FinalWin Prob.pScore
1728%92
93
472%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
94.99890.2
MIA logo MIA
108.297106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI93
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03CHIMISS Boozer 7' Hook Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13CHIBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)93
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)93
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 1:34CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 293
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 1:34CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 1:36CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 1:37CHIBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)92
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 1:40CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)92
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot92
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:00CHIDeng 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIABosh 4' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 2:41CHIDeng 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)90
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 3:14CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot88
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:31CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot88
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 3:49CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 3:49CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 287
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 3:53CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)87
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS James 5' Driving Jump Shot87
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 4:02CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot87
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 4:25CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)87
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 4:42CHIMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot87
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 4:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHEAT Rebound87
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 4:53CHIMISS Boozer 1' Running Layup87
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)87
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 5:09CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 5:09CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 5:25CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper85
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:49CHICook Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)85
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 6:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)85
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 285
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 6:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 6:21CHIBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)85
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 6:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)85
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 6:58CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 7:11MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)82
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 7:17CHIMISS Belinelli 1' Driving Layup82
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 7:38MIALewis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)82
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 7:53CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)82
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 7:53CHIBoozer 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)82
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 7:54CHIMISS Robinson 7' Floating Jump Shot80
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T13)80
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 8:36CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 280
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 8:36CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 8:38CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)79
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:39CHIMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 8:47CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot79
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 9:00CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 9:00CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 9:19CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 9:25CHIMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot77
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 9:37MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 277
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 9:47CHIAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 10:04MIAAndersen 1' Layup (14 PTS)77
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 10:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup77
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 10:26MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 10:27CHIMISS Robinson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup77
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 10:48CHIBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 10:49CHIMISS Robinson 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 11:05CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 11:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 11:17CHIMISS Mohammed 9' Fadeaway Jumper77
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 11:29CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot77
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot77
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 11:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot77
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI77
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)77
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0CHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot75
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHIBoozer Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T12)75
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 275
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 1:10CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 1:26CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)75
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot75
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 1:36CHIMISS Robinson 3' Reverse Layup75
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 1:49CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup75
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 2:08CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 2:08CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 274
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 2:09CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 2:10CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q3 - 2:24MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)74
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 2:29CHIMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot74
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q3 - 2:47CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q3 - 3:06CHICook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)74
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q3 - 3:29MIAChalmers 3' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q3 - 3:42CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)71
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 3:51CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup71
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 3:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 3:59CHIMISS Boozer 1' Driving Layup71
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 4:13CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup71
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 4:31CHIMISS Boozer 4' Hook Shot71
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical71
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 4:41CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot71
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 5:04CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)71
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS) (James 2 AST)68
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 5:46CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P2.T10)68
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)68
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q3 - 6:09CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIABosh Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)68
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q3 - 6:39CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 6:39CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 267
16.2%
72
83.8%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
17.5%
71
82.5%
Q3 - 6:59CHIBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)67
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)64
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 7:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 7:26CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Fadeaway Jumper64
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 7:38CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 7:39CHIMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup64
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
24.1%
65
75.9%
Q3 - 8:18CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 164
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 8:19CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 8:20CHIMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 8:36CHIMISS Belinelli Free Throw Technical61
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 1 AST)61
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q3 - 9:02CHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)61
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)61
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 9:34CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)61
29.6%
60
70.4%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade Dunk (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)58
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q3 - 10:20CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)58
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q3 - 10:28CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup54
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 10:34CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)54
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 10:53CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup54
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 11:08CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)54
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)54
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 11:47CHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)54
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 52' 3PT Jump Shot54
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIRobinson 13' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)54
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)52
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHIRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)49
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0CHICook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)49
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 1:17CHIBoozer 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q2 - 1:18CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 1:20CHIMISS Robinson 1' Layup44
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 1:42CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)44
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 2:36CHIBoozer 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)44
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 2:36CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 2:37CHIMISS Robinson 1' Driving Layup42
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 2:44MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T11)42
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 2:57CHIRobinson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)40
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 3:34CHIRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)40
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T10)37
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 4:01CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 4:01CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 4:10CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 4:34CHIDeng 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)33
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 4:56CHICook 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)33
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAJames Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)31
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 5:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 5:26CHIMISS Robinson 10' Floating Jump Shot31
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q2 - 5:52CHIMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 6:12CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 6:22CHIMISS Robinson 2' Driving Layup31
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 6:36CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot31
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 7:00CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot31
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 7:37CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 7:37CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 7:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 229
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 7:59CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)29
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 8:42CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:42CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 8:59CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 9:14CHICook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 9:49CHICook 1' Layup (2 PTS)24
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)22
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q2 - 10:10CHIMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 10:47CHIThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 11:02MIAAllen 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)22
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 11:13CHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot22
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (6 PTS)22
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 11:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup22
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:40MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 11:41CHIMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot22
13.0%
30
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI22
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound22
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Belinelli 67' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.0%
30
87.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMiller 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 222
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0CHIDeng 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)22
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)20
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHIMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot20
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0CHIButler 2' Layup (2 PTS)20
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 1:02CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 1:03CHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)18
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 1:11CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 1:12CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot18
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 1:29CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 218
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 1:30MIAHEAT Rebound18
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 1:38CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot18
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)18
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 2:16CHIRobinson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 2:26CHIBulls Rebound16
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Lewis 3' Jump Shot16
14.9%
23
85.1%
Q1 - 2:51CHIDeng 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)16
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 2:57CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot14
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 3:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 3:08CHIMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 3:26CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot14
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 3:45CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 4:10CHIBelinelli Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)11
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 4:20CHIMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHEAT Rebound9
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 4:43CHIMISS Belinelli 9' Running Bank Shot9
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 5:14CHIMiller STEAL (2 STL)9
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 5:31CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 29
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 29
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 5:42CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T3)9
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 5:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 29
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 6:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 6:06CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 6:23CHIBulls Rebound9
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 6:24CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIABosh Driving Dunk (4 PTS)9
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 7:01CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot9
14.8%
16
85.2%
Q1 - 7:25MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 7:34CHIMiller STEAL (1 STL)9
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)9
18.9%
13
81.1%
Q1 - 8:08CHIBoozer 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)9
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 8:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.6%
10
81.4%
Q1 - 8:30CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 8:53MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)7
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 9:00CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 9:00CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 9:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot5
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 9:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 9:23CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 9:40MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 9:51CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 9:58CHIBulls Rebound5
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 9:59CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:08MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 10:15CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:31CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 25
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:34CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)5
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:52MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)5
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 11:03CHIDeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)5
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:27CHIBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:27CHIBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Butler: Tip to James0
22.1%
0
77.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
10
25
40%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
CHI
8
31
26%
MIA
8
21
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
CHI
24
31
77%
MIA
27
41
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1953%9.5 / 18
C. Boozer1647%8.0 / 17
K. Hinrich1447%7.0 / 15
N. Robinson1441%7.0 / 17
J. Butler1359%6.5 / 11
D. Cook1083%5.0 / 6
M. Belinelli735%3.5 / 10
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2471%12.0 / 17
D. Wade2261%11.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1554%7.5 / 14
C. Andersen1583%7.5 / 9
C. Bosh1275%6.0 / 8
M. Miller1192%5.5 / 6
R. Lewis220%1.0 / 5
R. Allen217%1.0 / 6
N. Cole225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
84
+14
-14
98
MIA
82
+6
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
112.1
CHI 94.9 +13.3
MIA 108.2
Pace
88.9
90.9
CHI 90.2
MIA 106.4 +16.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.0
CHI 16.0
MIA 13.5 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
55.2%
CHI 42.1%
MIA 55.7% +13.6%
TO %
15.3%
14.5%
CHI 12.8% +1.8%
MIA 14.6%
ORB %
29.4%
22.2%
CHI 21.6% +11.1%
MIA 10.5%
FTrt
25.9
29.7
CHI 37.8
MIA 58.6 +20.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
60.0%
CHI 55.2%
MIA 63.9% +8.7%
STL %
8.0%
9.5%
CHI 7.1%
MIA 7.2% +0.1%
BLK %
7.9%
9.1%
CHI 1.9%
MIA 14.3% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
57.0%
CHI 47.4%
MIA 59.0% +11.6%
Rim FG%
56.6%
65.9%
CHI 40.0%
MIA 68.8% +28.8%
Mid FG%
36.3%
41.9%
CHI 25.8%
MIA 38.1% +12.3%
3P %
35.3%
39.6%
CHI 42.3% +7.0%
MIA 35.3%
FT %
77.3%
75.4%
CHI 77.4% +11.5%
MIA 65.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
34.8%
CHI 30.5%
MIA 45.7% +15.2%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
36.7%
CHI 37.8%
MIA 30.0% +7.8%
3P Att. %
18.9%
28.5%
CHI 31.7% +7.4%
MIA 24.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points93105
Rebounds4544
Assists1623
Steals77
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)40 (2)
Field Goals29-8236-70
At-the-Rim FG10-2522-32
Midrange FG8-318-21
2-Point FG18-5630-53
3-Point FG11-266-17
Free Throws24-3127-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 258 · 31
38.5
16
47%
20
3
2
0
4
3
6
14
6-7
86%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 28
35.2
19
53%
2
3
1
0
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'7" 230 · 24
35.0
13
59%
5
1
1
0
0
5
1
4
8-9
89%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 32
32.1
14
47%
4
3
1
0
2
4
2
2
5-9
56%
0-7
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'5" 210 · 27
29.6
7
35%
1
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
G · 5'9" 180 · 29
32.6
14
41%
4
2
0
0
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-12
25%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
27.4
10
83%
5
1
0
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 36
6.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
2.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
G · 6'7" 193 · 35
F · 6'10" 235 · 32
G · 6'2" 189 · 20
# 1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
45
16
7
1
14
0
11
34
24-31
77%
18-56
32%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.