FinalWin Prob.pScore
2924%91
93
1576%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
105.788102.6
MIA logo MIA
118.08977.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNicholson 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLNicholson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ORLNicholson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10ORLNicholson 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLMISS Nicholson 1' Driving Layup85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Varnado 1 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHarkless 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 14 AST)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ORLMagic Rebound83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28ORLLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLMISS Harris 6' Hook Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIACole 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLMiller STEAL (1 STL)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Lamb 3PT Jump Shot83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35MIAVarnado Foul Turnover (P1.T12)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04ORLMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAHEAT Rebound80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:11MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:12ORLAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:28MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)80
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 6:44ORLBattier BLOCK (4 BLK)80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 7:06MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)80
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 7:25ORLUdrih 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)80
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 7:42MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 278
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 8:05ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)78
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIALewis 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)78
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 8:44ORLHarkless Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)78
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)76
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 276
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 9:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup76
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 9:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 9:13ORLAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)76
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 9:23ORLMagic Rebound76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 9:24ORLMISS Harkless 1' Driving Layup76
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot76
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 10:16ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot76
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 10:44ORLMoore 12' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 10:53ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)74
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)74
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMagic Rebound74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:10ORLBattier BLOCK (3 BLK)74
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 11:17ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:18ORLAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)74
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 11:32ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 11:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 11:42ORLMISS Lamb 17' Jump Shot74
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Lamb 40' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAllen 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)74
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Nicholson 4' Hook Shot74
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 174
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)74
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAAndersen Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)71
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 1:18ORLBattier STEAL (1 STL)71
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:22ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 1:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot71
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 2:03MIAAndersen 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)71
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 2:22ORLNicholson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 2:38MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)71
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q3 - 2:50ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 270
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
16.7%
74
83.3%
Q3 - 3:09ORLNicholson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 13 AST)70
14.2%
74
85.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)68
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q3 - 3:40ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 3:40ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 267
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHoward 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)67
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 4:20ORLHarkless 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)67
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)65
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 4:53ORLHarris 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Udrih 12 AST)65
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q3 - 5:04ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot63
11.9%
69
88.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 263
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 5:33ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)62
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 5:53ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 6:05MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)62
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMoore 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)62
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)60
19.0%
63
81.0%
Q3 - 7:09ORLUdrih 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 7:30ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)58
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
18.5%
61
81.5%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)58
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:54ORLVucevic 8' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Harkless 1 AST)58
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 8:08ORLMISS Moore 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)56
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot56
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 8:31MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 8:32ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)56
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:50MIAHoward 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)56
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 9:01ORLHarris 2' Layup (11 PTS)56
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 9:02ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 9:06ORLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)54
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 9:18ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 254
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)54
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 9:37ORLUdrih 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)54
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 9:50ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 9:50ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 251
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)51
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 10:12ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot51
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 10:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 10:29ORLVucevic 6' Driving Hook Shot (17 PTS)51
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAHoward 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)49
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q3 - 11:08ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Udrih 11 AST)49
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)47
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 11:27ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)47
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)47
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLVucevic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 245
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLLewis STEAL (1 STL)45
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot45
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLUdrih Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)45
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 1:15ORLUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 244
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 1:30MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)44
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 1:45ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 2:00ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 2:13ORLUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 2:16ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup41
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 2:37ORLHarkless 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 2:56MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)39
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 3:06ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)39
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 3:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 139
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 3:43ORLHarris 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 3:44ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 3:45ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot37
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWade 1' Layup (14 PTS)37
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup37
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 4:13MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 4:14ORLMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 237
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 4:14ORLUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMiller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)36
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 4:56ORLUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 5:08ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot33
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 5:32ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)33
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 5:42ORLMagic Rebound31
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 5:43ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot31
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 5:51MIAAllen 11' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)31
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 5:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Battier 10' Hook Shot31
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 6:24ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 9 AST)31
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)29
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Udrih 8 AST)29
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIALewis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)26
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 7:17ORLBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)26
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)26
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
9.0%
35
91.0%
Q2 - 7:56ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 126
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMISS Moore 20' Jump Shot24
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:45MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)24
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 8:54ORLMISS Moore 9' Running Jump Shot24
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q2 - 9:11MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 9:13ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 9:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot24
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 9:55ORLHarkless 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 10:05ORLMagic Rebound22
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:06ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:14ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot22
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 10:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 10:33ORLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)22
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 11:07ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)22
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIALewis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 35' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)20
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
10.4%
29
89.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Lewis 4' Jump Shot20
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLLamb 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q1 - 1:16MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 1:17ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot18
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 1:37MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)18
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q1 - 1:47ORLAllen STEAL (1 STL)18
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 1:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot18
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 2:13ORLJones 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)18
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 2:35ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 3 of 316
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 2:36MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)16
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)16
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound16
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 2:58ORLMISS Harkless 1' Driving Layup16
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMagic Rebound16
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 3:10ORLMISS O'Quinn 6' Jump Shot16
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 3:14ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 3:19ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Howard 2' Driving Reverse Layup16
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 3:34ORLNicholson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (O'Quinn 1 AST)16
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIACole 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 4:03ORLCole STEAL (2 STL)14
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)14
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 4:40ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 214
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 4:40ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHoward 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)13
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 113
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHoward 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 5:43ORLMoore 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)11
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 6:02ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 19
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 6:18MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot9
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 6:24ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 6:27ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)9
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound9
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
17.5%
11
82.5%
Q1 - 7:09ORLMoore 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)9
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)7
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 7:28ORLMISS Harris 13' Jump Shot7
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 8:13ORLUdrih 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 8:19ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Howard 1' Layup5
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:33ORLHarkless Foul Turnover (P2.T3)5
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:49MIAHEAT Rebound5
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot5
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 9:12ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 9:12ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 24
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 9:19ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot4
16.1%
7
83.9%
Q1 - 9:38ORLVucevic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)4
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 9:57MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 10:18ORLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)2
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 10:26ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 10:45ORLCole STEAL (1 STL)2
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)2
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 22
17.3%
3
82.7%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 22
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)2
18.1%
3
81.9%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHarris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)2
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Vucevic: Tip to Moore0
19.1%
0
80.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
27
56%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
ORL
23
36
64%
MIA
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
ORL
11
25
44%
MIA
9
19
47%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2071%10.0 / 14
T. Harris1948%9.5 / 20
B. Udrih1365%6.5 / 10
A. Nicholson1275%6.0 / 8
E. Moore1161%5.5 / 9
M. Harkless1031%5.0 / 16
D. Jones6100%3.0 / 3
D. Lamb217%1.0 / 6
K. O'Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller21105%10.5 / 10
D. Wade2158%10.5 / 18
R. Lewis1662%8.0 / 13
J. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
R. Allen1056%5.0 / 9
N. Cole941%4.5 / 11
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
S. Battier583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+15
-13
90
MIA
78
+11
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
112.1
ORL 105.7
MIA 118.0 +12.3
Pace
91.9
90.9
ORL 102.6 +24.7
MIA 77.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
ORL 14.0 +4.4
MIA 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
55.2%
ORL 53.2%
MIA 61.5% +8.3%
TO %
15.2%
14.5%
ORL 14.6%
MIA 12.2% +2.4%
ORB %
25.4%
22.2%
ORL 22.2% +6.8%
MIA 15.4%
FTrt
19.7
29.7
ORL 32.5 +8.1
MIA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
60.0%
ORL 57.5%
MIA 73.8% +16.3%
STL %
7.0%
9.5%
ORL 5.7%
MIA 7.9% +2.2%
BLK %
7.0%
9.1%
ORL 2.0%
MIA 19.0% +17.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
57.0%
ORL 51.7%
MIA 59.0% +7.3%
Rim FG%
58.5%
65.9%
ORL 55.6%
MIA 72.0% +16.4%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.9%
ORL 63.9% +13.9%
MIA 50.0%
3P %
32.9%
39.6%
ORL 14.3%
MIA 41.4% +27.1%
FT %
75.5%
75.4%
ORL 44.0%
MIA 47.4% +3.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.8%
ORL 35.1% +3.0%
MIA 32.1%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
36.7%
ORL 46.8%
MIA 30.8% +16.0%
3P Att. %
22.3%
28.5%
ORL 18.2%
MIA 37.2% +19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points93105
Rebounds4134
Assists2331
Steals57
Blocks112
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (7)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals40-7742-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2718-25
Midrange FG23-3612-24
2-Point FG38-6330-49
3-Point FG2-1412-29
Free Throws11-259-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
42.6
10
31%
1
1
1
1
4
2
0
1
0-4
0%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 226 · 21
38.2
19
48%
8
2
1
0
0
5
2
6
5-11
45%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
36.6
20
71%
13
0
1
0
2
5
1
12
2-3
67%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
36.0
13
65%
3
14
1
0
4
4
1
2
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 191 · 24
30.4
11
61%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 200 · 21
27.0
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
10.8
12
75%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23
9.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 221 · 23
8.8
6
100%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 31
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
F · 6'10" 220 · 34
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
41
23
5
1
13
0
8
33
11-25
44%
38-63
60%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.