| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 BKN | 123.2 | 95 | 96.7 |
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Scoring Opportunities
BKN
81
+15
-14
96
IND
79
+14
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
BKN
1.22 60.9%
IND
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | BKN | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | BKN | 117 100% | 109 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 117 99.9% | 109 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | IND | MISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 117 99.9% | 109 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | BKN | Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 117 99.9% | 109 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | BKN | Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 116 99.9% | 109 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | BKN | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 115 99.9% | 109 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | IND | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 115 99.8% | 109 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | BKN | Lopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 115 98.9% | 109 1.1% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | BKN | MISS Lopez Free Throw 1 of 2 | 114 98.7% | 109 1.3% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | IND | Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST) | 114 98.7% | 109 1.3% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS) | 114 99.7% | 106 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | BKN | MISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 113 99.7% | 106 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | IND | West 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST) | 113 99.5% | 106 0.5% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS) | 113 99.6% | 104 0.4% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS) | 112 99.6% | 104 0.4% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 111 99.1% | 104 0.9% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 111 99.0% | 104 1.0% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 111 98.6% | 104 1.4% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | BKN | Blatche 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 111 97.3% | 104 2.7% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 109 95.5% | 104 4.5% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 5' Jump Shot | 109 92.9% | 104 7.1% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 109 93.9% | 104 6.1% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | IND | MISS Hibbert 3' Layup | 109 92.6% | 104 7.4% |
| Q4 - 1:50 | BKN | Lopez Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14) | 109 85.6% | 104 14.4% |
| Q4 - 2:06 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 109 91.7% | 104 8.3% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | IND | MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 109 90.2% | 104 9.8% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | BKN | Lopez 2' Layup (23 PTS) (D. Williams 14 AST) | 109 85.8% | 104 14.2% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | IND | Stephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16) | 107 81.3% | 104 18.7% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | BKN | Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 13 AST) | 107 66.7% | 104 33.3% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | IND | George 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hill 10 AST) | 104 48.3% | 104 51.7% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 104 67.1% | 101 32.9% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | BKN | Hibbert BLOCK (2 BLK) | 104 70.9% | 101 29.1% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | IND | George Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15) | 104 71.1% | 101 28.9% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | BKN | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST) | 104 62.2% | 101 37.8% |
| Q4 - 4:07 | BKN | D. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 101 44.6% | 101 55.4% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | IND | MISS Hill 13' Jump Shot | 101 41.4% | 101 58.6% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | BKN | Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 101 34.4% | 101 65.6% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | BKN | Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 100 33.2% | 101 66.8% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | BKN | Nets Rebound | 99 27.0% | 101 73.0% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | IND | MISS Stephenson 5' Jump Shot | 99 24.5% | 101 75.5% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | BKN | West STEAL (3 STL) | 99 19.4% | 101 80.6% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | IND | Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 99 27.0% | 101 73.0% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 99 42.2% | 98 57.8% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot | 99 44.9% | 98 55.1% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | BKN | Nets Rebound | 99 51.3% | 98 48.7% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | BKN | George BLOCK (3 BLK) | 99 44.9% | 98 55.1% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | IND | West 13' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 99 51.4% | 98 48.6% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 99 59.1% | 96 40.9% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | BKN | MISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot | 99 61.8% | 96 38.2% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | IND | Hibbert 3' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (West 2 AST) | 99 63.8% | 96 36.2% |
| Q4 - 6:32 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 99 69.9% | 94 30.1% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | BKN | MISS Johnson 1' Layup | 99 72.0% | 94 28.0% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 99 76.4% | 94 23.6% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | BKN | MISS Watson 1' Layup | 99 72.0% | 94 28.0% |
| Q4 - 6:41 | IND | Augustin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14) | 99 76.4% | 94 23.6% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | BKN | Watson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 99 66.7% | 94 33.3% |
| Q4 - 7:15 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 97 60.9% | 94 39.1% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | IND | MISS George 2' Layup | 97 58.7% | 94 41.3% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | BKN | Lopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 97 53.6% | 94 46.4% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | BKN | MISS Lopez Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 52.2% | 94 47.8% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 96 54.3% | 94 45.7% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 1' Layup | 96 52.0% | 94 48.0% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | BKN | Lopez Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 96 46.7% | 94 53.3% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 96 52.2% | 94 47.8% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 96 64.7% | 91 35.3% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | BKN | MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot | 96 66.4% | 91 33.6% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | IND | George 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS) | 96 70.4% | 91 29.6% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 96 72.9% | 89 27.1% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | BKN | MISS Blatche 6' Jump Shot | 96 74.3% | 89 25.7% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 96 77.2% | 89 22.8% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | BKN | West BLOCK (1 BLK) | 96 74.3% | 89 25.7% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 96 77.3% | 89 22.7% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 96 78.1% | 88 21.9% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | BKN | Blatche 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST) | 96 81.4% | 87 18.6% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | BKN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 94 77.4% | 87 22.6% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | BKN | MISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 71.9% | 87 28.1% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 94 75.1% | 87 24.9% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 72.0% | 87 28.0% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | IND | George Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 94 75.2% | 87 24.8% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | BKN | Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST) | 94 70.8% | 87 29.2% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | IND | George 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 92 64.0% | 87 36.0% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 92 68.9% | 85 31.1% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | IND | MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 72.0% | 85 28.0% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 92 68.9% | 85 31.1% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 70.3% | 85 29.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BKN | 92 73.4% | 85 26.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BKN | Nets Rebound | 92 73.4% | 85 26.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BKN | MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 70.4% | 85 29.6% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | IND | West Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 92 71.4% | 85 28.6% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | BKN | George STEAL (1 STL) | 92 67.3% | 85 32.7% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 92 71.4% | 85 28.6% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 92 72.3% | 84 27.7% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 92 75.6% | 83 24.4% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 2' Layup | 92 78.0% | 83 22.0% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 92 75.6% | 83 24.4% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | IND | MISS Hill 19' Jump Shot | 92 78.0% | 83 22.0% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | BKN | Johnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 92 75.7% | 83 24.3% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | BKN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 89 67.2% | 83 32.8% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot | 89 65.8% | 83 34.2% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | BKN | Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST) | 89 60.9% | 83 39.1% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | IND | Stephenson 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 87 56.2% | 83 43.8% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | BKN | Humphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 87 61.0% | 81 39.0% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | BKN | Humphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 86 59.9% | 81 40.1% |
| Q3 - 2:10 | IND | George 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 9 AST) | 85 54.3% | 81 45.7% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | IND | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 85 63.2% | 78 36.8% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | IND | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 66.2% | 78 33.8% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 85 63.3% | 78 36.7% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | BKN | Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK) | 85 64.6% | 78 35.4% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | IND | George Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 85 67.6% | 78 32.4% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 85 68.3% | 77 31.7% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | BKN | West STEAL (2 STL) | 85 71.5% | 76 28.5% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 85 73.1% | 76 26.9% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 85 73.9% | 75 26.1% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 85 76.4% | 74 23.6% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | BKN | MISS Lopez 8' Jump Shot | 85 77.4% | 74 22.6% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | IND | Hibbert 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 85 79.6% | 74 20.4% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | BKN | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 85 82.3% | 72 17.7% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | BKN | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 84 81.9% | 72 18.1% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | IND | West 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hill 8 AST) | 83 78.5% | 72 21.5% |
| Q3 - 4:33 | BKN | Lopez Layup (20 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST) | 83 80.9% | 70 19.1% |
| Q3 - 4:52 | IND | Hill 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST) | 81 78.6% | 70 21.4% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | BKN | West STEAL (1 STL) | 81 80.9% | 68 19.1% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | BKN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 81 82.3% | 68 17.7% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 81.9% | 68 18.1% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | IND | Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 81 80.5% | 68 19.5% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 81 82.0% | 67 18.0% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | BKN | MISS Lopez 1' Layup | 81 82.8% | 67 17.2% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 81 84.6% | 67 15.4% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 9' Jump Shot | 81 82.8% | 67 17.2% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | IND | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 81 84.7% | 67 15.3% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | IND | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 81 85.0% | 66 15.0% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | IND | Hill Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 81 86.4% | 65 13.6% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 81 88.3% | 64 11.7% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | BKN | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 88.9% | 64 11.1% |
| Q3 - 5:51 | IND | Stephenson Traveling Turnover (P2.T11) | 81 90.1% | 64 9.9% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | BKN | Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST) | 81 86.8% | 64 13.2% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | BKN | D. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 78 83.1% | 64 16.9% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | BKN | MISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 81.2% | 64 18.8% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | IND | Stephenson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Hill 7 AST) | 78 83.2% | 64 16.8% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | BKN | Stephenson STEAL (2 STL) | 78 85.0% | 62 15.0% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | IND | Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST) | 78 87.2% | 62 12.8% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | BKN | Lopez 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST) | 78 90.2% | 59 9.8% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | IND | Hill 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST) | 76 87.5% | 59 12.5% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 76 89.0% | 57 11.0% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | BKN | George BLOCK (2 BLK) | 76 89.4% | 57 10.6% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | IND | George Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 76 90.5% | 57 9.5% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 76 90.7% | 56 9.3% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 76 91.7% | 55 8.3% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | BKN | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 92.1% | 55 7.9% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 76 92.2% | 55 7.8% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | IND | MISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 91.8% | 55 8.2% |
| Q3 - 8:12 | BKN | Lopez Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 76 90.9% | 55 9.1% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | IND | Hill Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 76 92.2% | 55 7.8% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | IND | West 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (George 3 AST) | 76 93.2% | 54 6.8% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 94.1% | 52 5.9% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 76 94.7% | 52 5.3% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 94.1% | 52 5.9% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | BKN | MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 94.3% | 52 5.7% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | IND | West Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10) | 76 94.3% | 52 5.7% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 76 93.4% | 52 6.6% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | IND | MISS Hill 3' Layup | 76 94.0% | 52 6.0% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | BKN | Johnson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) | 76 93.4% | 52 6.6% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 74 92.5% | 52 7.5% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | IND | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 92.2% | 52 7.8% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS) | 74 90.4% | 52 9.6% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 70 86.1% | 52 13.9% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | BKN | MISS Lopez 22' Jump Shot | 70 84.8% | 52 15.2% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 70 86.1% | 52 13.9% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | IND | MISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 85.5% | 52 14.5% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 84.2% | 52 15.8% |
| Q3 - 10:54 | BKN | MISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 | 70 84.5% | 52 15.5% |
| Q3 - 10:54 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 70 85.8% | 52 14.2% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | BKN | Nets Rebound | 69 84.4% | 52 15.6% |
| Q3 - 11:00 | BKN | MISS Lopez 8' Jump Shot | 69 82.9% | 52 17.1% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 69 82.8% | 52 17.2% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | IND | MISS George 15' Jump Shot | 69 82.2% | 52 17.8% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | BKN | Stephenson STEAL (1 STL) | 69 80.7% | 52 19.3% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | IND | Stephenson Layup (5 PTS) | 69 82.9% | 52 17.1% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 69 84.7% | 50 15.3% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 86.2% | 50 13.8% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 85.3% | 50 14.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 69 84.7% | 50 15.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | BKN | D. Williams 7' Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 69 83.4% | 50 16.6% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 67 81.0% | 50 19.0% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 67 81.4% | 49 18.6% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 83.5% | 48 16.5% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | BKN | Stephenson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 67 83.9% | 48 16.1% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 84.8% | 48 15.2% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 83.9% | 48 16.1% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | IND | West 3' Layup (14 PTS) (George 2 AST) | 67 84.8% | 48 15.2% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | BKN | D. Williams 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 67 86.0% | 46 14.0% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 64 82.0% | 46 18.0% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 64 81.6% | 46 18.4% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | BKN | D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST) | 64 80.7% | 46 19.3% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | IND | West 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 6 AST) | 61 75.6% | 46 24.4% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | BKN | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST) | 61 78.7% | 44 21.3% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 58 72.1% | 44 27.9% |
| Q2 - 2:15 | IND | MISS George 18' Jump Shot | 58 71.3% | 44 28.7% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | BKN | Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 58 69.6% | 44 30.4% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | BKN | MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 68.5% | 44 31.5% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | IND | Hibbert 1' Layup (12 PTS) | 57 69.6% | 44 30.4% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 57 72.2% | 42 27.8% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | IND | MISS Hibbert 2' Layup | 57 73.9% | 42 26.1% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 57 72.2% | 42 27.8% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | IND | MISS Hibbert 2' Layup | 57 73.9% | 42 26.1% |
| Q2 - 3:05 | BKN | D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 57 70.5% | 42 29.5% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | IND | Hibbert 1' Dunk (10 PTS) | 54 65.8% | 42 34.2% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 54 68.0% | 40 32.0% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | IND | MISS George 1' Layup | 54 70.1% | 40 29.9% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | BKN | D. Williams 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 54 68.0% | 40 32.0% |
| Q2 - 3:41 | BKN | Lopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 52 65.8% | 40 34.2% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | IND | MISS Hill 9' Jump Shot | 52 64.9% | 40 35.1% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | BKN | Lopez 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST) | 52 62.6% | 40 37.4% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | BKN | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 58.6% | 40 41.4% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | IND | MISS Hill 20' Jump Shot | 50 57.7% | 40 42.3% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | BKN | D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 50 55.6% | 40 44.4% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 47 50.1% | 40 49.9% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | IND | MISS West 10' Jump Shot | 47 49.1% | 40 50.9% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | BKN | D. Williams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) | 47 46.4% | 40 53.6% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | IND | West Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 45 43.6% | 40 56.4% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 40.8% | 40 59.2% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 2' Layup | 45 41.7% | 40 58.3% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 45 43.6% | 40 56.4% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | IND | MISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 42.7% | 40 57.3% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 40.8% | 40 59.2% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | BKN | MISS Blatche 9' Jump Shot | 45 41.7% | 40 58.3% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | IND | West 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 45 43.2% | 40 56.8% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 45 45.4% | 38 54.6% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 44 45.0% | 38 55.0% |
| Q2 - 6:49 | IND | Hansbrough Traveling Turnover (P3.T8) | 43 43.2% | 38 56.8% |
| Q2 - 7:09 | BKN | Watson Layup (8 PTS) | 43 39.4% | 38 60.6% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | IND | Hansbrough Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 41 37.2% | 38 62.8% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | BKN | Young STEAL (1 STL) | 41 34.5% | 38 65.5% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | IND | Hansbrough 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 41 37.3% | 38 62.7% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 38.9% | 36 61.1% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 39.7% | 36 60.3% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | BKN | Nets Rebound | 41 41.6% | 36 58.4% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | IND | MISS Stephenson 1' Layup | 41 40.8% | 36 59.2% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 39.0% | 36 61.0% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot | 41 39.8% | 36 60.2% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | IND | Hansbrough 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 41 41.6% | 36 58.4% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | IND | Augustin Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 41 44.0% | 34 56.0% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 46.6% | 33 53.4% |
| Q2 - 9:01 | BKN | MISS Humphries 4' Jump Shot | 41 46.3% | 33 53.7% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | BKN | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 41 48.1% | 33 51.9% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 46.3% | 33 53.7% |
| Q2 - 9:13 | IND | George 3' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) | 41 48.2% | 33 51.8% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | BKN | Humphries 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST) | 41 50.5% | 31 49.5% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | IND | Young 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST) | 39 48.3% | 31 51.7% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | BKN | Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST) | 39 50.0% | 29 50.0% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | IND | Hansbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 36 45.5% | 29 54.5% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 42.7% | 29 57.3% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | BKN | MISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot | 36 43.5% | 29 56.5% |
| Q2 - 10:55 | BKN | Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 45.5% | 29 54.5% |
| Q2 - 10:56 | IND | MISS George 21' Jump Shot | 36 44.6% | 29 55.4% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | BKN | Blatche 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 36 42.5% | 29 57.5% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | IND | Mahinmi 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 34 40.2% | 29 59.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | 34 42.5% | 27 57.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 34 42.5% | 27 57.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | MISS George 35' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 44.3% | 27 55.7% |
| Q1 - 0:08.0 | BKN | Stackhouse 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 34 42.3% | 27 57.7% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 32 39.5% | 27 60.5% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 40.0% | 26 60.0% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 32 42.3% | 25 57.7% |
| Q1 - 0:45.0 | IND | MISS Hibbert 2' Layup | 32 43.6% | 25 56.4% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 32 42.3% | 25 57.7% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 6' Jump Shot | 32 43.6% | 25 56.4% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | BKN | Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 32 42.3% | 25 57.7% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 36.9% | 25 63.1% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | IND | MISS Young 4' Jump Shot | 29 36.4% | 25 63.6% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 29 35.3% | 25 64.7% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | BKN | MISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot | 29 35.8% | 25 64.2% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | IND | George 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 5 AST) | 29 36.9% | 25 63.1% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | BKN | Hansbrough STEAL (1 STL) | 29 39.7% | 23 60.3% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | IND | George 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 4 AST) | 29 41.3% | 23 58.7% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 29 46.5% | 20 53.5% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | BKN | MISS Lopez 8' Jump Shot | 29 46.6% | 20 53.4% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | IND | Young Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 29 48.1% | 20 51.9% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | BKN | Johnson Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T3) | 29 46.0% | 20 54.0% |
| Q1 - 2:46 | IND | George Traveling Turnover (P2.T4) | 29 48.1% | 20 51.9% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | BKN | Lopez 19' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 29 46.0% | 20 54.0% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | IND | Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST) | 27 43.2% | 20 56.8% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | BKN | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 27 47.6% | 17 52.4% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | IND | Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST) | 24 43.2% | 17 56.8% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | BKN | Lopez 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST) | 24 47.6% | 14 52.4% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | IND | Hibbert 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 22 44.5% | 14 55.5% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | BKN | Lopez 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST) | 22 46.6% | 12 53.4% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 20 44.5% | 12 55.5% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | IND | MISS George 17' Jump Shot | 20 43.8% | 12 56.2% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 20 42.3% | 12 57.7% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | BKN | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 43.0% | 12 57.0% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | IND | Stephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 20 44.6% | 12 55.4% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | BKN | Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST) | 20 41.2% | 12 58.8% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | IND | West 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 3 AST) | 18 39.4% | 12 60.6% |
| Q1 - 5:40 | BKN | Lopez 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) | 18 41.3% | 10 58.7% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 16 39.4% | 10 60.6% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | IND | MISS Hibbert 10' Jump Shot | 16 38.8% | 10 61.2% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | BKN | Lopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 16 36.4% | 10 63.6% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | BKN | Lopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 15 36.0% | 10 64.0% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | IND | West 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST) | 14 34.7% | 10 65.3% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 14 36.5% | 8 63.5% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | BKN | MISS Evans 5' Jump Shot | 14 37.1% | 8 62.9% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 14 38.5% | 8 61.5% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | BKN | George BLOCK (1 BLK) | 14 37.1% | 8 62.9% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | IND | West Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 38.5% | 8 61.5% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | BKN | Lopez 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST) | 14 35.7% | 8 64.3% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 34.3% | 8 65.7% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | IND | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 33.6% | 8 66.4% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | BKN | Lopez 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST) | 12 32.2% | 8 67.8% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | IND | George Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 10 30.9% | 8 69.1% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | BKN | Johnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST) | 10 28.7% | 8 71.3% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | IND | West 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 8 27.3% | 8 72.7% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | BKN | D. Williams 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 8 28.7% | 6 71.3% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | IND | Hibbert 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 6 27.3% | 6 72.7% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 28.6% | 4 71.4% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | IND | MISS West 18' Jump Shot | 6 29.8% | 4 70.2% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | BKN | Bogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 6 28.6% | 4 71.4% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | BKN | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 30.3% | 4 69.7% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 6 29.8% | 4 70.2% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | BKN | Evans 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 6 28.6% | 4 71.4% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | BKN | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 27.2% | 4 72.8% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | BKN | MISS D. Williams 4' Jump Shot | 4 26.1% | 4 73.9% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | IND | Hibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST) | 4 27.2% | 4 72.8% |
| Q1 - 10:42 | BKN | Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 4 28.4% | 2 71.6% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | BKN | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 27.2% | 2 72.8% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | IND | MISS Hill 4' Jump Shot | 2 26.7% | 2 73.3% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | BKN | Hill STEAL (1 STL) | 2 25.6% | 2 74.4% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | IND | West Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST) | 2 26.6% | 2 73.4% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | BKN | Johnson 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 28.1% | 0 71.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball Hibbert vs. Lopez: Tip to Bogans | 0 26.7% | 0 73.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
BKN
1.22 60.9%
IND
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BKN
8
23
35%
IND
21
34
62%
Midrange
BKN
22
34
65%
IND
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BKN
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
IND
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
BKN
21
26
81%
IND
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Nets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams | 33 | 61% | 16.5 / 27 | |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 67% | 12.0 / 18 | |
| B. Lopez | 24 | 67% | 12.0 / 18 | |
| J. Stackhouse | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| C. Watson | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| A. Blatche | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| K. Humphries | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| R. Evans | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| K. Bogans | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. West | 26 | 87% | 13.0 / 15 | |
| P. George | 21 | 55% | 10.5 / 19 | |
| R. Hibbert | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| G. Hill | 17 | 53% | 8.5 / 16 | |
| L. Stephenson | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| T. Hansbrough | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| S. Young | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| I. Mahinmi | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| D. Augustin | 1 | 50% | 0.5 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
BKN
81
+15
-14
96
IND
79
+14
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
BKN
1.22 60.9%
IND
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 104.7 | BKN 123.2 +8.4 IND 114.7 |
| Pace | 89.4 89.9 | BKN 96.7 +3.3 IND 93.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.7 16.3 | BKN 14.9 +0.5 IND 15.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.8% 47.9% | BKN 58.5% +3.5% IND 55.0% |
| TO % | 15.4% 16.1% | BKN 13.0% +1.9% IND 14.9% |
| ORB % | 31.0% 30.3% | BKN 34.3% +3.5% IND 30.8% |
| FTrt | 29.9 29.3 | BKN 31.7 IND 32.5 +0.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.7% 57.8% | BKN 57.1% IND 62.5% +5.4% |
| STL % | 8.1% 7.9% | BKN 8.4% IND 9.5% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 7.5% 9.7% | BKN 9.8% IND 12.3% +2.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.1% 50.6% | BKN 60.9% +2.3% IND 58.6% |
| Rim FG% | 56.7% 55.7% | BKN 34.8% IND 61.8% +27.0% |
| Mid FG% | 40.2% 38.2% | BKN 64.7% +24.0% IND 40.7% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 34.7% | BKN 48.0% +5.9% IND 42.1% |
| FT % | 73.1% 74.6% | BKN 80.8% IND 80.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.1% 35.7% | BKN 28.0% IND 42.5% +14.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 37.0% 39.8% | BKN 41.5% IND 33.8% +7.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 26.9% 24.5% | BKN 30.5% +6.7% IND 23.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | BKN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 95 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.4 |
| Points | 117 | 109 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 35 |
| Assists | 24 | 25 |
| Steals | 8 | 9 |
| Blocks | 6 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (0) | 16 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (3) | 12 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (2) | 23 (3) |
| Field Goals | 42-82 | 40-80 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 8-23 | 21-34 |
| Midrange FG | 22-34 | 11-27 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-57 | 32-61 |
| 3-Point FG | 12-25 | 8-19 |
| Free Throws | 21-26 | 21-26 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.