FinalWin Prob.pScore
2714%92
105
286%106
109
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
122.18695.0
MIA logo MIA
122.58981.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA105
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEWaiters 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)105
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)103
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
2.0%
107
98.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (24 PTS)101
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
6.6%
103
93.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup101
11.4%
103
88.6%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
8.3%
103
91.7%
Q4 - 1:04CLEMISS Irving 17' Running Jump Shot101
10.2%
103
89.8%
Q4 - 1:09CLEGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)101
15.9%
103
84.1%
Q4 - 1:10CLEMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot101
10.6%
103
89.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)101
16.9%
103
83.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
35.8%
100
64.2%
Q4 - 1:35CLEMISS Irving 1' Driving Layup101
40.0%
100
60.0%
Q4 - 1:56CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)101
48.1%
100
51.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot101
44.1%
100
55.9%
Q4 - 2:17CLEWaiters 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)101
35.4%
100
64.6%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade 2' Layup (22 PTS)99
28.6%
100
71.4%
Q4 - 2:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
33.9%
98
66.1%
Q4 - 2:53CLEWade BLOCK (2 BLK)99
37.8%
98
62.2%
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (James 8 AST)99
47.8%
98
52.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
56.2%
96
43.8%
Q4 - 3:21CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
60.5%
96
39.5%
Q4 - 3:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
59.7%
96
40.3%
Q4 - 3:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
61.5%
95
38.5%
Q4 - 3:56CLEIrving 9' Running Bank Shot (17 PTS)99
68.4%
94
31.6%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)97
61.1%
94
38.9%
Q4 - 4:31CLEChalmers STEAL (2 STL)97
76.7%
91
23.3%
Q4 - 4:50MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)97
83.6%
91
16.4%
Q4 - 5:16CLEMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)97
82.0%
89
18.0%
Q4 - 5:33CLEGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
70.9%
89
29.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 294
69.9%
89
30.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)94
65.0%
89
35.0%
Q4 - 5:58CLESpeights 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Irving 5 AST)94
70.5%
88
29.5%
Q4 - 6:22MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)92
57.9%
88
42.1%
Q4 - 6:46CLEWaiters 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)92
71.1%
85
28.9%
Q4 - 6:59CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
65.3%
85
34.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
63.0%
85
37.0%
Q4 - 7:28CLEGee 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)90
52.8%
85
47.2%
Q4 - 7:33CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
46.5%
85
53.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot88
44.2%
85
55.8%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound88
39.1%
85
60.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot88
44.3%
85
55.7%
Q4 - 8:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
37.4%
85
62.6%
Q4 - 8:06CLEMISS Speights 22' Jump Shot88
39.2%
85
60.8%
Q4 - 8:29CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot88
41.7%
85
58.3%
Q4 - 8:45CLELivingston Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)88
37.4%
85
62.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAWade 4' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)88
41.3%
85
58.7%
Q4 - 9:30CLESpeights 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Gee 3 AST)88
47.5%
83
52.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)86
41.5%
83
58.5%
Q4 - 10:05CLESpeights 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)86
34.1%
83
65.9%
Q4 - 10:25MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Miles: Tip to Ellington84
29.3%
83
70.7%
Q4 - 10:31MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q4 - 10:32CLEMISS Ellington 22' Jump Shot84
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)84
29.3%
83
70.7%
Q4 - 11:03CLEEllington 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)84
33.3%
81
66.7%
Q4 - 11:13CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot82
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q4 - 11:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 11:28CLEMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q4 - 11:41CLEGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot82
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE82
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound82
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0CLEGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
27.7%
81
72.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup82
26.6%
81
73.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)82
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEMiles Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)81
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James 6' Running Bank Shot77
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0CLEMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Irving 3 AST)77
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q3 - 1:05CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot74
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 1:35CLEMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)74
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIAJames 3' Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)71
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 2:24CLEIrving 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 2:32CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot69
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 2:50CLEGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 2:50CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 2:52CLEGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:53CLEBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 3:15CLEWaiters 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 3:21CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS James 8' Running Jump Shot65
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 3:41CLEBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)65
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)65
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot65
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:49CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:49CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 5:06CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 5:07CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 5:13CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup63
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 5:28CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 5:38MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 260
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Thompson: Tip to Chalmers60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 6:02CLEBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 6:24MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 6:48CLEWaiters 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 7:16MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 7:41CLEGee 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)58
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 7:42CLEGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:43CLEMISS Thompson 6' Jump Shot56
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 8:17CLEMISS Gee 3PT Jump Shot56
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 8:38CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup56
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 8:57CLEZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)56
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 9:00CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 9:18CLEWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 9:18CLEWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 9:20CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 9:21CLEMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 9:50CLEThompson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Irving 1 AST)51
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 9:57CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 10:29CLEIrving 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gee 2 AST)49
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 10:48MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)46
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)46
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 10:56CLEMISS Zeller 15' Jump Shot46
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIABosh 1' Layup (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
1.5%
64
98.5%
Q3 - 11:37CLEMISS Thompson 9' Hook Shot46
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE46
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)46
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0CLEWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0CLEMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 245
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)45
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)45
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0CLEBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)45
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0CLEMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup45
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)45
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 1:13CLEMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup45
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q2 - 1:20MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHEAT Rebound45
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup45
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 1:29CLEBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)45
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)45
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q2 - 1:51CLEHaslem STEAL (1 STL)45
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q2 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:13CLEMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot45
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 2:37MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)45
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHEAT Rebound45
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup45
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 2:58CLEMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 145
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)43
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 3:25CLEWaiters 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 3:37MIAJames 17' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 3:56CLEThompson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 4:09CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 4:16CLEWaiters 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)39
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS James 2' Layup37
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 4:36CLEThompson 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)37
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)35
4.9%
46
95.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound35
4.4%
46
95.6%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot35
4.8%
46
95.2%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical35
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 5:32CLEZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 5:32CLEZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
4.4%
46
95.6%
Q2 - 5:33CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
4.0%
46
96.0%
Q2 - 5:34CLEMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
4.0%
46
96.0%
Q2 - 6:12CLEMiles 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)33
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 6:16CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot31
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q2 - 6:46CLEMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)31
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q2 - 7:02MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)28
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHEAT Rebound28
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 7:16CLEMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 7:35CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot28
3.0%
44
97.0%
Q2 - 7:54CLEEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 7:54CLEEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)27
2.7%
44
97.3%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 8:39CLESpeights 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)26
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 8:49CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot24
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 9:11CLESpeights 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)24
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAAllen 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)22
2.2%
42
97.8%
Q2 - 9:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
2.4%
40
97.6%
Q2 - 9:46CLEMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
2.5%
40
97.5%
Q2 - 9:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 10:02CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)22
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 10:10CLEWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot22
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 10:27CLEEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 10:27CLEMISS Ellington Free Throw 1 of 221
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 10:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
2.5%
39
97.5%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot21
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
2.5%
39
97.5%
Q2 - 10:52CLEMISS Speights 1' Driving Layup21
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)21
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 11:27CLESpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 11:27CLEMISS Speights Free Throw 1 of 220
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 11:39MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)20
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 11:53CLEBattier STEAL (2 STL)20
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Battier 38' 3PT Jump Shot20
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEBattier STEAL (1 STL)20
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0CLECole BLOCK (1 BLK)20
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
5.6%
30
94.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)20
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0CLESpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0CLEMISS Irving 13' Jump Shot20
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 1:04CLELivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot20
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS James 3' Layup20
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 1:24CLEIrving 14' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)20
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)18
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q1 - 2:04CLEWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 2:18MIAChalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 2:43CLEAllen STEAL (1 STL)18
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)18
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 3:09CLEJames STEAL (1 STL)18
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)18
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 3:43CLEWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 3:54CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup18
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 4:03CLEWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 4:42CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 2 of 215
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 4:42CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:16CLEMISS Gee 1' Reverse Layup14
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 5:38MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Zeller: Tip to Bosh14
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 5:46CLECavaliers Rebound14
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 5:48CLEMISS Irving 18' Jump Shot14
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 6:28CLEIrving 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)14
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 6:43MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 6:54CLEMISS Gee 9' Running Jump Shot11
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 7:20CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 7:22CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 7:23CLEHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)8
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 7:24CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 7:24CLEMISS Gee 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.6%
3
83.4%
Q1 - 7:51CLEMISS Thompson 6' Jump Hook Shot8
16.9%
3
83.1%
Q1 - 8:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 28
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 8:41CLEGee 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 8:54CLEMISS Zeller 8' Jump Hook Shot6
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 9:12CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot6
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 9:39CLEWaiters 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 9:45CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Hook Shot4
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:09CLEZeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)4
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 10:21MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:25CLEMISS Irving 3PT Jump Shot2
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 10:46CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:08CLEThompson 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Zeller: Tip to James0
11.2%
0
88.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
19
29
66%
MIA
19
30
63%
Midrange
CLE
12
29
41%
MIA
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MIA
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
Free Throws
CLE
19
24
79%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2672%13.0 / 18
C. Miles1986%9.5 / 11
K. Irving1750%8.5 / 17
T. Thompson1146%5.5 / 12
M. Speights1169%5.5 / 8
A. Gee950%4.5 / 9
T. Zeller770%3.5 / 5
W. Ellington542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2858%14.0 / 24
D. Wade2452%12.0 / 23
M. Chalmers16100%8.0 / 8
S. Battier1488%7.0 / 8
R. Allen1192%5.5 / 6
C. Bosh750%3.5 / 7
U. Haslem788%3.5 / 4
N. Cole225%1.0 / 4
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
75
+11
-11
86
MIA
78
+11
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
112.1
CLE 122.1
MIA 122.5 +0.4
Pace
92.2
90.9
CLE 95.0 +13.6
MIA 81.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
CLE 15.2 +2.5
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
55.2%
CLE 55.1%
MIA 60.0% +4.9%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
CLE 11.0% +1.3%
MIA 12.3%
ORB %
28.2%
22.2%
CLE 24.3% +5.5%
MIA 18.8%
FTrt
26.5
29.7
CLE 30.8
MIA 32.0 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
60.0%
CLE 46.2%
MIA 59.0% +12.8%
STL %
8.5%
9.5%
CLE 8.1%
MIA 9.0% +0.9%
BLK %
6.8%
9.1%
CLE 7.1%
MIA 15.5% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
57.0%
CLE 59.7%
MIA 61.2% +1.5%
Rim FG%
53.8%
65.9%
CLE 65.5% +2.2%
MIA 63.3%
Mid FG%
39.1%
41.9%
CLE 41.4% +10.6%
MIA 30.8%
3P %
34.6%
39.6%
CLE 40.0%
MIA 63.2% +23.2%
FT %
75.6%
75.4%
CLE 79.2%
MIA 79.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
34.8%
CLE 37.2%
MIA 40.0% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
36.7%
CLE 37.2%
MIA 34.7% +2.5%
3P Att. %
22.9%
28.5%
CLE 25.6% +0.3%
MIA 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points105109
Rebounds3534
Assists1823
Steals78
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals39-7839-75
At-the-Rim FG19-2919-30
Midrange FG12-298-26
2-Point FG31-5827-56
3-Point FG8-2012-19
Free Throws19-2419-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 225 · 26
40.5
9
50%
6
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 21
36.3
17
50%
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
G · 6'4" 215 · 21
31.3
26
72%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
3-5
60%
10-15
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 22
30.0
11
46%
12
0
2
1
0
0
2
10
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
15.1
7
70%
2
0
0
1
1
4
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
21.3
19
86%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26
18.2
11
69%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
17.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 27
14.9
0
0%
5
4
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
14.6
5
42%
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 24
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
#17 · F · 6'11" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'2" 183 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
60%
35
18
7
4
11
0
9
26
19-24
79%
31-58
53%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.