FinalWin Prob.pScore
1527%101
110
573%109
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
106.810398.8
HOU logo HOU
104.9102106.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU110
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)107
56.5%
107
43.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Jump Shot107
36.6%
107
63.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)107
54.8%
107
45.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot107
36.1%
107
63.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)107
53.3%
107
46.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)107
64.4%
105
35.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)107
64.4%
105
35.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILMISS Ellis 8' Running Jump Shot105
35.4%
105
64.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
48.0%
105
52.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup105
42.3%
105
57.7%
Q4 - 1:01MILHarden STEAL (4 STL)105
30.6%
105
69.4%
Q4 - 1:14MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)105
46.7%
105
53.3%
Q4 - 1:15HOUMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
41.7%
105
58.3%
Q4 - 1:34MILDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 13 AST)105
31.6%
105
68.4%
Q4 - 1:41MILBucks Rebound102
15.0%
105
85.0%
Q4 - 1:41MILMISS Sanders 2' Reverse Layup102
10.6%
105
89.4%
Q4 - 1:43MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
15.1%
105
84.9%
Q4 - 1:44MILMISS Dunleavy 2' Running Layup102
10.8%
105
89.2%
Q4 - 1:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)102
15.2%
105
84.8%
Q4 - 1:59HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Jump Shot102
13.2%
105
86.8%
Q4 - 2:18HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:6 Def:16)102
9.8%
105
90.2%
Q4 - 2:19MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Fadeaway Jumper102
11.6%
105
88.4%
Q4 - 2:34MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
17.3%
105
82.7%
Q4 - 2:35HOUMISS Asik 2' Layup102
14.6%
105
85.4%
Q4 - 2:37HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)102
9.8%
105
90.2%
Q4 - 2:38HOUMISS Lin 6' Floating Jump Shot102
14.6%
105
85.4%
Q4 - 2:52MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)102
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 3:06HOUAsik 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)99
5.3%
105
94.7%
Q4 - 3:06HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)99
7.2%
103
92.8%
Q4 - 3:06HOUMISS Lin 7' Fadeaway Jumper99
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 3:25HOUROCKETS Rebound99
7.1%
103
92.9%
Q4 - 3:27MILMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot99
8.4%
103
91.6%
Q4 - 3:45MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
13.5%
103
86.5%
Q4 - 3:46HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
12.1%
103
87.9%
Q4 - 3:59HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
9.2%
103
90.8%
Q4 - 4:00MILMISS Sanders 13' Jump Shot99
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 4:15HOULin 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)99
13.2%
103
86.8%
Q4 - 4:38HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)99
17.6%
101
82.4%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
19.6%
101
80.4%
Q4 - 4:48HOUParsons Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)99
24.7%
101
75.3%
Q4 - 4:57HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)99
17.6%
101
82.4%
Q4 - 4:59MILMISS Redick 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot99
19.5%
101
80.5%
Q4 - 5:12HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
25.2%
101
74.8%
Q4 - 5:12HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
26.0%
100
74.0%
Q4 - 5:17HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)99
31.4%
99
68.6%
Q4 - 5:18MILMISS Ellis 3' Driving Layup99
33.9%
99
66.1%
Q4 - 5:29HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)99
39.9%
99
60.1%
Q4 - 5:34HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)99
31.4%
99
68.6%
Q4 - 5:35MILMISS Ellis 9' Driving Bank Shot99
33.9%
99
66.1%
Q4 - 5:48HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)99
39.9%
99
60.1%
Q4 - 6:02MILRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)99
52.3%
96
47.7%
Q4 - 6:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
38.3%
96
61.7%
Q4 - 6:17HOUMISS Motiejunas 6' Jump Shot96
35.9%
96
64.1%
Q4 - 6:28MILSanders 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)96
30.8%
96
69.2%
Q4 - 6:45HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
25.3%
96
74.7%
Q4 - 6:45HOUMotiejunas 2' Tip Shot (13 PTS)94
25.3%
96
74.7%
Q4 - 6:46HOUMISS Motiejunas 2' Turnaround Jump Shot94
36.0%
94
64.0%
Q4 - 7:04MILSanders Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)94
30.3%
94
69.7%
Q4 - 7:19HOUParsons 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Motiejunas 5 AST)92
25.2%
94
74.8%
Q4 - 7:33MILEllis 22' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)92
36.5%
91
63.5%
Q4 - 7:45MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
30.8%
91
69.2%
Q4 - 7:45HOUMISS Parsons Free Throw 2 of 290
30.0%
91
70.0%
Q4 - 7:45HOUMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 290
26.7%
91
73.3%
Q4 - 7:59HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
24.8%
91
75.3%
Q4 - 7:59MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
26.5%
91
73.5%
Q4 - 8:08MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
30.4%
91
69.6%
Q4 - 8:09HOUMISS Lin 2' Driving Layup90
28.8%
91
71.2%
Q4 - 8:25MILRedick 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
25.3%
91
74.7%
Q4 - 8:33MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
20.7%
91
79.3%
Q4 - 8:34HOUMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 8:49MILEllis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
16.8%
91
83.2%
Q4 - 9:11HOUDelfino Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
14.2%
91
85.8%
Q4 - 9:26MILEllis 2' Dunk (20 PTS)86
21.2%
88
78.8%
Q4 - 9:29HOULin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)84
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 9:43HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
14.3%
88
85.7%
Q4 - 9:44MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q4 - 10:01HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
17.7%
88
82.3%
Q4 - 10:01HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
18.7%
87
81.3%
Q4 - 10:11MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)84
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 10:11MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 283
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q4 - 10:32HOULin 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)83
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 10:42MILRedick 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)83
25.3%
84
74.7%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMotiejunas 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Lin 7 AST)81
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q4 - 11:24HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
25.4%
82
74.6%
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot81
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q4 - 11:45HOUParsons 5' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)81
29.7%
82
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU81
34.4%
80
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound81
34.4%
80
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 66' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.8%
80
62.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)81
34.0%
80
66.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)78
25.2%
80
74.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
22.8%
80
77.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUDelfino 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)78
25.3%
80
74.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P3.T16)78
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)78
33.8%
78
66.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot78
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q3 - 1:08MILRedick 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)78
29.1%
78
70.9%
Q3 - 1:24HOUDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)76
25.2%
78
74.8%
Q3 - 1:37HOUROCKETS Rebound76
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q3 - 1:38MILMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot76
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q3 - 1:50MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
37.7%
75
62.3%
Q3 - 1:50HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 176
37.1%
75
62.9%
Q3 - 2:15MILEllis 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)76
40.9%
73
59.1%
Q3 - 2:29HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)74
36.6%
73
63.4%
Q3 - 2:49MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
32.4%
73
67.6%
Q3 - 2:49MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q3 - 3:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
28.0%
73
72.0%
Q3 - 3:04HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q3 - 3:04MILHarden STEAL (3 STL)72
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 3:07MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 3:08HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q3 - 3:17MILEllis Palming Turnover (P3.T14)72
31.6%
71
68.4%
Q3 - 3:25HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 3:25HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 272
37.3%
70
62.7%
Q3 - 3:26HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)72
35.5%
70
64.5%
Q3 - 3:26HOUMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot72
38.5%
70
61.5%
Q3 - 3:41MILHenson 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)72
35.6%
70
64.4%
Q3 - 3:48MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
31.7%
70
68.3%
Q3 - 3:49HOUMISS Asik 3' Layup70
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q3 - 4:10MILDunleavy 13' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 4:29MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
24.6%
70
75.4%
Q3 - 4:30HOUMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
23.5%
70
76.5%
Q3 - 4:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 4:45MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Turnaround Jump Shot68
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 4:59HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
24.6%
70
75.4%
Q3 - 5:00HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)68
31.0%
67
69.0%
Q3 - 5:01HOUMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot68
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 5:08HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)68
30.5%
67
69.5%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot68
31.7%
67
68.3%
Q3 - 5:21HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 5:46HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
30.5%
67
69.5%
Q3 - 5:47MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
31.7%
67
68.3%
Q3 - 6:07HOUParsons 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)68
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 6:19MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P2.T13)68
37.1%
65
62.9%
Q3 - 6:51MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
53.5%
62
46.5%
Q3 - 7:07HOUMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot66
42.7%
62
57.3%
Q3 - 7:14HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
40.0%
62
60.0%
Q3 - 7:16MILLin BLOCK (1 BLK)66
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 7:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 7:35HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 266
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 7:35HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q3 - 7:40HOUROCKETS Rebound66
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot66
45.0%
61
55.0%
Q3 - 8:01HOUDelfino 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)66
47.0%
61
53.0%
Q3 - 8:22MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)66
50.4%
59
49.6%
Q3 - 8:35HOUParsons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)64
47.1%
59
52.9%
Q3 - 8:46MILEllis 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
42.9%
59
57.1%
Q3 - 9:16HOUParsons 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Lin 6 AST)62
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 9:20HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q3 - 9:22MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot62
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 9:27MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS Lin 7' Running Jump Shot62
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q3 - 9:41MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)62
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q3 - 9:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 9:54HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 10:09MILEllis 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)59
31.0%
57
69.0%
Q3 - 10:24MILBucks Rebound57
28.3%
57
71.7%
Q3 - 10:25MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot57
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 10:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
28.3%
57
71.7%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMISS Harden 15' Pullup Jump Shot57
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q3 - 10:39MILLin STEAL (3 STL)57
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 11:03HOUParsons 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Motiejunas 4 AST)57
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 11:09HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q3 - 11:12MILMISS Ellis 12' Pullup Jump Shot57
31.4%
55
68.6%
Q3 - 11:18MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q3 - 11:20HOUMISS Parsons 21' Fadeaway Jumper57
32.6%
55
67.4%
Q3 - 11:46MILIlyasova 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Sanders 2 AST)57
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL55
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound55
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Running Bank Shot55
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
27.2%
55
72.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Harden 5' Driving Layup55
26.6%
55
73.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
25.4%
55
74.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P3.T11)53
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILIlyasova 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)53
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 1:04HOUMotiejunas Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)51
18.2%
55
81.8%
Q2 - 1:11MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)51
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 1:15HOUAsik Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9)51
18.2%
55
81.8%
Q2 - 1:16HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 1:17HOUMISS Harden 5' Floating Jump Shot51
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q2 - 1:36MILIlyasova 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)51
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 1:46MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMISS Lin 6' Driving Jump Shot49
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q2 - 1:57MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q2 - 1:57MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q2 - 2:12HOUDelfino 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)47
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q2 - 2:18HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 2:20MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup47
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 2:27MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMISS Delfino 3' Driving Layup47
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 2:42MILDunleavy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)47
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 2:59HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lin 5 AST)47
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 3:21MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 3:21MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
17.9%
50
82.1%
Q2 - 3:29MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q2 - 3:29HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 245
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 3:29HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 3:33MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 3:33MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 244
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 3:43MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q2 - 3:45HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot44
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 4:01HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 4:03MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 4:03MILMISS Sanders 2' Tip Shot44
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 4:05MILMISS Dunleavy 21' Pullup Jump Shot44
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 4:13HOUParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)44
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 4:22HOURobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot44
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 4:48HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 4:48HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 244
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 5:00HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 5:01MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 5:12MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 5:13HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 5:13HOUMISS Asik Tip Shot44
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 5:14HOUMISS Parsons 3' Driving Layup44
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 5:27MILDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)44
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 5:40HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)41
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 5:40HOUROCKETS Rebound41
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 5:41HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot41
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 6:04MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 6:04MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q2 - 6:17HOULin 3' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)39
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 6:35MILRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)39
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 6:42MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 6:43MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 6:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 6:55HOUMISS Asik 2' Layup39
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 7:02HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 7:04MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 7:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 7:18HOUMISS Motiejunas 4' Hook Shot39
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 7:30MILRedick 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)39
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 7:47HOUParsons 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)37
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 7:48HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Delfino 2' Driving Layup37
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 7:54MILDelfino STEAL (1 STL)37
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 8:18HOUParsons 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Motiejunas 3 AST)37
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 8:23HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 8:24HOUMISS Smith 3' Layup37
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 8:46MILHenson 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)37
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 8:49MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 8:50HOUMISS Motiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 8:59MILMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)35
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot35
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 9:29HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 9:31MILMISS Gooden 8' Hook Shot35
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 9:47MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 9:48HOUMISS Beverley 4' Layup35
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 9:53MILBeverley STEAL (1 STL)35
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 10:13HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 10:14MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 10:34HOUSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)35
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 10:44MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 10:44MILHenson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)35
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Redick 4' Driving Layup33
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 10:51HOUParsons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)33
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 10:56MILParsons STEAL (1 STL)33
15.5%
38
84.5%
Q2 - 11:19HOUMotiejunas 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 11:32HOUROCKETS Rebound33
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 11:32HOUMISS Motiejunas 3' Driving Layup33
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 11:43HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 11:44MILMISS Henson 6' Jump Shot33
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU33
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 233
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILDunleavy 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)32
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILHenson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)30
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q1 - 1:24MILHenson 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)28
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q1 - 1:35MILBucks Rebound26
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q1 - 1:35HOUMISS Delfino 24' Jump Shot26
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q1 - 1:44HOUROCKETS Rebound26
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q1 - 1:46HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q1 - 2:05MILDunleavy 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)26
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q1 - 2:10HOUParsons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q1 - 2:12HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q1 - 2:13HOUMISS Parsons 13' Floating Jump Shot24
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q1 - 2:23MILDunleavy 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)24
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q1 - 2:39HOURobinson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)22
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q1 - 2:45HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q1 - 2:47MILMISS Ellis 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot22
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q1 - 3:01HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q1 - 3:15MILJennings 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
12.4%
30
87.6%
Q1 - 3:27HOUSmith 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)19
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 3:42MILJennings 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q1 - 3:55MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 216
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 216
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 4:11MILIlyasova 2' Putback Layup (7 PTS)16
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 4:12MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 4:13MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 4:17MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 4:19HOUMISS Asik 2' Reverse Layup14
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 4:35HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 4:35MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 214
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 4:35MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 4:38MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 4:40HOUMISS Parsons 21' Jump Shot13
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q1 - 4:53MILIlyasova 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 5:09HOUAsik 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)11
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 5:20MILMISS Sanders 21' Jump Shot11
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 5:32HOUAsik 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)11
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 5:47MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)11
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 6:20HOUHarden 3' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Asik 1 AST)8
7.8%
24
92.2%
Q1 - 6:39MILJennings 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)8
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 6:43HOULin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
7.8%
22
92.2%
Q1 - 6:48MILLin STEAL (2 STL)6
7.1%
22
92.9%
Q1 - 7:06HOUAsik 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)6
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 7:20MILMbah a Moute Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)6
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 7:37HOUParsons 1' Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)4
8.0%
20
92.0%
Q1 - 7:41MILLin STEAL (1 STL)4
8.5%
18
91.5%
Q1 - 7:52HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 7:52HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 7:53HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 7:55MILMISS Jennings 19' Pullup Jump Shot4
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 8:11HOULin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)4
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 8:26HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 8:26MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 14
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 8:41HOUAsik 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 8:50MILHarden STEAL (2 STL)2
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 9:02HOUMotiejunas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)2
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 9:13MILHarden STEAL (1 STL)2
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 9:17HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 9:28HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot2
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 9:41MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 9:45HOUMISS Parsons 2' Layup2
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 9:49HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 9:50MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot2
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 10:09HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 10:13HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.1%
7
83.9%
Q1 - 10:14MILMISS Sanders 4' Driving Layup2
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 10:26HOUHarden 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 10:36HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Ilyasova 22' Jump Shot2
18.4%
5
81.6%
Q1 - 10:59HOUAsik Layup (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)2
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 11:14MILSanders 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
20.1%
3
79.9%
Q1 - 11:38HOUParsons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
19.0%
3
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Asik vs. Sanders: Tip to Lin0
21.2%
0
78.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.6%
HOU
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
28
64%
HOU
33
52
63%
Midrange
MIL
16
37
43%
HOU
2
14
14%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
HOU
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
MIL
15
20
75%
HOU
16
25
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2747%13.5 / 29
E. Ilyasova2071%10.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy1667%8.0 / 12
J. Redick1464%7.0 / 11
J. Henson1286%6.0 / 7
L. Sanders1045%5.0 / 11
B. Jennings850%4.0 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute330%1.5 / 5
D. Gooden0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2554%12.5 / 23
C. Parsons2056%10.0 / 18
O. Asik1662%8.0 / 13
D. Motiejunas1359%6.5 / 11
C. Delfino1243%6.0 / 14
J. Lin1042%5.0 / 12
G. Smith675%3.0 / 4
P. Beverley350%1.5 / 3
T. Robinson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+12
-17
98
HOU
85
+17
-17
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.6%
HOU
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
109.8
MIL 106.8 +1.9
HOU 104.9
Pace
94.8
96.0
MIL 98.8
HOU 106.5 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.2
MIL 14.6
HOU 13.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
52.5%
MIL 53.4% +2.3%
HOU 51.1%
TO %
14.3%
16.4%
MIL 14.8% +1.2%
HOU 16.0%
ORB %
28.0%
26.4%
MIL 20.9%
HOU 27.7% +6.8%
FTrt
23.6
30.8
MIL 22.5
HOU 28.1 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.9%
MIL 62.8% +0.9%
HOU 61.9%
STL %
8.8%
8.6%
MIL 9.7%
HOU 10.8% +1.1%
BLK %
10.1%
6.9%
MIL 9.1% +7.6%
HOU 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
55.0%
MIL 55.6% +4.6%
HOU 51.0%
Rim FG%
54.6%
58.9%
MIL 64.3% +0.8%
HOU 63.5%
Mid FG%
36.8%
36.3%
MIL 43.2% +28.9%
HOU 14.3%
3P %
36.0%
36.6%
MIL 37.5% +7.1%
HOU 30.4%
FT %
73.6%
75.4%
MIL 75.0% +11.0%
HOU 64.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
42.7%
MIL 31.5%
HOU 58.4% +27.0%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
22.4%
MIL 41.6%
HOU 15.7% +25.8%
3P Att. %
23.2%
34.9%
MIL 27.0% +1.1%
HOU 25.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.94 and 2.94.
Game TotalsMILHOU
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points110107
Rebounds4347
Assists2726
Steals1011
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals43-8942-89
At-the-Rim FG18-2833-52
Midrange FG16-372-14
2-Point FG34-6535-66
3-Point FG9-247-23
Free Throws15-2016-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
44.6
27
47%
6
13
6
0
3
3
2
4
7-11
64%
7-18
39%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 230 · 24
34.7
10
45%
9
2
2
2
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
32.8
20
71%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
7-11
64%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 170 · 23
30.3
8
50%
4
6
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 230 · 26
22.8
3
30%
2
0
0
1
3
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32
30.8
16
67%
6
3
1
1
4
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29
20.8
14
64%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 229 · 22
12.8
12
86%
5
1
0
0
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 31
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 33
· 6'10" 250 · 28
F · 6'6" 200 · 32
#15 · G · 6'0" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
56%
43
27
10
6
17
0
9
34
15-20
75%
34-65
52%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.