FinalWin Prob.pScore
165%97
105
2235%92
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.29791.8
BOS logo BOS
107.396101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA105
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
98.6%
103
1.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Fadeaway Jumper105
98.0%
103
2.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSCELTICS Rebound105
87.3%
103
12.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSMISS Green 2' Layup105
94.3%
103
5.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (37 PTS)105
85.9%
103
14.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
71.8%
103
28.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSMISS Bass Driving Layup103
65.4%
103
34.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)103
50.8%
103
49.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound103
70.2%
103
29.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)103
57.1%
103
42.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
69.3%
103
30.7%
Q4 - 1:08BOSMISS Green 1' Layup103
64.6%
103
35.4%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJames Layup (35 PTS)103
54.3%
103
45.7%
Q4 - 1:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
42.1%
103
57.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAGreen BLOCK (4 BLK)101
31.9%
103
68.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAHeat Rebound101
42.6%
103
57.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)101
32.6%
103
67.4%
Q4 - 1:49BOSBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 8 AST)101
44.6%
103
55.4%
Q4 - 2:01BOSCELTICS Rebound101
67.1%
100
32.9%
Q4 - 2:02BOSMISS Bradley Layup101
75.7%
100
24.3%
Q4 - 2:04BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
67.1%
100
32.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS James 2' Layup101
71.1%
100
28.9%
Q4 - 2:25BOSTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)101
79.4%
100
20.6%
Q4 - 2:40MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 12 AST)101
67.0%
100
33.0%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
47.4%
100
52.6%
Q4 - 2:48BOSMISS Green 1' Layup98
42.5%
100
57.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (James 11 AST)98
34.5%
100
65.5%
Q4 - 3:25BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
27.4%
100
72.6%
Q4 - 3:25BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 296
28.8%
99
71.2%
Q4 - 3:30BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
24.9%
99
75.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot96
34.1%
99
65.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
40.3%
99
59.7%
Q4 - 3:45BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
37.2%
99
62.8%
Q4 - 3:56MIALee STEAL (3 STL)96
30.4%
99
69.6%
Q4 - 3:58BOSTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)96
39.9%
99
60.1%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJames 1' Layup (33 PTS)96
30.0%
99
70.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
23.1%
99
76.9%
Q4 - 4:34BOSMISS Lee 1' Running Layup94
20.9%
99
79.1%
Q4 - 4:56MIAChalmers 5' Running Bank Shot (18 PTS) (James 10 AST)94
16.3%
99
83.7%
Q4 - 5:14BOSLee 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pierce 7 AST)92
16.3%
99
83.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIAJames Driving Layup (31 PTS)92
26.8%
96
73.2%
Q4 - 5:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
21.2%
96
78.8%
Q4 - 5:48BOSMISS Terry 7' Jump Shot90
19.4%
96
80.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)90
15.6%
96
84.4%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
25.5%
96
74.5%
Q4 - 6:07BOSMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
23.6%
96
76.4%
Q4 - 6:23MIABosh Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)90
19.6%
96
80.4%
Q4 - 6:41BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)88
15.5%
96
84.5%
Q4 - 6:41BOSCELTICS Rebound88
11.7%
96
88.3%
Q4 - 6:42BOSMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 7:08MIAJames 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
14.8%
96
85.2%
Q4 - 7:13BOSCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)86
11.8%
96
88.2%
Q4 - 7:15BOSCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS James 1' Layup86
9.8%
96
90.2%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound86
11.7%
96
88.3%
Q4 - 7:40BOSMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
10.8%
96
89.2%
Q4 - 7:59MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
8.9%
96
91.1%
Q4 - 8:27BOSCrawford 30' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)83
7.0%
96
93.0%
Q4 - 8:42BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
11.2%
93
88.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
12.0%
93
88.0%
Q4 - 9:06BOSGreen Reverse Layup (43 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)83
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 9:25BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot83
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 9:51BOSTerry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIABosh 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)83
30.3%
89
69.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAHeat Rebound81
25.7%
89
74.3%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Step Back Jump Shot81
22.8%
89
77.2%
Q4 - 10:32BOSCrawford 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)81
25.6%
89
74.4%
Q4 - 10:38BOSTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
30.2%
87
69.8%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
31.6%
87
68.4%
Q4 - 11:04BOSTerry 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)81
36.5%
87
63.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)81
41.6%
85
58.4%
Q4 - 11:43BOSGreen 3PT Jump Shot (41 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)78
31.6%
85
68.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
41.6%
82
58.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound78
46.8%
82
53.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 30' 3PT Jump Shot78
44.6%
82
55.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0BOSCrawford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)78
47.9%
82
52.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T13)78
43.0%
82
57.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
47.8%
82
52.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0BOSMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 278
47.2%
82
52.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0BOSMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 278
43.5%
82
56.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSCELTICS Rebound78
43.0%
82
57.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Cole Layup78
44.5%
82
55.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
47.8%
82
52.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
44.4%
82
55.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)78
47.8%
82
52.2%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)78
58.2%
79
41.8%
Q3 - 1:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
53.8%
79
46.2%
Q3 - 1:10BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 276
53.2%
79
46.8%
Q3 - 1:10BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
49.7%
79
50.3%
Q3 - 1:11BOSCELTICS Rebound76
53.9%
78
46.1%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
55.3%
78
44.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
58.6%
78
41.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 276
54.5%
78
45.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 276
57.7%
78
42.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
58.6%
78
41.4%
Q3 - 1:25BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot76
57.2%
78
42.8%
Q3 - 1:51MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
53.8%
78
46.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
53.3%
78
46.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
48.9%
78
51.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIACrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)74
45.5%
78
54.5%
Q3 - 2:03MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
50.1%
78
49.9%
Q3 - 2:04BOSMISS Crawford 14' Jump Shot74
48.6%
78
51.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAAllen 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)74
45.3%
78
54.7%
Q3 - 2:40BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)72
40.7%
78
59.3%
Q3 - 2:40BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)72
41.4%
77
58.6%
Q3 - 2:42MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)72
45.2%
76
54.8%
Q3 - 2:55BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)72
49.9%
76
50.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
51.3%
73
48.7%
Q3 - 3:34BOSMISS Lee 1' Layup69
49.9%
73
50.1%
Q3 - 3:43BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
46.7%
73
53.3%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
48.1%
73
51.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
51.3%
73
48.7%
Q3 - 3:57BOSMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot69
49.9%
73
50.1%
Q3 - 4:12MIAChalmers 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 9 AST)69
47.2%
73
52.8%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
43.6%
73
56.4%
Q3 - 4:18BOSMISS Bradley 1' Driving Layup67
42.1%
73
57.9%
Q3 - 4:34MIAJames 19' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
38.7%
73
61.3%
Q3 - 5:00BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)65
35.3%
73
64.7%
Q3 - 5:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup65
45.2%
70
54.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
48.5%
70
51.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot65
45.2%
70
54.8%
Q3 - 5:31BOSBradley Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)65
48.5%
70
51.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)65
52.0%
68
48.0%
Q3 - 5:49BOSPierce 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)65
56.8%
68
43.2%
Q3 - 6:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
60.9%
66
39.1%
Q3 - 6:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
60.2%
66
39.8%
Q3 - 6:34BOSPierce 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T10)63
60.9%
64
39.1%
Q3 - 7:05BOSLee Driving Layup (10 PTS)63
65.0%
64
35.0%
Q3 - 7:11MIALee STEAL (2 STL)63
68.2%
62
31.8%
Q3 - 7:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 7:19BOSMISS Green 1' Layup63
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJames 1' Layup (20 PTS)63
68.2%
62
31.8%
Q3 - 7:56BOSBradley Foul Turnover (P4.T16)61
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 8:14BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
61.3%
62
38.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 8:29BOSBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)61
65.2%
62
34.8%
Q3 - 8:49BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
61.3%
62
38.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot61
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
65.2%
62
34.8%
Q3 - 9:01BOSMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 261
64.8%
62
35.2%
Q3 - 9:01BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
62.4%
62
37.6%
Q3 - 9:04BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
65.1%
61
34.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup61
66.1%
61
33.9%
Q3 - 9:31BOSLee 8' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 9:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)61
71.4%
59
28.6%
Q3 - 10:07BOSBass Foul Turnover (P1.T14)59
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 10:18MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
65.8%
59
34.2%
Q3 - 10:30BOSBradley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)57
62.7%
59
37.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)57
59.0%
59
41.0%
Q3 - 10:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
55.8%
59
44.2%
Q3 - 10:53BOSMISS Bass 16' Turnaround Jump Shot55
54.6%
59
45.4%
Q3 - 11:03BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
53.4%
59
46.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot55
54.5%
59
45.5%
Q3 - 11:27BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P7.T12)55
56.9%
59
43.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS53
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Driving Layup (18 PTS)53
48.3%
59
51.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)51
44.0%
59
56.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
48.1%
57
51.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 151
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
44.0%
57
56.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0BOSMISS Lee 13' Jump Shot49
43.3%
57
56.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABass STEAL (1 STL)49
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T11)49
44.0%
57
56.0%
Q2 - 1:07BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q2 - 1:29BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)49
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q2 - 1:29BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)49
45.1%
56
54.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)49
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q2 - 2:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
43.1%
55
56.9%
Q2 - 2:03BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
42.2%
55
57.8%
Q2 - 2:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 2:36BOSTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T10)44
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q2 - 3:01BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P5.T9)42
33.2%
55
66.8%
Q2 - 3:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
30.1%
55
69.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 242
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q2 - 3:22BOSBass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)41
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 3:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
32.7%
53
67.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
28.0%
53
72.0%
Q2 - 3:54BOSMISS Bradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
27.1%
53
72.9%
Q2 - 4:00BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q2 - 4:01BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 238
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 4:01BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
27.3%
53
72.7%
Q2 - 4:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29.1%
52
70.9%
Q2 - 4:06BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
30.9%
52
69.0%
Q2 - 4:30MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)38
29.0%
52
71.0%
Q2 - 4:32BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)38
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q2 - 4:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
29.0%
52
71.0%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot38
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q2 - 4:57BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)38
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q2 - 5:02BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
38.0%
49
62.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup38
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)38
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q2 - 5:10BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)38
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)38
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 5:22BOSTerry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)37
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 5:23BOSTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q2 - 5:27MIATerry STEAL (2 STL)35
32.7%
48
67.3%
Q2 - 5:39BOSPierce 15' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)35
35.2%
48
64.8%
Q2 - 5:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 234
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 6:09BOSCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 6:09BOSMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 234
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 6:14MIAJames Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)34
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q2 - 6:32BOSPierce 14' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
36.4%
45
63.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIACole Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q2 - 6:57BOSLee 1' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade Running Dunk (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)30
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 7:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 7:46BOSMISS Lee 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot28
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 7:52BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34.8%
41
65.2%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot28
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 8:09BOSGreen Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)28
38.6%
41
61.4%
Q2 - 8:26MIAWade 3' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)28
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 8:37BOSMISS Wilcox 1' Alley Oop Layup26
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAJames Layup (9 PTS)26
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 9:13BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)24
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 9:18BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.6%
38
64.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
37.3%
38
62.7%
Q2 - 9:27BOSMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 10:10BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)21
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 10:21BOSTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)21
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 10:38BOSGreen 1' Layup (16 PTS)21
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 10:56BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
39.7%
33
60.3%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 221
40.1%
33
59.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
41.6%
33
58.4%
Q2 - 11:23BOSTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)21
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q2 - 11:42MIAAllen 24' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
44.8%
31
55.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
41.5%
31
58.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0BOSCrawford 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)19
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0BOSCELTICS Rebound19
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSMISS Green 1' Layup19
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0BOSTerry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)19
50.3%
27
49.7%
Q1 - 1:20BOSGreen 1' Layup (14 PTS)19
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q1 - 1:26BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS James 1' Turnaround Jump Shot19
56.2%
25
43.8%
Q1 - 1:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q1 - 1:45BOSMISS Bradley 12' Floating Jump Shot19
56.8%
25
43.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup19
56.2%
25
43.8%
Q1 - 2:19BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)19
58.0%
25
42.0%
Q1 - 2:28BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS James 22' Pullup Jump Shot19
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 2:49BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)19
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 3:31BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)19
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIALee STEAL (1 STL)19
70.8%
18
29.2%
Q1 - 3:53BOSGreen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)19
72.7%
18
27.3%
Q1 - 4:03BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot19
76.6%
15
23.4%
Q1 - 4:28BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 4:28BOSMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 219
77.9%
14
22.1%
Q1 - 4:40MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)19
77.6%
14
22.4%
Q1 - 5:03BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)16
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 5:09BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
72.3%
14
27.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot16
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
74.1%
14
25.9%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
72.9%
14
27.1%
Q1 - 5:43BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)16
74.1%
14
25.9%
Q1 - 5:55BOSCELTICS Rebound16
77.1%
11
22.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot16
77.6%
11
22.4%
Q1 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
78.7%
11
21.3%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup16
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 6:11BOSGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)16
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 6:30MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)16
76.8%
11
23.2%
Q1 - 6:47BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
75.5%
11
24.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
73.8%
11
26.2%
Q1 - 7:29BOSLee 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)12
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 7:37BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
73.8%
9
26.2%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot12
74.3%
9
25.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
75.5%
9
24.5%
Q1 - 7:55BOSMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 212
75.3%
9
24.7%
Q1 - 7:55BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
74.3%
9
25.7%
Q1 - 7:59BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
75.3%
8
24.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot12
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
77.1%
8
22.9%
Q1 - 8:06BOSMISS Bradley 13' Jump Shot12
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 8:12BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
75.7%
8
24.3%
Q1 - 8:13BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot12
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 8:27MIAJames Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)12
75.7%
8
24.3%
Q1 - 8:34BOSBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
74.3%
8
25.7%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames 1' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)10
72.7%
8
27.3%
Q1 - 8:58BOSLee 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 9:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
73.0%
6
27.0%
Q1 - 9:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
70.1%
6
29.9%
Q1 - 9:22BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
69.6%
6
30.4%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade 1' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
68.4%
6
31.6%
Q1 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
66.9%
6
33.1%
Q1 - 9:46BOSMISS Bradley 1' Layup3
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)3
65.5%
6
34.5%
Q1 - 10:30BOSBass 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)0
62.5%
6
37.5%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 11:02BOSBradley 21' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 11:07BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 11:08BOSMISS Bradley 2' Layup0
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 11:19BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot0
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHeat Rebound0
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 11:25MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:47BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)0
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Green vs. Bosh: Tip to Bradley0
70.3%
0
29.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
37
62%
BOS
15
28
54%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
BOS
14
23
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
BOS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
14
21
67%
BOS
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3760%18.5 / 31
M. Chalmers2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wade1647%8.0 / 17
C. Bosh1365%6.5 / 10
R. Allen643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green4383%21.5 / 26
P. Pierce1761%8.5 / 14
C. Lee1365%6.5 / 10
J. Terry975%4.5 / 6
J. Crawford844%4.0 / 9
A. Bradley732%3.5 / 11
B. Bass660%3.0 / 5
C. Wilcox0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-14
98
BOS
76
+8
-20
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
102.8
MIA 108.2 +1.0
BOS 107.3
Pace
90.9
92.1
MIA 91.8
BOS 101.8 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
MIA 15.7
BOS 14.1 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
50.3%
MIA 53.5%
BOS 61.1% +7.6%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
MIA 14.5% +5.8%
BOS 20.3%
ORB %
22.2%
20.2%
MIA 25.6% +13.5%
BOS 12.1%
FTrt
29.7
26.3
MIA 24.7
BOS 33.3 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
61.4%
MIA 59.5%
BOS 61.5% +2.0%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
MIA 11.3% +1.9%
BOS 9.4%
BLK %
9.1%
7.3%
MIA 13.7% +2.9%
BOS 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
52.6%
MIA 53.6%
BOS 61.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%
65.9%
57.1%
MIA 62.2% +8.6%
BOS 53.6%
Mid FG%
41.9%
43.3%
MIA 42.9%
BOS 60.9% +18.0%
3P %
39.6%
35.8%
MIA 35.0%
BOS 47.6% +12.6%
FT %
75.4%
77.7%
MIA 66.7% +4.2%
BOS 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
34.6%
MIA 43.5% +4.6%
BOS 38.9%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
43.9%
MIA 32.9%
BOS 31.9% +1.0%
3P Att. %
28.5%
21.5%
MIA 23.5%
BOS 29.2% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points105103
Rebounds3933
Assists2524
Steals119
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals42-8539-72
At-the-Rim FG23-3715-28
Midrange FG12-2814-23
2-Point FG35-6529-51
3-Point FG7-2010-21
Free Throws14-2115-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.3
37
60%
7
12
2
2
5
3
1
6
4-6
67%
15-25
60%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
36.9
13
65%
5
2
0
2
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
36.6
21
81%
3
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
4-5
80%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
35.5
16
47%
7
6
3
0
2
2
1
6
2-5
40%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
17.4
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
30.2
6
43%
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
16.5
6
60%
4
0
0
2
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
13.9
2
17%
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
10.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
39
25
11
7
14
0
10
29
14-21
67%
35-65
54%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.