FinalWin Prob.pScore
262%99
103
1638%95
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.09291.1
ATL logo ATL
95.79495.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABosh 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (James 11 AST)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Jenkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07ATLJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)100
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Jenkins Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Allen Reverse Layup100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)100
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 1:49MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)98
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T21)97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (James 10 AST)97
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 2:51ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:15MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 9 AST)95
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
97.4%
84
2.6%
Q4 - 3:34ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.0%
84
3.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)92
96.2%
84
3.8%
Q4 - 3:49ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)90
94.9%
84
5.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)90
92.5%
84
7.5%
Q4 - 4:21ATLStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)88
90.0%
84
10.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAAllen 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)88
94.9%
81
5.1%
Q4 - 4:50ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)86
93.0%
81
7.0%
Q4 - 4:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
89.7%
81
10.3%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Jump Shot86
90.9%
81
9.1%
Q4 - 5:13ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
90.9%
81
9.1%
Q4 - 5:37MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q4 - 6:02ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Layup (27 PTS) (Smith 9 AST)83
86.2%
79
13.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)83
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q4 - 6:34ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot80
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)80
76.9%
77
23.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
71.7%
77
28.3%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
69.6%
77
30.4%
Q4 - 7:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
65.1%
77
34.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot78
67.2%
77
32.8%
Q4 - 7:43ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)78
71.6%
77
28.4%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
76.0%
75
24.0%
Q4 - 8:27ATLSmith 6' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)76
71.0%
75
29.0%
Q4 - 8:50MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)76
76.0%
73
24.0%
Q4 - 8:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
80.4%
73
19.6%
Q4 - 8:54ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
79.1%
73
20.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
75.2%
73
24.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q4 - 9:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q4 - 9:18ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup74
68.9%
73
31.1%
Q4 - 9:28ATLHAWKS Rebound74
65.3%
73
34.7%
Q4 - 9:28ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup74
68.9%
73
31.1%
Q4 - 9:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
65.3%
73
34.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot74
66.9%
73
33.1%
Q4 - 9:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q4 - 9:47ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot74
68.9%
73
31.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAAllen Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)74
65.1%
73
34.9%
Q4 - 10:18ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)72
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q4 - 10:35MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)72
54.3%
73
45.7%
Q4 - 10:43ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)69
43.0%
73
57.0%
Q4 - 10:52MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
37.6%
73
62.4%
Q4 - 11:01ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)66
29.1%
73
70.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)66
24.9%
73
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL63
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 10' Driving Jump Shot63
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 263
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 1:05ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)63
24.1%
72
75.9%
Q3 - 1:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
32.0%
69
68.0%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
33.3%
69
66.7%
Q3 - 1:37ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Layup (23 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)63
36.3%
69
63.7%
Q3 - 1:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q3 - 1:54MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 1:55ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
44.2%
67
55.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
42.0%
67
58.0%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
37.6%
67
62.4%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot61
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 161
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
29.3%
67
70.7%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.1%
67
71.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
27.3%
67
72.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q3 - 3:33ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot56
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q3 - 3:50ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q3 - 4:14ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)56
22.2%
67
77.8%
Q3 - 4:17ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
24.7%
65
75.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 4:38ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)56
28.7%
65
71.3%
Q3 - 4:44ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot56
37.0%
62
63.0%
Q3 - 4:53ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)56
40.3%
62
59.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)56
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 5:19ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)56
40.9%
62
59.1%
Q3 - 5:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup56
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q3 - 5:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q3 - 5:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup56
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q3 - 6:05ATLHorford 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)56
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAChalmers 15' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)55
53.5%
57
46.5%
Q3 - 6:52ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T14)53
50.0%
57
50.0%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
46.2%
57
53.8%
Q3 - 7:28ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)51
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)51
46.2%
55
53.8%
Q3 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
50.3%
55
49.7%
Q3 - 7:54ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 8:03ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot51
47.9%
55
52.1%
Q3 - 8:30ATLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)51
50.8%
55
49.2%
Q3 - 8:49MIAWade 16' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)51
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 9:03ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)49
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 9:42ATLHorford 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)47
47.4%
52
52.6%
Q3 - 9:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q3 - 9:50ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
53.6%
50
46.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
51.0%
50
49.0%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q3 - 10:26ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 245
48.0%
50
52.0%
Q3 - 10:26ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 10:43ATLHAWKS Rebound45
48.2%
49
51.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot45
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 11:09ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P5.T13)45
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q3 - 11:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q3 - 11:16ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot45
52.0%
49
48.0%
Q3 - 11:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 11:38ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)45
53.0%
49
47.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL45
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS)45
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
54.1%
46
45.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot43
54.8%
46
45.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLSmith 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)43
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
60.5%
44
39.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
61.2%
44
38.8%
Q2 - 1:08ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q2 - 1:08ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
66.7%
42
33.3%
Q2 - 1:43ATLHorford 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)43
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 1:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
72.2%
40
27.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot43
72.7%
40
27.3%
Q2 - 2:20ATLHarris 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)43
76.3%
38
23.7%
Q2 - 2:57ATLStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)41
74.0%
38
26.0%
Q2 - 3:02ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
78.3%
35
21.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot41
79.0%
35
21.0%
Q2 - 3:27ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)41
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)41
82.1%
33
17.9%
Q2 - 4:05ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)38
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)38
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
81.9%
31
18.1%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot38
81.4%
31
18.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 4:47ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)38
82.0%
31
18.0%
Q2 - 4:54ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper38
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 5:22ATLPachulia 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)38
81.7%
31
18.3%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
83.3%
29
16.7%
Q2 - 5:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
81.7%
29
18.3%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMISS Jenkins 19' Jump Shot36
81.2%
29
18.8%
Q2 - 6:13ATLHAWKS Rebound36
79.4%
29
20.6%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Jenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
80.9%
29
19.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
79.4%
29
20.6%
Q2 - 6:32ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)34
78.0%
29
22.0%
Q2 - 6:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
75.6%
29
24.4%
Q2 - 6:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 7:04ATLJenkins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)32
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
75.5%
27
24.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
75.1%
27
24.9%
Q2 - 7:38ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)31
75.8%
27
24.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q2 - 8:28ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)28
73.4%
25
26.6%
Q2 - 8:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 9:02ATLJohnson 3' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)28
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q2 - 9:15MIACole 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
78.7%
21
21.3%
Q2 - 9:39ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)26
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q2 - 9:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
78.7%
19
21.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot26
79.2%
19
20.8%
Q2 - 10:18MIAHeat Rebound26
80.2%
19
19.8%
Q2 - 10:19ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup26
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)26
78.3%
19
21.7%
Q2 - 10:33ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)26
80.2%
19
19.8%
Q2 - 10:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
78.3%
19
21.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Jump Shot26
78.9%
19
21.1%
Q2 - 11:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
79.8%
19
20.2%
Q2 - 11:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
80.2%
18
19.8%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
81.3%
17
18.7%
Q2 - 11:34ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)24
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q2 - 11:34ATLHAWKS Rebound24
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q2 - 11:34ATLMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot24
78.4%
17
21.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)24
79.2%
17
20.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
78.0%
17
22.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Allen 9' Running Jump Shot24
78.4%
17
21.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound24
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
78.9%
17
21.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
78.0%
17
22.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLHorford 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)21
74.2%
17
25.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
76.3%
15
23.7%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
75.9%
15
24.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
74.1%
15
25.9%
Q1 - 1:16ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot19
73.7%
15
26.3%
Q1 - 1:36MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
72.8%
15
27.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
70.4%
15
29.6%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup17
69.9%
15
30.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)17
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 2:21ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)17
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 2:33ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
72.7%
13
27.3%
Q1 - 2:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot17
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Cole Driving Reverse Layup17
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 217
74.1%
13
25.9%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 217
73.1%
13
26.9%
Q1 - 3:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
72.7%
13
27.3%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot17
73.3%
13
26.7%
Q1 - 3:26ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
74.5%
13
25.5%
Q1 - 3:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
72.7%
13
27.3%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot17
73.3%
13
26.7%
Q1 - 3:58ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)17
74.5%
13
25.5%
Q1 - 4:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 4:03ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
78.6%
10
21.4%
Q1 - 4:12ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
78.0%
10
22.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
79.1%
10
20.9%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot17
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIAChalmers 13' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 5:07ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
73.7%
10
26.3%
Q1 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 5:30ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot12
69.9%
10
30.1%
Q1 - 5:47MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)12
68.6%
10
31.4%
Q1 - 5:59ATLHorford 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
66.9%
10
33.1%
Q1 - 6:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup10
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 6:19MIAHeat Rebound10
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup10
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 6:28ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 6:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 6:41ATLMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot10
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
68.1%
8
31.9%
Q1 - 7:12ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 7:33MIAJames Running Dunk (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
65.0%
8
35.0%
Q1 - 7:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 7:37ATLMISS Teague 3' Layup6
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 7:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
61.3%
8
38.7%
Q1 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:50ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 8:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 8:13ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 8:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 8:25ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 8:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 8:39ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot6
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 8:51MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)6
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 9:04ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
64.4%
8
35.6%
Q1 - 9:04ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
64.7%
7
35.3%
Q1 - 9:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
65.9%
6
34.1%
Q1 - 9:06ATLMISS Smith 6' Driving Hook Shot6
67.1%
6
32.9%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
65.9%
6
34.1%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
67.6%
6
32.4%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 9:44ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
67.6%
6
32.4%
Q1 - 10:04MIAChalmers 4' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 10:14ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Turnaround Jump Shot4
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 10:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot4
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 10:42MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS James Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 23
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 10:57ATLTeague 11' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 11:25ATLHorford 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)0
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 11:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:33MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
67.5%
0
32.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
ATL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
ATL
19
25
76%
Midrange
MIA
10
28
36%
ATL
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
ATL
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
19
25
76%
ATL
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2467%12.0 / 18
D. Wade2045%10.0 / 22
S. Battier1794%8.5 / 9
R. Allen1563%7.5 / 12
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
C. Bosh627%3.0 / 11
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem375%1.5 / 2
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2779%13.5 / 17
K. Korver12100%6.0 / 6
J. Smith1038%5.0 / 13
I. Johnson1056%5.0 / 9
J. Teague938%4.5 / 12
D. Stevenson990%4.5 / 5
D. Harris650%3.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia450%2.0 / 4
J. Jenkins330%1.5 / 5
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+6
-11
87
ATL
75
+8
-19
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
ATL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.6
MIA 112.0
ATL 95.7 +16.2
Pace
90.9
92.9
MIA 91.1
ATL 95.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 15.8
ATL 15.2 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
51.7%
MIA 53.8%
ATL 54.9% +1.1%
TO %
14.5%
15.2%
MIA 11.0% +10.0%
ATL 21.0%
ORB %
22.2%
22.2%
MIA 11.9%
ATL 15.2% +3.3%
FTrt
29.7
24.4
MIA 32.1 +9.9
ATL 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.1%
MIA 62.2%
ATL 77.8% +15.6%
STL %
9.5%
8.7%
MIA 12.0% +5.6%
ATL 6.4%
BLK %
9.1%
7.1%
MIA 2.2%
ATL 3.6% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
53.2%
MIA 57.9% +4.3%
ATL 53.6%
Rim FG%
65.9%
62.5%
MIA 63.0%
ATL 76.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.3%
MIA 35.7%
ATL 47.6% +11.9%
3P %
39.6%
37.1%
MIA 43.5% +16.6%
ATL 26.9%
FT %
75.4%
71.5%
MIA 76.0% +7.2%
ATL 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
34.9%
MIA 34.6%
ATL 34.7% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
36.5%
MIA 35.9%
ATL 29.2% +6.7%
3P Att. %
28.5%
28.6%
MIA 29.5%
ATL 36.1% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes24.323.8
Points10390
Rebounds3342
Assists2328
Steals116
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals37-7836-72
At-the-Rim FG17-2719-25
Midrange FG10-2810-21
2-Point FG27-5529-46
3-Point FG10-237-26
Free Throws19-2511-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
39.5
24
67%
6
11
4
0
2
1
0
6
7-8
88%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
34.6
20
45%
3
2
3
0
4
0
1
2
4-8
50%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
28.1
6
27%
6
1
0
0
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
21.1
14
78%
2
3
2
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
19.4
3
75%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
31.8
17
94%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
5-8
63%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
29.0
15
63%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
19.8
4
50%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
33
23
11
1
11
0
5
28
19-25
76%
27-55
49%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.