| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 LAL | 112.8 | 86 | 91.3 |
 MIA | 124.4 | 86 | 81.3 |
Scoring Opportunities
LAL
72
+11
-14
83
MIA
75
+12
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.17 58.4%
MIA
1.23 61.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | LAL | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 97 0% | 107 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | LAL | Bryant 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 97 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | LAL | World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bryant 9 AST) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:17 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 92 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 | 92 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS) | 90 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 90 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | LAL | MISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot | 90 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 90 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | LAL | Battier STEAL (1 STL) | 90 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | MIA | Battier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 90 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | LAL | Bryant 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (26 PTS) | 90 2.2% | 97 97.8% |
| Q4 - 3:25 | MIA | James 1' Driving Slam Dunk (30 PTS) | 88 1.6% | 97 98.4% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | LAL | James STEAL (3 STL) | 88 2.2% | 95 97.8% |
| Q4 - 3:38 | MIA | Chalmers 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 88 5.5% | 95 94.5% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 88 7.2% | 93 92.8% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 87 6.8% | 93 93.2% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 86 5.1% | 93 94.9% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 86 5.5% | 92 94.5% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 86 7.0% | 91 93.0% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 85 6.6% | 91 93.4% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 84 5.0% | 91 95.0% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | MIA | MISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot | 84 4.4% | 91 95.6% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 84 4.7% | 91 95.3% |
| Q4 - 5:11 | LAL | MISS Bryant 12' Jump Shot | 84 5.2% | 91 94.8% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 84 6.5% | 91 93.5% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | MISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot | 84 5.9% | 91 94.1% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | LAL | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 84 4.6% | 91 95.4% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 84 6.5% | 91 93.5% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | LAL | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 84 10.1% | 89 89.9% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 84 13.4% | 89 86.6% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | MIA | MISS James Driving Layup | 84 12.3% | 89 87.7% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 84 10.0% | 89 90.0% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | LAL | MISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 11.0% | 89 89.0% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 84 13.4% | 89 86.6% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 84 12.3% | 89 87.7% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | LAL | Clark Dunk (18 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST) | 84 11.1% | 89 88.9% |
| Q4 - 7:15 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 82 8.8% | 89 91.2% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 82 14.0% | 86 86.0% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | LAL | MISS Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 15.2% | 86 84.8% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 82 18.1% | 86 81.9% |
| Q4 - 7:46 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 82 16.7% | 86 83.3% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | LAL | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 82 14.0% | 86 86.0% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 82 18.9% | 86 81.1% |
| Q4 - 8:13 | LAL | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 82 23.1% | 84 76.9% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 82 27.9% | 84 72.1% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 82 23.7% | 84 76.3% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 82 26.0% | 84 74.0% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 81 23.1% | 84 76.9% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | LAL | Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 81 27.9% | 82 72.1% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 78 19.5% | 82 80.5% |
| Q4 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 78 18.4% | 82 81.6% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | LAL | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 78 16.1% | 82 83.9% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | MIA | Wade 20' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS) | 78 19.5% | 82 80.5% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | LAL | James STEAL (2 STL) | 78 23.7% | 80 76.3% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 78 28.1% | 80 71.9% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 78 26.7% | 80 73.3% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | LAL | Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 78 23.7% | 80 76.3% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | MIA | Cole 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 75 17.1% | 80 82.9% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | LAL | Howard 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS) | 75 20.4% | 78 79.6% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 73 17.1% | 78 82.9% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | MIA | MISS Allen 13' Jump Shot | 73 16.2% | 78 83.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | LAL | 73 14.3% | 78 85.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Battier 2 AST) | 73 17.5% | 78 82.5% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 73 24.4% | 75 75.6% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 27.6% | 75 72.4% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 73 25.0% | 75 75.0% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | LAL | Bryant 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) | 73 28.4% | 74 71.6% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 71 24.2% | 74 75.8% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 71 32.2% | 71 67.8% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | MIA | MISS James 4' Jump Shot | 71 35.3% | 71 64.7% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 71 32.3% | 71 67.7% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 71 35.3% | 71 64.7% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 71 32.3% | 71 67.7% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | LAL | MISS Bryant 20' Turnaround Jump Shot | 71 33.6% | 71 66.4% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 71 35.8% | 71 64.2% |
| Q3 - 2:15 | MIA | MISS Cole Driving Reverse Layup | 71 34.5% | 71 65.5% |
| Q3 - 2:27 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 71 31.6% | 71 68.4% |
| Q3 - 2:30 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 68 24.2% | 71 75.8% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | LAL | Battier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 21.9% | 71 78.1% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | James 5' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 68 24.2% | 71 75.8% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | LAL | Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 68 27.5% | 69 72.5% |
| Q3 - 3:12 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 68 31.3% | 69 68.7% |
| Q3 - 3:13 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 68 30.1% | 69 69.9% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 68 27.5% | 69 72.5% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 67 27.1% | 69 72.9% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | LAL | Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 24.2% | 69 75.8% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot | 66 23.2% | 69 76.8% |
| Q3 - 3:49 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 21.0% | 69 79.0% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | LAL | MISS Bryant 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 66 21.9% | 69 78.1% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | MIA | James 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 66 24.4% | 69 75.6% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | LAL | Howard Dunk (10 PTS) | 66 27.2% | 67 72.8% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 64 24.4% | 67 75.6% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | LAL | MISS Jamison 2' Layup | 64 21.9% | 67 78.1% |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 64 24.2% | 67 75.8% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 64 27.0% | 65 73.0% |
| Q3 - 5:10 | LAL | MISS World Peace 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 64 28.1% | 65 71.9% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (12 PTS) | 64 30.9% | 65 69.1% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 64 34.1% | 63 65.9% |
| Q3 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 64 37.1% | 63 62.9% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | LAL | Bryant 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 64 33.6% | 63 66.4% |
| Q3 - 6:25 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11) | 62 30.6% | 63 69.4% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 62 26.9% | 63 73.1% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 61 26.6% | 63 73.4% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 60 24.3% | 63 75.7% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 26.7% | 61 73.3% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | LAL | MISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 1 | 60 27.2% | 61 72.8% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 24.0% | 61 76.0% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 58 23.1% | 61 76.9% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 21.1% | 61 78.9% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | LAL | Andersen BLOCK (2 BLK) | 58 22.0% | 61 78.0% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 58 24.1% | 61 75.9% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 58 29.6% | 58 70.4% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | LAL | MISS Clark 16' Jump Shot | 58 30.7% | 58 69.3% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10) | 58 33.2% | 58 66.8% |
| Q3 - 8:37 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 58 29.6% | 58 70.4% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | LAL | MISS Bryant 19' Turnaround Jump Shot | 58 30.7% | 58 69.3% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 33.2% | 58 66.8% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 58 32.1% | 58 67.9% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 29.3% | 58 70.7% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | LAL | MISS Howard 4' Driving Hook Shot | 58 30.3% | 58 69.7% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | LAL | Nash Free Throw Technical (11 PTS) | 58 32.7% | 58 67.3% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 57 29.6% | 58 70.4% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | LAL | James STEAL (1 STL) | 57 35.8% | 55 64.2% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Bosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 57 39.5% | 55 60.5% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 57 41.7% | 53 58.3% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 57 44.3% | 53 55.7% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 41.7% | 53 58.3% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 57 44.3% | 53 55.7% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | LAL | Bryant 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS) | 57 41.8% | 53 58.2% |
| Q3 - 10:50 | LAL | Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 55 38.6% | 53 61.4% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot | 55 37.5% | 53 62.5% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 55 34.5% | 53 65.5% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | LAL | MISS Bryant 7' Jump Hook Shot | 55 35.5% | 53 64.5% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 37.9% | 53 62.1% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot | 55 36.8% | 53 63.2% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | LAL | Clark 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST) | 55 34.6% | 53 65.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | LAL | 53 31.7% | 53 68.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 53 31.7% | 53 68.3% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | LAL | MISS World Peace 14' Jump Shot | 53 29.7% | 53 70.3% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 53 31.0% | 53 69.0% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | LAL | World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST) | 53 34.8% | 51 65.2% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Wade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) | 50 28.3% | 51 71.7% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 50 31.8% | 49 68.2% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | MIA | MISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot | 50 33.3% | 49 66.7% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 50 31.9% | 49 68.1% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | LAL | MISS Nash 16' Jump Shot | 50 32.4% | 49 67.6% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | MIA | Chalmers 20' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 50 33.7% | 49 66.3% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 50 37.7% | 47 62.3% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | LAL | MISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 37.2% | 47 62.8% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 49 36.6% | 47 63.4% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 49 33.7% | 47 66.3% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | LAL | MISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 49 34.1% | 47 65.9% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | LAL | World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 49 35.8% | 47 64.2% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | MIA | Battier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 48 33.8% | 47 66.2% |
| Q2 - 2:41 | LAL | Bryant 12' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 48 39.6% | 44 60.4% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | MIA | Jump Ball Battier vs. World Peace: Tip to Bryant | 46 36.6% | 44 63.4% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 46 33.1% | 44 66.9% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | LAL | Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 45 32.9% | 44 67.1% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 44 30.9% | 44 69.1% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 44 35.8% | 41 64.2% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | LAL | MISS Bryant 6' Jump Shot | 44 36.8% | 41 63.2% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 44 39.1% | 41 60.9% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | LAL | MISS Nash 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 44 36.8% | 41 63.2% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) | 44 38.2% | 41 61.8% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 40.8% | 39 59.2% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | LAL | MISS Bryant 20' Turnaround Jump Shot | 44 41.7% | 39 58.3% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | MIA | Chalmers 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 44 43.9% | 39 56.1% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 44 46.5% | 37 53.5% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Running Jump Shot | 44 48.8% | 37 51.2% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | LAL | Bryant 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 44 46.6% | 37 53.4% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 44.0% | 37 56.0% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | MIA | MISS Wade 5' Jump Shot | 42 43.0% | 37 57.0% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 42 40.5% | 37 59.5% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 42 42.4% | 37 57.6% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 40.5% | 37 59.5% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | LAL | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 42 41.3% | 37 58.7% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 42 43.3% | 37 56.7% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | LAL | Jamison 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) | 42 46.1% | 35 53.9% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 40 42.9% | 35 57.1% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | LAL | Howard Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 40 39.7% | 35 60.3% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 42.9% | 35 57.1% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot | 40 41.9% | 35 58.1% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 40 39.7% | 35 60.3% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 41.9% | 35 58.1% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 40 39.1% | 35 60.9% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | LAL | MISS Clark 19' Jump Shot | 40 40.0% | 35 60.0% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MIA | Bosh 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 40 42.0% | 35 58.0% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 40 44.3% | 33 55.7% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 46.4% | 33 53.6% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | LAL | Howard 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 40 44.3% | 33 55.7% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 38 41.2% | 33 58.8% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | LAL | Howard 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 38 43.6% | 31 56.4% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 36 41.3% | 31 58.7% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | LAL | Clark Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 36 38.7% | 31 61.3% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 33 34.0% | 31 66.0% |
| Q2 - 9:00 | LAL | MISS Clark 1' Driving Layup | 33 32.3% | 31 67.7% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 33 33.4% | 31 66.6% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | MIA | MISS Allen 1' Driving Layup | 33 32.7% | 31 67.3% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | LAL | Howard 1' Dunk (4 PTS) | 33 31.1% | 31 68.9% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 29.1% | 31 70.9% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | LAL | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 27.6% | 31 72.4% |
| Q2 - 9:41 | LAL | Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 29.2% | 31 70.8% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 31 28.5% | 31 71.5% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 27.0% | 31 73.0% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | LAL | MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 27.6% | 31 72.4% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 31 29.2% | 31 70.8% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 30.9% | 29 69.1% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | LAL | MISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 31.7% | 29 68.3% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 31 33.5% | 29 66.5% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | LAL | Clark 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) | 31 35.3% | 27 64.7% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 29 33.4% | 27 66.6% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 29 33.9% | 26 66.1% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | LAL | Blake Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 29 35.3% | 25 64.7% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | MIA | Allen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 29 37.6% | 25 62.4% |
| Q2 - 12:00 | LAL | Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blake 1 AST) | 29 35.3% | 25 64.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 26 31.1% | 25 68.9% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 26 28.9% | 25 71.1% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Battier 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 30.1% | 25 69.9% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | LAL | Blake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST) | 26 29.0% | 25 71.0% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 23 24.8% | 25 75.2% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | LAL | MISS Bryant 9' Jump Shot | 23 23.9% | 25 76.1% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 23 24.8% | 25 75.2% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 23 25.2% | 24 74.8% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 27.1% | 23 72.9% |
| Q1 - 0:45.0 | LAL | MISS Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 27.5% | 23 72.5% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | MIA | James 8' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 23 28.6% | 23 71.4% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | LAL | Clark 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST) | 23 30.9% | 21 69.1% |
| Q1 - 1:21 | MIA | Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 21 28.4% | 21 71.6% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | LAL | Clark 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST) | 21 27.1% | 21 72.9% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | MIA | Allen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 19 25.0% | 21 75.0% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | LAL | Lakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 19 26.9% | 19 73.1% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 19 28.6% | 19 71.4% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | LAL | Andersen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 27.4% | 19 72.6% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | MIA | Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 19 28.6% | 19 71.4% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | LAL | Andersen STEAL (1 STL) | 19 32.6% | 16 67.4% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 19 34.3% | 16 65.7% |
| Q1 - 3:29 | LAL | Clark 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST) | 19 36.3% | 14 63.7% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 17 34.3% | 14 65.7% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | LAL | Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST) | 17 32.2% | 14 67.8% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | James 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 14 28.1% | 14 71.9% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 29.8% | 12 70.2% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | LAL | MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 14 30.1% | 12 69.9% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | LAL | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 14 31.2% | 12 68.8% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 13 29.9% | 12 70.1% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | LAL | MISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot | 13 28.6% | 12 71.4% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 13 29.6% | 12 70.4% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 13 31.3% | 10 68.7% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 12 30.6% | 10 69.4% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 29.6% | 10 70.4% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 29.0% | 10 71.0% |
| Q1 - 6:04 | LAL | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 11 27.4% | 10 72.6% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 11 29.2% | 10 70.8% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | LAL | Bryant 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 11 30.7% | 8 69.3% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 28.9% | 8 71.1% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | MIA | MISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot | 9 28.3% | 8 71.7% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | LAL | Nash 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST) | 9 27.1% | 8 72.9% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 7 25.8% | 8 74.2% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | LAL | Chalmers BLOCK (1 BLK) | 7 24.6% | 8 75.4% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 7 25.8% | 8 74.2% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 24.1% | 8 75.9% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | LAL | MISS Clark 19' Jump Shot | 7 24.6% | 8 75.4% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 7 25.5% | 8 74.5% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | LAL | Bryant 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 7 24.0% | 8 76.0% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | LAL | Nash Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 5 22.8% | 8 77.2% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 21.5% | 8 78.5% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot | 4 21.0% | 8 79.0% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 20.3% | 8 79.7% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | LAL | MISS Howard 4' Jump Shot | 4 20.7% | 8 79.3% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 21.6% | 8 78.4% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 21.9% | 7 78.1% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 22.7% | 6 77.3% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | LAL | MISS World Peace 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 4 23.2% | 6 76.8% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 24.2% | 6 75.8% |
| Q1 - 9:32 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Jump Shot | 4 23.7% | 6 76.3% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | LAL | Nash 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST) | 4 22.7% | 6 77.3% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 21.8% | 6 78.2% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 21.4% | 6 78.6% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 20.4% | 6 79.6% |
| Q1 - 10:28 | LAL | MISS Howard 6' Turnaround Hook Shot | 2 20.8% | 6 79.2% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | MIA | Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 21.8% | 6 78.2% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | LAL | World Peace Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Clark 1 AST) | 2 22.8% | 4 77.2% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 0 21.5% | 4 78.5% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 22.8% | 2 77.2% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | LAL | MISS World Peace 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 0 23.1% | 2 76.9% |
| Q1 - 11:45 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 0 23.9% | 2 76.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Howard: Tip to Chalmers | 0 25.2% | 0 74.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.17 58.4%
MIA
1.23 61.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
17
28
61%
MIA
20
28
71%
Midrange
LAL
11
30
37%
MIA
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
LAL
20
26
77%
MIA
13
14
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Lakers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bryant | 28 | 64% | 14.0 / 22 | |
| E. Clark | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| D. Howard | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| S. Nash | 15 | 94% | 7.5 / 8 | |
| M. World Peace | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| J. Meeks | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| A. Jamison | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| S. Blake | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 32 | 76% | 16.0 / 21 | |
| D. Wade | 30 | 75% | 15.0 / 20 | |
| M. Chalmers | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| C. Bosh | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| S. Battier | 9 | 90% | 4.5 / 5 | |
| N. Cole | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| U. Haslem | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| R. Allen | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
| R. Lewis | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
LAL
72
+11
-14
83
MIA
75
+12
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.17 58.4%
MIA
1.23 61.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.3 112.1 | LAL 112.8 MIA 124.4 +11.6 |
| Pace | 94.1 90.9 | LAL 91.3 +10.1 MIA 81.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.2 16.0 | LAL 15.8 +2.0 MIA 17.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.2% 55.2% | LAL 55.0% MIA 58.8% +3.8% |
| TO % | 15.5% 14.5% | LAL 15.6% MIA 11.3% +4.3% |
| ORB % | 27.0% 22.2% | LAL 15.2% MIA 29.4% +14.2% |
| FTrt | 34.5 29.7 | LAL 37.1 +19.6 MIA 17.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.8% 60.0% | LAL 45.7% +2.5% MIA 43.2% |
| STL % | 7.5% 9.5% | LAL 10.5% MIA 11.6% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 7.9% 9.1% | LAL 4.7% MIA 10.3% +5.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.3% 57.0% | LAL 58.4% MIA 61.5% +3.1% |
| Rim FG% | 59.2% 65.9% | LAL 60.7% MIA 71.4% +10.7% |
| Mid FG% | 40.3% 41.9% | LAL 36.7% MIA 50.0% +13.3% |
| 3P % | 35.5% 39.6% | LAL 58.3% +20.8% MIA 37.5% |
| FT % | 69.2% 75.4% | LAL 76.9% MIA 92.9% +16.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.0% 34.8% | LAL 40.0% +5.0% MIA 35.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.7% 36.7% | LAL 42.9% +2.1% MIA 45.0% |
| 3P Att. % | 30.3% 28.5% | LAL 17.1% MIA 20.0% +2.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
| Game Totals | LAL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 86 | 86 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.6 | 25.4 |
| Points | 97 | 107 |
| Rebounds | 29 | 38 |
| Assists | 16 | 19 |
| Steals | 9 | 10 |
| Blocks | 3 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (1) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (6) | 10 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 24 (1) | 28 (1) |
| Field Goals | 35-70 | 44-80 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 17-28 | 20-28 |
| Midrange FG | 11-30 | 18-36 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-58 | 38-64 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-12 | 6-16 |
| Free Throws | 20-26 | 13-14 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.