FinalWin Prob.pScore
1636%97
83
1064%101
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
88.394102.7
MIA logo MIA
98.99587.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILDaniels 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILJones STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAVarnado 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MILMbah a Moute 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MILAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MILMISS Daniels 1' Driving Layup79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MILMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 279
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MILMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MILAyon 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T19)79
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:20MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:48MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 3:54MILAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Andersen Tip Shot76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)76
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Allen 12' Fadeaway Jumper76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20MILSmith 2' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sanders 2 AST)76
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:55MILMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:15MIAJames 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 5:35MILMbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 5:51MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Allen 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 6:18MILSanders Dunk (8 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)72
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIAAllen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)70
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 6:39MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup70
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 6:58MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 7:11MILJennings 8' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)70
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:33MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 7:56MILSanders 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)68
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 8:03MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup66
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHEAT Rebound66
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 8:23MILMISS Sanders Dunk66
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 8:24MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot66
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAAndersen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)66
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 9:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Dunleavy 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 9:58MILDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)66
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 10:06MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)63
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 10:26MILJennings 12' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS)63
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:40MIALewis 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:59MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)61
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:59MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)59
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 11:19MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)59
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q4 - 11:36MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)59
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q4 - 11:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Lewis 40' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILLewis STEAL (3 STL)59
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIACole Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)59
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)59
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILHenson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)59
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0MILMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)57
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound57
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot57
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 1:33MILDunleavy 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)57
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 1:37MILRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot55
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 1:53MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)55
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 1:53MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)54
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 2:15MIALewis 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)53
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 2:23MILLewis STEAL (2 STL)53
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 2:38MIALewis 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 2:54MILEllis Foul Turnover (P6.T15)53
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 2:58MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 3:02MILAllen STEAL (1 STL)53
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 3:13MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)53
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)53
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 3:27MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.6%
62
89.4%
Q3 - 3:41MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Lewis 8' Floating Jump Shot53
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 4:05MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)53
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)53
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 4:24MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 4:24MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 4:26MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup51
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 4:47MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot51
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 5:04MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)51
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 5:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)51
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 5:15MILMISS Daniels 9' Pullup Jump Shot51
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 5:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 5:58MILDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)51
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 6:03MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper51
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 6:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 6:19MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 6:28MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot51
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 6:47MILJennings Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 7:03MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)51
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 7:32MILBattier STEAL (2 STL)51
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
25.1%
54
74.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
25.1%
54
74.9%
Q3 - 8:05MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
26.1%
54
73.9%
Q3 - 8:18MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
28.4%
54
71.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q3 - 8:31MILJennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)51
25.1%
54
74.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)48
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 8:50MILBattier STEAL (1 STL)48
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q3 - 8:56MILBucks Rebound48
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q3 - 8:57MILMISS Daniels 13' Turnaround Jump Shot48
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 9:05MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
27.3%
51
72.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q3 - 9:13MILMISS Sanders 7' Turnaround Hook Shot48
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)48
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q3 - 9:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)48
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q3 - 9:48MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
32.1%
49
67.9%
Q3 - 9:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)48
34.6%
49
65.4%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q3 - 10:05MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Fadeaway Jumper48
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q3 - 10:28MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
34.2%
49
65.8%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot48
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)48
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot48
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q3 - 11:41MILJennings 21' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
37.0%
47
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
34.2%
46
65.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILBucks Rebound44
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)44
32.1%
45
67.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJames 8' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)44
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)44
37.4%
43
62.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T10)41
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)41
28.9%
43
71.1%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 1:32MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T8)41
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 1:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 1:49MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 2:09MILIlyasova 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)41
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)39
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 2:26MILMISS Ilyasova 14' Turnaround Jump Shot39
29.3%
41
70.7%
Q2 - 2:44MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup39
30.3%
41
69.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound39
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot39
30.3%
41
69.7%
Q2 - 3:18MILChalmers STEAL (2 STL)39
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 3:24MILBucks Rebound39
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 3:25MILJames BLOCK (1 BLK)39
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 3:44MILRedick 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)39
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 3:48MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 3:49MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Driving Layup36
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 3:54MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot36
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
21.8%
41
78.2%
Q2 - 4:21MILMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot36
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 4:44MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot36
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 4:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
21.8%
41
78.2%
Q2 - 4:58MILMISS Sanders 14' Jump Shot36
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 5:14MILRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 5:27MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 5:49MIACole 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)36
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 6:13MILEllis Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)36
26.1%
39
73.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 6:29MILLewis STEAL (1 STL)34
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup34
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 7:03MILRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)34
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 7:11MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot31
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 7:29MILDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 7:34MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)28
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 7:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 7:48MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 228
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 7:48MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIACole 1' Layup (7 PTS)27
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 8:07MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)27
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)27
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup27
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 8:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 8:44MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)27
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 8:57MILAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot25
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 9:25MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)25
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 9:57MILJennings 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)23
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 10:02MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)21
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 10:16MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:21MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 10:25MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:45MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Mbah a Moute 7' Jump Shot21
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 11:02MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot21
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q2 - 11:13MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot21
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)21
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Ayon Free Throw 2 of 221
23.1%
26
76.9%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Ayon Free Throw 1 of 221
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q2 - 11:45MILAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 11:46MILMISS Redick 11' Running Jump Shot21
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot21
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)21
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILCole STEAL (1 STL)21
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIALewis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)21
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.8%
25
79.2%
Q1 - 1:27MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 1:32MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot15
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)15
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 2:21MILJennings 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot13
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 3:18MILSanders Dunk (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)13
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:29MILBucks Rebound11
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 3:30MILMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 211
16.3%
21
83.7%
Q1 - 3:30MILDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 3:41MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)10
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 3:59MILSanders 1' Dunk (2 PTS)10
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 4:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 4:01MILMISS Daniels 2' Driving Reverse Layup8
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)8
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 4:37MILMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot8
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 4:48MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 5:12MILDaniels 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)8
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)6
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 5:49MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 6:19MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)4
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 6:24MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)4
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)4
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 6:59MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 7:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILMISS Sanders 16' Jump Shot4
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:00MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot4
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 8:10MILDaniels 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)4
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:16MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup2
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:25MILJames STEAL (2 STL)2
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIAJames Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)2
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 8:49MILMISS Daniels 14' Floating Jump Shot2
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 9:20MILEllis 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 9:31MILBucks Rebound0
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot0
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 9:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 9:45MILMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot0
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)0
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 10:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:38MILBucks Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)0
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMiller 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 10:57MILJames STEAL (1 STL)0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:05MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:16MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot0
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Sanders: Tip to James0
31.2%
0
68.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
23
65%
MIA
20
28
71%
Midrange
MIL
9
27
33%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
8
12.0
35
23%
34%
Free Throws
MIL
8
14
57%
MIA
10
10
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings3079%15.0 / 19
L. Sanders840%4.0 / 10
M. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute844%4.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy867%4.0 / 6
M. Daniels732%3.5 / 11
J. Redick633%3.0 / 9
E. Ilyasova440%2.0 / 5
J. Henson2100%1.0 / 1
I. Smith250%1.0 / 2
G. Ayon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2878%14.0 / 18
R. Allen1142%5.5 / 13
N. Cole1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Andersen964%4.5 / 7
R. Lewis627%3.0 / 11
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers563%2.5 / 4
M. Miller536%2.5 / 7
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
75
+9
-19
84
MIA
78
+17
-17
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
112.1
MIL 88.3
MIA 98.9 +10.6
Pace
94.8
90.9
MIL 102.7 +15.1
MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
MIL 14.0 +2.4
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
55.2%
MIL 50.0% +2.3%
MIA 47.7%
TO %
14.3%
14.5%
MIL 19.8%
MIA 16.3% +3.5%
ORB %
28.0%
22.2%
MIL 12.5%
MIA 30.4% +17.9%
FTrt
23.6
29.7
MIL 18.7 +7.3
MIA 11.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.0%
MIL 57.6%
MIA 57.9% +0.3%
STL %
8.8%
9.5%
MIL 13.8% +1.2%
MIA 12.6%
BLK %
10.1%
9.1%
MIL 3.8%
MIA 6.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
57.0%
MIL 49.4%
MIA 49.5% +0.1%
Rim FG%
54.6%
65.9%
MIL 65.2%
MIA 71.4% +6.2%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.9%
MIL 33.3%
MIA 40.0% +6.7%
3P %
36.0%
39.6%
MIL 36.0% +13.1%
MIA 22.9%
FT %
73.6%
75.4%
MIL 57.1%
MIA 100.0% +42.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
34.8%
MIL 30.7%
MIA 31.8% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
36.7%
MIL 36.0%
MIA 28.4% +7.6%
3P Att. %
23.2%
28.5%
MIL 33.3%
MIA 39.8% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points8394
Rebounds3749
Assists1922
Steals1312
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals33-7538-88
At-the-Rim FG15-2320-28
Midrange FG9-2710-25
2-Point FG24-5030-53
3-Point FG9-258-35
Free Throws8-1410-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
35.6
30
79%
3
4
1
0
4
5
0
3
6-6
100%
6-7
86%
4-9
44%
C · 6'11" 230 · 24
30.4
8
40%
9
2
2
1
2
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
27.6
8
44%
4
2
4
0
6
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
21.0
4
40%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 32
19.3
7
32%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-4
25%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
31.6
8
44%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33
26.9
8
67%
3
2
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29
25.5
6
33%
2
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
· 6'10" 250 · 28
9.8
0
0%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 229 · 22
7.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
4.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 33
C · 7'1" 245 · 33
#13 · C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
49%
37
19
13
2
19
0
5
32
8-14
57%
24-50
48%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.