FinalWin Prob.pScore
162%102
107
1238%98
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.68885.0
MIL logo MIL
109.38689.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (26 PTS)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILMISS Smith 2' Layup107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51MILJennings 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (20 PTS)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MILJennings 1' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:03MILMISS Sanders Layup99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWade Layup (18 PTS)99
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:46MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)97
98.3%
88
1.7%
Q4 - 3:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)97
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup97
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 4:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup97
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot97
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 4:25MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot97
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 4:42MILRedick 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)97
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 5:03MIABattier 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 5:16MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)95
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 5:16MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)95
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup95
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 5:31MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 5:50MILMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS)92
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 6:30MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)90
96.6%
81
3.4%
Q4 - 6:47MIABosh 5' Running Hook Shot (28 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 7:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
95.9%
79
4.1%
Q4 - 7:10MILMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot88
95.5%
79
4.5%
Q4 - 7:29MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)88
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q4 - 7:35MILJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)88
95.9%
79
4.1%
Q4 - 7:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)88
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Allen Layup88
95.0%
79
5.0%
Q4 - 8:02MIAHeat Rebound88
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIADunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)88
94.0%
79
6.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
95.0%
79
5.0%
Q4 - 8:14MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
93.6%
79
6.4%
Q4 - 8:14MILMISS Udoh 1' Tip Shot88
94.6%
79
5.4%
Q4 - 8:15MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup88
94.6%
79
5.4%
Q4 - 8:27MIABattier 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)88
93.6%
79
6.4%
Q4 - 8:53MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)85
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)85
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 284
93.9%
75
6.1%
Q4 - 9:29MILIlyasova 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)84
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q4 - 9:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)84
95.4%
73
4.6%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Battier 3' Layup84
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 10:03MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 10:03MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
95.9%
72
4.1%
Q4 - 10:15MILJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper84
96.8%
71
3.2%
Q4 - 10:50MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
97.3%
71
2.7%
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 284
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 10:53MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 11:01MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)84
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 11:07MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot84
96.9%
70
3.1%
Q4 - 11:29MILUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 11:29MILUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
97.5%
69
2.5%
Q4 - 11:49MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)84
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL84
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound84
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 14' Jump Shot84
98.2%
68
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)84
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot84
98.2%
68
1.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 283
97.5%
68
2.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
97.5%
68
2.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAJames Layup (23 PTS)83
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
97.5%
66
2.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot81
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q3 - 1:07MILMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q3 - 1:48MILRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)78
95.1%
66
4.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)78
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q3 - 2:03MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)76
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)76
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 2:28MILMISS Udoh 1' Layup73
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAJames Layup (19 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)73
90.8%
63
9.2%
Q3 - 3:00MILRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)71
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q3 - 3:00MILRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)71
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 3:00MILRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)71
89.5%
61
10.5%
Q3 - 3:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)71
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHeat Rebound71
93.0%
60
7.0%
Q3 - 3:28MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
92.6%
60
7.4%
Q3 - 3:40MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 4:07MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
92.7%
60
7.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWade 1' Dunk (14 PTS)71
94.6%
57
5.4%
Q3 - 4:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
93.8%
57
6.2%
Q3 - 4:38MILMISS Ilyasova Layup69
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 4:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 4:41MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup69
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
92.3%
57
7.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHeat Rebound67
90.8%
57
9.2%
Q3 - 5:12MILMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 5:24MILJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 5:25MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup67
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 5:30MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot67
89.7%
57
10.3%
Q3 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
90.9%
57
9.1%
Q3 - 5:40MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot67
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 5:44MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 5:46MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot67
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 6:00MILJennings Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)67
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 6:00MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
91.7%
56
8.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup67
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot67
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 6:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
91.7%
56
8.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 267
91.5%
56
8.5%
Q3 - 6:25MILDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 6:27MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
91.5%
55
8.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS James Slam Dunk67
92.0%
55
8.0%
Q3 - 6:48MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 6:48MILIlyasova 1' Layup (15 PTS)67
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 6:51MILMISS Jennings 2' Layup67
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)67
93.2%
53
6.8%
Q3 - 7:16MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
89.7%
53
10.3%
Q3 - 7:16MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
89.9%
52
10.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 5 AST)63
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 7:52MILDaniels 1' Layup (13 PTS)61
89.8%
51
10.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)61
91.0%
49
9.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
92.0%
49
8.0%
Q3 - 8:06MILMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot61
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 8:46MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
89.4%
49
10.6%
Q3 - 8:46MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q3 - 9:04MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)59
90.3%
47
9.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
89.0%
47
11.0%
Q3 - 9:11MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
88.5%
47
11.5%
Q3 - 9:20MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot57
87.9%
47
12.1%
Q3 - 9:34MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)57
89.0%
47
11.0%
Q3 - 9:47MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
91.5%
44
8.5%
Q3 - 9:48MILMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot57
92.3%
44
7.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)57
91.3%
44
8.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHeat Rebound57
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Chalmers 29' 3PT Jump Shot57
91.6%
44
8.4%
Q3 - 10:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q3 - 10:35MILMISS Ilyasova 14' Jump Shot57
92.1%
44
7.9%
Q3 - 10:52MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)57
91.3%
44
8.7%
Q3 - 11:19MILIlyasova 9' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)54
88.5%
44
11.5%
Q3 - 11:31MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)54
89.8%
42
10.2%
Q3 - 11:45MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)52
88.5%
42
11.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
87.0%
42
13.0%
Q3 - 11:47MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup51
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
85.3%
42
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound51
87.0%
42
13.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 29' 3PT Jump Shot51
85.9%
42
14.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILEllis 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)51
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILBUCKS Rebound51
88.1%
40
11.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot51
88.7%
40
11.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)51
88.1%
40
11.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers Layup (5 PTS)50
86.7%
40
13.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
83.3%
40
16.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot48
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILSanders 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)48
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q2 - 1:01MIAJames 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
86.3%
38
13.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot46
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q2 - 1:39MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:39MILSanders 1' Layup (2 PTS)46
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:40MILMISS Sanders 5' Hook Shot46
87.0%
36
13.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)46
86.4%
36
13.6%
Q2 - 2:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 2:20MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot44
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 2:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
82.3%
36
17.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
82.9%
36
17.1%
Q2 - 2:43MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)44
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
82.3%
36
17.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
80.5%
36
19.5%
Q2 - 3:12MILMISS Redick 14' Jump Shot42
79.8%
36
20.2%
Q2 - 3:33MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)42
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
76.4%
36
23.6%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup40
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 4:00MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup40
74.4%
36
25.6%
Q2 - 4:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
76.1%
36
23.9%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Ellis Layup40
75.4%
36
24.6%
Q2 - 4:18MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot40
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 4:38MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
76.1%
36
23.9%
Q2 - 4:43MIAEllis STEAL (2 STL)40
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
76.1%
36
23.9%
Q2 - 4:57MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup40
75.4%
36
24.6%
Q2 - 5:16MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 5:16MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
73.2%
36
26.8%
Q2 - 5:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 5:39MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
70.9%
36
29.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHenson STEAL (1 STL)38
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q2 - 5:57MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)38
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 5:57MILHenson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 5:59MILMISS Ellis 7' Jump Shot38
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)38
73.4%
34
26.6%
Q2 - 6:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 6:40MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
70.8%
34
29.2%
Q2 - 6:44MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
68.9%
34
31.1%
Q2 - 6:45MILMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
70.8%
34
29.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
68.6%
34
31.4%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.0%
34
33.0%
Q2 - 7:16MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
66.2%
34
33.8%
Q2 - 7:29MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
64.3%
34
35.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAUdoh BLOCK (1 BLK)34
65.1%
34
34.9%
Q2 - 8:01MILRedick 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)34
66.8%
34
33.2%
Q2 - 8:15MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
71.1%
31
28.9%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot34
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 8:39MILEllis 1' Layup (5 PTS)34
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)34
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
77.2%
29
22.8%
Q2 - 8:48MILMISS Udoh 3' Jump Shot34
76.6%
29
23.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 9:19MILHenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)34
77.0%
29
23.0%
Q2 - 9:19MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Udoh 8' Jump Shot34
76.4%
29
23.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIAJames Reverse Dunk (13 PTS)34
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 10:02MILUdoh 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)32
73.1%
29
26.9%
Q2 - 10:05MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 10:06MILMISS Redick 4' Jump Shot32
76.2%
27
23.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)32
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 10:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q2 - 10:41MILMISS Redick 1' Layup29
70.4%
27
29.6%
Q2 - 10:50MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot29
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.7%
27
29.3%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Henson 4' Hook Shot29
70.1%
27
29.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)29
68.6%
27
31.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Henson 1' Layup26
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL26
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJennings BLOCK (1 BLK)26
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)26
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
68.7%
24
31.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)24
66.2%
24
33.8%
Q1 - 1:03MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot24
71.2%
21
28.8%
Q1 - 1:25MILJennings 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)24
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 1:53MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)24
74.5%
19
25.5%
Q1 - 2:19MILIlyasova Layup (8 PTS)21
70.6%
19
29.4%
Q1 - 2:20MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
72.6%
17
27.4%
Q1 - 2:22MILMISS Udoh 11' Jump Shot21
73.8%
17
26.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJames 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)21
72.6%
17
27.4%
Q1 - 3:09MILIlyasova 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)19
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 3:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
72.6%
15
27.4%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 219
72.8%
15
27.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
74.1%
15
25.9%
Q1 - 3:46MILEllis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)18
72.7%
15
27.3%
Q1 - 3:59MIAJames Dunk (4 PTS)18
76.0%
12
24.0%
Q1 - 4:08MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)16
74.3%
12
25.7%
Q1 - 4:29MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)16
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 4:48MILIlyasova Layup (2 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)14
74.3%
10
25.7%
Q1 - 4:59MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)14
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 5:21MILDaniels Layup (8 PTS)12
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 5:26MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)12
75.3%
6
24.7%
Q1 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 5:40MILMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot12
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 5:51MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
75.3%
6
24.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS James 1' Layup12
75.8%
6
24.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 5:57MILMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
73.5%
6
26.5%
Q1 - 6:36MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot10
72.9%
6
27.1%
Q1 - 6:42MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
71.7%
6
28.3%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
72.9%
6
27.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
71.7%
6
28.3%
Q1 - 7:20MILDaniels 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)8
70.3%
6
29.7%
Q1 - 7:25MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.6%
4
28.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIASanders BLOCK (1 BLK)8
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 7:43MILDaniels Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)8
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:04MIABosh Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 8:16MILJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 8:23MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade Layup6
69.3%
4
30.7%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 8:35MILMISS Sanders 14' Jump Shot6
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 8:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
69.3%
4
30.7%
Q1 - 9:13MILDaniels 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 9:14MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 9:15MILMISS Daniels 1' Layup6
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:37MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 16
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot4
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:56MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 9:57MILMISS Ilyasova 7' Jump Shot4
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:06MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot4
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 10:24MILDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)4
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 10:32MIASanders STEAL (1 STL)4
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 10:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 10:35MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 10:51MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot4
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:09MIAHeat Rebound4
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 11:09MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 11:09MILMISS Ilyasova Layup4
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 11:10MILMISS Sanders 17' Jump Shot4
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAJames Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 11:31MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
67.4%
0
32.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
MIL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
35
60%
MIL
18
43
42%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
MIL
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
MIL
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2854%14.0 / 26
C. Bosh2882%14.0 / 17
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
S. Battier990%4.5 / 5
M. Chalmers758%3.5 / 6
R. Allen750%3.5 / 7
C. Andersen5125%2.5 / 2
N. Cole350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova2657%13.0 / 23
B. Jennings2158%10.5 / 18
M. Daniels1458%7.0 / 12
J. Redick1464%7.0 / 11
M. Ellis732%3.5 / 11
L. Sanders630%3.0 / 10
E. Udoh429%2.0 / 7
J. Henson233%1.0 / 3
M. Dunleavy0-0.0 / 2
I. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-11
88
MIL
76
+21
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
MIL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
103.6
MIA 121.6 +12.3
MIL 109.3
Pace
90.9
94.8
MIA 85.0
MIL 89.2 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 16.9
MIL 16.2 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.6%
MIA 56.3% +14.2%
MIL 42.1%
TO %
14.5%
14.3%
MIA 11.9%
MIL 9.2% +2.7%
ORB %
22.2%
28.0%
MIA 21.6%
MIL 36.5% +14.9%
FTrt
29.7
23.6
MIA 27.8 +4.2
MIL 23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.0%
MIA 58.5% +4.0%
MIL 54.5%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
MIA 8.0% +1.0%
MIL 7.0%
BLK %
9.1%
10.1%
MIA 7.8% +1.5%
MIL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.7%
MIA 60.1% +13.1%
MIL 47.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
54.6%
MIA 60.0% +18.1%
MIL 41.9%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.8%
MIA 44.8% +16.2%
MIL 28.6%
3P %
39.6%
36.0%
MIA 46.7% +10.7%
MIL 36.0%
FT %
75.4%
73.6%
MIA 81.8%
MIL 90.5% +8.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.4%
MIA 44.3%
MIL 48.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
38.3%
MIA 36.7%
MIL 23.6% +13.1%
3P Att. %
28.5%
23.2%
MIA 19.0%
MIL 28.1% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8886
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points10794
Rebounds4148
Assists2418
Steals76
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals41-7933-89
At-the-Rim FG21-3518-43
Midrange FG13-296-21
2-Point FG34-6424-64
3-Point FG7-159-25
Free Throws18-2219-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
38.2
28
54%
10
7
0
1
2
1
1
9
4-5
80%
12-22
55%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
35.7
28
82%
7
0
1
2
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
10-13
77%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
33.3
20
53%
7
9
2
1
2
0
3
4
4-5
80%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
26.5
7
58%
3
3
2
0
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
21.7
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
27.1
7
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
22.3
9
90%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
16.3
5
125%
5
1
0
1
2
5
0
5
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
13.3
3
50%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
5.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
41
24
7
5
11
0
8
33
18-22
82%
34-64
53%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.