FinalWin Prob.pScore
2723%96
96
1177%105
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.19492.3
DAL logo DAL
115.69697.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL96
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLHarkless Running Layup (20 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)96
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLHarkless 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMISS James 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ORLSmith 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DALJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLMISS Moore 2' Driving Reverse Layup90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DALWright 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ORLAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLMayo BLOCK (2 BLK)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Nicholson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DALMarion Layup (17 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DALMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ORLMISS Nicholson 17' Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DALMarion 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collison 9 AST)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 3:39ORLMISS Afflalo 10' Floating Jump Shot90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 3:54DALWright 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)90
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 4:11DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 4:12ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Step Back Jump Shot90
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 4:33DALWright 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)90
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 4:49DALJump Ball Collison vs. Smith: Tip to Wright90
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 5:16DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)90
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 5:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 5:25ORLMISS Nelson 15' Pullup Jump Shot90
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 5:49ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
13.2%
94
86.8%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
11.9%
94
88.1%
Q4 - 6:07ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Afflalo 7 AST)90
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 6:21DALWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)88
8.2%
94
91.8%
Q4 - 6:25ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)88
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 6:42DALWright 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)88
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)88
10.4%
92
89.6%
Q4 - 6:53ORLWright BLOCK (1 BLK)88
11.4%
92
88.6%
Q4 - 7:14DALMayo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q4 - 7:37ORLVucevic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Afflalo 6 AST)88
17.8%
90
82.2%
Q4 - 7:53DALCrowder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)86
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q4 - 8:13ORLAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)86
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 8:34DALJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q4 - 8:47ORLAyon 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)84
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 8:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q4 - 8:58DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 9:12ORLAfflalo Foul Turnover (P4.T8)82
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 9:28DALCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)82
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q4 - 9:40DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q4 - 9:41ORLMISS Afflalo 28' 3PT Jump Shot82
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 10:07DALJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)82
18.9%
85
81.1%
Q4 - 10:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
22.6%
83
77.4%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q4 - 10:39ORLMagic Rebound82
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q4 - 10:40DALMISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 282
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 10:40DALMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 282
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q4 - 10:51DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
22.6%
83
77.4%
Q4 - 10:52ORLMISS Redick 23' Jump Shot82
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q4 - 10:59ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
26.9%
83
73.1%
Q4 - 11:00DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot82
25.5%
83
74.5%
Q4 - 11:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 11:23ORLMISS Moore 13' Jump Shot82
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q4 - 11:40ORLMagic Rebound82
26.7%
83
73.3%
Q4 - 11:41DALMISS James 3PT Jump Shot82
25.5%
83
74.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Carter 30' 3PT Jump Shot82
25.5%
83
74.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot82
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)82
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)82
35.3%
80
64.7%
Q3 - 1:06DALCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
26.0%
80
74.0%
Q3 - 1:06DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
26.4%
79
73.6%
Q3 - 1:09DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q3 - 1:10ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
31.2%
78
68.8%
Q3 - 1:32DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)79
34.2%
78
65.8%
Q3 - 1:38DALBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
43.6%
75
56.4%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
45.1%
75
54.9%
Q3 - 1:47DALCarter Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)79
48.4%
75
51.6%
Q3 - 1:51DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
53.4%
73
46.6%
Q3 - 1:52ORLMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)79
54.9%
73
45.1%
Q3 - 1:56DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)79
58.2%
73
41.8%
Q3 - 2:02DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
50.7%
73
49.3%
Q3 - 2:04DALMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
54.0%
73
46.0%
Q3 - 2:18ORLAyon 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)79
50.8%
73
49.2%
Q3 - 2:32ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q3 - 2:33DALMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot77
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q3 - 2:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
41.7%
73
58.3%
Q3 - 2:52ORLMISS Ayon Free Throw 1 of 177
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q3 - 3:09ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q3 - 3:10DALMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot75
34.7%
73
65.3%
Q3 - 3:25DALBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q3 - 3:27ORLBrand BLOCK (2 BLK)75
33.2%
73
66.8%
Q3 - 3:46DALMarion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)75
36.1%
73
63.9%
Q3 - 4:05ORLHarkless 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)75
38.9%
71
61.1%
Q3 - 4:21DALMarion 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)73
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q3 - 4:34ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)73
39.0%
69
61.0%
Q3 - 4:34ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
43.9%
69
56.1%
Q3 - 4:34ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 5:02DALCollison 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
42.4%
69
57.6%
Q3 - 5:20ORLAfflalo 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)73
46.1%
67
53.9%
Q3 - 5:40ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
42.6%
67
57.4%
Q3 - 5:41DALMISS Brand 16' Jump Shot71
41.2%
67
58.8%
Q3 - 5:51ORLHarkless 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)71
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 5:53ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)69
34.7%
67
65.3%
Q3 - 5:54ORLMISS Nicholson 16' Jump Shot69
31.8%
67
68.2%
Q3 - 6:16DALBrand 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)69
33.7%
67
66.3%
Q3 - 6:38ORLAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)69
36.9%
65
63.1%
Q3 - 6:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 6:58DALMISS Collison 18' Pullup Jump Shot66
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 7:04DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)66
26.1%
65
73.9%
Q3 - 7:17ORLNicholson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)66
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 7:44DALMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)64
26.4%
64
73.6%
Q3 - 8:09ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 8:09ORLHarkless 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)64
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 8:11ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Jump Shot62
26.7%
61
73.3%
Q3 - 8:32ORLMagic Rebound62
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 8:32DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot62
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q3 - 8:51ORLVucevic 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
25.7%
61
74.3%
Q3 - 8:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
23.2%
61
76.8%
Q3 - 8:53ORLMISS Nelson 14' Step Back Jump Shot60
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 9:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 9:06DALMISS James 1' Layup60
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 9:16DALJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 9:17ORLMISS Nicholson 19' Jump Shot60
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 9:31ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 9:31DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot60
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 9:44ORLHarkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)60
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 9:53ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 9:54DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q3 - 10:22ORLHarkless 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)57
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 10:26DALCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)55
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 10:32ORLAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)55
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 10:35ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
12.3%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 10:36ORLMISS Nicholson 7' Driving Hook Shot55
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 10:47DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 10:57DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 10:58ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Pullup Jump Shot55
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 11:19DALJames 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 11:19DALJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot55
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 11:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 11:30DALMISS James 3' Layup55
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 11:46ORLNicholson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)55
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound53
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Moore 21' Running Jump Shot53
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)53
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 2 of 253
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 1 of 253
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot53
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q2 - 1:06ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 1:06ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 1:13ORLMagic Rebound51
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q2 - 1:13ORLMISS Nelson 22' Pullup Jump Shot51
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 1:19ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q2 - 1:20DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot51
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q2 - 1:36DALBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q2 - 1:37DALMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot51
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q2 - 1:53ORLHarkless Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)51
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q2 - 1:59DALCollison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)49
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 2:03ORLNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)49
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 2:14ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q2 - 2:15DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 2:29ORLVucevic 22' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)49
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 2:53DALCollison Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)47
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q2 - 2:54DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q2 - 2:56ORLBrand BLOCK (1 BLK)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 2:57ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q2 - 2:58ORLMISS Afflalo 9' Floating Jump Shot47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 3:21DALBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q2 - 3:21DALBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q2 - 3:32ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 3:32ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 3:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 3:44DALMISS Collison 3' Driving Jump Shot45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 3:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 3:56ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Reverse Layup45
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 4:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 4:06DALMISS Brand Layup45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 4:21DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 4:22ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 2 of 245
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 4:22ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 4:37ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot44
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 5:00ORLAfflalo 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 5:16ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 5:17ORLMISS Harkless 13' Running Jump Shot42
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 5:26ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 5:33DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 5:35ORLMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)42
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 5:53ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 5:54DALMISS Carter 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 6:12ORLNicholson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)42
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 6:28ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot40
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 6:48DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 6:49ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 7:07DALMarion 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)40
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 7:11DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 7:14ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot40
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 7:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)40
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 7:29ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 7:30DALMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 7:38DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 7:39ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 240
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 7:39ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 7:58DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)39
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 8:11DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 8:12ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 8:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 8:21DALMISS Wright 7' Hook Shot39
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 8:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 8:26DALMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot39
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 8:37ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 8:37ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 8:49ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 8:50DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot37
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 8:57DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 8:59ORLNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)37
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 9:07ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 9:08DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot37
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 9:24ORLAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)37
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 9:36DALJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)37
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 9:54ORLRedick 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)37
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 10:02ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 10:02DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 10:19ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)35
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 10:31DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 10:44DALMAVERICKS Rebound32
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 10:44ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 11:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 11:10ORLMISS Redick Layup32
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 11:22DALBrand 10' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 11:42ORLVucevic 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)32
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL30
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)30
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLHarkless Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)30
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0DALMISS James 5' Driving Jump Shot28
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Moore 22' Step Back Jump Shot28
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALJames 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)28
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Redick 22' Floating Jump Shot28
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q1 - 1:15DALBrand 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)28
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q1 - 1:31ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 227
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q1 - 1:48DALBrand Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q1 - 2:01ORLMoore 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q1 - 2:16DALBrand 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)25
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q1 - 2:25DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q1 - 2:26DALMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot25
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q1 - 2:43ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q1 - 2:43ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q1 - 3:01DALMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)23
12.1%
30
87.9%
Q1 - 3:10DALCollison Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)23
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 3:25ORLJones 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)23
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 3:40DALBrand 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)21
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 4:00ORLNelson 2' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)21
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 4:06ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 4:07DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot19
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 4:24ORLRedick 25' 3PT Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)19
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 4:31ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 4:32DALMISS Marion 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot16
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 4:52ORLVucevic 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)16
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 5:09DALMarion Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)14
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 5:13DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 5:14ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 5:14ORLMISS Vucevic Putback Slam Dunk14
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 5:16ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup14
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 5:27DALMarion Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 5:33ORLVucevic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 5:48DALCollison Running Dunk (4 PTS)14
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 5:51ORLCollison STEAL (1 STL)14
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 6:08DALMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)14
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 6:14ORLNicholson 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)14
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 6:31DALCollison 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 6:38ORLAfflalo 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 6:45ORLMagic Rebound10
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 6:47ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 7:02DALMarion 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)10
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 7:17ORLAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)10
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 7:34ORLMagic Rebound8
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 7:35DALMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 7:49ORLNicholson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 7:49ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 1 of 27
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 8:10DALJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 8:10DALJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 8:25ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nicholson 2 AST)7
13.9%
11
86.1%
Q1 - 8:45DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)5
13.1%
11
86.9%
Q1 - 8:59ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nicholson 1 AST)5
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 9:13DALMayo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)2
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 9:18ORLMarion STEAL (1 STL)2
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 9:40DALJames Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 9:40DALJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:42DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:42DALMISS Marion 1' Tip Shot2
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 9:43DALMISS James 2' Running Layup2
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:50ORLMISS Harkless 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 10:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
16.0%
5
84.0%
Q1 - 10:29ORLAfflalo 16' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 10:49DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 10:49DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
17.1%
1
82.9%
Q1 - 10:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMISS Harkless 19' Jump Shot0
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:11ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:13DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:20DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:21ORLMISS Nicholson 4' Hook Shot0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:39ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Mayo 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball James vs. Vucevic: Tip to Nowitzki0
17.6%
0
82.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
DAL
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
30
53%
DAL
15
23
65%
Midrange
ORL
18
39
46%
DAL
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
DAL
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
ORL
13
22
59%
DAL
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo2166%10.5 / 16
M. Harkless2067%10.0 / 15
N. Vučević1667%8.0 / 12
A. Nicholson1036%5.0 / 14
J. Redick1038%5.0 / 13
J. Nelson630%3.0 / 9
E. Moore542%2.5 / 6
G. Ayon467%2.0 / 3
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
I. Smith2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion1771%8.5 / 12
E. Brand1771%8.5 / 12
V. Carter1458%7.0 / 12
O. Mayo1359%6.5 / 11
D. Nowitzki1243%6.0 / 14
M. James1267%6.0 / 9
D. Collison941%4.5 / 11
B. Wright867%4.0 / 6
B. James650%3.0 / 6
J. Crowder375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+13
-11
96
DAL
87
+10
-9
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
DAL
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
106.1
ORL 102.1
DAL 115.6 +13.5
Pace
91.9
94.0
ORL 92.3
DAL 97.8 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.0
ORL 15.6
DAL 14.7 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
50.6%
ORL 48.8%
DAL 54.0% +5.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.2%
ORL 11.2%
DAL 8.6% +2.6%
ORB %
25.4%
22.0%
ORL 21.3% +3.8%
DAL 17.5%
FTrt
19.7
24.2
ORL 25.9 +5.4
DAL 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
59.9%
ORL 61.5%
DAL 76.2% +14.7%
STL %
7.0%
8.3%
ORL 5.3%
DAL 6.3% +1.0%
BLK %
7.0%
8.9%
ORL 6.8%
DAL 11.6% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
53.0%
ORL 49.0%
DAL 57.2% +8.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
58.5%
ORL 53.3%
DAL 65.2% +11.9%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.4%
ORL 46.2% +1.8%
DAL 44.4%
3P %
32.9%
37.2%
ORL 31.3%
DAL 37.9% +6.6%
FT %
75.5%
79.3%
ORL 59.1%
DAL 88.9% +29.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
31.0%
ORL 35.3% +9.2%
DAL 26.1%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
45.4%
ORL 45.9%
DAL 40.9% +5.0%
3P Att. %
22.3%
23.6%
ORL 18.8%
DAL 33.0% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points96111
Rebounds4344
Assists2432
Steals56
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)37 (1)
Field Goals39-8542-88
At-the-Rim FG16-3015-23
Midrange FG18-3916-36
2-Point FG34-6931-59
3-Point FG5-1611-29
Free Throws13-2216-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
39.8
21
66%
5
7
0
0
5
2
0
5
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
37.8
16
67%
13
2
0
2
1
2
3
10
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 31
35.5
6
30%
2
7
4
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
30.8
10
36%
7
2
0
0
2
1
2
5
2-6
33%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
28.5
20
67%
8
0
1
1
1
0
5
3
1-4
25%
8-13
62%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29
26.6
10
38%
2
3
0
0
1
4
0
2
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
1-5
20%
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24
11.6
5
42%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
· 6'10" 250 · 28
11.6
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 221 · 23
11.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
2.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 26
F · 6'10" 220 · 34
#3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
49%
43
24
5
4
11
0
10
33
13-22
59%
34-69
49%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.