FinalWin Prob.pScore
929%90
91
271%97
98
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
103.48886.3
MIA logo MIA
110.18990.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MEMMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 289
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMMISS Conley 2' Driving Layup89
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)89
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0MEMGasol 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)89
17.6%
90
82.4%
Q4 - 1:04MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)87
12.5%
90
87.5%
Q4 - 1:04MIAHEAT Rebound87
6.6%
90
93.4%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Allen 40' 3PT Jump Shot87
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q4 - 1:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot87
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 1:54MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
10.1%
90
89.9%
Q4 - 1:54MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (James 10 AST)85
7.5%
90
92.5%
Q4 - 2:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 2:08MEMMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.2%
88
87.8%
Q4 - 2:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)85
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 2:44MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
33.3%
85
66.7%
Q4 - 2:44MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
31.5%
85
68.5%
Q4 - 3:03MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
26.3%
85
73.7%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 283
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 283
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q4 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound83
16.8%
85
83.2%
Q4 - 3:05MEMMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot83
19.4%
85
80.6%
Q4 - 3:15MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
26.5%
85
73.5%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 3:35MEMRandolph 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)83
19.1%
85
80.9%
Q4 - 3:36MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)81
14.5%
85
85.5%
Q4 - 3:37MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot81
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAAllen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)81
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 4:17MEMPondexter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 4:17MEMPondexter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 4:34MEMGrizzlies Rebound79
13.9%
83
86.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 5:03MEMRandolph 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Pondexter 3 AST)79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 5:21MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 5:45MEMBayless 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
15.1%
80
84.9%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJames 13' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)75
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q4 - 6:25MEMArthur 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)75
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (James 8 AST)73
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q4 - 7:05MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pondexter 2 AST)73
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q4 - 7:11MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS James 9' Fadeaway Jumper71
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 7:31MEMMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot71
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q4 - 7:50MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound71
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q4 - 7:51MEMMISS Daye 14' Jump Shot71
18.3%
74
81.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 271
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q4 - 8:27MEMPondexter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q4 - 8:27MEMPondexter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)69
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q4 - 9:05MEMDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)69
27.1%
70
72.9%
Q4 - 9:19MIAJames 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)66
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q4 - 9:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q4 - 9:26MEMMISS Randolph 10' Turnaround Jump Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q4 - 9:35MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHEAT Rebound66
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q4 - 9:55MEMMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q4 - 10:12MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot66
25.5%
68
74.5%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHEAT Rebound66
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
25.5%
68
74.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q4 - 10:36MEMMISS Daye Tip Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q4 - 10:37MEMDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q4 - 10:38MEMMISS Arthur 11' Jump Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q4 - 10:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 266
27.8%
67
72.2%
Q4 - 11:05MEMPondexter Foul Turnover (P1.T12)66
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q4 - 11:05MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
31.5%
67
68.5%
Q4 - 11:06MEMAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)66
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q4 - 11:26MEMDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
31.5%
67
68.5%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot66
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q4 - 11:46MEMDaye Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)66
27.0%
67
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
31.5%
67
68.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
27.0%
67
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup66
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MEMJames STEAL (2 STL)66
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MEMPondexter Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)66
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 1:04MEMGrizzlies Rebound62
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup62
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 1:10MEMChalmers STEAL (1 STL)62
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 1:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot62
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 1:43MEMPondexter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 2:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAMISS Andersen 6' Turnaround Hook Shot60
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 2:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 2:20MEMMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot60
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 2:23MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 2:24MEMMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot60
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 2:32MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 2:32MEMMISS Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot60
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)60
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 3:13MEMGasol 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)60
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 3:37MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
26.2%
59
73.8%
Q3 - 3:44MEMMISS Arthur 15' Jump Shot58
27.3%
59
72.7%
Q3 - 4:02MEMGrizzlies Rebound58
29.9%
59
70.1%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 4:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 4:27MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)58
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
29.9%
59
70.1%
Q3 - 4:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 4:45MEMMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot58
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)58
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 5:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 5:21MEMMISS Randolph 16' Turnaround Jump Shot58
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 5:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot58
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot58
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 6:00MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade 9' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS)58
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q3 - 6:49MEMGasol 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)58
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
36.2%
55
63.8%
Q3 - 7:10MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T7)56
31.6%
55
68.4%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 7:36MEMConley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)56
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q3 - 7:51MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)54
35.4%
53
64.6%
Q3 - 8:07MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)54
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 8:42MEMPrince 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)51
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade Running Dunk (12 PTS)49
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q3 - 9:06MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)49
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q3 - 9:43MEMGasol Dunk (14 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)49
34.1%
47
65.9%
Q3 - 9:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot47
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q3 - 10:05MEMGasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)47
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q3 - 10:31MEMGrizzlies Rebound45
24.8%
47
75.2%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup45
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q3 - 10:40MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)45
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q3 - 10:52MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS James 1' Layup42
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q3 - 11:00MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
15.6%
47
84.4%
Q3 - 11:00MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 241
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q3 - 11:14MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
15.8%
47
84.2%
Q3 - 11:25MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q3 - 11:43MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 141
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMDaye 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
25.0%
40
75.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MEMMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 239
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 1:06MEMGasol 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)39
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 1:54MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)37
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 2:15MEMGrizzlies Rebound35
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot35
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 2:38MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
24.5%
36
75.5%
Q2 - 2:58MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)33
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 3:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 3:08MEMMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot33
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 3:09MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q2 - 3:10MEMMISS Randolph 12' Jump Shot33
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 3:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound33
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q2 - 3:29MEMMISS Prince 14' Turnaround Jump Shot33
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)33
29.3%
33
70.7%
Q2 - 4:11MEMGasol 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)33
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 4:25MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 4:53MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)31
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 5:08MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 5:09MEMMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup29
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 5:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot29
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 5:35MEMRandolph 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)29
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 6:12MEMAllen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:36MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)25
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 6:49MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 6:50MEMMISS Randolph 10' Turnaround Hook Shot25
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIACole Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)25
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 7:22MEMMISS Conley 1' Running Layup25
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q2 - 7:42MEMAllen 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)25
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q2 - 8:03MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)23
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q2 - 8:27MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 223
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q2 - 8:27MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 8:27MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q2 - 8:28MEMMISS Randolph 7' Hook Shot22
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q2 - 9:01MEMArthur Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q2 - 9:21MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q2 - 9:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q2 - 9:32MEMMISS Arthur 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q2 - 10:28MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q2 - 10:28MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q2 - 10:37MEMDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup20
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q2 - 10:47MEMMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q2 - 11:00MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper20
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q2 - 11:16MEMCole STEAL (2 STL)20
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Jump Shot20
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)20
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MEMMISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot20
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot20
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 1:07MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 1:07MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
39.0%
13
61.0%
Q1 - 1:24MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)18
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 1:50MEMBayless 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 1:56MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
32.5%
13
67.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 2:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 2:16MEMMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 216
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 2:16MEMDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 2:23MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 2:38MEMPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)15
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 2:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot13
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 3:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 3:13MEMMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 213
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 3:13MEMMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 213
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 3:26MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot13
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 3:48MEMConley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)13
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 3:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound11
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 3:56MEMJames BLOCK (1 BLK)11
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 4:08MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot11
25.7%
11
74.3%
Q1 - 4:22MEMDavis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
24.5%
11
75.5%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)9
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:06MEMCole STEAL (1 STL)9
24.4%
9
75.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 5:40MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.2%
7
71.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)9
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 6:30MEMMISS Randolph 3' Jump Shot9
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 6:35MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 6:36MEMMISS Gasol 2' Layup9
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 6:47MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot9
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 7:02MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 7:02MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 7:04MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot7
28.1%
5
71.9%
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 7:18MEMMISS Conley 12' Jump Shot7
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
30.0%
3
70.0%
Q1 - 7:54MEMMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot7
30.6%
3
69.4%
Q1 - 8:05MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem Dunk7
30.9%
3
69.1%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 8:19MEMMISS Allen 1' Layup7
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 8:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot7
30.9%
3
69.1%
Q1 - 8:50MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 8:50MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot5
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 9:12MEMRandolph 1' Layup (5 PTS)5
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 9:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
25.2%
3
74.8%
Q1 - 9:23MEMMISS Conley 7' Floating Jump Shot3
24.2%
3
75.8%
Q1 - 9:34MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
25.2%
3
74.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot3
24.7%
3
75.3%
Q1 - 9:48MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
23.7%
3
76.3%
Q1 - 9:48MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 22
23.4%
3
76.6%
Q1 - 9:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 9:49MEMMISS Randolph Layup2
22.8%
3
77.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 10:46MEMRandolph 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:00MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:09MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:35MEMMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:36MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:38MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gasol: Tip to Conley0
24.6%
0
75.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
11
22
50%
MIA
13
19
68%
Midrange
MEM
18
42
43%
MIA
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
Free Throws
MEM
21
27
78%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2471%12.0 / 17
Z. Randolph1439%7.0 / 18
M. Conley1454%7.0 / 13
Q. Pondexter10100%5.0 / 5
T. Allen945%4.5 / 10
A. Daye536%2.5 / 7
T. Prince433%2.0 / 6
J. Bayless450%2.0 / 4
D. Arthur433%2.0 / 6
E. Davis338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2258%11.0 / 19
L. James1845%9.0 / 20
S. Battier14117%7.0 / 6
C. Bosh1354%6.5 / 12
R. Allen1056%5.0 / 9
M. Chalmers975%4.5 / 6
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
76
+14
-12
90
MIA
82
+8
-7
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
112.1
MEM 103.4
MIA 110.1 +6.7
Pace
88.5
90.9
MEM 86.3
MIA 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
MEM 16.7
MIA 15.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
55.2%
MEM 45.5%
MIA 53.4% +7.9%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
MEM 11.9%
MIA 9.6% +2.3%
ORB %
31.0%
22.2%
MEM 25.0% +9.8%
MIA 15.2%
FTrt
26.1
29.7
MEM 35.1
MIA 37.0 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
60.0%
MEM 69.7%
MIA 76.5% +6.8%
STL %
9.6%
9.5%
MEM 4.5%
MIA 7.9% +3.4%
BLK %
9.0%
9.1%
MEM 5.6% +0.9%
MIA 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
57.0%
MEM 50.6%
MIA 53.8% +3.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
65.9%
MEM 50.0%
MIA 68.4% +18.4%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.9%
MEM 42.9% +11.5%
MIA 31.4%
3P %
34.5%
39.6%
MEM 30.8%
MIA 52.6% +21.8%
FT %
77.3%
75.4%
MEM 77.8% +3.7%
MIA 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
34.8%
MEM 28.6% +2.5%
MIA 26.0%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
36.7%
MEM 54.5%
MIA 47.9% +6.6%
3P Att. %
16.6%
28.5%
MEM 16.9%
MIA 26.0% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9198
Rebounds3835
Assists2326
Steals47
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)30 (3)
Field Goals33-7734-73
At-the-Rim FG11-2213-19
Midrange FG18-4211-35
2-Point FG29-6424-54
3-Point FG4-1310-19
Free Throws21-2720-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
37.0
14
39%
9
1
1
0
3
4
4
5
2-4
50%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
36.0
24
71%
9
4
0
1
2
4
2
7
8-8
100%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 33
35.1
4
33%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
34.1
14
54%
4
8
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 213 · 31
27.5
9
45%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 25
20.8
10
100%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
16.7
4
50%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
12.1
4
33%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 25
10.4
5
36%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
10.3
3
38%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 20
C · 6'11" 285 · 25
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
51%
38
23
4
3
12
0
10
28
21-27
78%
29-64
45%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.