FinalWin Prob.pScore
1639%97
103
1561%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
108.49596.7
MIL logo MIL
104.19896.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL103
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound103
95.5%
102
4.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ellis 9' Jump Shot103
99.3%
102
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLHorford 1' Hook Shot (23 PTS)103
87.8%
102
12.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILEllis 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)101
37.2%
102
62.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
57.4%
100
42.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup101
66.8%
100
33.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)101
77.5%
100
22.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
52.9%
100
47.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
58.3%
100
41.7%
Q4 - 1:07ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
68.9%
100
31.1%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup101
63.9%
100
36.1%
Q4 - 1:11MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)101
52.4%
100
47.6%
Q4 - 1:12MILMISS Ellis 7' Jump Shot101
63.6%
100
36.4%
Q4 - 1:28ATLHorford Dunk (21 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)101
51.8%
100
48.2%
Q4 - 1:39MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)99
39.9%
100
60.1%
Q4 - 1:56ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)99
27.8%
100
72.2%
Q4 - 2:12MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)96
14.6%
100
85.4%
Q4 - 2:39ATLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)96
8.2%
100
91.8%
Q4 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)93
4.6%
100
95.4%
Q4 - 2:55MILMISS Ilyasova Layup93
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 3:08MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)93
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 3:09ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot93
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 3:30MILJennings 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
4.6%
100
95.4%
Q4 - 3:36ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)93
9.2%
98
90.8%
Q4 - 3:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)93
13.2%
98
86.8%
Q4 - 3:41MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot93
11.8%
98
88.2%
Q4 - 4:00ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)93
8.8%
98
91.2%
Q4 - 4:00ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
8.4%
98
91.6%
Q4 - 4:11MILDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sanders 2 AST)91
6.3%
98
93.7%
Q4 - 4:41ATLHorford 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)91
12.1%
95
87.9%
Q4 - 4:46ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 4:47MILMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 5:09ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)89
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 5:26MILRedick 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)86
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 5:45MILBUCKS Rebound86
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 5:45ATLMISS Harris 2' Reverse Layup86
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 5:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)86
8.1%
93
91.9%
Q4 - 5:52MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot86
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 5:59MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)86
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 6:00MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup86
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 6:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 6:03MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup86
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 6:16ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)86
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 6:43MILIlyasova 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)83
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 6:56MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
5.4%
91
94.6%
Q4 - 7:00ATLHenson BLOCK (1 BLK)83
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 7:07MILMISS Henson 3' Jump Shot83
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 7:26ATLHarris 1' Layup (15 PTS)83
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q4 - 7:51MILRedick 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 8:09ATLSmith 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)81
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 8:24MILDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 7 AST)79
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 8:38MILMISS Henson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 279
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q4 - 8:38MILHenson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 8:39MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 8:42MILMISS Dalembert 2' Layup79
11.5%
86
88.5%
Q4 - 8:46ATLDalembert STEAL (1 STL)79
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 9:01MILDalembert 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)79
13.5%
86
86.5%
Q4 - 9:22MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
16.6%
84
83.4%
Q4 - 9:24ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot79
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 9:44MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
20.1%
84
79.9%
Q4 - 9:44MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
20.7%
83
79.3%
Q4 - 9:53MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
24.3%
82
75.7%
Q4 - 9:54ATLMISS Teague 6' Jump Shot79
25.6%
82
74.4%
Q4 - 10:08MILEllis 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q4 - 10:16MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
34.1%
80
65.9%
Q4 - 10:17ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot79
35.7%
80
64.3%
Q4 - 10:28MILDalembert Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)79
39.4%
80
60.6%
Q4 - 10:50ATLJenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)79
34.1%
80
65.9%
Q4 - 11:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
25.4%
80
74.6%
Q4 - 11:04MILMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot76
24.2%
80
75.8%
Q4 - 11:12MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
21.6%
80
78.4%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Jenkins 21' Jump Shot76
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q4 - 11:23MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)76
25.4%
80
74.6%
Q4 - 11:40MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
21.5%
80
78.5%
Q4 - 11:41ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot76
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q4 - 11:52MILDunleavy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)76
25.3%
80
74.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL76
21.5%
80
78.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
21.5%
80
78.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Jenkins Layup76
23.3%
80
76.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)76
25.8%
80
74.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
23.3%
80
76.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)76
25.8%
80
74.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLSmith 3' Hook Shot (10 PTS)76
34.6%
77
65.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILDalembert 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Redick 6 AST)74
29.9%
77
70.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Harris 1' Layup74
35.9%
75
64.1%
Q3 - 1:05MILHenson 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)74
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q3 - 1:28MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
43.8%
73
56.2%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 274
44.5%
73
55.5%
Q3 - 1:29ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
47.6%
73
52.4%
Q3 - 1:42MILRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
43.7%
73
56.3%
Q3 - 1:42MILRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q3 - 2:01ATLHarris 1' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)73
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q3 - 2:12MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)71
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 2:15MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)71
38.5%
71
61.5%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
39.9%
71
60.1%
Q3 - 2:28MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 2:28MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 271
44.8%
70
55.2%
Q3 - 2:38ATLKorver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)71
43.1%
70
56.9%
Q3 - 2:46MILRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)68
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 2:55MILRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
30.2%
70
69.8%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot68
31.4%
70
68.6%
Q3 - 3:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)68
34.4%
70
65.6%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 2 of 268
33.8%
70
66.2%
Q3 - 3:14MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q3 - 3:16MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)68
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q3 - 3:17MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot68
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 3:33ATLTeague Layup (18 PTS)68
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q3 - 3:52MILIlyasova 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)66
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q3 - 4:03MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)66
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 4:04ATLMISS Teague 3' Layup66
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 4:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q3 - 4:13MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot66
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 4:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)66
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 4:27ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 4:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q3 - 4:31ATLMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot66
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 4:47MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q3 - 4:47MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 5:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
41.6%
65
58.4%
Q3 - 5:02ATLMISS Teague 16' Jump Shot66
43.0%
65
57.0%
Q3 - 5:18MILJennings 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)66
46.3%
65
53.7%
Q3 - 5:29ATLIlyasova STEAL (2 STL)66
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 5:45MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P2.T10)66
54.7%
63
45.3%
Q3 - 5:56ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 5:56ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
49.4%
63
50.6%
Q3 - 6:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
45.9%
63
54.1%
Q3 - 6:07MILMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot64
44.5%
63
55.5%
Q3 - 6:21MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
41.4%
63
58.6%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot64
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q3 - 6:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
45.9%
63
54.1%
Q3 - 6:40MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
44.5%
63
55.5%
Q3 - 6:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
41.4%
63
58.6%
Q3 - 6:55ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
42.8%
63
57.2%
Q3 - 7:14MILMbah a Moute Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)64
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 7:36ATLHorford 1' Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)64
48.7%
61
51.3%
Q3 - 7:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
45.1%
61
54.9%
Q3 - 7:44MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q3 - 7:55MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
41.0%
61
59.0%
Q3 - 7:57ATLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
42.3%
61
57.7%
Q3 - 8:19MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)62
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 8:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
40.7%
61
59.3%
Q3 - 8:27ATLMISS Teague 1' Layup62
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 8:39MILIlyasova Layup (15 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)62
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 8:57ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)62
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 9:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 9:10MILMISS Sanders 18' Jump Shot60
43.1%
59
56.9%
Q3 - 9:26ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)60
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 9:46MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)58
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 10:01ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)58
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q3 - 10:18MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 10:18MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)56
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 10:20MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup56
42.6%
55
57.4%
Q3 - 10:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 10:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
43.8%
55
56.2%
Q3 - 10:27ATLMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot56
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot56
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 10:51MILSanders 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)56
43.8%
55
56.2%
Q3 - 11:13ATLSmith Dunk (8 PTS)56
46.6%
53
53.4%
Q3 - 11:18MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 11:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 11:36ATLMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL54
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
41.1%
53
58.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)54
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLTeague 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)54
46.8%
51
53.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
42.7%
51
57.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILMISS Jennings 9' Jump Shot52
42.0%
51
58.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Jenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 1:12MILEllis 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q2 - 1:26ATLJennings STEAL (1 STL)52
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 1:45MILRedick 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)52
48.8%
49
51.2%
Q2 - 2:00ATLJenkins 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)52
53.1%
47
46.9%
Q2 - 2:05ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
45.7%
47
54.3%
Q2 - 2:07MILMISS Sanders 1' Reverse Layup49
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 2:18ATLTeague Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
42.6%
47
57.4%
Q2 - 2:45MILIlyasova 16' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)47
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q2 - 3:03ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)47
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 3:17MILRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 3:17MILRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 3:27ATLJenkins Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)44
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 3:36MILSanders 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)44
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 3:42MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith Layup44
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 3:48MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)44
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 4:14ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)44
44.6%
41
55.4%
Q2 - 4:37MILEllis Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)41
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 4:55ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)41
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 5:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 5:12MILMISS Sanders 10' Jump Shot39
38.2%
39
61.8%
Q2 - 5:23MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 5:24ATLMISS Teague 13' Jump Shot39
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 5:34MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)39
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 5:48ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)39
44.6%
36
55.4%
Q2 - 6:13MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
41.7%
36
58.3%
Q2 - 6:28MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 6:29MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 6:29MILMISS Sanders Tip Shot37
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 6:30MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 6:30MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot37
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup37
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 6:45ATLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)37
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 6:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)34
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 6:56MILMISS Jennings 22' Jump Shot34
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 7:02MILRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 7:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)34
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 7:04ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot34
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot34
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 7:26MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)34
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 7:31MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
43.6%
31
56.4%
Q2 - 7:33ATLMISS Horford 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 7:57MILMISS Redick 2' Layup34
45.7%
31
54.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLHorford Layup (5 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)34
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q2 - 8:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 8:32MILMISS Dunleavy 8' Jump Shot32
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q2 - 8:50MILBUCKS Rebound32
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 8:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)32
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 8:50ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot32
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup32
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 9:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 9:06MILMISS Dalembert 10' Jump Shot32
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)32
38.0%
31
62.0%
Q2 - 9:37MILSanders 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)29
33.6%
31
66.4%
Q2 - 10:01ATLJenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)29
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 10:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)26
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 10:06ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot26
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 10:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Dalembert 16' Jump Shot26
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 10:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)26
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 10:29ATLPachulia 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 10:30ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup24
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q2 - 10:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 10:34ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot24
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q2 - 10:48MILDunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)24
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 11:03ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 11:03ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 11:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 11:09MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q2 - 11:26ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)22
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q2 - 11:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 11:31ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup19
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 11:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Jenkins 1' Layup19
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL19
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot19
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)19
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILEllis 2' Layup (6 PTS)19
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)19
24.0%
25
76.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)19
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
24.0%
25
76.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILMISS Dalembert 1' Tip Shot17
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILMISS Ellis 2' Layup17
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILMISS Redick 4' Jump Shot17
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 1:12ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 1:26ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 1:27MILMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot17
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q1 - 1:36MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 1:51MILRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)17
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 1:51MILRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)17
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 1:51MILRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)17
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 1:56MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:57ATLMISS Teague 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 2:16ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 2:17MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 2:41ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 3:01MILEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 3:08MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot15
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:28MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 3:28MILHenson Dunk (6 PTS)15
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 3:30MILMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 3:40MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:42ATLMISS Teague 5' Jump Shot15
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:52MILSanders 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)15
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 4:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot15
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 4:10ATLHawks Rebound15
39.4%
14
60.6%
Q1 - 4:10ATLSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)15
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 4:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
39.4%
14
60.6%
Q1 - 4:16MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 4:16MILMISS Henson 1' Layup15
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 4:18MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot15
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 4:31MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 4:33ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot15
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 4:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
39.4%
14
60.6%
Q1 - 4:44MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 115
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 5:01ATLHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)15
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 5:10MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 5:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 5:27ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 212
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 5:27ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 5:36MILHenson 1' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)11
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 5:52MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.0%
10
63.0%
Q1 - 5:54ATLMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot11
37.6%
10
62.4%
Q1 - 6:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 6:02MILMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot11
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 6:15ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 6:15ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 210
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 6:24ATLTeague Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)10
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:28MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot9
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 6:52ATLTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)9
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 7:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)6
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 7:14MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS)6
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 7:15MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 7:15MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot6
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:16MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 7:16MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup6
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup6
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:37ATLTeague 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 7:57MILSanders 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)4
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 8:15ATLMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)4
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 8:21MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 8:30MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 8:31ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 8:40MILEllis 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 8:50MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 8:52ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:07MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 9:07MILBUCKS Rebound4
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:07MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup4
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 9:22MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:23ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:44MILIlyasova 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)4
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:04ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:26MILSanders Dunk (2 PTS)2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:27MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 10:28MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 10:38ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 10:54MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:13ATLTeague 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:28MILMISS Jennings 8' Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:43ATLIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:47MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Smith: Tip to Mbah a Moute0
34.5%
0
65.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
40
43%
MIL
18
38
47%
Midrange
ATL
8
23
35%
MIL
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
MIL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
11
14
79%
MIL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2368%11.5 / 17
A. Horford2350%11.5 / 23
D. Harris2188%10.5 / 12
J. Smith1538%7.5 / 20
J. Jenkins964%4.5 / 7
K. Korver630%3.0 / 10
A. Tolliver375%1.5 / 2
Z. Pachulia325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova1963%9.5 / 15
J. Redick1667%8.0 / 12
M. Ellis1447%7.0 / 15
L. Sanders1243%6.0 / 14
B. Jennings1146%5.5 / 12
J. Henson1179%5.5 / 7
M. Dunleavy950%4.5 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute643%3.0 / 7
S. Dalembert433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+11
-11
95
MIL
81
+19
-17
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
103.6
ATL 108.4 +4.3
MIL 104.1
Pace
92.9
94.8
ATL 96.7 +0.4
MIL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.4
ATL 14.9 +0.1
MIL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
47.6%
ATL 50.5% +2.2%
MIL 48.3%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
ATL 10.2% +5.3%
MIL 15.5%
ORB %
22.2%
28.0%
ATL 19.6%
MIL 35.4% +15.8%
FTrt
24.4
23.6
ATL 15.4
MIL 22.5 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.1%
60.0%
ATL 69.2% +0.9%
MIL 68.3%
STL %
8.7%
8.8%
ATL 10.5% +2.3%
MIL 8.2%
BLK %
7.1%
10.1%
ATL 5.2% +2.0%
MIL 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
49.7%
ATL 52.6% +2.1%
MIL 50.5%
Rim FG%
62.5%
54.6%
ATL 42.5%
MIL 47.4% +4.9%
Mid FG%
38.3%
36.8%
ATL 34.8%
MIL 48.7% +13.9%
3P %
37.1%
36.0%
ATL 50.0% +16.7%
MIL 33.3%
FT %
71.5%
73.6%
ATL 78.6%
MIL 80.0% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
38.4%
ATL 44.0% +1.3%
MIL 42.7%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
38.3%
ATL 25.3% +18.5%
MIL 43.8%
3P Att. %
28.6%
23.2%
ATL 30.8% +17.3%
MIL 13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points103102
Rebounds4158
Assists2728
Steals108
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)41 (2)
Field Goals39-9141-89
At-the-Rim FG17-4018-38
Midrange FG8-2319-39
2-Point FG25-6337-77
3-Point FG14-284-12
Free Throws11-1416-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
39.3
15
38%
13
5
3
1
2
1
1
12
1-2
50%
4-13
31%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 30
38.8
21
88%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
4-5
80%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
36.6
23
68%
2
9
2
0
2
2
0
2
5-5
100%
6-12
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
36.6
23
50%
11
3
2
2
2
3
1
10
1-2
50%
11-21
52%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
11.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 212 · 32
33.0
6
30%
2
3
1
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
20.1
3
25%
11
2
1
0
0
4
8
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
19.1
9
64%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-4
75%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32
F · 6'8" 255 · 29
C · 7'0" 247 · 27
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
# 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 1 · F · 6'10" 250 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
41
27
10
4
11
0
10
31
11-14
79%
25-63
40%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.