20
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 5:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 5:48CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)20
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 6:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 6:12CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 6:27CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q2 - 6:39CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)20
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWade 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)20
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 7:00CHIAndersen STEAL (2 STL)20
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 7:09CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot20
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 7:21CHIMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot20
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 7:38MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)20
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)20
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q2 - 7:55CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q2 - 8:21MIACole 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q2 - 8:31CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q2 - 8:31CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 219
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q2 - 8:34CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot19
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup19
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q2 - 8:52CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 219
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 8:52CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q2 - 9:08CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
20.4%
24
79.6%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup18
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q2 - 9:25MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Rose: Tip to Wade18
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
20.4%
24
79.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
20.7%
23
79.3%
Q2 - 9:52CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)18
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q2 - 9:56CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q2 - 9:57CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot15
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q2 - 10:20CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot15
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q2 - 10:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q2 - 10:35CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot15
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q2 - 11:00MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)15
17.5%
23
82.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q2 - 11:16CHIMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot15
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)15
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA15
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup15
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P2.T7)15
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot15
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0CHIBulls Rebound15
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0CHIAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)15
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 215
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHIMISS Boozer 2' Driving Layup15
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 1:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 1:19CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot15
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.8%
13
66.2%
Q1 - 1:47CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 1:59CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot15
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHEAT Rebound15
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Allen 8' Running Hook Shot15
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 2:29CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot15
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 2:47MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)15
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 2:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Floating Jump Shot15
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 3:00CHIMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot15
40.4%
10
59.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)15
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
39.2%
10
60.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup15
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 3:44CHIBoozer 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)13
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 4:26CHIBoozer 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)13
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 4:33CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 4:34CHIMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 4:54MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)11
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 5:03CHIMISS Gibson 1' Tip Shot11
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 5:04CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 5:05CHIMISS Boozer 1' Layup11
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 5:39CHIBoozer 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)11
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 6:15CHIMISS Rose 1' Reverse Layup9
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 6:52CHIBoozer Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)9
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 6:59CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot9
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 7:09CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 7:51CHIChalmers STEAL (3 STL)9
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 7:55CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot9
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 8:16CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 8:20CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot7
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 8:31CHIButler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)7
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 8:40CHIBulls Rebound7
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:41CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 8:45CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper7
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 9:10CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 9:10CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:17CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot5
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 9:27CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)5
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 9:42CHIButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)5
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 9:54CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHEAT Rebound2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:22CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:36CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:49CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:09CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:17CHIMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:47CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Noah: Tip to Boozer0
29.5%
0
70.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
24
36
67%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
CHI
4
21
19%
MIA
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
MIA
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
Free Throws
CHI
18
23
78%
MIA
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer3178%15.5 / 20
J. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
D. Rose1235%6.0 / 17
T. Gibson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy1050%5.0 / 10
K. Hinrich650%3.0 / 6
L. Deng425%2.0 / 8
J. Noah220%1.0 / 5
T. Snell0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1757%8.5 / 15
C. Bosh1662%8.0 / 13
S. Battier14117%7.0 / 6
D. Wade1343%6.5 / 15
M. Chalmers1359%6.5 / 11
R. Allen1169%5.5 / 8
N. Cole1179%5.5 / 7
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
79
+15
-18
94
MIA
81
+9
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.2
110.7
CHI 97.9 +10.1
MIA 108.1
Pace
89.6
91.5
CHI 105.2 +13.3
MIA 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
CHI 13.7 +2.0
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
55.4%
CHI 46.4%
MIA 59.0% +12.6%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
CHI 16.9% +2.2%
MIA 19.1%
ORB %
27.2%
20.6%
CHI 23.9% +9.6%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
29.0
30.0
CHI 27.7
MIA 40.3 +12.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
58.8%
CHI 65.7%
MIA 70.3% +4.6%
STL %
8.0%
9.7%
CHI 11.3% +1.2%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.1%
CHI 7.7%
MIA 12.3% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
57.5%
CHI 50.0%
MIA 59.4% +9.4%
Rim FG%
54.2%
66.7%
CHI 66.7% +2.7%
MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.8%
CHI 19.0%
MIA 37.0% +18.0%
3P %
34.8%
36.4%
CHI 26.9%
MIA 55.0% +28.1%
FT %
77.9%
76.0%
CHI 78.3% +2.4%
MIA 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
38.3%
CHI 43.4% +8.7%
MIA 34.7%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
32.5%
CHI 25.3% +12.2%
MIA 37.5%
3P Att. %
22.2%
29.2%
CHI 31.3% +3.5%
MIA 27.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points95107
Rebounds4140
Assists2326
Steals1110
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals35-8337-72
At-the-Rim FG24-3616-25
Midrange FG4-2110-27
2-Point FG28-5726-52
3-Point FG7-2611-20
Free Throws18-2322-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
34.4
12
35%
1
4
0
0
5
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
1-7
14%
F · 6'9" 258 · 32
32.4
31
78%
7
2
1
1
2
4
3
4
5-5
100%
13-18
72%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 24
29.9
20
67%
3
3
5
1
2
4
0
3
6-7
86%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
29.5
4
25%
5
4
2
0
3
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
20.1
2
20%
11
2
2
2
2
2
2
9
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 33
29.5
6
50%
1
3
0
0
2
6
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
29.3
10
56%
8
3
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33
22.9
10
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 221 · 22
6.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 36
5.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 21
G · 6'2" 188 · 38
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
41
23
11
4
18
0
11
30
18-23
78%
28-57
49%
7-26
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.