FinalWin Prob.pScore
2714%92
104
386%107
117
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
101.0103109.7
OKC logo OKC
113.610397.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC104
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)104
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Afflalo 3' Layup104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0OKCDurant Driving Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Harris 3' Driving Jump Shot104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)104
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)104
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33OKCIbaka Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)104
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 1:35OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 1:37OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 1:37OKCSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)104
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 1:38OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)104
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:41ORLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)104
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 1:45ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 1:47ORLMISS Afflalo 8' Jump Shot104
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 2:07OKCWestbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)104
1.2%
112
98.8%
Q4 - 2:34ORLHarris 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)104
2.8%
109
97.2%
Q4 - 2:38ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
2.1%
109
97.9%
Q4 - 2:39OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 3:00OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot102
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 3:19OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)102
2.4%
109
97.6%
Q4 - 3:37ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)102
6.7%
106
93.3%
Q4 - 3:53OKCPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16)99
3.3%
106
96.7%
Q4 - 4:14OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 4:15ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Floating Jump Shot99
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 4:27OKCDurant 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)99
3.2%
106
96.8%
Q4 - 4:30OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
4.4%
104
95.6%
Q4 - 4:32ORLIbaka BLOCK (3 BLK)99
5.0%
104
95.0%
Q4 - 4:43OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)99
6.5%
104
93.5%
Q4 - 4:43OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 299
7.1%
103
92.9%
Q4 - 4:48OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
6.3%
103
93.7%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot99
7.1%
103
92.9%
Q4 - 5:07ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 5:08OKCMISS Perkins 2' Layup99
9.3%
103
90.7%
Q4 - 5:23OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
7.4%
103
92.6%
Q4 - 5:24ORLMISS Nelson 22' Pullup Jump Shot99
8.2%
103
91.8%
Q4 - 5:30ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)99
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 5:31OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
9.3%
103
90.7%
Q4 - 5:56OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
7.3%
103
92.7%
Q4 - 5:57ORLMISS Afflalo 14' Pullup Jump Shot99
8.1%
103
91.9%
Q4 - 6:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
10.8%
103
89.2%
Q4 - 6:05OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup99
9.9%
103
90.1%
Q4 - 6:20ORLAfflalo 1' Layup (20 PTS)99
8.0%
103
92.0%
Q4 - 6:23OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)97
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 6:39ORLHarkless 1' Layup (12 PTS)97
4.5%
103
95.5%
Q4 - 6:41ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 6:43ORLMISS Harkless 1' Driving Layup95
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 6:54ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 6:55OKCMISS Jackson 2' Driving Jump Shot95
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 7:08OKCJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Moore 21' Jump Shot95
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 7:26OKCCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)95
3.9%
103
96.1%
Q4 - 7:29OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 7:30OKCMISS Jackson 20' Pullup Jump Shot95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 7:39OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 7:40ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 7:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
3.9%
103
96.1%
Q4 - 7:48OKCMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 8:10ORLNelson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)95
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 8:15ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 8:17OKCMISS Fisher 21' Jump Shot93
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 8:28ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)93
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 8:40OKCMartin 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 8:50ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 8:50ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMagic Rebound91
3.0%
101
97.0%
Q4 - 9:05OKCMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot91
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 9:31ORLNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)91
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 9:36ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 9:37OKCMISS Collison 1' Layup88
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 9:51OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot88
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 10:08OKCMartin 18' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 10:17OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 10:18ORLMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot88
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 10:39OKCJones 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)88
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 10:53ORLAfflalo 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)88
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 11:13OKCCollison 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)86
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 11:25OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 11:26ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 11:32OKCMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)86
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 11:46ORLAfflalo 13' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC84
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound84
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0OKCWestbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHarris 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0OKCDurant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)82
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q3 - 1:03ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q3 - 1:09ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q3 - 1:10OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Layup80
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q3 - 1:11OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q3 - 1:13OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup80
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q3 - 1:36ORLAfflalo 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)80
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q3 - 1:57ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q3 - 1:58OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 278
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q3 - 1:58OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 2:12ORLAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q3 - 2:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)76
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q3 - 2:22OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Pullup Jump Shot76
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 2:35ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)76
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 2:35ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 2:37ORLMISS Afflalo 20' Pullup Jump Shot73
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 2:43ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 2:44OKCMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot73
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 3:06ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 3:06ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 3:23OKCIbaka 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)71
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 3:33OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 3:34ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 3:50OKCDurant 13' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 4:13ORLVucevic 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)71
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMagic Rebound69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMISS Nelson 7' Fadeaway Jumper69
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 4:40OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 4:40OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 269
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 4:55ORLAfflalo 1' Layup (10 PTS)69
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 4:56OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 5:10ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 5:10ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 5:24ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 5:25OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Layup65
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 5:42ORLMoore 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)65
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 5:47OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)63
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 5:54OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 5:55ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot63
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 6:09OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)63
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 6:22OKCMISS Durant Free Throw Technical63
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 6:27OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 6:28ORLMISS Moore 3PT Jump Shot63
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 6:35ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 6:36OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 6:53ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)63
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 7:05OKCPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 7:05OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 261
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:05ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Technical61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:13OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:15ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:19ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:21OKCMISS Sefolosha 2' Layup61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:27OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:28ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 7:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:50OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 261
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:50OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 261
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 8:06OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 8:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 8:22OKCIbaka 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)61
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 8:23OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Finger Roll Layup61
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 8:29OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 8:30ORLMISS Afflalo 17' Pullup Jump Shot61
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 8:39ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 8:41OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Pullup Jump Shot61
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 9:00OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 9:01ORLMISS Harris 6' Turnaround Jump Shot61
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 9:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 9:11OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 161
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 9:22OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 9:22ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 261
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 9:22ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 9:27OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 9:49ORLVucevic 1' Layup (14 PTS)60
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 9:51ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 9:52ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot58
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 10:07OKCIbaka 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)58
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 10:19OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 10:20ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot58
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 10:40OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 10:40OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 10:50OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 10:51ORLMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot58
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 11:08OKCSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 11:28ORLAfflalo 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 11:43OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 11:43OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 256
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL56
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0OKCDurant Layup (12 PTS)54
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLDurant STEAL (3 STL)54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)54
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLNelson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q2 - 1:14OKCWestbrook 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)51
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q2 - 1:24OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q2 - 1:25OKCMISS Ibaka 19' Jump Shot51
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q2 - 1:45ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)51
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q2 - 1:59OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q2 - 1:59OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 2:00OKCTHUNDER Rebound49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q2 - 2:01OKCMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot49
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q2 - 2:25ORLAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q2 - 2:39OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q2 - 2:39OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q2 - 2:49ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q2 - 2:49ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q2 - 2:49ORLMagic Rebound45
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q2 - 2:50OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Jump Shot45
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q2 - 2:54OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q2 - 2:56ORLIbaka BLOCK (2 BLK)45
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q2 - 3:15OKCSefolosha 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)45
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q2 - 3:19ORLDurant STEAL (2 STL)45
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q2 - 3:30OKCPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q2 - 3:37OKCTHUNDER Rebound45
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q2 - 3:38OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q2 - 3:54ORLHarkless 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)45
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q2 - 3:57OKCPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q2 - 4:07OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)41
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 4:26OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 241
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 241
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q2 - 4:38ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 4:39OKCMISS Durant 8' Driving Jump Shot41
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 5:01ORLAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)41
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q2 - 5:21OKCIbaka 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 5:36ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q2 - 5:36ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q2 - 5:53OKCWestbrook 16' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q2 - 6:16ORLHarkless 1' Layup (7 PTS)37
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 6:19OKCMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 6:22OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 6:29ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 6:31OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q2 - 6:40OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 6:41ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 6:52ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q2 - 6:53OKCMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q2 - 7:03ORLHarris 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)35
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q2 - 7:21OKCCollison 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)33
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 7:31ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)33
1.2%
57
98.8%
Q2 - 7:42OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q2 - 7:42OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 7:54ORLFisher STEAL (1 STL)30
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 8:10OKCMartin 1' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 8:25OKCJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
1.4%
53
98.6%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMISS Udrih 15' Pullup Jump Shot30
1.5%
53
98.5%
Q2 - 8:48OKCMartin 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 9:01OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 9:10OKCJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 9:22OKCJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 9:24ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 9:39OKCJackson 1' Dunk (4 PTS)30
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 9:43ORLJackson STEAL (2 STL)30
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 10:04OKCJones 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)30
2.5%
49
97.5%
Q2 - 10:18ORLUdrih 1' Layup (2 PTS)30
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 10:20ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 10:21ORLMISS Udrih 2' Driving Reverse Layup28
2.3%
47
97.7%
Q2 - 10:40OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 10:40OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 10:45ORLJackson STEAL (1 STL)28
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 10:54OKCFisher 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 11:02OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 11:03ORLMISS Udrih 13' Pullup Jump Shot28
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 11:16OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 11:16OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 11:29ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 11:29ORLJones 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)28
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 11:31ORLMISS Moore 3' Driving Layup26
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 11:46OKCJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 11:46OKCJones 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 11:47OKCMISS Martin 23' Jump Shot26
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMartin 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLVucevic 3' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
5.1%
37
94.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)24
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Moore 23' Jump Shot24
5.2%
35
94.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0OKCFisher 23' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
5.4%
35
94.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q1 - 1:09OKCJones 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)24
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q1 - 1:24ORLVucevic 3' Layup (6 PTS)24
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q1 - 1:45OKCMartin Free Throw 3 of 3 (1 PTS)22
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 1:45OKCMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 322
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 1:45OKCMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 322
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q1 - 2:00OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 2:01ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 2:11ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.2%
30
92.8%
Q1 - 2:11OKCMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot22
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 2:27OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 2:28ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 2:49OKCDurant 13' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
7.2%
30
92.8%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHarkless 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)22
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 3:24ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 3:26OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Pullup Jump Shot19
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 3:32OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMISS Afflalo 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot19
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q1 - 3:49OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHarris Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)19
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 4:08OKCSefolosha 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)19
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q1 - 4:14OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Afflalo 7' Floating Jump Shot19
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 4:30OKCWestbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 4:51ORLNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 5:03OKCIbaka Dunk (8 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)16
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 5:18ORLVucevic 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 5:28OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 5:28OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 214
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 5:46ORLHarkless 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)14
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 6:01OKCPerkins 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)12
8.4%
18
91.6%
Q1 - 6:14ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 6:33OKCPerkins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)9
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 6:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 6:46ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 6:48ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
7.3%
14
92.7%
Q1 - 7:02OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
7.8%
14
92.2%
Q1 - 7:02OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
7.9%
13
92.1%
Q1 - 7:12OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Vucevic 21' Jump Shot7
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 7:23OKCIbaka 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)7
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:43ORLAfflalo 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 7:57ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 7:58OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 8:01OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
8.1%
10
91.9%
Q1 - 8:02OKCMISS Durant 6' Jump Shot5
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 8:18ORLAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
8.1%
10
91.9%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.8%
10
91.2%
Q1 - 8:35OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 25
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 8:35OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
8.2%
10
91.8%
Q1 - 8:47OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
8.7%
9
91.3%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot5
8.9%
9
91.1%
Q1 - 9:04OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)5
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 9:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.0%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 9:35OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)5
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 9:43ORLDurant STEAL (1 STL)5
10.0%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 10:04OKCDurant 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 10:05OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 10:06OKCMISS Durant 2' Layup5
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 10:23ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 10:36OKCWestbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)3
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:43OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:44ORLIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)3
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 10:51ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 10:52OKCMISS Perkins 14' Jump Shot3
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:04ORLHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)3
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:26OKCWestbrook 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)0
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 11:43OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Ibaka vs. Vucevic: Tip to Nelson0
11.7%
0
88.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.01 50.5%
OKC
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
24
34
71%
OKC
23
33
70%
Midrange
ORL
9
31
29%
OKC
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
OKC
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
ORL
17
21
81%
OKC
29
43
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2659%13.0 / 22
N. Vučević2162%10.5 / 17
A. Afflalo2042%10.0 / 24
T. Harris1963%9.5 / 15
M. Harkless1255%6.0 / 11
E. Moore217%1.0 / 6
B. Udrih220%1.0 / 5
D. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2665%13.0 / 20
R. Westbrook2355%11.5 / 21
S. Ibaka2077%10.0 / 13
K. Martin1563%7.5 / 12
P. Jones III880%4.0 / 5
N. Collison758%3.5 / 6
K. Perkins542%2.5 / 6
T. Sefolosha550%2.5 / 5
D. Fisher467%2.0 / 3
R. Jackson450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
93
+8
-10
101
OKC
86
+10
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.01 50.5%
OKC
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
111.9
ORL 101.0
OKC 113.6 +12.6
Pace
91.9
93.9
ORL 109.7 +12.6
OKC 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.5
ORL 13.1 +1.7
OKC 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
52.7%
ORL 47.3%
OKC 57.9% +10.6%
TO %
15.2%
15.5%
ORL 9.0% +6.9%
OKC 15.9%
ORB %
25.4%
26.6%
ORL 13.7%
OKC 23.5% +9.8%
FTrt
19.7
33.8
ORL 22.8
OKC 56.6 +33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
56.1%
ORL 30.0%
OKC 50.0% +20.0%
STL %
7.0%
8.8%
ORL 11.7% +5.9%
OKC 5.8%
BLK %
7.0%
12.0%
ORL 0.0%
OKC 6.2% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
56.4%
ORL 50.5%
OKC 59.7% +9.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.2%
ORL 70.6% +0.9%
OKC 69.7%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.8%
ORL 29.0%
OKC 50.0% +21.0%
3P %
32.9%
37.7%
ORL 25.9%
OKC 30.8% +4.9%
FT %
75.5%
82.8%
ORL 81.0% +13.6%
OKC 67.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
35.7%
ORL 37.0%
OKC 43.4% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
39.9%
ORL 33.7% +5.8%
OKC 39.5%
3P Att. %
22.3%
24.4%
ORL 29.3% +12.2%
OKC 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsORLOKC
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points104117
Rebounds3352
Assists1221
Steals126
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)44 (2)
Field Goals40-9242-76
At-the-Rim FG24-3423-33
Midrange FG9-3115-30
2-Point FG33-6538-63
3-Point FG7-274-13
Free Throws17-2129-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 190 · 31
44.9
26
59%
4
7
0
0
3
5
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
5-12
42%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
41.6
20
42%
3
3
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
10-18
56%
0-6
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
41.5
21
62%
14
1
1
0
1
3
3
11
5-5
100%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 21
40.1
19
63%
6
0
3
0
2
3
0
6
10-10
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
32.3
12
55%
2
0
6
0
1
5
1
1
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24
16.7
2
17%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
6.0
2
20%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 21
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 221 · 23
2.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
F · 6'10" 220 · 34
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
33
12
12
0
10
0
7
26
17-21
81%
33-65
51%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.