for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 17, 2013
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Heat
65%99
108
14
Raptors
35%94
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09095.7
TOR logo TOR
100.09185.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORValanciunas 3' Layup (18 PTS)107
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)107
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28TORMISS Ross 18' Step Back Jump Shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36TORMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55TORRAPTORS Rebound105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06TORRoss 1' Running Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIALucas III STEAL (1 STL)105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26TORMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38TORRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07TORValanciunas 9' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39TORMISS Lucas III 19' Jump Shot105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16TORMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51TORMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 7 AST)102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21TORMISS Ross 15' Step Back Jump Shot99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)99
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:48TORMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot97
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)94
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Anderson 18' Pullup Jump Shot94
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 6:55TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot91
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q4 - 7:05MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
97.7%
79
2.3%
Q4 - 7:28TORRoss 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)89
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 7:50MIAHeat Rebound87
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q4 - 7:50TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 7:55TORLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
96.3%
77
3.7%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Hook Shot87
96.6%
77
3.4%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
96.5%
77
3.5%
Q4 - 8:06TORMISS Lucas III 18' Pullup Jump Shot87
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 8:13TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
95.5%
77
4.5%
Q4 - 8:14TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)87
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHeat Rebound84
92.8%
77
7.2%
Q4 - 8:53TORMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot84
92.3%
77
7.7%
Q4 - 9:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)84
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q4 - 9:26TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 9:46MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)84
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q4 - 10:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
84.0%
77
16.0%
Q4 - 10:06TORMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
83.0%
77
17.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)81
80.7%
77
19.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
77.0%
77
23.0%
Q4 - 10:28TORMISS DeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper79
75.7%
77
24.3%
Q4 - 10:52MIAAllen 6' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)79
72.7%
77
27.3%
Q4 - 11:08TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)77
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q4 - 11:08TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
68.5%
76
31.5%
Q4 - 11:23TORRAPTORS Rebound77
72.2%
75
27.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
72.8%
75
27.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
75.5%
75
24.5%
Q4 - 11:41TORJohnson Dunk (18 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)76
72.2%
75
27.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
76.4%
73
23.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
80.0%
73
20.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)76
82.8%
71
17.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot76
83.6%
71
16.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0TORMISS Gay 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot76
84.6%
71
15.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0TORGay REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
82.8%
71
17.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Allen 21' Pullup Jump Shot76
83.6%
71
16.4%
Q3 - 1:14TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
84.9%
71
15.1%
Q3 - 1:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)76
87.3%
69
12.7%
Q3 - 1:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)76
89.3%
69
10.7%
Q3 - 2:08MIAJames 17' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)76
91.8%
66
8.2%
Q3 - 2:28TORGay 2' Dunk (25 PTS)74
90.4%
66
9.6%
Q3 - 2:32MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)74
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
93.2%
64
6.8%
Q3 - 2:35TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 274
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 2:35TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 2:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Battier 3' Layup74
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q3 - 2:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
94.3%
63
5.7%
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot74
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q3 - 2:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)74
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 2:52TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot74
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q3 - 2:53TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)74
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 2:54TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot74
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q3 - 3:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)74
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
93.9%
63
6.1%
Q3 - 3:22TORMISS Gay 2' Alley Oop Layup74
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q3 - 3:30TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot74
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 3:50TORGay 11' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)74
93.9%
63
6.1%
Q3 - 4:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)74
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
94.7%
61
5.3%
Q3 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
95.4%
61
4.6%
Q3 - 4:26TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 273
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q3 - 4:46TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 5:06MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 5:18TORDeRozan Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T13)71
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)71
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 5:42TORValanciunas 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)69
89.2%
61
10.8%
Q3 - 5:44TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 5:45TORMISS DeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 6:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)69
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot69
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 6:17TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)69
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 6:35MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 6:49TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q3 - 7:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)66
88.7%
57
11.3%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot66
88.6%
57
11.4%
Q3 - 7:14TORValanciunas 2' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)66
89.7%
57
10.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)66
91.0%
55
9.0%
Q3 - 7:48TORGay 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (21 PTS)64
89.8%
55
10.2%
Q3 - 7:54TORGay REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
91.0%
53
9.0%
Q3 - 7:56TORMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot64
91.9%
53
8.1%
Q3 - 8:20MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)64
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 8:48TORJohnson 3' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)64
92.0%
53
8.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
92.6%
51
7.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 9:05TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound61
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 9:32TORMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 9:59MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 10:15TORGay 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 10:29MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)59
90.3%
48
9.7%
Q3 - 10:44TORGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)57
89.0%
48
11.0%
Q3 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound57
91.5%
45
8.5%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
92.2%
45
7.8%
Q3 - 11:11MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
91.2%
45
8.8%
Q3 - 11:21TORGay 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
90.1%
45
9.9%
Q3 - 11:35TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
91.2%
43
8.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
91.6%
43
8.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR55
92.3%
43
7.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
90.9%
43
9.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)52
88.1%
43
11.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)52
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Anderson 3' Driving Layup52
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)52
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 252
89.9%
41
10.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
90.7%
41
9.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0TORJohnson 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)51
89.5%
41
10.5%
Q2 - 1:04TORGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
90.6%
39
9.4%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 151
90.7%
39
9.3%
Q2 - 1:26TORRoss 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)49
89.1%
39
10.9%
Q2 - 1:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)49
90.7%
37
9.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS James 4' Driving Jump Shot49
90.9%
37
9.1%
Q2 - 1:48TORRoss 2' Layup (4 PTS)49
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 1:50TORRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
92.6%
35
7.4%
Q2 - 1:51TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup49
93.0%
35
7.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)49
92.6%
35
7.4%
Q2 - 2:15TORJohnson 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)49
92.9%
35
7.1%
Q2 - 2:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)49
93.7%
33
6.3%
Q2 - 2:18TORMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup49
94.2%
33
5.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)49
93.7%
33
6.3%
Q2 - 2:48TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
93.0%
33
7.0%
Q2 - 2:50TORGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
92.1%
33
7.9%
Q2 - 2:51TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
92.7%
33
7.3%
Q2 - 2:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
92.1%
33
7.9%
Q2 - 3:00MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)47
92.4%
33
7.6%
Q2 - 3:23TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
92.8%
33
7.2%
Q2 - 3:23TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup47
92.5%
33
7.5%
Q2 - 3:23TORGay 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)47
92.8%
33
7.2%
Q2 - 3:26TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 3:27TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot47
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 3:29TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 3:30TORMISS DeRozan 2' Layup47
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 3:32TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 3:33TORMISS DeRozan 3' Layup47
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 3:38MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 3:44TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)47
94.3%
31
5.7%
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
93.3%
31
6.7%
Q2 - 4:19TORJohnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)45
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
93.0%
29
7.0%
Q2 - 4:53TORGay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)43
92.5%
29
7.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
93.0%
27
7.0%
Q2 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
92.2%
27
7.8%
Q2 - 5:21TORMISS DeRozan 21' Step Back Jump Shot41
91.9%
27
8.1%
Q2 - 5:35TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
91.3%
27
8.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot41
91.6%
27
8.4%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJames Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)41
92.2%
27
7.8%
Q2 - 5:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
91.3%
27
8.7%
Q2 - 5:51TORMISS Lowry 4' Driving Jump Shot40
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIABosh 1' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
90.0%
27
10.0%
Q2 - 6:48TORFields Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)38
89.1%
27
10.9%
Q2 - 7:02TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 238
87.7%
27
12.3%
Q2 - 7:03MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
88.4%
27
11.6%
Q2 - 7:07TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)37
87.6%
27
12.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
86.3%
27
13.7%
Q2 - 7:51TORFields 9' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)35
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q2 - 7:59MIAAllen 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)35
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q2 - 8:12TORMISS Ross 3' Running Finger Roll Layup33
84.3%
25
15.7%
Q2 - 8:18MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)33
83.3%
25
16.7%
Q2 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound33
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q2 - 8:35TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
84.3%
25
15.7%
Q2 - 8:52TORRAPTORS Rebound33
83.3%
25
16.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
83.8%
25
16.2%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
84.5%
25
15.5%
Q2 - 9:12TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
84.1%
25
15.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIAAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
83.1%
25
16.9%
Q2 - 9:42TORValanciunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q2 - 10:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
84.3%
23
15.7%
Q2 - 10:16TORMISS Telfair 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
83.9%
23
16.1%
Q2 - 10:20TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q2 - 10:22TORMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
83.9%
23
16.1%
Q2 - 10:28TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
82.8%
23
17.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIATelfair BLOCK (1 BLK)31
83.2%
23
16.8%
Q2 - 10:45TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)31
84.3%
23
15.7%
Q2 - 11:00MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
85.4%
21
14.6%
Q2 - 11:23TORFields 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)29
84.0%
21
16.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)29
85.2%
19
14.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
84.0%
19
16.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound27
82.6%
19
17.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 32' 3PT Running Jump Shot27
83.6%
19
16.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
82.4%
19
17.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
82.1%
19
17.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0TORRoss 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)26
82.1%
19
17.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
83.8%
17
16.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
84.8%
17
15.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIACole 2' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)26
83.8%
17
16.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
82.0%
17
18.0%
Q1 - 1:13TORMISS Telfair 3' Driving Hook Shot24
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
80.9%
17
19.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
79.1%
17
20.9%
Q1 - 1:51TORMISS Johnson 2' Putback Dunk22
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 1:53TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
77.9%
17
22.1%
Q1 - 1:54TORMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot22
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 2:14MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)22
77.8%
17
22.2%
Q1 - 2:41TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)19
74.4%
17
25.6%
Q1 - 2:47TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
76.2%
15
23.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Driving Jump Shot19
76.7%
15
23.3%
Q1 - 3:06TORJohnson 2' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)19
78.0%
15
22.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)19
79.4%
13
20.6%
Q1 - 3:41TORGay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)17
77.9%
13
22.1%
Q1 - 3:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
76.3%
13
23.7%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
76.8%
13
23.2%
Q1 - 4:12TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)17
77.9%
13
22.1%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
76.3%
13
23.7%
Q1 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound15
74.7%
13
25.3%
Q1 - 4:48TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
74.2%
13
25.8%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)15
72.5%
13
27.5%
Q1 - 5:22TORValanciunas 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
69.2%
13
30.8%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
70.8%
11
29.2%
Q1 - 5:53TORJohnson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
69.2%
11
30.8%
Q1 - 5:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
70.9%
9
29.1%
Q1 - 5:55TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot10
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 5:57TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
70.9%
9
29.1%
Q1 - 5:58TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot10
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)10
70.8%
9
29.2%
Q1 - 6:32TORGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)10
72.6%
9
27.4%
Q1 - 6:34TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
75.5%
6
24.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
76.0%
6
24.0%
Q1 - 6:45TORGay 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
77.1%
6
22.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:04TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot8
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS James 1' Running Reverse Layup6
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 7:49TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)6
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 7:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot6
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 8:21MIAHeat Rebound6
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 8:22TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot6
74.1%
4
25.9%
Q1 - 8:36TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:48TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
74.5%
4
25.5%
Q1 - 8:50TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Bosh 1' Running Layup6
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 9:08TORValanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 9:19TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 9:20TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Tip Shot6
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 9:22TORMISS Lowry 2' Layup6
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:35MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 9:48MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 9:58TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)3
73.3%
2
26.7%
Q1 - 10:02TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:03TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot3
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 10:18TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot3
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
73.3%
2
26.7%
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot3
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 10:42MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)3
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 11:04TORGay 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 11:28MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 11:41TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Johnson vs. Bosh: Tip to Valanciunas0
70.5%
0
29.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.7%
TOR
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
TOR
24
42
57%
Midrange
MIA
14
25
56%
TOR
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
TOR
2
3.0
20
10%
15%
Free Throws
MIA
20
29
69%
TOR
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2471%12.0 / 17
L. James2265%11.0 / 17
R. Allen2091%10.0 / 11
C. Bosh1875%9.0 / 12
C. Andersen7117%3.5 / 3
S. Battier675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers110%0.5 / 5
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2764%13.5 / 21
A. Johnson1850%9.0 / 18
J. Valančiūnas1890%9.0 / 10
D. DeRozan1233%6.0 / 18
T. Ross1255%6.0 / 11
L. Fields4100%2.0 / 2
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 7
A. Anderson0-0.0 / 6
J. Lucas III0-0.0 / 3
S. Telfair0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+2
-12
80
TOR
75
+26
-16
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.7%
TOR
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
105.6
MIA 120.0 +20.0
TOR 100.0
Pace
90.9
90.7
MIA 95.7 +9.8
TOR 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 15.0 +1.7
TOR 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.8%
MIA 65.7% +23.1%
TOR 42.6%
TO %
14.5%
14.4%
MIA 13.1% +0.8%
TOR 13.9%
ORB %
22.2%
25.6%
MIA 6.9%
TOR 50.0% +43.1%
FTrt
29.7
27.4
MIA 43.3 +30.5
TOR 12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
59.2%
MIA 79.5% +41.0%
TOR 38.5%
STL %
9.5%
7.9%
MIA 8.9% +3.4%
TOR 5.5%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
MIA 2.7%
TOR 4.4% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
51.9%
MIA 66.7% +21.7%
TOR 45.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
59.3%
MIA 75.0% +17.9%
TOR 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.2%
MIA 56.0% +15.4%
TOR 40.6%
3P %
39.6%
34.3%
MIA 45.5% +35.5%
TOR 10.0%
FT %
75.4%
78.8%
MIA 69.0%
TOR 91.7% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
32.6%
MIA 29.9%
TOR 44.7% +14.8%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
42.5%
MIA 37.3%
TOR 34.0% +3.3%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.9%
MIA 32.8% +11.6%
TOR 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points10891
Rebounds2651
Assists3115
Steals85
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (0)24 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)27 (4)
Field Goals39-6739-94
At-the-Rim FG15-2024-42
Midrange FG14-2513-32
2-Point FG29-4537-74
3-Point FG10-222-20
Free Throws20-2911-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
1 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
34.6
24
71%
3
8
1
0
2
3
0
3
4-6
67%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
33.8
22
65%
12
8
2
0
3
1
1
11
8-11
73%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
Chris Bosh
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
28.6
18
75%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
25.3
1
10%
2
7
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
18.4
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
24.6
20
91%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
24.1
6
75%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
19.0
6
60%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
15.5
7
117%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
4.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
4.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jarvis Varnado
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
67%
26
31
8
2
12
0
2
24
20-29
69%
29-45
64%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.