FinalWin Prob.pScore
1061%102
102
2639%98
99
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
112.19192.1
DET logo DET
107.69290.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL102
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)102
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)101
97.7%
99
2.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETVillanueva 1' Layup (12 PTS)100
88.1%
99
11.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
95.8%
97
4.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.3%
97
1.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
95.5%
97
4.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.0%
97
2.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)100
93.8%
97
6.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot100
95.8%
97
4.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)100
96.9%
97
3.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETPISTONS Rebound100
92.0%
97
8.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
95.9%
97
4.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
87.6%
97
12.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot100
89.8%
97
10.2%
Q4 - 1:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
92.5%
97
7.5%
Q4 - 1:13DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot100
90.9%
97
9.1%
Q4 - 1:32DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)100
84.6%
97
15.4%
Q4 - 1:45DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
76.3%
97
23.7%
Q4 - 1:45DETMISS Middleton 10' Jump Shot98
73.2%
97
26.8%
Q4 - 2:08DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)98
64.8%
97
35.2%
Q4 - 2:29DETMiddleton 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)96
56.9%
97
43.1%
Q4 - 2:45DALMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)96
75.0%
94
25.0%
Q4 - 2:45DALMISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 295
73.5%
94
26.5%
Q4 - 2:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
76.1%
94
23.9%
Q4 - 2:59DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot95
72.9%
94
27.1%
Q4 - 3:17DALJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)95
64.6%
94
35.4%
Q4 - 3:35DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)95
73.1%
94
26.9%
Q4 - 3:48DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
84.9%
91
15.1%
Q4 - 3:49DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot95
86.5%
91
13.5%
Q4 - 4:03DETMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)95
89.7%
91
10.3%
Q4 - 4:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)95
94.8%
88
5.2%
Q4 - 4:14DALMISS Mayo 5' Jump Shot95
95.4%
88
4.6%
Q4 - 4:29DETMiddleton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)95
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 4:33DETMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 4:34DETMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot95
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 4:48DALJames 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)95
97.6%
86
2.4%
Q4 - 5:05DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)92
93.2%
86
6.8%
Q4 - 5:10DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 5:11DETMISS Middleton 4' Jump Shot92
97.1%
83
2.9%
Q4 - 5:20DALBrand 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)92
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 5:23DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
95.1%
83
4.9%
Q4 - 5:25DALMISS James Layup90
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 5:30DALMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
95.1%
83
4.9%
Q4 - 5:32DALBynum BLOCK (1 BLK)90
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 5:39DALBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
95.1%
83
4.9%
Q4 - 5:41DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 6:00DETMiddleton 1' Layup (6 PTS)90
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 6:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)90
95.2%
81
4.8%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Middleton 1' Layup90
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 6:07DETMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
95.2%
81
4.8%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Villanueva Layup90
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 6:15DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
95.2%
81
4.8%
Q4 - 6:16DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 190
96.4%
81
3.6%
Q4 - 6:17DETPISTONS Rebound90
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 6:17DETMISS Bynum 4' Jump Shot90
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 6:31DALMayo 11' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 6:54DETVillanueva Tip Shot (2 PTS)88
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 6:56DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 6:57DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot88
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 7:20DETMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q4 - 7:21DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 7:31DETMaxiell 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)88
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 7:36DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)88
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 7:39DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 7:52DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)88
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Kaman 6' Jump Shot88
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 8:08DETKnight Driving Layup (21 PTS)88
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 8:20DALCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)88
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 8:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 8:24DETMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 8:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)88
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 8:44DALMISS Nowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 8:50DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 8:51DETMISS Knight 1' Layup88
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 8:57DALMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)88
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 9:21DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 9:22DETMISS Bynum 5' Jump Shot88
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 9:44DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)88
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 9:50DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
97.0%
73
3.0%
Q4 - 9:52DETMISS Bynum 1' Driving Layup85
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 10:01DETMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
95.6%
73
4.4%
Q4 - 10:02DALMISS Collison 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.9%
73
4.1%
Q4 - 10:31DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)85
96.5%
73
3.5%
Q4 - 10:44DALCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)85
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 10:53DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 10:54DETMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot82
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q4 - 11:08DALJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)82
90.9%
73
9.1%
Q4 - 11:16DETBynum Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)79
86.7%
73
13.3%
Q4 - 11:16DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
84.1%
73
15.9%
Q4 - 11:17DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot79
84.9%
73
15.1%
Q4 - 11:32DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
86.8%
73
13.2%
Q4 - 11:32DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q4 - 11:45DALJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)79
89.1%
71
10.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL76
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Singler Free Throw 3 of 376
83.7%
71
16.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETSingler Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)76
81.6%
71
18.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)76
82.2%
70
17.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)76
86.1%
69
13.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)73
80.3%
69
19.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
85.3%
67
14.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALCollison 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)73
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q3 - 1:07DETCalderon Driving Layup (7 PTS)71
79.8%
67
20.2%
Q3 - 1:21DALBrand 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)71
82.9%
65
17.1%
Q3 - 1:38DETKnight 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)69
79.9%
65
20.1%
Q3 - 1:50DALCollison Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)69
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 1:59DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
87.8%
62
12.2%
Q3 - 2:00DETMISS Jerebko 10' Jump Shot69
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q3 - 2:20DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 2:21DALMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot69
85.3%
62
14.7%
Q3 - 2:37DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Monroe 4 AST)69
87.0%
62
13.0%
Q3 - 2:55DALWright Layup (14 PTS)69
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 3:08DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
88.4%
59
11.6%
Q3 - 3:10DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot67
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 3:11DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
86.4%
59
13.6%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Monroe 16' Jump Shot67
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 3:26DALMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
86.4%
59
13.6%
Q3 - 3:26DALMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)66
86.0%
59
14.0%
Q3 - 3:38DETJerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)65
84.3%
59
15.7%
Q3 - 3:48DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 3:49DALMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot65
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 4:04DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 4:05DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q3 - 4:26DALMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)65
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 4:32DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
84.0%
56
16.0%
Q3 - 4:33DETMISS Jerebko 5' Hook Shot62
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 4:58DALWright 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)62
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 5:05DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
78.2%
56
21.8%
Q3 - 5:06DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
77.2%
56
22.8%
Q3 - 5:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
74.8%
56
25.2%
Q3 - 5:20DALMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot60
75.9%
56
24.1%
Q3 - 5:50DETMaxiell Dunk (10 PTS) (Jerebko 2 AST)60
78.2%
56
21.8%
Q3 - 5:58DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 5:59DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot60
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 6:13DALMavericks Rebound60
83.0%
54
17.0%
Q3 - 6:14DETMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q3 - 6:39DALWright 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)60
80.2%
54
19.8%
Q3 - 6:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
77.9%
54
22.1%
Q3 - 6:56DETMISS Maxiell Layup58
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 6:56DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
74.6%
54
25.4%
Q3 - 6:57DETMISS Knight 1' Layup58
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 7:09DALSingler STEAL (3 STL)58
74.2%
54
25.8%
Q3 - 7:39DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
77.3%
54
22.7%
Q3 - 7:41DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
82.1%
51
17.9%
Q3 - 7:43DALSingler BLOCK (1 BLK)58
82.8%
51
17.2%
Q3 - 7:50DETSingler 1' Layup (4 PTS)58
84.4%
51
15.6%
Q3 - 7:51DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 7:52DETMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot58
87.5%
49
12.5%
Q3 - 8:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 8:20DETMISS Singler 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
87.1%
49
12.9%
Q3 - 8:44DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)58
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 8:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
84.1%
49
15.9%
Q3 - 8:55DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
83.4%
49
16.6%
Q3 - 9:03DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
81.4%
49
18.6%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
82.1%
49
17.9%
Q3 - 9:16DETKnight 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
83.6%
49
16.4%
Q3 - 9:33DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
85.4%
47
14.6%
Q3 - 9:34DALMISS Kaman Free Throw 1 of 156
85.7%
47
14.3%
Q3 - 9:38DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)54
83.6%
47
16.4%
Q3 - 9:42DALMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)54
81.4%
47
18.6%
Q3 - 10:00DETMaxiell 1' Layup (8 PTS)54
83.7%
47
16.3%
Q3 - 10:01DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 10:04DETMISS Knight Layup54
86.5%
45
13.5%
Q3 - 10:10DALSingler STEAL (2 STL)54
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 10:20DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 254
86.8%
45
13.2%
Q3 - 10:23DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
86.0%
45
14.0%
Q3 - 10:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q3 - 10:25DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup54
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q3 - 10:41DALKaman 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)54
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q3 - 11:02DETKnight 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)52
85.1%
44
14.9%
Q3 - 11:16DALKaman 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)52
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q3 - 11:30DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q3 - 11:31DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
84.5%
42
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL50
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound50
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Collison 7' Jump Shot50
83.8%
42
16.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETCalderon Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
86.4%
40
13.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot50
86.7%
40
13.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot50
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q2 - 1:08DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)50
86.1%
40
13.9%
Q2 - 1:19DETMaxiell Dunk (5 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)48
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 1:39DALBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 1:39DALMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 247
85.7%
38
14.3%
Q2 - 1:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
85.5%
38
14.5%
Q2 - 1:53DETMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot47
85.2%
38
14.8%
Q2 - 2:06DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
83.7%
38
16.3%
Q2 - 2:08DALMISS Collison Layup47
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 2:26DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
85.3%
38
14.7%
Q2 - 2:27DETMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
84.9%
38
15.1%
Q2 - 2:47DALCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q2 - 2:47DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
83.6%
38
16.4%
Q2 - 2:49DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
82.0%
38
18.0%
Q2 - 2:50DETMISS Maxiell Layup45
81.4%
38
18.6%
Q2 - 3:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
79.8%
38
20.2%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot45
80.5%
38
19.5%
Q2 - 3:26DETSingler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
82.0%
38
18.0%
Q2 - 3:33DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
79.8%
38
20.2%
Q2 - 3:34DALMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot45
80.5%
38
19.5%
Q2 - 3:51DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
82.0%
38
18.0%
Q2 - 3:51DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 245
82.4%
37
17.6%
Q2 - 4:00DALWright 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Kaman 3 AST)45
81.7%
37
18.3%
Q2 - 4:12DETMonroe Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
79.7%
37
20.3%
Q2 - 4:34DALWright 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)43
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 4:48DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 4:48DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)41
80.4%
34
19.6%
Q2 - 5:05DALMayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kaman 2 AST)41
81.3%
33
18.7%
Q2 - 5:28DETBynum Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
77.6%
33
22.4%
Q2 - 5:33DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
79.5%
31
20.5%
Q2 - 5:34DALMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 5:41DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
81.3%
31
18.7%
Q2 - 5:57DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crowder 4 AST)38
79.5%
31
20.5%
Q2 - 6:16DETBynum 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
77.4%
31
22.6%
Q2 - 6:31DALMayo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crowder 3 AST)36
79.0%
29
21.0%
Q2 - 6:50DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
75.5%
29
24.5%
Q2 - 7:07DALJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)33
78.7%
26
21.3%
Q2 - 7:21DETMiddleton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)30
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q2 - 7:33DALKaman 1' Layup (4 PTS)30
76.9%
24
23.1%
Q2 - 7:52DETKnight 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
75.2%
24
24.8%
Q2 - 7:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
76.9%
22
23.1%
Q2 - 8:00DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot28
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q2 - 8:16DETKnight Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
78.5%
22
21.5%
Q2 - 8:21DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
76.6%
22
23.4%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot28
77.2%
22
22.8%
Q2 - 8:41DETMiddleton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)28
78.5%
22
21.5%
Q2 - 9:04DALCollison Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
76.4%
22
23.6%
Q2 - 9:09DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
74.7%
22
25.3%
Q2 - 9:20DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q2 - 9:21DALMISS Crowder Free Throw 2 of 226
72.9%
22
27.1%
Q2 - 9:21DALMISS Crowder Free Throw 1 of 226
74.0%
22
26.0%
Q2 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
74.7%
22
25.3%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Middleton Free Throw 1 of 126
74.4%
22
25.6%
Q2 - 9:39DALJerebko STEAL (1 STL)26
76.4%
20
23.6%
Q2 - 9:52DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
78.3%
20
21.7%
Q2 - 9:54DETMISS Stuckey 6' Hook Shot26
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q2 - 10:10DALBrand Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)26
76.1%
20
23.9%
Q2 - 10:36DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
74.6%
20
25.4%
Q2 - 10:36DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 224
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 10:52DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)24
74.3%
19
25.7%
Q2 - 11:08DETMonroe 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)22
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q2 - 11:13DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
74.1%
17
25.9%
Q2 - 11:14DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot22
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q2 - 11:32DALSingler STEAL (1 STL)22
74.1%
17
25.9%
Q2 - 11:46DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
76.0%
17
24.0%
Q2 - 11:47DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot22
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
74.1%
17
25.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound22
74.1%
17
25.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Monroe 51' 3PT Jump Shot22
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
74.0%
17
26.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALMISS Carter 2' Layup22
74.5%
17
25.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Jerebko Layup22
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETPISTONS Rebound22
74.0%
17
26.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot22
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
74.0%
17
26.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot22
74.5%
17
25.5%
Q1 - 1:21DETCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)22
75.3%
17
24.7%
Q1 - 1:44DALWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)22
79.0%
14
21.0%
Q1 - 1:51DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
77.0%
14
23.0%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS Jerebko 5' Hook Shot20
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 2:17DALCarter 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)20
75.6%
14
24.4%
Q1 - 2:35DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
73.8%
14
26.2%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 2:45DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 2:48DALMISS Carter 16' Fadeaway Jumper18
72.6%
14
27.4%
Q1 - 3:05DETJerebko Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 3:15DALCarter 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 3:32DETJerebko 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 3:37DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 3:38DETMISS Maxiell 6' Jump Shot16
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 3:57DALMayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)16
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 4:12DETSingler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)13
68.4%
12
31.6%
Q1 - 4:34DALMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)13
70.2%
10
29.8%
Q1 - 4:55DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
66.5%
10
33.5%
Q1 - 4:56DETMISS Jerebko 14' Jump Shot10
65.8%
10
34.2%
Q1 - 5:07DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
64.1%
10
35.9%
Q1 - 5:09DALMISS Collison 3PT Jump Shot10
64.8%
10
35.2%
Q1 - 5:22DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
66.2%
10
33.8%
Q1 - 5:23DETMISS Singler 1' Jump Shot10
65.6%
10
34.4%
Q1 - 5:37DALWright Layup (2 PTS)10
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 5:38DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 5:42DALMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)8
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 5:55DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 5:55DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 28
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 6:02DETCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.3%
9
37.7%
Q1 - 6:03DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot8
62.9%
9
37.1%
Q1 - 6:12DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
64.3%
9
35.7%
Q1 - 6:34DALBrand Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)8
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:42DALMavericks Rebound6
60.5%
9
39.5%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Kaman Layup6
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 6:57DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
60.5%
9
39.5%
Q1 - 6:59DETMISS Knight 1' Layup6
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 7:10DALJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 7:30DETKnight 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)6
60.9%
9
39.1%
Q1 - 7:43DALMonroe STEAL (1 STL)6
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 7:54DETKnight Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
66.3%
6
33.7%
Q1 - 8:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 8:04DALMISS Mayo Layup6
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 8:10DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 8:20DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 8:21DALMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot6
68.7%
4
31.3%
Q1 - 8:49DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)6
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 9:00DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 9:01DALMISS James 3PT Jump Shot6
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 9:10DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:11DETMISS Monroe Layup6
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 9:32DALCrowder 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 9:44DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:46DETMISS Singler Layup4
69.6%
2
30.4%
Q1 - 9:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 10:00DALMISS Kaman Free Throw 1 of 14
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 10:08DETMonroe 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 10:37DALMayo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 10:47DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 10:48DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot0
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 10:54DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 10:57DALMISS James 4' Floating Jump Shot0
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 11:05DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:06DETMISS Singler 17' Jump Shot0
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:25DETPISTONS Rebound0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 11:26DETMISS Monroe Driving Layup0
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:44DALKaman Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Kaman: Tip to Nowitzki0
66.8%
0
33.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.17 58.6%
DET
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
16
25
64%
DET
19
41
46%
Midrange
DAL
14
31
45%
DET
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
DET
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
DAL
9
15
60%
DET
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo2265%11.0 / 17
B. Wright1470%7.0 / 10
D. Nowitzki1243%6.0 / 14
M. James1275%6.0 / 8
D. Collison1150%5.5 / 11
C. Kaman1071%5.0 / 7
V. Carter1083%5.0 / 6
E. Brand964%4.5 / 7
J. Crowder225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight2162%10.5 / 17
G. Monroe1447%7.0 / 15
K. Middleton1458%7.0 / 12
J. Maxiell1246%6.0 / 13
C. Villanueva1275%6.0 / 8
K. Singler938%4.5 / 12
J. Calderon744%3.5 / 8
J. Jerebko528%2.5 / 9
W. Bynum433%2.0 / 6
R. Stuckey125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
79
+6
-12
85
DET
82
+23
-10
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.17 58.6%
DET
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
103.8
DAL 112.1 +4.5
DET 107.6
Pace
94.0
90.9
DAL 92.1 +1.2
DET 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.8
DAL 15.6 +0.2
DET 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.7%
DAL 59.6% +14.3%
DET 45.3%
TO %
14.2%
15.9%
DAL 12.4%
DET 9.5% +2.9%
ORB %
22.0%
28.3%
DAL 10.5%
DET 32.7% +22.2%
FTrt
24.2
28.2
DAL 19.2
DET 19.8 +0.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
58.5%
DAL 70.7% +22.0%
DET 48.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.6%
DAL 6.6%
DET 7.6% +1.0%
BLK %
8.9%
8.0%
DAL 7.6% +2.2%
DET 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
50.7%
DAL 58.6% +11.5%
DET 47.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
55.8%
DAL 64.0% +17.7%
DET 46.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
36.1%
DAL 45.2% +1.2%
DET 44.0%
3P %
37.2%
35.6%
DAL 50.0% +20.0%
DET 30.0%
FT %
79.3%
69.9%
DAL 60.0%
DET 63.2% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
45.1%
DAL 32.1%
DET 42.7% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
33.2%
DAL 39.7%
DET 26.0% +13.7%
3P Att. %
23.6%
21.7%
DAL 28.2%
DET 31.3% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points10299
Rebounds4152
Assists2919
Steals67
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)34 (0)
Field Goals41-7839-96
At-the-Rim FG16-2519-41
Midrange FG14-3111-25
2-Point FG30-5630-66
3-Point FG11-229-30
Free Throws9-1512-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
34.9
22
65%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
5-9
56%
F · 7'0" 245 · 35
31.4
12
43%
7
2
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 38
28.6
12
75%
1
3
0
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
25.7
2
25%
0
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 31
14.6
10
71%
6
3
1
0
3
4
0
6
0-2
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 34
31.0
9
64%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
28.8
11
50%
3
8
0
0
2
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36
26.3
10
83%
7
0
1
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25
18.8
14
70%
6
2
1
3
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
C · 6'10" 235 · 28
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
# 1 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 0 · G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
59%
41
29
6
5
12
0
4
37
9-15
60%
30-56
54%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.