FinalWin Prob.pScore
146%97
110
454%99
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.19987.0
OKC logo OKC
105.395110.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA110
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0OKCMISS Orton Layup110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0OKCOrton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0OKCMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0OKCDurant 9' Floating Jump Shot (40 PTS)108
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 1:02OKCTHUNDER Rebound108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 1:24OKCDurant 1' Driving Dunk (38 PTS)108
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:28MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (39 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)108
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:49OKCDurant 7' Jump Shot (36 PTS)106
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 1:56MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (37 PTS)106
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 2:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Jump Shot104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 2:41OKCJump Ball Ibaka vs. James: Tip to104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 2:42OKCMISS Westbrook 4' Driving Jump Shot104
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 2:49OKCTHUNDER Rebound104
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIADurant BLOCK (3 BLK)104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 3:03OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)104
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 3:03OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)104
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 3:03OKCTHUNDER Rebound104
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot104
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 3:29OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 3:29OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)104
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 3:29OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)104
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot104
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot104
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 3:53OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P5.T16)104
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (35 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)104
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 4:21OKCIbaka 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)102
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)102
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 5:03OKCDurant 16' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Westbrook 10 AST)99
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 5:08OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 5:34OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)99
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 5:34OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)99
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 5:38OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)99
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot99
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)99
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 5:56OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 6:03OKCTHUNDER Rebound99
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 6:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 6:28OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 6:39MIACole 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)99
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)97
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 7:23OKCDurant 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)97
97.6%
84
2.4%
Q4 - 7:37MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)97
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 8:02OKCMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot94
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 8:13MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)94
94.8%
82
5.2%
Q4 - 8:31OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
96.0%
82
4.0%
Q4 - 8:31OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)94
96.9%
80
3.1%
Q4 - 8:56OKCDurant Dunk (26 PTS) (Westbrook 9 AST)94
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
97.5%
78
2.5%
Q4 - 9:22OKCMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Westbrook 8 AST)92
96.8%
78
3.2%
Q4 - 9:30MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)92
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T12)91
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 9:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 9:39OKCMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot91
97.9%
75
2.1%
Q4 - 10:03MIABosh 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)91
96.9%
75
3.1%
Q4 - 10:28OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)89
96.2%
75
3.8%
Q4 - 10:34OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot89
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 10:56OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)89
98.0%
72
2.0%
Q4 - 11:05OKCTHUNDER Rebound89
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 11:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 11:12OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Pullup Jump Shot89
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 11:17OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIADurant BLOCK (2 BLK)89
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 11:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 11:35OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 11:41OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Andersen 22' Jump Shot89
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 11:50MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)89
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0OKCMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot88
97.9%
69
2.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)88
97.7%
69
2.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0OKCJackson 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)85
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 285
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0OKCMISS Durant 17' Jump Shot84
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q3 - 1:04MIACole 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q3 - 1:18OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q3 - 1:18OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)82
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q3 - 1:55OKCJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)82
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q3 - 2:14OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS James 16' Step Back Jump Shot82
97.3%
62
2.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q3 - 2:39OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot82
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q3 - 2:46OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Jump Shot82
97.3%
62
2.7%
Q3 - 3:02OKCDurant Dunk (18 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)82
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 3:08MIASefolosha STEAL (2 STL)82
97.7%
60
2.3%
Q3 - 3:20OKCSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)82
98.0%
60
2.0%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames 1' Dunk (30 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
97.7%
60
2.3%
Q3 - 3:44OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)80
97.3%
60
2.7%
Q3 - 3:50OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
96.7%
60
3.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper80
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q3 - 4:18OKCSefolosha 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)80
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)80
97.3%
58
2.7%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 279
97.2%
58
2.8%
Q3 - 4:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 4:54OKCPerkins 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)79
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 5:07MIAJames 1' Layup (27 PTS)79
97.4%
56
2.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot77
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q3 - 5:26OKCPerkins 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)77
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 5:27OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 5:28OKCMISS Westbrook 9' Floating Jump Shot77
97.7%
54
2.3%
Q3 - 5:36OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot77
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 5:52OKCWestbrook Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)77
97.9%
54
2.1%
Q3 - 6:13MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 6:35OKCWestbrook 13' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)75
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 7:00MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
97.0%
52
3.0%
Q3 - 7:19OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P5.T12)73
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q3 - 7:26OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
95.4%
52
4.6%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot73
95.6%
52
4.4%
Q3 - 7:51OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)73
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)73
96.3%
50
3.7%
Q3 - 8:23OKCDurant 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)70
95.1%
50
4.9%
Q3 - 8:38MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 9:12OKCMISS Ibaka 13' Jump Shot68
94.4%
48
5.6%
Q3 - 9:24OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
93.8%
48
6.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot68
94.1%
48
5.9%
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
94.7%
48
5.3%
Q3 - 9:37OKCMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
94.4%
48
5.6%
Q3 - 9:42OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
93.8%
48
6.2%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS James 29' 3PT Jump Shot68
94.1%
48
5.9%
Q3 - 10:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
94.2%
48
5.8%
Q3 - 10:05OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Bank Shot68
93.9%
48
6.1%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)68
93.3%
48
6.7%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)66
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 10:52OKCIbaka 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)65
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 11:05OKCTHUNDER Rebound65
91.7%
46
8.3%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot65
92.0%
46
8.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
92.7%
46
7.3%
Q3 - 11:18OKCMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot65
92.4%
46
7.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)65
91.7%
46
8.3%
Q3 - 11:43OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P4.T11)63
90.7%
46
9.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC63
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)63
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)61
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
88.2%
45
11.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
88.4%
44
11.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)61
89.9%
43
10.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0OKCDurant 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)58
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)58
88.7%
41
11.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
89.6%
41
10.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0OKCMISS Perkins 7' Turnaround Jump Shot58
89.4%
41
10.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAJames 20' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
88.1%
41
11.9%
Q2 - 1:31OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (20 PTS)56
86.2%
41
13.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames 22' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
88.2%
39
11.8%
Q2 - 2:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)54
86.2%
39
13.8%
Q2 - 2:10MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
88.4%
36
11.6%
Q2 - 2:30OKCWestbrook 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 2:53MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)51
87.1%
34
12.9%
Q2 - 3:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
85.7%
34
14.3%
Q2 - 3:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
85.9%
33
14.1%
Q2 - 3:04OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
86.3%
32
13.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
86.8%
32
13.2%
Q2 - 3:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
87.9%
32
12.1%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS James 2' Layup49
86.8%
32
13.2%
Q2 - 3:21OKCIbaka Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)49
87.9%
32
12.1%
Q2 - 3:23OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
86.3%
32
13.7%
Q2 - 3:25OKCMISS Durant 17' Step Back Jump Shot49
87.4%
32
12.6%
Q2 - 3:35OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
86.3%
32
13.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
86.8%
32
13.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
87.9%
32
12.1%
Q2 - 3:59OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup49
87.5%
32
12.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
85.5%
32
14.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
85.2%
32
14.8%
Q2 - 4:22OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)47
84.1%
32
15.9%
Q2 - 4:24OKCTHUNDER Rebound47
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 4:24OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup47
87.9%
29
12.1%
Q2 - 4:29OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot47
87.3%
29
12.7%
Q2 - 4:37OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)47
88.3%
29
11.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 5:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
83.5%
29
16.5%
Q2 - 5:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
83.8%
28
16.2%
Q2 - 5:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q2 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWestbrook BLOCK (1 BLK)44
85.5%
27
14.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 5:28OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Dunk44
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q2 - 5:30OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q2 - 5:31OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q2 - 5:56OKCJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
83.5%
27
16.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)42
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 6:29OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q2 - 6:29OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
83.1%
26
16.9%
Q2 - 6:41MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
84.2%
25
15.8%
Q2 - 6:54OKCDurant Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)40
83.0%
25
17.0%
Q2 - 6:55OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot40
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 7:20OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
82.0%
25
18.0%
Q2 - 7:20OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
82.2%
24
17.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
83.3%
23
16.7%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
83.0%
23
17.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAHeat Rebound38
82.0%
23
18.0%
Q2 - 7:49OKCMISS Durant 2' Layup38
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q2 - 7:54OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
80.2%
23
19.8%
Q2 - 7:56MIADurant BLOCK (1 BLK)38
80.8%
23
19.2%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 8:08OKCMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.5%
23
19.5%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAllen 14' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q2 - 8:44OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 8:44OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
77.9%
22
22.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)36
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 9:16MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q2 - 9:17OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot36
79.7%
21
20.3%
Q2 - 9:41MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)36
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
75.1%
21
24.9%
Q2 - 9:58OKCMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot33
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q2 - 10:08OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
72.5%
21
27.5%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup33
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 10:14OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)33
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 10:29MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
72.5%
21
27.5%
Q2 - 10:45OKCMartin 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)33
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 10:55OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot33
76.9%
19
23.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)33
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q2 - 11:06OKCJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)32
75.9%
19
24.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)32
74.1%
19
25.9%
Q2 - 11:39OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q2 - 11:39OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
76.2%
18
23.8%
Q2 - 11:42OKCTHUNDER Rebound32
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q2 - 11:42OKCMISS Durant 9' Running Jump Shot32
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC32
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACole 1' Layup (5 PTS)32
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJames 23' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
70.3%
17
29.7%
Q1 - 1:02OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 1:02OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
71.0%
16
29.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 1:21OKCSefolosha 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)28
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 1:38OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
76.7%
13
23.3%
Q1 - 1:41OKCMISS Collison 6' Jump Shot28
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)28
76.7%
13
23.3%
Q1 - 1:48OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot27
75.4%
13
24.6%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Andersen 1' Putback Dunk27
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup27
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 2:13MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 2:14OKCMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot27
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)27
74.6%
13
25.4%
Q1 - 2:47MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
69.6%
13
30.4%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
70.6%
13
29.4%
Q1 - 3:11OKCMISS Westbrook 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot24
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q1 - 3:18OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot24
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 3:21MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
70.6%
13
29.4%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot24
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
70.7%
13
29.3%
Q1 - 3:29OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:57OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Jump Shot22
66.1%
13
33.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
62.0%
13
38.0%
Q1 - 4:18OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 4:18OKCMISS Perkins 1' Putback Dunk20
61.4%
13
38.6%
Q1 - 4:21OKCMISS Durant 4' Jump Shot20
61.4%
13
38.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)20
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)19
59.4%
13
40.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)18
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 5:00OKCWestbrook 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 5:05OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.9%
11
43.1%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot17
57.5%
11
42.5%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
59.1%
11
40.9%
Q1 - 5:14OKCMISS Durant 5' Running Jump Shot17
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 5:43MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
56.9%
11
43.1%
Q1 - 6:01OKCIbaka 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)14
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 6:16MIAJames 2' Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
54.2%
9
45.8%
Q1 - 6:21OKCWestbrook Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
52.4%
9
47.6%
Q1 - 6:27MIAWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)12
50.2%
9
49.8%
Q1 - 6:34OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
52.4%
9
47.6%
Q1 - 6:34OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 6:43MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)12
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 6:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 6:50OKCMISS Perkins 3' Layup10
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIADurant STEAL (1 STL)10
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 7:03OKCMISS Durant 8' Jump Shot10
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 7:17OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
49.9%
7
50.1%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 7:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 7:27OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Pullup Jump Shot10
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 7:31OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
49.9%
7
50.1%
Q1 - 7:33MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)10
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 7:46OKCMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot10
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
46.3%
7
53.7%
Q1 - 8:15OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 27
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 8:15OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 8:19OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
46.2%
6
53.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot7
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 8:33OKCWestbrook 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)7
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 8:37OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot7
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 8:54OKCPerkins 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)7
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS)7
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot5
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 9:31OKCIbaka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 9:47MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:08OKCPerkins 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 22
49.2%
0
50.8%
Q1 - 10:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 10:43OKCMISS Ibaka 9' Jump Shot2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:16OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:35OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot0
44.9%
0
55.1%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Ibaka vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
46.0%
0
54.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.1%
OKC
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
28
61%
OKC
15
25
60%
Midrange
MIA
13
31
42%
OKC
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
OKC
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
OKC
33
34
97%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3970%19.5 / 28
C. Bosh2071%10.0 / 14
D. Wade1346%6.5 / 14
R. Allen1365%6.5 / 10
N. Cole964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
S. Battier650%3.0 / 6
R. Lewis330%1.5 / 5
C. Andersen113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant4067%20.0 / 30
R. Westbrook2652%13.0 / 25
K. Martin964%4.5 / 7
K. Perkins857%4.0 / 7
R. Jackson758%3.5 / 6
S. Ibaka650%3.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha450%2.0 / 4
N. Collison0-0.0 / 2
D. Orton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+13
-14
98
OKC
79
+7
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.1%
OKC
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
111.9
MIA 111.1 +5.8
OKC 105.3
Pace
90.9
93.9
MIA 87.0
OKC 110.1 +23.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 16.5
OKC 13.1 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
52.7%
MIA 52.8% +6.9%
OKC 45.9%
TO %
14.5%
15.5%
MIA 12.5% +2.9%
OKC 15.4%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
MIA 30.2% +17.0%
OKC 13.2%
FTrt
29.7
33.8
MIA 25.0
OKC 46.6 +21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
56.1%
MIA 56.1% +6.1%
OKC 50.0%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
MIA 10.1% +4.8%
OKC 5.3%
BLK %
9.1%
12.0%
MIA 6.7%
OKC 8.5% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
56.4%
MIA 56.1% +0.5%
OKC 55.6%
Rim FG%
65.9%
62.2%
MIA 60.7% +0.7%
OKC 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
41.8%
MIA 41.9% +1.9%
OKC 40.0%
3P %
39.6%
37.7%
MIA 37.9% +14.8%
OKC 23.1%
FT %
75.4%
82.8%
MIA 77.3%
OKC 97.1% +19.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
35.7%
MIA 31.8%
OKC 34.2% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
39.9%
MIA 35.2% +12.7%
OKC 47.9%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.4%
MIA 33.0% +15.1%
OKC 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9995
Possession Minutes27.320.7
Points110100
Rebounds4635
Assists2316
Steals105
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (0)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)30 (6)
Field Goals41-8832-73
At-the-Rim FG17-2815-25
Midrange FG13-3114-35
2-Point FG30-5929-60
3-Point FG11-293-13
Free Throws17-2233-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
40.0
39
70%
12
7
2
0
4
3
3
9
7-9
78%
10-16
63%
4-8
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
38.8
20
71%
12
2
2
3
1
2
5
7
0-0
-
10-14
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
31.0
13
46%
5
8
3
1
4
6
0
5
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
27.8
6
38%
2
1
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
26.9
6
50%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
30.3
13
65%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
19.4
3
30%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
16.8
9
64%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
6.7
1
13%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
56%
46
23
10
4
14
0
13
33
17-22
77%
30-59
51%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.