FinalWin Prob.pScore
2911%90
96
189%107
97
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.19490.1
MIA logo MIA
104.39397.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL96
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound96
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Afflalo 40' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)96
12.2%
97
87.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
45.4%
95
54.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
55.3%
95
44.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMagic Rebound96
75.5%
95
24.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)96
52.7%
95
47.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
62.9%
94
37.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
74.2%
93
25.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
83.7%
93
16.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
73.6%
93
26.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
83.1%
93
16.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLHarris Foul Turnover (P3.T18)96
69.4%
93
30.6%
Q4 - 1:07ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
79.7%
93
20.3%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
75.9%
93
24.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
64.3%
93
35.7%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
73.7%
93
26.3%
Q4 - 1:36ORLNelson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)96
59.6%
93
40.4%
Q4 - 1:54ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
46.2%
93
53.8%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot94
42.2%
93
57.8%
Q4 - 2:01MIAHEAT Rebound94
33.7%
93
66.3%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup94
43.8%
93
56.2%
Q4 - 2:14ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
33.8%
93
66.2%
Q4 - 2:14ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 293
32.1%
93
67.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)93
37.6%
93
62.4%
Q4 - 2:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
23.9%
93
76.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
33.1%
93
66.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
23.9%
93
76.1%
Q4 - 2:38ORLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)93
27.8%
93
72.2%
Q4 - 2:39ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
37.8%
93
62.2%
Q4 - 2:40ORLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)93
27.8%
93
72.2%
Q4 - 2:56ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
34.9%
93
65.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 293
33.2%
93
66.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
26.9%
93
73.1%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
32.4%
92
67.6%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot93
41.6%
92
58.4%
Q4 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
32.5%
92
67.5%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMISS Vucevic 5' Jump Shot93
36.6%
92
63.4%
Q4 - 3:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:9 Def:12)93
46.3%
92
53.7%
Q4 - 3:16ORLMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot93
36.6%
92
63.4%
Q4 - 3:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)93
39.7%
92
60.3%
Q4 - 3:51ORLBosh STEAL (2 STL)93
30.3%
92
69.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
40.1%
92
59.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
42.0%
91
58.0%
Q4 - 4:13MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
48.7%
90
51.3%
Q4 - 4:14ORLMISS Nelson 5' Running Hook Shot93
52.0%
90
48.0%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
59.5%
90
40.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 293
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 4:34ORLAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 14 AST)93
58.6%
89
41.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
50.1%
89
49.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
52.1%
88
47.9%
Q4 - 5:03ORLVucevic 8' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS) (Nelson 13 AST)91
52.3%
87
47.7%
Q4 - 5:20MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)89
44.9%
87
55.1%
Q4 - 5:29ORLHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T16)89
36.1%
87
63.9%
Q4 - 5:43ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
45.1%
87
54.9%
Q4 - 5:44ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
38.8%
87
61.2%
Q4 - 5:59ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade 2' Alley Oop Layup89
42.4%
87
57.6%
Q4 - 6:12ORLHarkless 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Vucevic 4 AST)89
33.0%
87
67.0%
Q4 - 6:26ORLMagic Rebound87
27.4%
87
72.6%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.4%
87
74.6%
Q4 - 6:41ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 6:41ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 286
20.5%
87
79.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)86
20.6%
87
79.4%
Q4 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound86
25.0%
85
75.0%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup86
29.2%
85
70.8%
Q4 - 7:21MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q4 - 7:22ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
26.9%
85
73.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIAJames 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)86
31.3%
85
68.7%
Q4 - 7:55ORLAndersen STEAL (1 STL)86
37.0%
83
63.0%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
41.2%
83
58.8%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)86
42.5%
82
57.5%
Q4 - 8:29ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nelson 12 AST)86
47.7%
81
52.3%
Q4 - 8:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)84
41.4%
81
58.6%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q4 - 9:02ORLVucevic 2' Layup (21 PTS)84
33.7%
81
66.3%
Q4 - 9:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)82
28.4%
81
71.6%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot82
25.3%
81
74.7%
Q4 - 9:12ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)82
28.5%
81
71.5%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Jump Shot82
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q4 - 9:23ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)82
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
17.0%
80
83.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q4 - 9:51ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)79
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 9:53ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q4 - 9:54ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)79
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q4 - 10:29ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)79
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q4 - 10:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)76
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q4 - 10:35ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q4 - 11:00MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q4 - 11:17ORLHarris 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 11:50MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T12)74
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot72
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)72
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)69
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 1:09ORLHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)69
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 1:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)66
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 1:50ORLHarkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)66
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 263
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 2:13ORLBattier STEAL (1 STL)63
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 2:47ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)63
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot63
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 3:12ORLVucevic 2' Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 3:13ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:14ORLMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup61
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHEAT Rebound61
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot61
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 4:05ORLHarkless 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)61
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 4:09ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)59
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 4:10ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWade 1' Layup (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)59
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 4:47ORLVucevic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS)59
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 4:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 4:55ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)57
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 5:10MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 5:20ORLVucevic 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 5:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)55
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:21ORLMISS Nicholson 14' Hook Shot55
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 5:29MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:53ORLAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T13)55
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 5:55ORLMagic Rebound55
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Harkless 12' Floating Jump Shot55
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 6:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 6:26ORLMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot55
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 6:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 6:57ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)55
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 7:11ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 7:29ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)55
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 7:33ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot52
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot52
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 8:04ORLNicholson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 8:38ORLAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)50
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 8:55MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)48
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 9:08ORLAfflalo 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 9:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot46
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound46
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)46
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 9:47ORLHarkless 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)46
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 10:26ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)44
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q3 - 10:39ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 10:58ORLNicholson 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)42
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS)40
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 11:17ORLWade STEAL (4 STL)40
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q3 - 11:34MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)40
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL40
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)40
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAJames 1' Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS)40
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)40
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 1:08ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 1:19ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Bosh 7' Driving Hook Shot40
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 1:47ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)40
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 2:09ORLHarris 6' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)37
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 2:29MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 2:34ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)35
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 2:51MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 2:51MIAHEAT Rebound35
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)35
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Bank Shot35
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 3:43ORLHarris 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)35
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 3:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 4:04ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)33
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 4:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 4:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
5.0%
40
95.0%
Q2 - 4:24ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)31
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 4:49ORLMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)31
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 5:24ORLMISS Nelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper31
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)31
7.5%
37
92.5%
Q2 - 6:06ORLHarkless 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)31
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q2 - 6:22ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.6%
37
94.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q2 - 6:38ORLAllen STEAL (2 STL)28
4.9%
37
95.1%
Q2 - 6:55ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
5.6%
37
94.4%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 228
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 6:56MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
5.1%
37
94.9%
Q2 - 6:59ORLAllen STEAL (1 STL)28
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 7:16ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup28
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 7:31ORLVucevic 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)28
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 7:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)26
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
4.5%
36
95.5%
Q2 - 7:56ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot26
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q2 - 8:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 8:30ORLHarris 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)26
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q2 - 8:38ORLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup24
4.1%
36
95.9%
Q2 - 8:58ORLHarrington Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T6)24
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)24
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 9:25ORLHarrington 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)24
4.6%
34
95.4%
Q2 - 9:43ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
4.2%
34
95.8%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q2 - 9:50ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)22
3.8%
34
96.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)22
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound22
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup22
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q2 - 10:39ORLUdrih 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)22
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 10:55MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)20
4.8%
31
95.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q2 - 11:06ORLMISS Harris 8' Turnaround Jump Shot20
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)20
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q2 - 11:35ORLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
7.5%
25
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
6.9%
25
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound18
6.9%
25
93.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Udrih 50' 3PT Jump Shot18
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
6.9%
25
93.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Jones 2' Layup18
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)18
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)18
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound18
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 1:18ORLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 1:23ORLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS James 10' Driving Jump Shot18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot18
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 2:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 2:02ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup18
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 2:28ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)18
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 2:39ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot16
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 2:59ORLNicholson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)16
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 3:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 3:23ORLNicholson 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 3:31ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 3:32ORLMISS Afflalo 9' Running Jump Shot12
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)12
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 4:13ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Turnaround Hook Shot12
9.5%
14
90.5%
Q1 - 4:23ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot12
9.9%
14
90.1%
Q1 - 4:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 4:45ORLMISS Vucevic 12' Jump Shot12
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)12
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 5:14ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 5:25MIAHaslem 3' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
9.4%
12
90.6%
Q1 - 5:42ORLAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 5:56ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot7
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 6:17ORLMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup7
8.8%
10
91.2%
Q1 - 6:26ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9.3%
10
90.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 6:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
8.6%
10
91.4%
Q1 - 6:40ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
8.8%
10
91.2%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
9.1%
10
90.9%
Q1 - 7:20ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)7
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7.8%
8
92.2%
Q1 - 7:46ORLMISS Harkless 21' Jump Shot4
8.0%
8
92.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8.8%
6
91.2%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.1%
6
90.9%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 8:52ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 9:07ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.5%
4
90.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Hook Shot2
9.3%
4
90.7%
Q1 - 9:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 9:32ORLMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot2
9.0%
4
91.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
9.5%
4
90.5%
Q1 - 10:01ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 10:06ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 10:18ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:40ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 10:40ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 11:07ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)0
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 11:07ORLMagic Rebound0
10.3%
0
89.7%
Q1 - 11:08ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.0%
0
90.0%
Q1 - 11:29ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.2%
0
89.8%
Q1 - 11:36ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Vucevic: Tip to James0
9.8%
0
90.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
23
52%
MIA
16
22
73%
Midrange
ORL
22
38
58%
MIA
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
MIA
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
Free Throws
ORL
10
12
83%
MIA
27
31
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2574%12.5 / 17
J. Nelson1644%8.0 / 18
T. Harris1647%8.0 / 17
A. Afflalo1338%6.5 / 17
M. Harkless1267%6.0 / 9
A. Nicholson880%4.0 / 5
A. Harrington440%2.0 / 5
B. Udrih250%1.0 / 2
E. Moore0-0.0 / 1
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2665%13.0 / 20
D. Wade2467%12.0 / 18
C. Bosh1745%8.5 / 19
N. Cole880%4.0 / 5
M. Chalmers531%2.5 / 8
R. Allen528%2.5 / 9
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+20
-17
97
MIA
79
+13
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
112.1
ORL 102.1
MIA 104.3 +2.2
Pace
91.9
90.9
ORL 90.1
MIA 97.3 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
ORL 16.0
MIA 14.8 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
55.2%
ORL 48.3% +1.0%
MIA 47.3%
TO %
15.2%
14.5%
ORL 16.0%
MIA 15.4% +0.6%
ORB %
25.4%
22.2%
ORL 36.6% +17.7%
MIA 18.9%
FTrt
19.7
29.7
ORL 13.5
MIA 41.9 +28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
60.0%
ORL 65.0% +2.5%
MIA 62.5%
STL %
7.0%
9.5%
ORL 10.6%
MIA 11.8% +1.2%
BLK %
7.0%
9.1%
ORL 6.5%
MIA 11.5% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
57.0%
ORL 49.5%
MIA 52.7% +3.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
65.9%
ORL 52.2%
MIA 72.7% +20.5%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.9%
ORL 57.9% +16.2%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
32.9%
39.6%
ORL 21.4%
MIA 21.4%
FT %
75.5%
75.4%
ORL 83.3%
MIA 87.1% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.8%
ORL 25.8%
MIA 29.7% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
36.7%
ORL 42.7%
MIA 32.4% +10.3%
3P Att. %
22.3%
28.5%
ORL 31.5%
MIA 37.8% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9697
Rebounds4533
Assists2620
Steals1011
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals40-8932-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2316-22
Midrange FG22-3810-24
2-Point FG34-6126-46
3-Point FG6-286-28
Free Throws10-1227-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 190 · 31
43.1
16
44%
2
14
3
0
6
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
3-11
27%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
42.1
25
74%
21
4
1
0
2
6
9
12
3-3
100%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
38.9
12
67%
3
0
3
2
2
6
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
35.1
13
38%
4
5
2
0
2
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
16.9
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 21
29.1
16
47%
7
1
1
1
3
6
2
5
3-5
60%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24
17.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 221 · 23
6.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
6.3
4
40%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
4.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23
G · 6'4" 200 · 21
F · 6'10" 220 · 34
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
45
26
10
3
17
0
15
30
10-12
83%
34-61
56%
6-28
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.