FinalWin Prob.pScore
309%90
77
391%108
109
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
82.89398.3
MIA logo MIA
117.29388.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAPargo Reverse Layup (5 PTS)77
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHoward 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)75
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHAMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)75
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:11MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:33CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)73
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)70
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 2:01MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:02CHAMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:08CHAPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Lewis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:27CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:42MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00CHAMISS Adrien 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIALewis 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41CHAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13CHAMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56CHABosh BLOCK (3 BLK)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11CHAHenderson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27CHABobcats Rebound66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47CHAGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13CHATaylor 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)61
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35CHAMISS Biyombo 6' Jump Hook Shot61
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (32 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)61
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02CHAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35CHATaylor 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37CHAMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08CHAJames BLOCK (3 BLK)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10CHABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29MIAAndersen Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (James 10 AST)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38CHAMISS Taylor 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (James 9 AST)59
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13CHATaylor Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)59
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 10:41CHAHenderson 2' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)59
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 10:42CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 10:43CHAMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST)57
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 11:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 11:18CHAMISS Henderson 12' Fadeaway Jumper57
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)57
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)57
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA57
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound57
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 72' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)57
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHAJames BLOCK (2 BLK)57
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIACole 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)57
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAAdrien Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)57
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAAdrien Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)56
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 1:07CHABobcats Rebound55
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 1:08CHAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)55
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 1:09CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 1:10CHAMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 1:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 1:47CHAMISS Adrien Free Throw 2 of 255
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 1:47CHAAdrien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 1:47CHABobcats Rebound54
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 1:48CHAMISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot54
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 2:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 2:21CHAMISS Adrien 1' Dunk54
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 2:22CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 2:23CHAMISS Pargo 15' Jump Shot54
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)54
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 2:47CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 3:07CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Allen 8' Floating Jump Shot54
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 3:41CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 254
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 3:41CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 254
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIAJames 16' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)54
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 4:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 4:09CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot54
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 4:30MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 4:53CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 5:09CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 252
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 5:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 5:30MIAHEAT Rebound52
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q3 - 5:31CHAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 5:44CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot52
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 6:01CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Adrien 1 AST)52
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 6:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 6:25CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot49
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q3 - 6:51CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.0%
56
94.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 7:03CHABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)49
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 7:18MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 7:31CHAMISS Henderson 12' Jump Shot49
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)49
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 8:19CHAHenderson 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
6.3%
54
93.7%
Q3 - 8:42CHAWalker 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q3 - 8:53CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q3 - 9:10CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 245
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 9:10CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q3 - 9:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot44
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q3 - 9:31CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:31CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 243
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:35CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot43
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 9:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q3 - 9:49CHAMISS Mullens 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q3 - 10:15MIAJames Running Dunk (21 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)43
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Biyombo: Tip to Bosh43
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q3 - 10:21CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:22CHAMISS Walker 6' Running Jump Shot43
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q3 - 10:38CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:40CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)43
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q3 - 10:55MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)43
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:59CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup (9 PTS)43
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames Reverse Dunk (16 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)41
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q3 - 11:12CHAJames STEAL (3 STL)41
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q3 - 11:18CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup41
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Miller 1' Layup41
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q3 - 11:37CHAWalker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
4.3%
46
95.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIABosh Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound35
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 1:00CHAHenderson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)35
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)33
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 1:39CHABiyombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)33
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 1:45CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 2:04CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup (7 PTS)31
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 2:28MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)29
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 2:49CHATaylor 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)29
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 3:07CHAMiller STEAL (1 STL)27
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 3:09CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 3:11CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)27
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 3:26CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Lewis 16' Fadeaway Jumper27
3.4%
39
96.6%
Q2 - 3:38CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 3:38CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 3:44MIALewis 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 3:57CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot25
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 4:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)25
3.5%
37
96.5%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot25
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 4:32CHAJames STEAL (2 STL)25
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 4:53MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)25
3.5%
37
96.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 5:15CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)25
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q2 - 5:46CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup25
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 5:51CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot25
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 6:18CHATaylor 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)25
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q2 - 6:23MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q2 - 6:36CHAPargo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)23
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q2 - 6:40CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Battier 8' Hook Shot23
4.4%
33
95.6%
Q2 - 6:55CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)23
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAAllen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)23
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Henderson 13' Fadeaway Jumper23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 7:44MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)23
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q2 - 7:55CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot23
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)23
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 8:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q2 - 8:34CHAMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q2 - 9:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q2 - 9:21CHAMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot23
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q2 - 9:27CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot23
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q2 - 9:48CHAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)23
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 9:52CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup23
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q2 - 10:04CHAPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)23
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q2 - 10:11CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 10:12CHAMISS Gordon 6' Running Jump Shot20
8.4%
23
91.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 10:30CHALewis STEAL (1 STL)20
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q2 - 10:35CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q2 - 10:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q2 - 10:56CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 220
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q2 - 10:56CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q2 - 11:09CHAMISS Gordon 9' Jump Shot19
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q2 - 11:21CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot19
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q2 - 11:40CHAMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.6%
23
92.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Mullens 3PT Jump Shot19
7.8%
23
92.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)19
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 1:05CHABiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)19
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 1:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 1:33CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 1:48CHAGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Allen 1' Layup19
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 2:14CHAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot19
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames 14' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)19
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 2:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 2:50CHAMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot19
13.7%
16
86.3%
Q1 - 2:57CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 2:58CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)19
13.7%
16
86.3%
Q1 - 3:11MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)19
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 3:18CHAMISS Mullens 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 3:37CHAJames STEAL (1 STL)19
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 3:42CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 4:04CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot19
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 4:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 4:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 4:43CHAMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot19
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 4:46CHABobcats Rebound19
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 4:47CHAMISS Mullens 1' Driving Layup19
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 5:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 5:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 5:22CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 5:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
20.4%
8
79.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup17
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 5:40CHAMISS Mullens 17' Jump Shot17
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 5:59CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
20.4%
8
79.6%
Q1 - 6:00CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 6:05CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 6:06CHAMISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 6:24CHABobcats Rebound17
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 6:39CHAMullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)14
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 7:04CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 7:11CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot11
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 7:38CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)11
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 7:59CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)11
14.2%
5
85.8%
Q1 - 8:06CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 8:07CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot8
11.5%
5
88.5%
Q1 - 8:14CHABobcats Rebound8
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot8
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 8:32CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)8
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 8:52CHAHenderson 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 9:06CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.7%
5
90.3%
Q1 - 9:22CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 15' Jump Shot6
9.9%
5
90.1%
Q1 - 9:33CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.7%
5
90.3%
Q1 - 9:50CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
9.9%
5
90.1%
Q1 - 9:59CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 10:14CHAHenderson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
9.6%
5
90.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 10:48CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)4
9.6%
3
90.4%
Q1 - 10:54CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.1%
3
90.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot2
8.9%
3
91.1%
Q1 - 11:14CHAMullens 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
8.3%
3
91.7%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
7.8%
3
92.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Biyombo: Tip to Chalmers0
8.8%
0
91.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.79 39.3%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
15
30
50%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
CHA
10
34
29%
MIA
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
5
7.5
25
20%
30%
MIA
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
Free Throws
CHA
12
18
67%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2043%10.0 / 23
G. Henderson1845%9.0 / 20
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1365%6.5 / 10
J. Taylor833%4.0 / 12
B. Mullens531%2.5 / 8
J. Pargo536%2.5 / 7
J. Adrien330%1.5 / 5
R. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
B. Biyombo225%1.0 / 4
B. Gordon0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3284%16.0 / 19
C. Bosh1550%7.5 / 15
N. Cole1575%7.5 / 10
R. Allen1478%7.0 / 9
R. Lewis750%3.5 / 7
M. Miller643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen6100%3.0 / 3
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
M. Chalmers220%1.0 / 5
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
80
+18
-13
98
MIA
83
+6
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.79 39.3%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
112.1
CHA 82.8 +34.4
MIA 117.2
Pace
91.6
90.9
CHA 98.3 +10.1
MIA 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
CHA 14.6 +1.7
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
55.2%
CHA 36.5%
MIA 58.6% +22.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
CHA 11.8%
MIA 10.4% +1.4%
ORB %
25.9%
22.2%
CHA 24.1% +12.7%
MIA 11.4%
FTrt
31.0
29.7
CHA 20.2
MIA 30.3 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
60.0%
CHA 30.0%
MIA 73.7% +43.7%
STL %
7.8%
9.5%
CHA 8.6%
MIA 9.7% +1.1%
BLK %
9.7%
9.1%
CHA 4.3%
MIA 15.6% +11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
57.0%
CHA 39.3%
MIA 60.6% +21.3%
Rim FG%
53.1%
65.9%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 69.6% +19.6%
Mid FG%
37.0%
41.9%
CHA 29.4%
MIA 39.1% +9.7%
3P %
33.5%
39.6%
CHA 20.0%
MIA 43.3% +23.3%
FT %
75.0%
75.4%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 87.0% +20.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
34.8%
CHA 33.7% +3.4%
MIA 30.3%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
36.7%
CHA 38.2%
MIA 30.3% +7.9%
3P Att. %
21.0%
28.5%
CHA 28.1%
MIA 39.5% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points77109
Rebounds4548
Assists928
Steals89
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)44 (1)
Field Goals30-8938-76
At-the-Rim FG15-3016-23
Midrange FG10-349-23
2-Point FG25-6425-46
3-Point FG5-2513-30
Free Throws12-1820-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 255 · 21
36.5
2
25%
11
0
1
1
2
4
2
9
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 184 · 23
36.3
20
43%
6
3
1
0
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
5-14
36%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
35.5
18
45%
5
1
2
0
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 232 · 19
31.9
13
65%
10
2
0
1
1
1
3
7
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 275 · 24
22.6
5
31%
2
0
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
· 6'7" 225 · 24
26.9
8
33%
5
1
1
0
1
4
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 33
17.1
5
36%
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
16.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
· 6'7" 245 · 27
13.8
3
30%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 205 · 27
3.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
· 6'10" 240 · 26
C · 7'0" 263 · 33
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
# 7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 2 · C · 7'0" 280 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
39%
45
9
8
2
13
0
14
31
12-18
67%
25-64
39%
5-25
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.