FinalWin Prob.pScore
2242%98
104
1958%101
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.0104100.2
ATL logo ATL
106.9102106.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL104
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)104
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Korver Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILEllis 1' Running Layup (27 PTS)104
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)102
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 2102
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)102
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)99
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot99
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILEllis 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)99
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLTeague 5' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 1:04MILKorver STEAL (2 STL)97
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 1:11MILBucks Rebound97
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 1:12ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 1:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)97
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 1:36MILMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot97
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 1:41ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)97
5.4%
103
94.6%
Q4 - 1:41ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)97
8.6%
102
91.4%
Q4 - 1:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
13.4%
100
86.6%
Q4 - 1:48MILMISS Henson 14' Fadeaway Jumper97
15.7%
100
84.3%
Q4 - 2:00MILBucks Rebound97
21.0%
100
79.0%
Q4 - 2:01ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot97
19.7%
100
80.3%
Q4 - 2:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)97
13.7%
100
86.3%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Slam Dunk97
19.9%
100
80.1%
Q4 - 2:33MILMbah a Moute 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 17 AST)97
13.7%
100
86.3%
Q4 - 2:51ATLSmith 5' Driving Hook Shot (24 PTS)94
7.7%
100
92.3%
Q4 - 3:04MILRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
10.4%
98
89.6%
Q4 - 3:04MILRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
10.0%
98
90.0%
Q4 - 3:12MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 3:14MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 3:29ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)92
7.6%
98
92.4%
Q4 - 3:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 3:48MILJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)92
15.2%
96
84.8%
Q4 - 4:06ATLHorford Driving Dunk (16 PTS)92
19.0%
96
81.0%
Q4 - 4:23MILSmith STEAL (4 STL)92
24.7%
94
75.3%
Q4 - 4:42ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Teague 10 AST)92
33.5%
94
66.5%
Q4 - 4:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
41.6%
92
58.4%
Q4 - 4:47MILMISS Dunleavy 2' Driving Layup92
44.8%
92
55.2%
Q4 - 4:54MILBucks Rebound92
52.3%
92
47.7%
Q4 - 4:56MILKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)92
44.8%
92
55.2%
Q4 - 5:17ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)92
50.9%
92
49.1%
Q4 - 5:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
58.6%
90
41.4%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Ellis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot92
61.3%
90
38.7%
Q4 - 5:45MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
67.2%
90
32.8%
Q4 - 5:47ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot92
64.7%
90
35.3%
Q4 - 6:14ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
56.8%
90
43.2%
Q4 - 6:18MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
59.3%
90
40.7%
Q4 - 6:24MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
64.8%
90
35.2%
Q4 - 6:26ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
62.4%
90
37.6%
Q4 - 6:43ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
56.9%
90
43.1%
Q4 - 6:46MILMISS Udoh 1' Putback Layup92
59.4%
90
40.6%
Q4 - 6:47MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)92
64.8%
90
35.2%
Q4 - 6:49MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
59.4%
90
40.6%
Q4 - 6:55MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
64.8%
90
35.2%
Q4 - 6:57ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup92
62.5%
90
37.5%
Q4 - 7:04MILJohnson STEAL (3 STL)92
55.8%
90
44.2%
Q4 - 7:06MILBucks Rebound92
63.0%
90
37.0%
Q4 - 7:07MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
58.1%
90
41.9%
Q4 - 7:35ATLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)92
63.1%
90
36.9%
Q4 - 8:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
74.5%
87
25.5%
Q4 - 8:01MILMISS Udoh 11' Jump Shot92
74.1%
87
25.9%
Q4 - 8:24ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)92
77.5%
87
22.5%
Q4 - 8:43MILSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 16 AST)92
81.7%
85
18.3%
Q4 - 9:04ATLJohnson Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)89
70.8%
85
29.2%
Q4 - 9:23MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
75.7%
83
24.3%
Q4 - 9:23MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 288
74.8%
83
25.2%
Q4 - 9:37ATLJohnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)88
75.6%
83
24.4%
Q4 - 9:43ATLHAWKS Rebound88
79.9%
81
20.1%
Q4 - 9:43ATLMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot88
82.4%
81
17.6%
Q4 - 9:57MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
79.9%
81
20.1%
Q4 - 9:57MILUdoh 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)88
79.9%
81
20.1%
Q4 - 9:59MILMISS Smith 2' Running Layup86
72.6%
81
27.4%
Q4 - 10:05MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
73.9%
81
26.1%
Q4 - 10:06ATLMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup86
72.6%
81
27.4%
Q4 - 10:19MILSmith 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
69.4%
81
30.6%
Q4 - 10:42ATLStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)84
64.5%
81
35.5%
Q4 - 11:07MILDunleavy Running Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Ellis 15 AST)84
72.5%
78
27.5%
Q4 - 11:18ATLHarris Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)82
68.1%
78
31.9%
Q4 - 11:18ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)82
69.0%
77
31.0%
Q4 - 11:18ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)82
70.1%
76
29.9%
Q4 - 11:38ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
76.7%
75
23.3%
Q4 - 11:40MILMISS Ellis 20' Fadeaway Jumper82
77.8%
75
22.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL82
80.3%
75
19.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
80.3%
75
19.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
77.8%
75
22.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
75.4%
75
24.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)82
76.5%
75
23.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
78.9%
75
21.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 182
78.4%
75
21.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILEllis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)82
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q3 - 1:01ATLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)80
77.6%
73
22.4%
Q3 - 1:08MILSmith STEAL (3 STL)80
83.7%
70
16.3%
Q3 - 1:10MILBucks Rebound80
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
84.5%
70
15.5%
Q3 - 1:23MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q3 - 1:25ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup80
85.5%
70
14.5%
Q3 - 1:44MILEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)80
83.8%
70
16.2%
Q3 - 1:57ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)77
77.7%
70
22.3%
Q3 - 2:21MILDunleavy 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Ellis 14 AST)77
72.4%
70
27.6%
Q3 - 2:27MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
68.6%
70
31.4%
Q3 - 2:28ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot75
67.3%
70
32.7%
Q3 - 2:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)75
64.4%
70
35.6%
Q3 - 2:40MILMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot75
65.7%
70
34.3%
Q3 - 2:52ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)75
68.7%
70
31.3%
Q3 - 3:09MILUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
71.1%
68
28.9%
Q3 - 3:09MILUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
70.3%
68
29.7%
Q3 - 3:23ATLHorford 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)73
67.5%
68
32.5%
Q3 - 3:33MILMbah a Moute 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)73
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q3 - 3:57ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)71
67.5%
66
32.5%
Q3 - 4:04MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)71
69.9%
64
30.1%
Q3 - 4:22ATLHorford 11' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)71
74.1%
64
25.9%
Q3 - 4:45MILEllis Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)71
76.8%
62
23.2%
Q3 - 4:45MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)70
76.2%
62
23.8%
Q3 - 4:45MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)69
75.5%
62
24.5%
Q3 - 4:57ATLTeague 1' Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)68
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 5:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
72.3%
60
27.7%
Q3 - 5:02MILMISS Udoh 3' Layup68
73.5%
60
26.5%
Q3 - 5:07MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
76.0%
60
24.0%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Fadeaway Jumper68
73.5%
60
26.5%
Q3 - 5:35ATLSmith 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)68
76.1%
60
23.9%
Q3 - 5:48ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
78.6%
58
21.4%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMISS Teague 3' Jump Shot68
80.7%
58
19.3%
Q3 - 5:55MILEllis 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)68
78.6%
58
21.4%
Q3 - 6:02MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
74.9%
58
25.1%
Q3 - 6:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)66
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 6:03ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot66
73.8%
58
26.2%
Q3 - 6:05ATLMISS Horford 1' Tip Shot66
73.8%
58
26.2%
Q3 - 6:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)66
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 6:09ATLMISS Harris 1' Layup66
73.8%
58
26.2%
Q3 - 6:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)66
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Harris 2' Layup66
73.9%
58
26.1%
Q3 - 6:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 6:22MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup66
72.5%
58
27.5%
Q3 - 6:39ATLSmith 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)66
75.0%
58
25.0%
Q3 - 6:59MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Ellis 13 AST)66
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 7:08MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
70.4%
56
29.6%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 7:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
66.9%
56
33.1%
Q3 - 7:17MILMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot63
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 7:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
70.5%
56
29.5%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 163
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q3 - 7:45MILDaniels 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)63
73.4%
54
26.6%
Q3 - 8:07MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 8:09ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
68.7%
54
31.3%
Q3 - 8:16MILKorver STEAL (1 STL)61
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 8:17MILHenson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 8:19MILMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
67.3%
54
32.7%
Q3 - 8:33ATLTeague 1' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)61
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 8:44MILRedick 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Ellis 12 AST)61
72.6%
52
27.4%
Q3 - 9:08ATLHarris 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)59
68.8%
52
31.2%
Q3 - 9:22MILDaniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)59
71.7%
50
28.3%
Q3 - 9:24MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
74.7%
50
25.3%
Q3 - 9:26MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot59
72.7%
50
27.3%
Q3 - 9:38ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
74.8%
50
25.2%
Q3 - 9:38ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
75.3%
49
24.7%
Q3 - 9:42ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q3 - 9:43MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
78.1%
48
21.9%
Q3 - 10:06ATLHarris 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)59
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 10:12MILTeague STEAL (1 STL)59
83.1%
45
16.9%
Q3 - 10:31ATLHarris 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)59
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q3 - 10:35MILSmith STEAL (2 STL)59
86.8%
43
13.2%
Q3 - 10:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)59
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q3 - 10:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
91.8%
40
8.2%
Q3 - 11:02MILHenson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 11:02MILHenson 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)59
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 11:03MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
88.9%
40
11.1%
Q3 - 11:03MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot57
87.9%
40
12.1%
Q3 - 11:05MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
87.9%
40
12.1%
Q3 - 11:14MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
88.9%
40
11.1%
Q3 - 11:16ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
88.5%
40
11.5%
Q3 - 11:35MILRedick 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)57
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q3 - 11:49ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)54
84.2%
40
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL54
82.2%
40
17.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
82.2%
40
17.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ellis 7' Driving Jump Shot54
81.7%
40
18.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
82.8%
40
17.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
82.3%
40
17.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)54
81.4%
40
18.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILBucks Rebound54
82.8%
40
17.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)54
81.8%
40
18.2%
Q2 - 1:10ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)54
82.0%
40
18.0%
Q2 - 1:14MILHarris STEAL (3 STL)54
80.7%
40
19.3%
Q2 - 1:26MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
82.0%
40
18.0%
Q2 - 1:29MILMISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot54
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q2 - 1:35ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)54
82.0%
40
18.0%
Q2 - 1:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
80.7%
40
19.3%
Q2 - 1:45MILMISS Henson 21' Jump Shot54
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q2 - 2:00ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
82.0%
40
18.0%
Q2 - 2:00ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
82.3%
39
17.7%
Q2 - 2:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
83.0%
38
17.0%
Q2 - 2:10MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
83.6%
38
16.4%
Q2 - 2:17ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)54
84.8%
38
15.2%
Q2 - 2:35MILSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)54
83.1%
38
16.9%
Q2 - 2:52ATLSmith 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)51
79.4%
38
20.6%
Q2 - 3:12MILMbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)51
80.3%
36
19.7%
Q2 - 3:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
78.7%
36
21.3%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
77.9%
36
22.1%
Q2 - 3:44MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)49
76.2%
36
23.8%
Q2 - 3:56ATLHorford 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 4:21MILIlyasova 1' Putback Layup (19 PTS)46
73.0%
34
27.0%
Q2 - 4:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
70.8%
34
29.2%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Ellis 5' Driving Jump Shot44
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 4:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
70.9%
34
29.1%
Q2 - 4:36ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
70.1%
34
29.9%
Q2 - 4:54MILHenson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)44
68.2%
34
31.8%
Q2 - 5:04MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
65.1%
34
34.9%
Q2 - 5:05ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot42
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 5:17MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 5:34MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 140
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 5:58MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)40
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 6:07MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
56.8%
32
43.2%
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot37
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q2 - 6:25MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)37
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q2 - 6:36ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
48.5%
32
51.5%
Q2 - 6:36ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 6:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 6:41MILMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot34
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 6:46MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 6:49ATLMISS Teague 4' Driving Jump Shot34
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q2 - 7:03MILHenson 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)34
50.4%
30
49.6%
Q2 - 7:09ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)32
48.1%
30
51.9%
Q2 - 7:14MILHorford STEAL (1 STL)32
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 7:25ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)32
48.1%
30
51.9%
Q2 - 7:52ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 232
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 232
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 8:10MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMISS Jenkins Free Throw 1 of 132
47.3%
30
52.7%
Q2 - 8:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
50.1%
28
49.9%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Mbah a Moute 5' Driving Jump Shot32
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q2 - 8:43ATLTeague 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 8:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
55.3%
26
44.7%
Q2 - 8:49MILMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot32
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 8:56MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q2 - 8:57MILMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot32
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 9:02ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)32
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 9:07MILJohnson STEAL (2 STL)32
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 9:23ATLJones Foul Turnover (P2.T9)32
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 9:43MILRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)32
54.6%
26
45.4%
Q2 - 9:46ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)32
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 9:48ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
54.6%
26
45.4%
Q2 - 9:51MILMISS Redick 11' Fadeaway Jumper32
55.4%
26
44.6%
Q2 - 9:56MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.3%
26
42.7%
Q2 - 9:57ATLMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot32
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q2 - 10:15MILUdoh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q2 - 10:32MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
52.1%
26
47.9%
Q2 - 10:33ATLMISS Horford 5' Driving Jump Shot30
51.3%
26
48.7%
Q2 - 10:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 10:49MILMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup30
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 11:05ATLHorford 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)30
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 11:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 11:18ATLMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup30
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 11:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 11:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Driving Layup30
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q2 - 11:40ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)30
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL30
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 230
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
56.3%
23
43.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup27
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)27
49.2%
23
50.8%
Q1 - 1:04ATLSmith 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 1:10MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)24
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 1:14MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 1:17ATLMISS Jenkins 10' Driving Jump Shot24
47.8%
21
52.2%
Q1 - 1:24MILHarris STEAL (2 STL)24
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 1:29ATLHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)24
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 1:44ATLHAWKS Rebound24
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 1:44MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 1:56ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)24
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 2:17MILUdoh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)24
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 2:31MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 2:31ATLMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot22
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 2:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 2:43MILMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot22
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 2:57ATLTeague 11' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 3:14MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)22
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 3:35ATLJenkins 21' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)19
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 4:07MILDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)19
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 4:17MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 4:18ATLMISS Jenkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 4:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:31MILMISS Ilyasova 22' Jump Shot16
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 4:36ATLStevenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 4:38ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:40MILMISS Udoh 13' Fadeaway Jumper16
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 5:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 216
44.0%
14
56.0%
Q1 - 5:12ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 5:13MILMISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 216
43.5%
14
56.5%
Q1 - 5:13MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 216
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 5:20MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 5:22ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 5:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup16
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 5:36MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 5:38ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot16
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 5:55MILRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 6:06MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot16
44.2%
14
55.8%
Q1 - 6:18MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 6:18MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 6:22ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 6:37MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)14
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 6:50ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 7:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 7:04MILMISS Ilyasova 20' Jump Shot11
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 7:21ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 7:30MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)11
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 7:42MILBucks Rebound8
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 7:42ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot8
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 8:01MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)8
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 8:05MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 8:08MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 8:08MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot5
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Henson 1' Layup5
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 8:13ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 8:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:16MILMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 8:27MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 8:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:36MILMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 9:00ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)5
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 9:06ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 9:08MILMISS Daniels 10' Driving Jump Shot5
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 9:24MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 9:27ATLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 9:31ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 9:33MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)5
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 9:37ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 9:45ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 9:46MILMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot5
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 9:52MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 9:53ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot5
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 10:03MILIlyasova 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)5
32.5%
9
67.5%
Q1 - 10:20ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)3
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 10:24MILHarris STEAL (1 STL)3
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 10:43ATLSmith 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS)3
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 10:47MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)3
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 10:59ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)3
37.5%
5
62.5%
Q1 - 11:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Harris 5' Driving Jump Shot3
39.9%
3
60.1%
Q1 - 11:25MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)3
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 11:42ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)0
35.7%
3
64.3%
Q1 - 11:46ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:47MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Henson: Tip to Redick0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
ATL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
13
30
43%
ATL
27
42
64%
Midrange
MIL
8
29
28%
ATL
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
17
25.5
33
52%
77%
ATL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIL
11
16
69%
ATL
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2754%13.5 / 25
E. Ilyasova2583%12.5 / 15
J. Redick1042%5.0 / 12
I. Smith1071%5.0 / 7
J. Henson840%4.0 / 10
E. Udoh840%4.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute750%3.5 / 7
M. Dunleavy744%3.5 / 8
M. Daniels220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2471%12.0 / 17
J. Smith2467%12.0 / 18
D. Harris1943%9.5 / 22
A. Horford1850%9.0 / 18
I. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
K. Korver867%4.0 / 6
J. Jenkins450%2.0 / 4
D. Stevenson3150%1.5 / 1
D. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+17
-18
103
ATL
85
+9
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
ATL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
104.6
MIL 100.0
ATL 106.9 +6.9
Pace
94.8
92.9
MIL 100.2
ATL 106.0 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.4
MIL 14.4
ATL 13.6 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
51.7%
MIL 50.5%
ATL 54.1% +3.6%
TO %
14.3%
15.2%
MIL 16.1%
ATL 15.0% +1.1%
ORB %
28.0%
22.2%
MIL 25.5% +6.9%
ATL 18.6%
FTrt
23.6
24.4
MIL 17.4
ATL 29.4 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.1%
MIL 71.1% +10.6%
ATL 60.5%
STL %
8.8%
8.7%
MIL 13.5%
ATL 13.7% +0.2%
BLK %
10.1%
7.1%
MIL 6.2%
ATL 8.5% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
53.2%
MIL 50.5%
ATL 57.4% +6.9%
Rim FG%
54.6%
62.5%
MIL 43.3%
ATL 64.3% +21.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.3%
MIL 27.6%
ATL 43.5% +15.9%
3P %
36.0%
37.1%
MIL 51.5% +21.5%
ATL 30.0%
FT %
73.6%
71.5%
MIL 68.8% +0.8%
ATL 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
34.9%
MIL 32.6%
ATL 49.4% +16.8%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
36.5%
MIL 31.5%
ATL 27.1% +4.5%
3P Att. %
23.2%
28.6%
MIL 35.9% +12.3%
ATL 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions104102
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points104109
Rebounds4846
Assists2726
Steals1414
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)38 (1)
Field Goals38-9243-85
At-the-Rim FG13-3027-42
Midrange FG8-2910-23
2-Point FG21-5937-65
3-Point FG17-336-20
Free Throws11-1617-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
44.2
27
54%
8
17
5
0
4
4
0
8
4-5
80%
4-14
29%
5-9
56%
G · 6'4" 200 · 29
30.0
10
42%
0
2
0
0
4
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
27.9
25
83%
7
1
1
0
0
3
1
6
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
6-8
75%
C · 6'11" 229 · 22
25.8
8
40%
8
1
3
2
3
1
5
3
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 32
16.6
2
20%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
24.8
7
50%
6
0
2
0
0
2
0
6
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33
24.6
7
44%
4
3
0
0
5
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26
24.2
8
40%
9
0
1
2
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
21.8
10
71%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
· 6'10" 250 · 28
C · 6'11" 255 · 33
F · 6'10" 250 · 32
C · 7'1" 245 · 34
# 8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 3 · G · 6'1" 170 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
48
27
14
4
18
0
13
35
11-16
69%
21-59
36%
17-33
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.