FinalWin Prob.pScore
2910%90
89
190%108
103
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
94.79489.6
MIA logo MIA
110.89397.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMISS Singler 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIABattier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETJones BLOCK (1 BLK)89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETMISS Jerebko 21' Jump Shot89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 286
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DETCalderon 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DETSingler 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DETSingler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DETBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DETMISS Monroe 9' Jump Shot82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)82
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53DETSingler 1' Layup (13 PTS)82
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:54DETSingler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 3:55DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:12MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T19)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:32DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:32DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:59DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot76
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 5:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)76
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:01DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade 5' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 6:32DETJames STEAL (2 STL)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 6:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:40DETMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot76
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 6:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 6:45DETMISS Singler 5' Jump Shot76
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIACole Dunk (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)76
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 7:07DETWade STEAL (3 STL)76
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 7:10DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q4 - 7:12DETMISS Stuckey 3' Driving Jump Shot76
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 7:15DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q4 - 7:16DETAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)76
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 7:31MIACole 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q4 - 7:37DETCole STEAL (4 STL)76
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 7:53DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot76
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot76
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 8:18DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 8:18DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 8:38DETPistons Rebound74
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 8:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 8:48DETMISS Bynum 2' Driving Layup74
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAAndersen Dunk (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 9:27DETBynum 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 9:33DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Jump Shot72
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 9:41DETWade STEAL (2 STL)72
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIAAndersen 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)72
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 10:23DETMonroe 1' Layup (21 PTS)72
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 10:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)70
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 10:25DETBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)70
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIABattier 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 11:07DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (19 PTS)70
7.3%
75
92.7%
Q4 - 11:08DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 11:09DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup68
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 11:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)68
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot68
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)68
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 11:42DETCole STEAL (3 STL)68
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q4 - 11:47MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)68
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound68
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Jerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 168
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETCole STEAL (2 STL)68
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)68
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 1:07DETSingler 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Monroe 6 AST)68
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)66
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q3 - 1:42DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 1:42DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 265
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 1:44DETSingler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS Jerebko 1' Tip Shot65
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 1:46DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 1:47DETMISS English 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 1:54DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 1:55DETMISS Monroe 1' Driving Layup65
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 2:08DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 2:09DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup65
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 2:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot65
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 2:35DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)65
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)65
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 3:04DETSingler 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Monroe 5 AST)65
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 3:22MIABattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)63
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 3:22MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)63
16.9%
63
83.1%
Q3 - 3:22MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)63
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 3:44DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
21.8%
61
78.2%
Q3 - 3:44DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 4:06DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 4:07DETMISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 4:14DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup61
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
15.8%
61
84.2%
Q3 - 4:22DETMISS Stuckey 1' Running Layup61
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 4:26DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot61
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 4:45DETMISS Monroe 2' Driving Reverse Layup61
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 5:06DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
18.1%
61
81.9%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot61
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 5:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 5:16DETMISS Singler 11' Fadeaway Jumper61
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 5:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 261
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 5:47DETChalmers STEAL (4 STL)61
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 6:01MIABosh Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T14)61
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 6:12DETSingler 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)61
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)59
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 6:37DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)59
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHEAT Rebound59
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup59
18.5%
58
81.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Monroe 1' Driving Layup59
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade 1' Dunk (14 PTS)59
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q3 - 7:37DETWade STEAL (1 STL)59
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q3 - 8:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 8:16DETMISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot59
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)59
29.9%
54
70.1%
Q3 - 9:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 259
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 9:04DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q3 - 9:13DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
30.7%
52
69.3%
Q3 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q3 - 9:22DETMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)58
31.8%
52
68.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q3 - 9:58DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot58
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T11)58
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 10:35DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)58
26.9%
52
73.1%
Q3 - 10:36DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot56
22.4%
52
77.6%
Q3 - 10:52DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot56
23.5%
52
76.5%
Q3 - 11:06DETMonroe 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)56
20.6%
52
79.4%
Q3 - 11:31DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 254
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 11:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)54
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 11:47DETCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound54
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS English 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)54
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETChalmers STEAL (3 STL)51
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)51
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 3 AST)51
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 1:32DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)51
24.8%
45
75.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)48
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q2 - 1:52DETChalmers STEAL (2 STL)48
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 1:57DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q2 - 1:59DETMISS Stuckey 8' Jump Shot48
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 2:00DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Stuckey 9' Jump Shot48
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)48
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)48
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 2:41DETJerebko Foul Turnover (P1.T8)48
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 2:58MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 3:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 3:11DETMISS Monroe 17' Jump Shot48
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 3:35DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 148
31.8%
39
68.2%
Q2 - 3:49DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)48
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 3:59DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 4:25DETCalderon Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)48
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 4:28DETCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)47
30.4%
37
69.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 4:57DETJerebko 1' Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)44
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 5:13DETMISS English 17' Jump Shot42
23.6%
35
76.4%
Q2 - 5:32DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
25.1%
35
74.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 242
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 5:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q2 - 5:48DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup42
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 5:55DETJames STEAL (1 STL)42
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 6:19DETMISS Bynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot42
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 6:26DETEnglish REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 6:43DETCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)42
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 7:07DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)39
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)39
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 7:38DETMISS Bynum 9' Jump Shot39
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHEAT Rebound39
28.5%
28
71.5%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup39
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q2 - 8:23DETCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)39
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q2 - 8:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q2 - 8:45DETMISS Stuckey 9' Fadeaway Jumper36
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q2 - 8:51DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup36
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q2 - 9:14DETJerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 4 AST)36
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q2 - 9:41MIAAllen 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)33
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 9:50DETCole STEAL (1 STL)33
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)33
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 10:25DETStuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)33
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q2 - 10:47MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q2 - 11:01DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q2 - 11:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Battier 7' Running Hook Shot28
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q2 - 11:36MIAHEAT Rebound28
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET28
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound28
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot28
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMonroe 1' Layup (9 PTS)28
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETMISS Jerebko 6' Turnaround Jump Shot26
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)26
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot26
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0DETMonroe 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)26
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 1:04DETJerebko Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 1:04DETJerebko Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 1:10DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot22
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 1:28DETStuckey 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 1:45DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 2:05DETMonroe 1' Driving Dunk (5 PTS)20
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup18
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 2:42DETStuckey 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)18
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 3:24DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P2.T4)16
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)16
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 4:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 4:02DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot16
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 4:10DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup16
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 4:30DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)16
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 4:51MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)14
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 5:03DETMonroe 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)14
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 5:23MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 5:39DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 5:49DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.1%
7
83.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot12
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 6:10DETCalderon 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)12
14.3%
7
85.7%
Q1 - 6:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot10
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 6:40DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)10
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 6:50DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot10
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 7:15DETCalderon 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 7:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot8
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 7:42DETSingler 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)8
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 7:51DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot6
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 8:05DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)6
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:20MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.8%
7
92.2%
Q1 - 8:30DETMISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
8.0%
7
92.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 8:54DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 24
9.0%
5
91.0%
Q1 - 8:54DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
9.4%
5
90.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)3
9.0%
5
91.0%
Q1 - 9:17DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 9:31MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T2)3
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 9:35DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot3
8.5%
5
91.5%
Q1 - 10:03MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 10:19DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 22
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 10:19DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 10:20DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot2
9.6%
2
90.4%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 10:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 10:45DETBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 10:50DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:19DETCalderon 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)2
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Monroe: Tip to James0
9.2%
0
90.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
32
53%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
DET
10
29
34%
MIA
8
21
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
DET
14
18
78%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe2355%11.5 / 21
J. Calderon1882%9.0 / 11
K. Singler1864%9.0 / 14
R. Stuckey1134%5.5 / 16
J. Jerebko950%4.5 / 9
J. Maxiell638%3.0 / 8
W. Bynum220%1.0 / 5
C. Villanueva233%1.0 / 3
K. English0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2985%14.5 / 17
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
M. Chalmers1179%5.5 / 7
S. Battier1179%5.5 / 7
N. Cole1083%5.0 / 6
C. Andersen990%4.5 / 5
C. Bosh528%2.5 / 9
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
R. Allen233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+21
-22
93
MIA
75
+6
-18
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
112.1
DET 94.7 +16.1
MIA 110.8
Pace
90.9
90.9
DET 89.6
MIA 97.8 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
DET 16.1
MIA 14.7 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
55.2%
DET 45.2%
MIA 61.8% +16.6%
TO %
15.9%
14.5%
DET 19.5% +0.6%
MIA 20.1%
ORB %
28.3%
22.2%
DET 38.3% +26.2%
MIA 12.1%
FTrt
28.2
29.7
DET 21.7
MIA 38.2 +16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.0%
DET 61.8% +6.5%
MIA 55.3%
STL %
7.6%
9.5%
DET 9.6%
MIA 16.1% +6.5%
BLK %
8.0%
9.1%
DET 9.4%
MIA 9.8% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
57.0%
DET 47.8%
MIA 63.6% +15.8%
Rim FG%
55.8%
65.9%
DET 53.1%
MIA 68.8% +15.7%
Mid FG%
36.1%
41.9%
DET 34.5%
MIA 38.1% +3.6%
3P %
35.6%
39.6%
DET 31.8%
MIA 53.3% +21.5%
FT %
69.9%
75.4%
DET 77.8% +4.7%
MIA 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.1%
34.8%
DET 38.6%
MIA 47.1% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
33.2%
36.7%
DET 34.9%
MIA 30.9% +4.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
28.5%
DET 26.5% +4.4%
MIA 22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points89103
Rebounds4733
Assists2121
Steals915
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals34-8338-68
At-the-Rim FG17-3222-32
Midrange FG10-298-21
2-Point FG27-6130-53
3-Point FG7-228-15
Free Throws14-1819-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
43.4
18
82%
3
7
2
0
7
3
1
2
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
41.0
23
55%
15
6
1
1
3
3
6
9
3-5
60%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
40.8
11
34%
5
3
2
0
4
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
36.6
18
64%
8
1
1
1
2
3
5
3
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 260 · 30
18.6
6
38%
6
1
0
1
2
3
1
5
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 26
24.6
9
50%
8
1
1
0
2
3
2
6
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 30
13.5
2
20%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
12.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
6
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 29
9.4
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 222 · 22
G · 6'2" 182 · 21
C · 6'11" 254 · 26
F · 6'6" 225 · 33
# 1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
47
21
9
5
22
0
18
29
14-18
78%
27-61
44%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.