FinalWin Prob.pScore
831%90
91
269%97
105
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
105.88686.2
MIA logo MIA
122.18685.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND91
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Lewis 22' Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21INDMISS Hansbrough 11' Jump Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21INDWest 5' Hook Shot (24 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46INDWade STEAL (6 STL)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24INDMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAAndersen 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 7 AST)82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:07INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:45INDHibbert 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:33INDAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 3 AST)80
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 6:49INDPacers Rebound77
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 7:06MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)77
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 7:33INDAugustin 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 5 AST)77
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 7:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Cole 8' Floating Jump Shot74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 8:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 8:04INDMISS George 21' Jump Shot74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:41INDAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 9:09MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)71
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHEAT Rebound71
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup71
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 9:39INDHibbert 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)71
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 10:17INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 10:17INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (19 PTS)67
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 10:40INDWade STEAL (5 STL)67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)67
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 10:59MIAAndersen 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)67
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 11:08INDWade STEAL (4 STL)67
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 11:15INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot67
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 11:42INDAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 11:42INDAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAJump Ball Cole vs. George: Tip to Augustin65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Augustin 55' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDPacers Rebound65
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0INDJames BLOCK (1 BLK)65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)65
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMISS Stephenson 1' Layup65
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)65
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q3 - 1:09INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)65
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 1:12INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 1:13INDMISS Stephenson 3PT Jump Shot62
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 1:26INDPacers Rebound62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 1:27INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot62
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 1:36INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot62
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 2:05INDAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 4 AST)62
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)59
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:36INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:36INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:50MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:05INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)57
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:05INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 256
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)56
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:31INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:31INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 255
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:34INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:35INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Dunk55
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 3:48INDPacers Rebound55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 3:57INDHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)55
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 4:16INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 255
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 4:33INDHibbert 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)55
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)53
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:54INDBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)53
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)53
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 5:28INDMISS West 10' Jump Bank Shot53
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 5:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 5:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 6:04INDBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)53
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 6:13INDMISS Hibbert 8' Turnaround Jump Shot53
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:32INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 253
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 6:40INDMISS Hibbert 15' Jump Shot53
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 7:04MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)53
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 7:11INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)53
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 7:17MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 7:49INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)53
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJames 4' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 8:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 8:13INDMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)53
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 9:09INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)53
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)50
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 9:30INDMISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot50
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 9:54MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)50
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 10:13INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (West 2 AST)50
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 10:34MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)48
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 10:59INDWest 4' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)48
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 11:21MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 11:28INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup46
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q3 - 11:44INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot46
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND46
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDWade STEAL (3 STL)46
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)46
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Jump Shot46
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)46
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)45
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
13.9%
52
86.1%
Q2 - 1:33INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)44
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 1:33INDPacers Rebound44
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 1:34INDMISS Hibbert 35' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.5%
50
83.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)44
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 2:09INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T10)44
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)44
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 2:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 2:24INDMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot44
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 2:42MIAChalmers 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)44
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 2:57INDWest 2' Layup (15 PTS) (George 3 AST)44
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q2 - 3:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot42
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot42
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 3:32INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)42
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 3:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 4:20INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 4:20INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 4:49INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot40
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 5:01INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 5:01INDMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 239
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 5:10INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup39
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 5:16INDWade STEAL (2 STL)39
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)39
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 5:47INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 5:47INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)37
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)37
14.9%
44
85.1%
Q2 - 6:12INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 6:12INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 6:31INDWest 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)35
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 7:20INDWade STEAL (1 STL)33
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 7:36MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)33
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 7:54INDWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 8:17INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot30
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:23MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 8:24INDMISS George 2' Layup30
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 8:34INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper30
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:55INDWest 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 9:42INDMahinmi 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 9:43INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q2 - 9:44INDMISS West 4' Hook Bank Shot26
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 9:51INDPacers Rebound26
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q2 - 9:52INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 10:16MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 10:28INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)26
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIAJames 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 11:12INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 2 AST)23
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 11:34INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 120
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)20
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND20
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound20
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Johnson 70' 3PT Jump Shot20
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper20
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Hansbrough 10' Jump Shot18
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 1:07INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 1:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 1:41INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:41INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 1:57INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot16
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 2:16INDStephenson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)16
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 2:48INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:14INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot16
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 3:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot16
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:46INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)16
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 4:18INDWest Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)16
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 4:32MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)16
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot16
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 4:52INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 4:52INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 5:07INDMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 5:25MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)14
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical14
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:39INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)14
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:39INDPacers Rebound14
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 5:40INDMISS Augustin 30' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 6:04MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)14
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)14
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)14
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 6:37INDJames STEAL (1 STL)14
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 6:55INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
34.0%
10
66.0%
Q1 - 7:20INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)14
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 7:46MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot11
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:05INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)11
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:28INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot11
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:33MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:01INDHibbert 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)11
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 29
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 9:37INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 9:51INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.1%
5
69.9%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot7
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 10:07INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)7
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:13INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot7
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 10:29INDWest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:31INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 10:33INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 10:55MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 11:08INDHibbert 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)5
27.9%
3
72.1%
Q1 - 11:20MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)3
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 11:37INDHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to West0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.31 65.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
17
53%
MIA
13
17
76%
Midrange
IND
7
19
37%
MIA
18
37
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
29
34
85%
MIA
22
31
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2480%12.0 / 15
R. Hibbert1653%8.0 / 15
D. Augustin1478%7.0 / 9
P. George1038%5.0 / 13
O. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
G. Hill758%3.5 / 6
L. Stephenson643%3.0 / 7
T. Hansbrough433%2.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers26108%13.0 / 12
C. Bosh2475%12.0 / 16
D. Wade2361%11.5 / 19
L. James1354%6.5 / 12
R. Allen1179%5.5 / 7
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
S. Battier2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
70
+13
-16
83
MIA
74
+6
-12
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.31 65.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
112.1
IND 105.8
MIA 122.1 +16.3
Pace
89.9
90.9
IND 86.2 +0.2
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
IND 16.7 +0.0
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
55.2%
IND 49.2%
MIA 61.0% +11.8%
TO %
16.1%
14.5%
IND 18.8%
MIA 12.8% +6.0%
ORB %
30.3%
22.2%
IND 20.0% +7.1%
MIA 12.9%
FTrt
29.3
29.7
IND 54.0 +8.4
MIA 45.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.0%
IND 53.8% +1.2%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.5%
IND 9.3%
MIA 11.6% +2.3%
BLK %
9.7%
9.1%
IND 1.9%
MIA 13.9% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
57.0%
IND 53.5%
MIA 65.6% +12.1%
Rim FG%
55.7%
65.9%
IND 52.9%
MIA 76.5% +23.6%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.9%
IND 36.8%
MIA 48.6% +11.8%
3P %
34.7%
39.6%
IND 37.0%
MIA 50.0% +13.0%
FT %
74.6%
75.4%
IND 85.3% +14.3%
MIA 71.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
34.8%
IND 27.0% +2.0%
MIA 25.0%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
36.7%
IND 30.2% +24.3%
MIA 54.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
28.5%
IND 42.9% +22.3%
MIA 20.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.924.0
Points91105
Rebounds3328
Assists1420
Steals810
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals26-6338-68
At-the-Rim FG9-1713-17
Midrange FG7-1918-37
2-Point FG16-3631-54
3-Point FG10-277-14
Free Throws29-3422-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
41.3
10
38%
6
5
1
0
5
3
0
6
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
34.3
24
80%
5
3
4
0
1
2
1
4
10-11
91%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 23
33.0
6
43%
3
1
1
0
2
4
1
2
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 26
32.5
16
53%
4
2
0
0
3
4
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
21.8
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 183 · 25
23.7
14
78%
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
4-8
50%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
14.5
8
80%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
· 6'9" 250 · 27
13.7
4
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 26
13.0
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28
7.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27
#13 · C · 6'11" 249 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
33
14
8
1
16
0
6
27
29-34
85%
16-36
44%
10-27
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.