FinalWin Prob.pScore
827%97
108
173%105
114
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
114.994113.0
MIA logo MIA
120.09581.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU108
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)108
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOULin 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)108
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)106
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)106
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUWade BLOCK (2 BLK)106
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)106
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2106
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)106
1.1%
110
98.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)106
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)106
7.9%
109
92.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P4.T15)106
4.8%
109
95.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)106
10.5%
109
89.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot106
8.5%
109
91.5%
Q4 - 1:11HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS)106
6.9%
109
93.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)103
2.7%
109
97.3%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)103
3.1%
108
96.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
4.4%
107
95.6%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot103
6.8%
107
93.2%
Q4 - 1:48HOUHarden 16' Jump Shot (33 PTS)103
6.1%
107
93.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)101
4.5%
107
95.5%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (31 PTS)101
9.8%
104
90.2%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (30 PTS)100
9.3%
104
90.7%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (29 PTS)99
8.7%
104
91.3%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)98
4.6%
104
95.4%
Q4 - 3:03HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)98
3.1%
104
96.9%
Q4 - 3:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 295
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)95
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 3:18HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 3:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 3:54HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)95
6.5%
100
93.5%
Q4 - 3:54HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)94
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)93
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 4:26HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)93
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 4:37HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)90
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Allen 9' Floating Jump Shot90
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 4:50HOUPatterson 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 5:01HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 5:02HOUMISS Asik 1' Layup88
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 5:09HOURockets Rebound88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 5:10HOULewis BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 5:10HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Cole 7' Jump Shot88
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 5:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 5:37HOUMISS Lin 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 5:59HOURockets Rebound88
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 6:00HOUMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot88
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 6:10HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Allen Driving Layup88
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 6:16HOUWade STEAL (4 STL)88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 6:30MIACole 20' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)88
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 6:51HOUWade STEAL (3 STL)88
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 6:56HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 7:22HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)88
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 7:28MIAWade 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)86
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound86
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot86
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 8:23HOUMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 8:35MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 8:55HOUDouglas Foul Turnover (P2.T12)86
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 9:20HOURockets Rebound86
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
7.5%
93
92.5%
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
8.0%
93
92.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 10:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
12.1%
91
87.9%
Q4 - 10:20HOUMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot86
12.8%
91
87.2%
Q4 - 10:33MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)86
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q4 - 10:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup86
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 10:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 10:48HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)86
18.8%
89
81.2%
Q4 - 10:49HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)86
21.3%
89
78.7%
Q4 - 10:50HOUAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)86
18.8%
89
81.2%
Q4 - 11:00MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T7)86
21.3%
89
78.7%
Q4 - 11:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
19.2%
89
80.8%
Q4 - 11:18HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
21.6%
89
78.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
20.5%
89
79.5%
Q4 - 11:39HOUPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)86
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU83
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound83
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Anderson 71' 3PT Jump Shot83
11.1%
89
88.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIALewis 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)83
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
15.7%
87
84.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
17.5%
87
82.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUPatterson 13' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)83
15.6%
87
84.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot81
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 1:01HOUDouglas 12' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q3 - 1:09HOURockets Rebound79
9.4%
87
90.6%
Q3 - 1:10HOUJames BLOCK (2 BLK)79
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)79
9.4%
87
90.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)79
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q3 - 1:30HOUCole STEAL (1 STL)79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q3 - 1:35HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot79
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q3 - 2:00HOUParsons 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 277
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q3 - 2:39HOUAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)77
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q3 - 2:42MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)77
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q3 - 3:13HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)77
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q3 - 3:19HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot75
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q3 - 3:38HOUAsik 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)75
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q3 - 4:08HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 173
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q3 - 4:13HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound71
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup71
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 4:53HOULin 9' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)71
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q3 - 5:27HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 5:27HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q3 - 5:31HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 5:51HOUHarden Tip Shot (16 PTS)67
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 5:52HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 5:53HOUMISS Lin 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup65
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 5:56HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot65
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 6:18HOULin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)65
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 6:24HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 6:25HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 6:36HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)62
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 6:45HOUMISS Anderson 2' Driving Layup62
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 7:06MIAJames 1' Layup (28 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 7:18HOUAnderson 4' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)62
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 7:39MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 7:57HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 7:57HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)58
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 8:15HOUParsons Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)58
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 8:49HOUPatterson 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)58
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)56
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 9:14MIAHEAT Rebound56
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 9:15HOUMISS Patterson 12' Jump Shot56
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical56
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 9:50HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 10:01MIAWade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)56
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:23HOUMISS Lin 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup56
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 10:33HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:47HOUChalmers STEAL (1 STL)56
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:49HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Running Jump Shot56
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:59HOUMISS Patterson 9' Jump Bank Shot56
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 11:12HOURockets Rebound56
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 11:13HOUJames BLOCK (1 BLK)56
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 11:34HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Asik 4' Jump Shot56
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 8' Jump Shot56
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAJames Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0HOUWade STEAL (2 STL)56
15.0%
61
85.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUHarden 8' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)54
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q2 - 1:04HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q2 - 1:04HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q2 - 1:22MIACole 3' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q2 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q2 - 1:37HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q2 - 1:44HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot52
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q2 - 2:00HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q2 - 2:00HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)50
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Lin: Tip to James50
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q2 - 3:09MIACole 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMISS Patterson 1' Layup50
25.1%
50
74.9%
Q2 - 3:24MIAJames 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS)50
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 3:38HOUMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAChalmers 9' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)50
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot50
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q2 - 4:46HOUParsons 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)50
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T4)47
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q2 - 5:15HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Dunk47
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q2 - 5:21HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot47
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 5:44HOUAsik 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)47
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q2 - 5:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
30.8%
43
69.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot45
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
27.9%
43
72.1%
Q2 - 6:14HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 6:14HOUMISS Morris 1' Tip Shot45
28.7%
43
71.3%
Q2 - 6:15HOUMISS Lin 11' Jump Shot45
28.7%
43
71.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 6:40HOUAllen STEAL (1 STL)45
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 6:48HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot45
34.7%
41
65.3%
Q2 - 7:15HOUParsons 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)45
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 7:19HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot43
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 7:27HOUAnthony STEAL (1 STL)43
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 7:32HOUDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot43
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 7:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)43
29.6%
41
70.4%
Q2 - 8:29HOUParsons 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)43
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 8:42HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot41
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 9:04HOUMorris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)41
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 9:18HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot38
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 9:36HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 9:36HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)36
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 10:06HOUAnderson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)36
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 10:12HOUAldrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
21.7%
36
78.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 10:21HOUMISS Aldrich Dunk34
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
21.7%
36
78.3%
Q2 - 10:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 11:01HOUMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 134
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q2 - 11:15MIACole 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 11:27HOUParsons 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)32
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 11:36HOURockets Rebound30
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.9%
30
81.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIACole 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 1:33HOUPatterson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)27
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q1 - 1:38HOUDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup25
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q1 - 1:57HOUDouglas 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)25
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)23
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 2:21HOUDouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)23
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q1 - 2:44MIAJames 2' Running Reverse Layup (8 PTS)20
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q1 - 3:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 3:04HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 3:10HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot18
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q1 - 3:22HOUAsik 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)18
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q1 - 3:23HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q1 - 3:24HOUMISS Patterson 1' Layup16
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q1 - 4:09HOUAsik Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)16
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (11 PTS)16
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 4:34HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)16
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 4:47MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 5:05HOUAsik 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)16
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 5:09HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:10HOUMISS Lin 1' Driving Layup14
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 5:16MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:36HOUAsik Dunk (5 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)14
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot12
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 6:15HOUPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 6:41HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 6:41HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)10
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 7:05HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 210
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 7:05HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
17.8%
14
82.2%
Q1 - 7:08HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot9
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 7:28HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup9
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)9
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 8:33HOUPatterson 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)9
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:37HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot7
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.9%
10
82.1%
Q1 - 8:55HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 2 of 27
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 8:55HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
18.6%
10
81.4%
Q1 - 9:07MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 9:28HOUPatterson 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 10:00HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 10:21MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 10:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot2
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:39HOUMISS Asik 1' Layup2
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 10:52MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 11:11HOUAsik 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:40HOUMISS Lin 8' Driving Jump Shot0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Asik: Tip to Lin0
22.3%
0
77.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
36
53%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
HOU
11
19
58%
MIA
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
HOU
21
25
84%
MIA
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3682%18.0 / 22
P. Patterson1563%7.5 / 12
O. Asik1563%7.5 / 12
C. Parsons1372%6.5 / 9
J. Lin1350%6.5 / 13
T. Douglas750%3.5 / 7
J. Anderson638%3.0 / 8
M. Morris321%1.5 / 7
C. Aldrich0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3273%16.0 / 22
D. Wade3165%15.5 / 24
S. Battier12100%6.0 / 6
N. Cole1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
R. Allen528%2.5 / 9
R. Lewis536%2.5 / 7
C. Andersen350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
78
+14
-16
92
MIA
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
112.1
HOU 114.9
MIA 120.0 +5.1
Pace
96.0
90.9
HOU 113.0 +31.7
MIA 81.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
HOU 12.7 +5.0
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
55.2%
HOU 54.4%
MIA 54.9% +0.5%
TO %
16.4%
14.5%
HOU 15.0%
MIA 9.6% +5.4%
ORB %
26.4%
22.2%
HOU 21.1% +0.6%
MIA 20.5%
FTrt
30.8
29.7
HOU 31.3
MIA 34.1 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
60.0%
HOU 48.7%
MIA 57.5% +8.8%
STL %
8.6%
9.5%
HOU 6.4%
MIA 9.5% +3.1%
BLK %
6.9%
9.1%
HOU 3.4%
MIA 10.9% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
57.0%
HOU 58.1%
MIA 59.4% +1.3%
Rim FG%
58.9%
65.9%
HOU 52.8%
MIA 73.7% +20.9%
Mid FG%
36.3%
41.9%
HOU 57.9% +17.9%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
36.6%
39.6%
HOU 36.0%
MIA 43.5% +7.5%
FT %
75.4%
75.4%
HOU 84.0%
MIA 85.7% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.7%
34.8%
HOU 45.0% +21.8%
MIA 23.2%
Mid Att. %
22.4%
36.7%
HOU 23.8% +25.0%
MIA 48.8%
3P Att. %
34.9%
28.5%
HOU 31.3% +3.2%
MIA 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.94 and 2.94.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes20.028.0
Points108114
Rebounds3938
Assists1923
Steals69
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals39-8040-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3614-19
Midrange FG11-1916-40
2-Point FG30-5530-59
3-Point FG9-2510-23
Free Throws21-2524-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 23
40.8
36
82%
12
7
3
0
4
3
2
10
12-13
92%
6-9
67%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
35.4
13
72%
1
2
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-1
0%
5-5
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
34.6
15
63%
3
0
0
0
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
34.5
15
63%
14
0
1
0
1
4
3
11
1-3
33%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
32.3
13
50%
1
3
1
1
2
4
0
1
6-6
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24
28.3
6
38%
2
4
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 27
15.8
7
50%
3
3
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
12.9
3
21%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 253 · 24
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30
G · 6'1" 185 · 25
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22
#6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F · 6'8" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
58%
39
19
6
2
16
0
8
31
21-25
84%
30-55
55%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.