FinalWin Prob.pScore
1624%92
81
176%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
85.395104.2
MIA logo MIA
102.19688.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Mack Free Throw 1 of 280
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Mack 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLMISS Scott 5' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAAnthony 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAAnthony 2' Layup (4 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Lewis 7' Running Hook Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20ATLJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T24)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLJenkins 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Jenkins 21' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15ATLMiller STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAAnthony 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Cole 7' Running Jump Shot78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58ATLScott 2' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Anthony 12' Hook Shot76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23ATLScott 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Allen Driving Layup74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20ATLJenkins 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45ATLJenkins Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06ATLBattier STEAL (1 STL)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Jenkins 14' Jump Shot70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55ATLMISS Jenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper70
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21ATLScott 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)70
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50ATLMack Traveling Turnover (P1.T21)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 2 of 268
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:53ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 167
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58ATLWade STEAL (5 STL)67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)67
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:24ATLWade STEAL (4 STL)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:27ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:28ATLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:39ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:40ATLMISS Jenkins 13' Jump Shot67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:53MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:59MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)67
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 10:37ATLAndersen STEAL (2 STL)67
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 11:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 11:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 11:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 11:11ATLMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 265
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 11:44ATLWade STEAL (3 STL)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot63
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLJohnson Putback Dunk (5 PTS)63
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot61
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 1:00MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (James 7 AST)61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 1:09ATLJames STEAL (2 STL)61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:11MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 261
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 1:19MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 1:43ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot61
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 2:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)61
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 2:02ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 260
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 2:04ATLHawks Rebound60
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 2:05ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot60
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 2:13ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup60
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 2:29ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)60
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIAAllen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)60
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Allen Layup60
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 3:09ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 3:09ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 3:16MIAWade 9' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 3:37ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 3:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot56
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 3:57ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot56
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 4:09ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 4:23ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)56
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 4:40ATLMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot56
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 5:02MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)56
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 5:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 5:12ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot56
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 5:30MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 5:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 5:40ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot56
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 5:50ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 256
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 5:51ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 5:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem 8' Hook Shot55
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 6:22ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 6:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 6:53ATLTeague 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 7:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot50
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 7:22ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)50
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 7:27MIAHaslem 4' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)50
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Horford 12' Fadeaway Jumper50
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot50
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 8:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 8:07ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 8:27MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS James 11' Jump Bank Shot50
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 8:49ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)50
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 9:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot50
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 9:31ATLHorford 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)50
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 9:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 9:58ATLJones 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)48
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)46
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 10:14ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot46
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 10:22ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot46
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q3 - 10:51ATLSmith Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)46
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 11:19MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:32ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 11:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL44
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Teague 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)44
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLHarris 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)44
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot42
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q2 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)42
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot42
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q2 - 1:28MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 1:42ATLMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)42
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHEAT Rebound42
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot42
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 2:32ATLSmith 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)42
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)40
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup40
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:56MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)40
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 3:20ATLHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)40
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)40
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 3:48ATLMISS Smith 8' Running Jump Shot40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 4:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 240
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)40
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 4:21ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)40
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 4:21ATLHawks Rebound40
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 4:22ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)40
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 4:49MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 5:09ATLSmith 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)40
19.4%
41
80.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 5:31ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)38
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 5:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot38
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 6:10ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)38
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 6:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot35
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 6:39ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 6:48ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot33
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot33
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 6:55MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 6:56ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)33
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 7:03ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)33
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 7:30ATLMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)33
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 8:09ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 8:39MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 8:45ATLStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)31
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 9:03MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)28
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAHEAT Rebound28
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 9:20ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot28
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q2 - 10:05ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)28
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 10:11ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 10:25ATLHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)25
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 10:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 10:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q2 - 11:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot20
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 11:19ATLHarris 6' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)20
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q2 - 11:25ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q2 - 11:26ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot18
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q2 - 11:49MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound18
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 1' Tip Shot18
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Andersen 3' Jump Shot18
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 7' Jump Bank Shot18
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLSmith 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)18
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)16
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLHawks Rebound16
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS James 1' Layup16
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q1 - 1:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:36ATLMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot16
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 1:49ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 2:01ATLHawks Rebound16
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 2:25ATLJones 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:30MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 2:36ATLAndersen STEAL (1 STL)14
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:46ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot14
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 2:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 3:16ATLSmith 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS)14
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 3:19MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 3:38ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:56MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)10
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup10
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 4:15ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup10
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 210
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:46ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 28
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 5:00ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P1.T5)8
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot8
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 5:27MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:43ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)8
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)8
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 6:01ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)8
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Haslem 5' Floating Jump Shot8
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 6:33ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot8
16.0%
11
84.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)8
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 7:08ATLHorford 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)8
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 7:26MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T2)6
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 7:30ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 7:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 7:50ATLHorford 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)6
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 7:56MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.6%
9
85.4%
Q1 - 8:00ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)4
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:36ATLSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)4
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 8:55MIABosh 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 9:15ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHEAT Rebound2
17.4%
3
82.6%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper2
18.3%
3
81.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
17.4%
3
82.6%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
18.3%
3
81.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.4%
3
82.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup2
18.3%
3
81.7%
Q1 - 10:23ATLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
17.4%
3
82.6%
Q1 - 10:46ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.6%
3
83.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.2%
3
83.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.5%
3
84.5%
Q1 - 10:59ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot0
15.8%
3
84.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:38ATLMISS Teague 15' Jump Shot0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Smith: Tip to Tolliver0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
23
29
79%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
ATL
5
27
19%
MIA
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
ATL
10
14
71%
MIA
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1544%7.5 / 17
A. Horford1246%6.0 / 13
J. Teague1260%6.0 / 10
I. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
D. Harris758%3.5 / 6
M. Scott758%3.5 / 6
J. Jenkins633%3.0 / 9
D. Stevenson583%2.5 / 3
D. Jones467%2.0 / 3
K. Korver330%1.5 / 5
S. Mack125%0.5 / 2
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2357%11.5 / 20
L. James1544%7.5 / 17
M. Chalmers1488%7.0 / 8
C. Bosh1454%7.0 / 13
R. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+14
-22
87
MIA
82
+16
-14
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
112.1
ATL 85.3 +16.8
MIA 102.1
Pace
92.9
90.9
ATL 104.2 +16.0
MIA 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
ATL 13.8 +2.5
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
55.2%
ATL 45.5%
MIA 46.3% +0.8%
TO %
15.2%
14.5%
ATL 22.2%
MIA 14.4% +7.8%
ORB %
22.2%
22.2%
ATL 24.4%
MIA 29.8% +5.4%
FTrt
24.4
29.7
ATL 17.9
MIA 36.6 +18.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.1%
60.0%
ATL 57.6%
MIA 77.1% +19.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.5%
ATL 11.6%
MIA 14.6% +3.0%
BLK %
7.1%
9.1%
ATL 1.6%
MIA 7.1% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
57.0%
ATL 46.0%
MIA 49.0% +3.0%
Rim FG%
62.5%
65.9%
ATL 79.3% +18.7%
MIA 60.6%
Mid FG%
38.3%
41.9%
ATL 18.5%
MIA 31.0% +12.5%
3P %
37.1%
39.6%
ATL 22.7%
MIA 30.0% +7.3%
FT %
71.5%
75.4%
ATL 71.4%
MIA 73.3% +1.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.8%
ATL 37.2%
MIA 40.2% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
36.7%
ATL 34.6% +0.8%
MIA 35.4%
3P Att. %
28.6%
28.5%
ATL 28.2% +3.8%
MIA 24.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points8198
Rebounds4345
Assists1927
Steals1114
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)22 (2)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals33-7835-82
At-the-Rim FG23-2920-33
Midrange FG5-279-29
2-Point FG28-5629-62
3-Point FG5-226-20
Free Throws10-1422-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
32.0
12
46%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
25.1
0
0%
5
1
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
24.4
12
60%
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
23.9
15
44%
6
2
1
1
3
2
0
6
1-2
50%
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 218 · 32
23.6
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32
20.0
4
67%
2
2
3
0
3
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 32
19.1
3
30%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 185 · 30
18.8
7
58%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
18.8
6
33%
2
1
2
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 255 · 29
16.2
9
50%
6
1
1
0
2
5
4
2
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
9.3
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 203 · 23
8.9
1
25%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 27
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
46%
43
19
11
1
22
0
10
33
10-14
71%
28-56
50%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.