FinalWin Prob.pScore
1829%91
101
571%99
109
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.49497.4
MIA logo MIA
116.09490.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Rebound99
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSLee 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0BOSWilcox 1' Layup (2 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01BOSAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36BOSMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)95
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:08BOSLee 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)95
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11BOSCeltics Rebound92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12BOSMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 9 AST)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55BOSLee 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)92
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:18BOSTerry Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)90
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)90
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 3:46BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:47BOSMISS Bass 10' Jump Bank Shot87
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 4:06MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 8 AST)87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 4:35BOSLee 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 4:44BOSLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot85
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 5:05BOSLee 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)85
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 5:21BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot83
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 5:41BOSTerry 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:11BOSAndersen STEAL (3 STL)81
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:18BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot81
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:38BOSMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:58BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 281
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 281
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 7:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 7:03BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot81
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 7:11BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup81
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 7:32BOSWilliams 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)81
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 7:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:50BOSMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot79
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 8:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 8:28BOSTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:28BOSTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 8:29BOSAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 8:37BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:43BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)79
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 9:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Andersen 2' Finger Roll Layup79
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 9:33BOSLee 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)79
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 9:50BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot77
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 10:03BOSGreen 1' Driving Dunk (25 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)77
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Allen 30' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 10:44BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 10:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 11:03BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)75
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 11:15MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 11:23BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 11:43BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 175
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS75
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)75
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0BOSGreen 20' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)73
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 1:15BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 1:15BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 1:17MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 1:20BOSAndersen STEAL (2 STL)71
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIALewis 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)71
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 1:59BOSBradley Tip Shot (7 PTS)71
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 2:00BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 2:01BOSMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot69
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 2:13MIAAllen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 2:26BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 2:49BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot69
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q3 - 3:09BOSBass 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Green 2 AST)69
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q3 - 3:25BOSCeltics Rebound67
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 3:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 3:32BOSMISS Crawford 12' Pullup Jump Shot67
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 3:40BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot67
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 3:50BOSGreen 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)67
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 4:20BOSMISS Terry 14' Pullup Jump Shot65
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 4:48MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)65
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 4:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 5:00BOSMISS Bradley 7' Floating Jump Shot65
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)65
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 5:39BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)65
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 5:48BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 6:13BOSMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 6:20BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 6:21BOSMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 6:32BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot62
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 6:49BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 6:49BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 7:06MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)60
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 7:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 7:14BOSMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 7:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 7:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 7:37BOSMISS Lee 13' Jump Shot60
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 7:56MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)60
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 8:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 8:16BOSMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot60
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 260
16.0%
65
84.0%
Q3 - 8:46BOSCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Green 1 AST)60
15.3%
65
84.7%
Q3 - 9:02BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot57
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 9:14BOSCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)57
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)54
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 9:24BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot54
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)54
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 10:00BOSCrawford 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 10:06BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot52
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 10:32BOSBass Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)52
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 10:46BOSCeltics Rebound50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 10:47BOSMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)50
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 11:20BOSMISS Crawford 1' Finger Roll Layup50
8.8%
60
91.2%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 11:47BOSMISS Bass 1' Driving Layup50
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS50
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0BOSCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0BOSCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
14.2%
56
85.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)48
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0BOSCrawford 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)46
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 1:01BOSMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 1:20BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot46
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 1:44BOSBass Layup (10 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)46
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJames Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)44
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 2:10BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)44
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 2:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 2:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 2:48BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 3:01MIALewis 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)42
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 3:23BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)42
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAJames Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)40
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 3:50BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)40
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 4:25BOSMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot40
24.4%
41
75.6%
Q2 - 4:55MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)40
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 5:22BOSBass Dunk (8 PTS)40
30.4%
38
69.6%
Q2 - 5:44MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 5:51BOSMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIABosh 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)38
32.7%
36
67.3%
Q2 - 6:26BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 6:26BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)36
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 6:49BOSAndersen STEAL (1 STL)36
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 6:55MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 7:05BOSCrawford 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIAHEAT Rebound34
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot34
27.0%
34
73.0%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 7:36BOSMISS Green 11' Turnaround Jump Shot34
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 8:00MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 8:12BOSMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot34
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 8:31MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)34
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q2 - 8:43BOSMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q2 - 9:08BOSMISS Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot34
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 9:23MIAAllen 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 9:37BOSBass Putback Dunk (4 PTS)34
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q2 - 9:38BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q2 - 9:39BOSMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q2 - 9:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q2 - 10:05BOSBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)32
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q2 - 10:17MIAAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q2 - 10:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup32
51.5%
21
48.5%
Q2 - 10:42BOSWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)32
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q2 - 11:05MIACole 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
46.8%
21
53.2%
Q2 - 11:15BOSRandolph Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q2 - 11:28MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q2 - 11:44BOSLee 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS27
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound27
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Crawford 9' Running Jump Shot27
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0BOSGreen Driving Dunk (8 PTS)27
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIALewis 2' Layup (4 PTS)25
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Running Layup25
47.7%
15
52.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0BOSAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIALewis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)25
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 1:11BOSTerry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)25
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 1:18BOSRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 1:19BOSAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
46.3%
13
53.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIAAllen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)23
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 1:57BOSGreen Driving Dunk (6 PTS)23
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 2:18BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)21
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 221
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 2:19MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 2:27BOSTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIALewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 2:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 2:46BOSMISS Crawford 1' Driving Layup21
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 221
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 3:12BOSCrawford 9' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 3:25BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 3:53BOSBradley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)19
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 4:04BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
37.2%
11
62.8%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 4:18BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 4:26BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 4:45BOSTerry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 4:59BOSCeltics Rebound15
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 5:13BOSMiller STEAL (1 STL)15
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 5:31MIABosh Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 5:40BOSCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJames Putback Dunk (8 PTS)15
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Hook Shot15
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 6:21BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 6:21BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJames Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)13
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 6:59BOSCrawford 2' Layup (4 PTS)13
37.4%
5
62.6%
Q1 - 7:01BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 7:02BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)11
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 7:04MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 7:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 7:21BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 7:42BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot11
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 7:55BOSBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)11
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 8:11BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 28
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 8:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 8:25BOSLee 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAJames Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 8:56BOSMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot6
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:34BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 9:40BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup4
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 9:58BOSCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 9:58BOSCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 10:09BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot2
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 10:24BOSGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 10:30BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:05BOSMISS Lee 2' Layup0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:07BOSLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 11:09BOSMISS Bradley 2' Layup0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:17BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:23BOSMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:39BOSCeltics Rebound0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Green: Tip to Chalmers0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
26
35
74%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
BOS
9
27
33%
MIA
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
MIA
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
BOS
13
13
100%
MIA
19
28
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2566%12.5 / 19
J. Crawford2059%10.0 / 17
C. Lee1856%9.0 / 16
B. Bass1777%8.5 / 11
A. Bradley739%3.5 / 9
J. Terry633%3.0 / 9
T. Williams638%3.0 / 8
C. Wilcox2100%1.0 / 1
S. Randolph0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2083%10.0 / 12
R. Lewis1979%9.5 / 12
C. Bosh1765%8.5 / 13
R. Allen17106%8.5 / 8
N. Cole1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wade1137%5.5 / 15
M. Chalmers990%4.5 / 5
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
M. Miller0-0.0 / 6
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+12
-13
93
MIA
80
+8
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
112.1
BOS 107.4
MIA 116.0 +8.5
Pace
92.1
90.9
BOS 97.4 +6.5
MIA 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
BOS 14.8 +1.1
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
55.2%
BOS 51.8%
MIA 63.4% +11.6%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
BOS 12.5% +4.4%
MIA 16.9%
ORB %
20.2%
22.2%
BOS 22.0% +5.3%
MIA 16.7%
FTrt
26.3
29.7
BOS 15.3
MIA 39.4 +24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
60.0%
BOS 36.6%
MIA 71.8% +35.2%
STL %
8.8%
9.5%
BOS 9.6% +3.2%
MIA 6.4%
BLK %
7.3%
9.1%
BOS 2.1%
MIA 8.1% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
57.0%
BOS 53.7%
MIA 61.9% +8.2%
Rim FG%
57.1%
65.9%
BOS 74.3% +5.3%
MIA 69.0%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.9%
BOS 33.3%
MIA 36.8% +3.5%
3P %
35.8%
39.6%
BOS 26.1%
MIA 52.2% +26.1%
FT %
77.7%
75.4%
BOS 100.0% +32.1%
MIA 67.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
34.8%
BOS 41.2% +0.3%
MIA 40.8%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
36.7%
BOS 31.8%
MIA 26.8% +5.0%
3P Att. %
21.5%
28.5%
BOS 27.1%
MIA 32.4% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points101109
Rebounds3437
Assists1528
Steals96
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)32 (0)
Field Goals41-8539-71
At-the-Rim FG26-3520-29
Midrange FG9-277-19
2-Point FG35-6227-48
3-Point FG6-2312-23
Free Throws13-1319-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
36.4
25
66%
8
2
0
0
0
1
0
8
4-4
100%
9-11
82%
1-6
17%
C · 6'4" 195 · 24
35.6
20
59%
4
2
2
0
4
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 180 · 22
34.4
7
39%
1
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
34.3
17
77%
9
1
0
0
2
3
3
6
5-5
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 28
32.5
18
56%
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 36
27.8
6
33%
1
3
2
0
4
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
17.1
6
38%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 31
11.4
2
100%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 236 · 29
9.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 35
F · 6'11" 240 · 37
#13 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 7 · C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 9 · G · 6'1" 186 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
34
15
9
1
13
0
9
25
13-13
100%
35-62
56%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.