FinalWin Prob.pScore
274%105
96
2726%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.38780.8
CLE logo CLE
111.88592.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)96
95.5%
95
4.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Irving 19' Jump Shot96
93.9%
95
6.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
71.1%
95
28.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 296
74.7%
95
25.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 296
84.4%
95
15.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0CLEIrving Driving Layup (16 PTS)96
90.3%
95
9.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAIrving STEAL (2 STL)96
94.3%
93
5.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0CLEIrving 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)96
96.1%
93
3.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWaiters BLOCK (2 BLK)96
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 1:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)96
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot96
97.1%
91
2.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
97.4%
91
2.6%
Q4 - 1:40CLEMISS Irving 8' Jump Bank Shot96
96.8%
91
3.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
95.1%
91
4.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
94.6%
91
5.4%
Q4 - 2:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
92.8%
91
7.2%
Q4 - 2:16CLEMISS Irving 17' Pullup Jump Shot94
91.4%
91
8.6%
Q4 - 2:35CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
87.2%
91
12.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
89.3%
91
10.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
91.6%
91
8.4%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 294
87.3%
91
12.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
90.2%
91
9.8%
Q4 - 3:18CLEThompson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Irving 8 AST)93
87.8%
91
12.2%
Q4 - 3:24CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
91.0%
89
9.0%
Q4 - 3:28MIAThompson BLOCK (2 BLK)93
92.3%
89
7.7%
Q4 - 3:43CLEIrving 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)93
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 3:53MIAAnthony 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 9 AST)93
94.6%
87
5.4%
Q4 - 4:11CLEIrving 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Livingston 7 AST)91
92.7%
87
7.3%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
96.4%
84
3.6%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
96.2%
84
3.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
95.0%
84
5.0%
Q4 - 4:43CLEMISS Thompson 9' Jump Shot89
94.3%
84
5.7%
Q4 - 5:02CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
90.9%
84
9.1%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
91.8%
84
8.2%
Q4 - 5:21CLEJones 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)89
93.6%
84
6.4%
Q4 - 5:46MIAJones 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)89
95.2%
82
4.8%
Q4 - 6:04CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
92.6%
82
7.4%
Q4 - 6:04CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
93.2%
81
6.8%
Q4 - 6:04MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)87
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q4 - 6:22CLEMISS Thompson 13' Jump Bank Shot87
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q4 - 6:29CLECAVALIERS Rebound87
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 6:29CLEMISS Waiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup87
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q4 - 6:48MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)87
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 7:09CLELivingston 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
95.3%
80
4.7%
Q4 - 7:21CLECAVALIERS Rebound87
96.4%
78
3.6%
Q4 - 7:21CLEMISS Waiters 3' Layup87
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 7:33CLECAVALIERS Rebound87
96.4%
78
3.6%
Q4 - 7:33MIAWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)87
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q4 - 7:47MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup87
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q4 - 8:15CLEZeller 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)87
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q4 - 8:17CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)87
97.4%
76
2.6%
Q4 - 8:19CLEMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 8:41CLECasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 8:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 8:57CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 287
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 8:57CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)87
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 8:57CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 8:58CLEMISS Zeller 17' Jump Shot87
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)87
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)86
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 9:14MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)85
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
96.2%
75
3.8%
Q4 - 9:28CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 284
96.1%
75
3.9%
Q4 - 9:28CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 284
95.5%
75
4.5%
Q4 - 9:33CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 184
95.4%
75
4.6%
Q4 - 9:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 9:53CLEMISS Jones 1' Layup82
93.6%
75
6.4%
Q4 - 10:02CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
91.9%
75
8.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot82
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q4 - 10:26CLEZeller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)82
93.5%
75
6.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)82
94.7%
73
5.3%
Q4 - 11:01MIAVarnado REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
95.2%
73
4.8%
Q4 - 11:05CLEMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot82
94.9%
73
5.1%
Q4 - 11:14MIACasspi STEAL (1 STL)82
94.2%
73
5.8%
Q4 - 11:27CLESpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
95.2%
73
4.8%
Q4 - 11:27CLESpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 11:40MIAAndersen Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)82
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0CLEWaiters Layup (16 PTS)80
94.8%
71
5.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)80
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
93.8%
69
6.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0CLEMISS Speights 16' Jump Shot77
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)77
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q3 - 1:12CLEWaiters Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Irving 7 AST)74
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q3 - 1:17MIAIrving STEAL (1 STL)74
90.6%
67
9.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
92.1%
67
7.9%
Q3 - 1:28CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q3 - 1:47MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)74
90.6%
67
9.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 2:00CLEMISS Waiters 15' Step Back Jump Shot72
88.2%
67
11.8%
Q3 - 2:08CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)72
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot72
87.0%
67
13.0%
Q3 - 2:35CLESpeights 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)72
88.4%
67
11.6%
Q3 - 2:49CLECAVALIERS Rebound72
90.2%
65
9.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
91.7%
65
8.3%
Q3 - 2:57CLEMISS Irving 15' Step Back Jump Shot72
91.3%
65
8.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)72
90.0%
65
10.0%
Q3 - 3:36CLEIrving 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)69
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 3:40CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
88.3%
63
11.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Cole 11' Running Jump Shot69
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 4:01MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
89.9%
63
10.1%
Q3 - 4:02CLEMISS Irving Free Throw 1 of 169
89.7%
63
10.3%
Q3 - 4:14MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
91.1%
61
8.9%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 268
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 4:40CLEThompson 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Irving 6 AST)68
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 5:01MIAAnthony 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)68
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q3 - 5:17CLEMISS Speights 2' Layup66
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMiller 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)66
89.4%
59
10.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
87.9%
59
12.1%
Q3 - 5:46CLEMISS Thompson 5' Running Jump Shot64
87.3%
59
12.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIALewis Layup (12 PTS)64
85.8%
59
14.2%
Q3 - 5:59MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
83.9%
59
16.1%
Q3 - 6:01MIAThompson BLOCK (1 BLK)62
82.2%
59
17.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 6:20CLEMISS Irving 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
83.2%
59
16.8%
Q3 - 6:27MIAGee STEAL (3 STL)62
81.3%
59
18.7%
Q3 - 6:49CLEGee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Irving 5 AST)62
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIAHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)62
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
89.0%
56
11.0%
Q3 - 7:13CLEMISS Speights 19' Jump Shot62
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 7:25CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Howard 12' Step Back Jump Shot62
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 7:43CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)62
89.0%
56
11.0%
Q3 - 7:44CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)62
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 7:45CLEMISS Thompson 7' Jump Shot62
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 8:07CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot62
87.7%
56
12.3%
Q3 - 8:21CLESpeights Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)62
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T10)62
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 8:42CLEMISS Ellington 10' Jump Shot62
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 8:45CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 8:46CLEMISS Thompson 2' Layup62
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)62
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 9:26CLEGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
83.5%
56
16.5%
Q3 - 9:26CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q3 - 9:39MIAHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)59
85.3%
54
14.7%
Q3 - 10:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 10:03CLEMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
83.3%
54
16.7%
Q3 - 10:07CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)57
81.8%
54
18.2%
Q3 - 10:08CLEMISS Irving 20' Jump Shot57
83.3%
54
16.7%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
81.7%
54
18.3%
Q3 - 10:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
77.2%
54
22.8%
Q3 - 10:30CLEMISS Gee 13' Jump Shot54
76.4%
54
23.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIACole 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
74.4%
54
25.6%
Q3 - 11:01MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q3 - 11:03CLEMISS Ellington 8' Running Jump Shot52
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)52
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 11:43CLEThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
63.9%
54
36.1%
Q3 - 11:43CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
64.9%
53
35.1%
Q3 - 11:43CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)49
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q3 - 11:44CLEMISS Irving 12' Jump Shot49
69.0%
52
31.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 11' Turnaround Jump Shot49
67.8%
52
32.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
70.0%
52
30.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0CLEEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)49
70.0%
52
30.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
75.9%
49
24.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 149
76.2%
49
23.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
72.7%
49
27.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot47
71.4%
49
28.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0CLELivingston 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Irving 4 AST)47
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q2 - 1:12MIAHoward 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)47
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q2 - 1:38CLEGee 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Irving 3 AST)45
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 1:55MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
75.5%
45
24.5%
Q2 - 2:06CLEIrving Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)43
73.6%
45
26.4%
Q2 - 2:21CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)43
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot43
71.9%
45
28.1%
Q2 - 2:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
73.6%
45
26.4%
Q2 - 2:31CLEMISS Livingston 2' Layup43
72.8%
45
27.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIALewis 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)43
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 2:59CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)41
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 2:59CLEThompson 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)41
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 3:02CLEMISS Gee 13' Running Jump Shot41
73.7%
43
26.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJones 11' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)41
71.7%
43
28.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q2 - 3:31CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q2 - 3:39CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
66.6%
43
33.4%
Q2 - 3:42CLEMISS Irving 5' Running Jump Shot39
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q2 - 3:59MIALewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)39
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 3:59MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)38
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 337
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 4:11CLEThompson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
65.0%
43
35.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
62.1%
43
37.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
56.7%
43
43.3%
Q2 - 4:50CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 234
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q2 - 4:50CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 234
54.7%
43
45.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAAllen 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)34
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot32
50.1%
43
49.9%
Q2 - 5:29CLEThompson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
54.8%
41
45.2%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 231
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q2 - 6:07CLEWaiters Driving Layup (12 PTS)31
55.9%
41
44.1%
Q2 - 6:17CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
58.1%
39
41.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot31
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 6:38CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 6:38CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 231
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 6:52MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 230
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
61.2%
38
38.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot30
59.0%
38
41.0%
Q2 - 7:17CLEWaiters 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
62.2%
38
37.8%
Q2 - 7:28CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
64.3%
36
35.7%
Q2 - 7:30CLEMISS Waiters 9' Jump Shot30
66.2%
36
33.8%
Q2 - 7:40CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.3%
36
35.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Bank Shot30
65.1%
36
34.9%
Q2 - 8:00CLEWaiters 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
67.0%
36
33.0%
Q2 - 8:17MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)30
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 8:33CLEJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)27
65.1%
34
34.9%
Q2 - 8:51MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)27
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 9:13CLESpeights 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)24
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 9:23CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
65.7%
30
34.3%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
66.5%
30
33.5%
Q2 - 9:39CLEWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
68.1%
30
31.9%
Q2 - 9:51MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)24
72.1%
27
27.9%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound21
68.1%
27
31.9%
Q2 - 10:00CLEMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot21
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAVarnado Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)21
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q2 - 10:31CLEJones 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)21
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 10:50CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Cole 6' Floating Jump Shot21
70.8%
25
29.2%
Q2 - 11:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q2 - 11:04CLEMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot21
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 11:25MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)21
70.1%
25
29.9%
Q2 - 11:44CLEWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)18
65.9%
25
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE18
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)18
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0CLEIrving 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)15
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAWaiters STEAL (1 STL)15
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0CLEMISS Thompson 6' Running Jump Shot15
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)15
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q1 - 1:02CLEMISS Speights 3' Jump Shot15
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q1 - 1:19MIACole 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)15
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 1:28CLEIrving Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 1:32CLEIrving Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
64.9%
20
35.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIACole 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
64.3%
19
35.7%
Q1 - 1:57CLEMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot11
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 2:12CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
63.7%
19
36.3%
Q1 - 2:23CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
65.0%
19
35.0%
Q1 - 2:23CLEThompson 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)11
65.0%
19
35.0%
Q1 - 2:27CLEMISS Speights 1' Reverse Layup11
68.5%
17
31.5%
Q1 - 2:41MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)11
67.2%
17
32.8%
Q1 - 3:10CLEZeller 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)9
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q1 - 3:28CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
67.6%
15
32.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
69.7%
15
30.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot9
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 3:51MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
69.7%
15
30.3%
Q1 - 3:53CLEMISS Irving 9' Jump Bank Shot9
69.0%
15
31.0%
Q1 - 4:14MIACole 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 4:36CLEThompson 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Irving 2 AST)7
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 4:47CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 5:19CLEGee 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMiller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)7
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 5:53CLEGee Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Irving 1 AST)7
73.9%
11
26.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAGee STEAL (2 STL)7
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 6:14CLEIrving Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)7
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
72.6%
9
27.4%
Q1 - 6:31CLEMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
72.0%
9
28.0%
Q1 - 6:37CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.8%
9
29.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAIrving BLOCK (1 BLK)4
71.3%
9
28.7%
Q1 - 6:46MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
72.6%
9
27.4%
Q1 - 6:47CLEMISS Zeller 13' Jump Shot4
72.0%
9
28.0%
Q1 - 6:57CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.8%
9
29.2%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
71.3%
9
28.7%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
73.3%
9
26.7%
Q1 - 7:11CLEMISS Zeller 17' Jump Shot4
72.7%
9
27.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
71.4%
9
28.6%
Q1 - 7:53CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
73.2%
9
26.8%
Q1 - 7:53CLEZeller 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
73.2%
9
26.8%
Q1 - 7:55CLEMISS Thompson 8' Jump Shot4
75.7%
7
24.3%
Q1 - 7:59CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 8:02CLEMISS Gee 8' Running Jump Shot4
76.3%
7
23.7%
Q1 - 8:20CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
75.3%
7
24.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 24
75.5%
7
24.5%
Q1 - 8:22MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
76.3%
7
23.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
75.4%
7
24.6%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot3
74.3%
7
25.7%
Q1 - 8:42CLEGee 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)3
75.3%
7
24.7%
Q1 - 9:01MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)3
77.1%
5
22.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
78.5%
5
21.5%
Q1 - 9:27CLEMISS Gee 13' Step Back Jump Shot3
78.1%
5
21.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)3
77.1%
5
22.9%
Q1 - 10:08CLEThompson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
75.0%
5
25.0%
Q1 - 10:30MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
77.5%
3
22.5%
Q1 - 10:35CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
77.1%
3
22.9%
Q1 - 10:42MIAGee STEAL (1 STL)0
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 11:05CLEEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
77.7%
3
22.3%
Q1 - 11:28CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
80.0%
0
20.0%
Q1 - 11:29CLEMISS Zeller 10' Jump Shot0
80.7%
0
19.3%
Q1 - 11:40CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.0%
0
20.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot0
80.3%
0
19.7%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Zeller vs. Anthony: Tip to Howard0
81.0%
0
19.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
CLE
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
16
75%
CLE
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIA
8
22
36%
CLE
16
45
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
28
46%
70%
CLE
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
17
27
63%
CLE
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis1956%9.5 / 17
N. Cole1657%8.0 / 14
J. Jones1470%7.0 / 10
J. Anthony1192%5.5 / 6
M. Miller1179%5.5 / 7
R. Allen1146%5.5 / 12
J. Howard750%3.5 / 7
C. Andersen788%3.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Thompson1650%8.0 / 16
K. Irving1642%8.0 / 19
D. Waiters1657%8.0 / 14
A. Gee1365%6.5 / 10
K. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
T. Zeller850%4.0 / 8
W. Ellington650%3.0 / 6
M. Speights638%3.0 / 8
S. Livingston467%2.0 / 3
O. Casspi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+11
-17
81
CLE
80
+15
-5
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
CLE
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.5
MIA 110.3
CLE 111.8 +1.4
Pace
90.9
92.2
MIA 80.8
CLE 92.0 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 17.8
CLE 15.6 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.3%
MIA 59.8% +11.5%
CLE 48.3%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
MIA 18.8%
CLE 6.0% +12.8%
ORB %
22.2%
28.2%
MIA 28.6% +1.5%
CLE 27.1%
FTrt
29.7
26.5
MIA 40.9 +18.8
CLE 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
56.6%
MIA 75.8% +24.5%
CLE 51.3%
STL %
9.5%
8.5%
MIA 2.3%
CLE 9.4% +7.1%
BLK %
9.1%
6.8%
MIA 11.0%
CLE 13.2% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.8%
MIA 59.3% +9.8%
CLE 49.5%
Rim FG%
65.9%
53.8%
MIA 75.0% +10.7%
CLE 64.3%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.1%
MIA 36.4% +0.8%
CLE 35.6%
3P %
39.6%
34.6%
MIA 46.4% +7.9%
CLE 38.5%
FT %
75.4%
75.6%
MIA 63.0%
CLE 63.2% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
36.1%
MIA 24.2%
CLE 32.6% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
41.0%
MIA 33.3% +19.0%
CLE 52.3%
3P Att. %
28.5%
22.9%
MIA 42.4% +27.3%
CLE 15.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points9695
Rebounds4538
Assists2520
Steals28
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)25 (2)
Field Goals33-6639-86
At-the-Rim FG12-1618-28
Midrange FG8-2216-45
2-Point FG20-3834-73
3-Point FG13-285-13
Free Throws17-2712-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
42.6
16
57%
11
9
1
1
4
2
1
10
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
32.4
19
56%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
6-9
67%
2-6
33%
3-7
43%
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
31.4
11
92%
9
0
0
2
2
3
4
5
1-3
33%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
25.7
11
79%
8
3
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 250 · 40
19.3
7
50%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
28.7
11
46%
1
6
0
0
4
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
28.5
14
70%
4
3
0
2
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
16.6
7
88%
3
2
0
2
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
14.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
F · 6'11" 235 · 29
#31 · F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
59%
45
25
2
8
17
0
10
35
17-27
63%
20-38
53%
13-28
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.