FinalWin Prob.pScore
179%105
98
2721%94
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.38584.7
CLE logo CLE
110.58686.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE98
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
98.2%
95
1.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
97.5%
95
2.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Rebound96
95.5%
95
4.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0CLEMISS Ellington 23' Step Back Jump Shot96
93.9%
95
6.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
74.5%
95
25.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot96
80.2%
95
19.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
87.0%
95
13.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
89.4%
94
10.6%
Q4 - 1:00CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
91.4%
93
8.6%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
92.9%
93
7.1%
Q4 - 1:23CLEGee 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Miles 5 AST)96
94.5%
93
5.5%
Q4 - 1:29CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
96.4%
91
3.6%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)96
97.3%
91
2.7%
Q4 - 1:50CLEMISS Ellington 23' Jump Shot96
96.7%
91
3.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)96
95.3%
91
4.7%
Q4 - 2:26CLEEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)96
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 2:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 295
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 2:51CLELivingston Dunk (14 PTS)95
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 3:01CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)95
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 295
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)95
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 3:02MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)94
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)93
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS James 1' Tip Shot93
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS James Layup93
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)93
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot93
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 3:28CLEMISS Thompson 4' Jump Shot93
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
96.6%
86
3.4%
Q4 - 4:04CLELivingston 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Miles 4 AST)91
95.4%
86
4.6%
Q4 - 4:21CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS James 18' Step Back Jump Shot91
97.2%
84
2.8%
Q4 - 4:48CLEEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)91
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 4:55CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)91
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 4:56CLEMISS Ellington 1' Layup91
97.6%
84
2.4%
Q4 - 5:08CLECAVALIERS Rebound91
95.7%
84
4.3%
Q4 - 5:08CLEMISS Miles 2' Driving Layup91
96.7%
84
3.3%
Q4 - 5:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 10 AST)91
95.8%
84
4.2%
Q4 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound88
92.3%
84
7.7%
Q4 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
92.3%
84
7.7%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS James 1' Tip Shot88
90.2%
84
9.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Layup88
90.2%
84
9.8%
Q4 - 6:09CLEEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)88
91.5%
84
8.5%
Q4 - 6:26MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
95.0%
81
5.0%
Q4 - 6:43CLEEllington 5' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)85
91.5%
81
8.5%
Q4 - 6:58MIAChalmers 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 9 AST)85
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 7:02CLEEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)83
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 7:05CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
88.4%
79
11.6%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS James 8' Running Jump Shot83
89.3%
79
10.7%
Q4 - 7:30CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)83
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 7:30CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)83
88.4%
79
11.6%
Q4 - 7:30CLEMISS Thompson 9' Jump Shot83
90.4%
79
9.6%
Q4 - 7:55MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)83
88.4%
79
11.6%
Q4 - 8:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
90.4%
79
9.6%
Q4 - 8:03CLEMISS Miles 10' Running Jump Shot83
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 8:15CLECAVALIERS Rebound83
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q4 - 8:15CLEMISS Livingston 9' Jump Bank Shot83
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)83
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
81.5%
79
18.5%
Q4 - 8:51CLEMISS Speights 16' Jump Shot80
80.3%
79
19.7%
Q4 - 9:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound80
77.4%
79
22.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
78.6%
79
21.4%
Q4 - 9:16CLELivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)80
81.2%
79
18.8%
Q4 - 9:40MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
77.4%
79
22.6%
Q4 - 10:08CLELivingston 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)77
68.7%
79
31.3%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
63.6%
77
36.4%
Q4 - 10:37CLEMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
62.0%
77
38.0%
Q4 - 10:54MIAJames 1' Layup (16 PTS)74
58.2%
77
41.8%
Q4 - 10:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
52.6%
77
47.4%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup72
48.6%
77
51.4%
Q4 - 11:03CLEGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
53.8%
77
46.2%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
48.5%
77
51.5%
Q4 - 11:24MIAHeat Rebound69
37.9%
77
62.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIASpeights BLOCK (1 BLK)69
34.5%
77
65.5%
Q4 - 11:32CLEWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
37.9%
77
62.1%
Q4 - 11:46MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
33.0%
77
67.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 268
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)68
45.4%
74
54.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
35.3%
74
64.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0CLEMISS Gee 5' Jump Shot65
33.9%
74
66.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)65
30.9%
74
69.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 2 of 263
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 1:11MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS)63
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
25.0%
73
75.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
22.6%
73
77.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
25.0%
73
75.0%
Q3 - 1:25CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q3 - 1:47MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)61
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot58
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 2:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q3 - 2:07CLEMISS Thompson 13' Jump Shot58
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q3 - 2:36MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)58
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 2:51CLEWalton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 3:14MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)55
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 3:28CLEWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 3:28CLEWalton 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)53
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 3:31CLEMISS Ellington 1' Driving Layup53
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 3:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 3:45CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 4:13MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 4:28CLELivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 4:28CLELivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)48
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS James 1' Layup46
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 5:08CLEGee 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)46
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 5:14CLEWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 5:15CLEMISS Gee 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 5:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:38CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 244
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 5:38CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 244
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWalton STEAL (1 STL)44
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 5:51MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)44
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 6:02CLELivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)43
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 6:14MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)43
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 6:27CLEMISS Walton 21' Jump Shot41
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 6:53CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound41
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 241
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:11CLEMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 7:26CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)40
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 7:44CLEZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)40
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:44CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)40
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 7:44CLEMISS Gee 10' Jump Shot40
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 8:05MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 8:17CLEThompson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 8:33MIAThompson STEAL (3 STL)38
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 8:44CLEZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 8:44CLEZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
7.4%
63
92.6%
Q3 - 9:00MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)38
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 9:18CLEThompson 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)38
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 9:37CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 9:37CLEMISS Livingston 3' Tip Shot38
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 10:00CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
14.1%
60
85.9%
Q3 - 10:21CLEEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)38
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 10:41MIABosh 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
19.2%
57
80.8%
Q3 - 10:58CLEThompson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)36
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 11:39CLEThompson 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellington 4 AST)34
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound34
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 41' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Ellington 23' Jump Shot34
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIALivingston STEAL (2 STL)34
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0CLEMISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
19.6%
55
80.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup34
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q2 - 1:01CLEMISS Livingston 5' Jump Shot34
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q2 - 1:14CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
21.0%
55
79.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 1:34CLEGee 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q2 - 1:52CLEEllington Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)33
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q2 - 1:57CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
25.6%
52
74.4%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot33
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q2 - 2:19CLEEllington 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)33
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q2 - 2:41MIAThompson STEAL (2 STL)33
32.1%
50
67.9%
Q2 - 2:43CLEZeller No Turnover (P1.T7)33
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q2 - 2:45CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
32.1%
50
67.9%
Q2 - 2:45CLEMISS Ellington 29' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.0%
50
66.0%
Q2 - 3:07MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)33
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q2 - 3:23CLEThompson 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)33
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q2 - 3:43CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
39.6%
48
60.4%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot33
40.6%
48
59.4%
Q2 - 3:58CLEEllington Foul Turnover (P2.T6)33
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 4:01CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot33
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q2 - 4:24CLELivingston 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
44.8%
48
55.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q2 - 4:42CLEEllington 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)33
50.5%
46
49.5%
Q2 - 4:44CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
53.2%
44
46.8%
Q2 - 4:46CLEMISS Zeller 13' Jump Shot33
55.3%
44
44.7%
Q2 - 4:51CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
53.1%
44
46.9%
Q2 - 4:51CLEMISS Thompson 7' Jump Shot33
55.3%
44
44.7%
Q2 - 5:08CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
54.7%
44
45.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)33
55.6%
44
44.4%
Q2 - 5:23CLEMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)33
57.4%
44
42.6%
Q2 - 5:28CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup33
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q2 - 5:48CLEMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 5:48CLEMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 5:59CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
68.0%
39
32.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot33
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 6:26CLEMiles 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)33
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)33
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 6:49CLEEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
73.3%
36
26.7%
Q2 - 6:56CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
70.6%
36
29.4%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Cole 9' Turnaround Jump Shot31
71.5%
36
28.5%
Q2 - 7:20CLELivingston Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)31
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 7:39CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
75.6%
34
24.4%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot31
76.3%
34
23.7%
Q2 - 8:13CLECasspi Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)31
77.9%
34
22.1%
Q2 - 8:19CLECasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
76.0%
34
24.0%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot31
76.6%
34
23.4%
Q2 - 8:42CLEMiles 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)31
77.9%
34
22.1%
Q2 - 8:52CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
79.6%
32
20.4%
Q2 - 8:53CLEMISS Casspi 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 8:56CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
79.6%
32
20.4%
Q2 - 8:58CLEMISS Livingston 13' Jump Shot31
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 9:15MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
79.9%
32
20.1%
Q2 - 9:32CLEGibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
76.5%
32
23.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
74.8%
32
25.2%
Q2 - 9:50CLEMISS Walton 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
74.1%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 10:12CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 227
73.0%
32
27.0%
Q2 - 10:13MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 10:29CLECasspi Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)26
73.0%
32
27.0%
Q2 - 10:39CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Bank Shot26
71.4%
32
28.6%
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
73.0%
32
27.0%
Q2 - 10:55CLEMISS Speights 3' Jump Shot26
72.3%
32
27.7%
Q2 - 11:15MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)26
70.8%
32
29.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q2 - 11:26CLEMISS Miles 6' Running Jump Shot24
68.1%
32
31.9%
Q2 - 11:38CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 11:40CLEMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
68.1%
32
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLESpeights 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)24
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
71.2%
30
28.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 223
70.7%
30
29.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0CLEGibson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)23
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)23
73.1%
28
26.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
70.8%
28
29.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0CLEMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
70.3%
28
29.7%
Q1 - 1:06CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Andersen 5' Jump Shot21
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q1 - 1:13CLESpeights Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)21
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
69.3%
28
30.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound19
67.4%
28
32.6%
Q1 - 1:31CLEMISS Thompson 11' Jump Shot19
66.9%
28
33.1%
Q1 - 1:49CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
65.8%
28
34.2%
Q1 - 1:50CLEMISS Speights 19' Jump Shot19
66.9%
28
33.1%
Q1 - 2:02CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
66.8%
28
33.2%
Q1 - 2:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q1 - 2:17CLEMISS Thompson 7' Floating Jump Shot19
67.6%
28
32.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIAThompson STEAL (1 STL)19
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 3:11CLEEllington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
68.9%
28
31.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJames 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)19
70.7%
26
29.3%
Q1 - 3:40CLEEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q1 - 3:40CLEEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q1 - 3:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
70.7%
24
29.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 216
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q1 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot16
70.2%
24
29.8%
Q1 - 4:25CLESpeights 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q1 - 4:46CLECAVALIERS Rebound16
73.2%
22
26.8%
Q1 - 4:46CLEMISS Gee 1' Layup16
74.4%
22
25.6%
Q1 - 4:51CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
73.2%
22
26.8%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot16
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q1 - 5:10CLEZeller 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)16
75.1%
22
24.9%
Q1 - 5:17CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
76.6%
20
23.4%
Q1 - 5:18CLEMISS Gee 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q1 - 5:37CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
76.6%
20
23.4%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
77.1%
20
22.9%
Q1 - 6:00CLEThompson Dunk (10 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)16
78.2%
20
21.8%
Q1 - 6:06MIALivingston STEAL (1 STL)16
79.7%
18
20.3%
Q1 - 6:15CLELivingston 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
81.1%
18
18.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
82.2%
16
17.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)16
82.2%
16
17.8%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot14
80.1%
16
19.9%
Q1 - 6:57CLEThompson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)14
81.0%
16
19.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 7:34CLEZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
80.3%
14
19.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIAEllington STEAL (1 STL)11
82.4%
11
17.6%
Q1 - 7:54CLEThompson 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)11
83.7%
11
16.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 8:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
84.9%
9
15.1%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
84.2%
9
15.8%
Q1 - 8:15CLEMISS Ellington 21' Jump Shot9
83.8%
9
16.2%
Q1 - 8:22CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot9
83.4%
9
16.6%
Q1 - 8:37CLEThompson Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
84.1%
9
15.9%
Q1 - 8:55MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
85.0%
7
15.0%
Q1 - 9:14CLEThompson 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
84.4%
7
15.6%
Q1 - 9:19CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
85.3%
5
14.7%
Q1 - 9:21CLEMISS Livingston 12' Jump Shot7
86.0%
5
14.0%
Q1 - 9:35MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
85.3%
5
14.7%
Q1 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
84.4%
5
15.6%
Q1 - 9:40CLEMISS Zeller 11' Running Jump Shot5
84.1%
5
15.9%
Q1 - 9:57MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
83.3%
5
16.7%
Q1 - 10:17CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
81.6%
5
18.4%
Q1 - 10:17CLEZeller Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
81.6%
5
18.4%
Q1 - 10:18CLEMISS Thompson 1' Layup2
83.2%
3
16.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAZeller STEAL (1 STL)2
82.4%
3
17.6%
Q1 - 10:43CLEGee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
83.6%
3
16.4%
Q1 - 11:03MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
85.5%
0
14.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIAHeat Rebound0
84.5%
0
15.5%
Q1 - 11:24CLEMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 11:42CLEEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
83.7%
0
16.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
84.0%
0
16.0%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Zeller vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
84.5%
0
15.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
CLE
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
CLE
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
4
16
25%
CLE
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
CLE
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
22
30
73%
CLE
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2548%12.5 / 26
M. Chalmers1785%8.5 / 10
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
C. Bosh1150%5.5 / 11
S. Battier1169%5.5 / 8
R. Allen1071%5.0 / 7
C. Andersen758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Ellington2056%10.0 / 18
T. Thompson1853%9.0 / 17
S. Livingston1458%7.0 / 12
T. Zeller1286%6.0 / 7
A. Gee1050%5.0 / 10
C. Miles1045%5.0 / 11
D. Gibson563%2.5 / 4
M. Speights440%2.0 / 5
L. Walton233%1.0 / 3
O. Casspi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+15
-13
87
CLE
70
+20
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
CLE
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.5
MIA 115.3 +4.8
CLE 110.5
Pace
90.9
92.2
MIA 84.7
CLE 86.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 17.0
CLE 16.7 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.3%
MIA 52.8% +2.8%
CLE 50.0%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
MIA 13.2% +2.9%
CLE 16.1%
ORB %
22.2%
28.2%
MIA 28.9%
CLE 39.5% +10.6%
FTrt
29.7
26.5
MIA 41.7 +20.7
CLE 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
56.6%
MIA 65.6% +11.5%
CLE 54.1%
STL %
9.5%
8.5%
MIA 10.6% +1.3%
CLE 9.3%
BLK %
9.1%
6.8%
MIA 10.0% +5.3%
CLE 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.8%
MIA 55.1% +2.3%
CLE 52.8%
Rim FG%
65.9%
53.8%
MIA 59.3%
CLE 63.0% +3.7%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.1%
MIA 25.0%
CLE 39.4% +14.4%
3P %
39.6%
34.6%
MIA 41.4% +8.1%
CLE 33.3%
FT %
75.4%
75.6%
MIA 73.3%
CLE 82.4% +9.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
36.1%
MIA 37.5% +4.2%
CLE 33.3%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
41.0%
MIA 22.2% +18.5%
CLE 40.7%
3P Att. %
28.5%
22.9%
MIA 40.3% +14.4%
CLE 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points9895
Rebounds3442
Assists2120
Steals98
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals32-7237-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2717-27
Midrange FG4-1613-33
2-Point FG20-4330-60
3-Point FG12-297-21
Free Throws22-3014-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.3
25
48%
12
10
3
2
4
1
7
5
6-8
75%
5-15
33%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
38.2
11
42%
6
5
0
0
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
35.6
11
50%
7
3
1
2
1
3
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
34.1
17
85%
0
2
0
0
4
4
0
0
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
13.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
28.4
10
71%
3
1
5
0
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.8
11
69%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
14.9
7
58%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
55%
34
21
9
6
13
0
11
23
22-30
73%
20-43
47%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.