FinalWin Prob.pScore
3011%90
94
189%107
99
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
105.68995.3
MIA logo MIA
112.58882.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAWalker 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHATaylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)90
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (29 PTS)87
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 1:13MIABosh 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (James 8 AST)87
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 1:17CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)87
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q4 - 1:19CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q4 - 1:38CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 1:38CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
9.0%
89
91.0%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)85
6.7%
89
93.3%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 2:00CHAAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)85
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)85
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
10.4%
87
89.6%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Cole 1' Reverse Layup85
15.4%
87
84.6%
Q4 - 2:27CHAAllen STEAL (1 STL)85
10.4%
87
89.6%
Q4 - 2:35CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot85
15.5%
87
84.5%
Q4 - 2:51CHAGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIABosh 1' Dunk (21 PTS) (James 6 AST)82
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 3:22CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)82
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)80
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 3:42CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 3:42CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)78
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 4:02CHASessions 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 4:11MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)76
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 4:36CHAMullens 1' Dunk (10 PTS)76
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 4:37CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 4:38CHAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot74
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 5:00MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)74
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 5:04CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)74
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 5:28MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)74
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 5:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 5:46CHAMISS Henderson 20' Fadeaway Jumper74
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 6:09MIAAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)74
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)74
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 6:19CHAMISS Henderson 12' Fadeaway Jumper74
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAJames 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)74
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)74
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q4 - 6:56CHAMISS Mullens 1' Layup74
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q4 - 7:18MIABosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)74
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q4 - 7:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot74
28.8%
73
71.2%
Q4 - 7:45CHAHenderson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)74
24.8%
73
75.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)72
20.3%
73
79.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q4 - 8:04CHAMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot72
25.6%
71
74.4%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)72
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q4 - 8:51CHAGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
34.8%
69
65.2%
Q4 - 9:08CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
23.4%
69
76.6%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q4 - 9:25CHASessions 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mullens 1 AST)69
19.5%
69
80.5%
Q4 - 9:45CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
16.0%
69
84.0%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q4 - 10:09CHAHenderson 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)65
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q4 - 10:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Allen Driving Reverse Layup65
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q4 - 10:48CHAGordon Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)65
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q4 - 11:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 263
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q4 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)63
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q4 - 11:05CHAMISS Mullens 19' Jump Shot63
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q4 - 11:10CHABobcats Rebound63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 11:11CHAMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot63
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 11:12CHAGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 11:12CHAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)63
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAAndersen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 11:36CHAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)63
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA63
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound63
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)63
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot61
12.4%
64
87.6%
Q3 - 1:10CHAMullens 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)61
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 1:18CHASessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 1:45CHAMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 258
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 1:45CHAGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames 6' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)57
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 2:16MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)57
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 2:20CHAMISS Sessions 1' Layup57
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 2:32CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot57
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 2:39CHAJames STEAL (2 STL)57
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)57
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 3:16CHABiyombo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)57
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 3:22CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup55
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 3:40CHABiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T11)55
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWade 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)55
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 4:16CHAGordon 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)55
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 4:33CHABobcats Rebound52
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 4:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 4:51CHAMISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q3 - 5:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 252
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)52
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot52
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 5:33CHABobcats Turnover: Backcourt (T#10)52
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 5:45MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)52
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
11.9%
54
88.1%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup52
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 6:09CHAAdrien Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)52
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 6:27MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)52
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 6:37MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)52
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q3 - 6:52CHATaylor 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)52
17.6%
51
82.4%
Q3 - 7:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)50
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q3 - 7:29CHATaylor 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)50
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q3 - 7:42CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)47
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot47
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q3 - 7:59CHASessions 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)47
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q3 - 8:12MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q3 - 8:31MIAHEAT Rebound45
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q3 - 8:32CHAMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 8:35CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q3 - 8:36CHAMISS Sessions 11' Jump Shot45
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)45
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q3 - 8:50CHAMISS Biyombo 8' Hook Shot45
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAJames 2' Layup (17 PTS)45
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q3 - 9:33CHAHenderson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)45
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q3 - 9:44CHABobcats Rebound43
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q3 - 9:45CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)43
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q3 - 9:48CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot43
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q3 - 10:02CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)43
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q3 - 10:02CHABobcats Rebound43
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q3 - 10:03CHAMISS Sessions 4' Driving Jump Shot43
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q3 - 10:20CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q3 - 10:21CHAMISS Adrien 1' Driving Layup43
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q3 - 10:32CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q3 - 10:42CHAMISS Henderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q3 - 11:05CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot43
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q3 - 11:16CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q3 - 11:38CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Bosh 10' Hook Shot43
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0CHAMISS Mullens 15' Jump Shot41
8.7%
45
91.3%
Q2 - 1:15MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
9.3%
45
90.7%
Q2 - 1:36CHAHenderson Tip Shot (6 PTS)41
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 1:37CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 1:38CHAMISS Sessions 12' Jump Shot39
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 1:53CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 2:12CHAMISS Mullens 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 2:16MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 2:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 2:20CHAMISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot39
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)39
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 2:44CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 2:59CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 139
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 3:16CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 3:23CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 3:47CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 3:47CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)37
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 4:23CHAHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 4:23CHAHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 4:38CHAHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 135
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 5:17CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)35
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 5:59CHAGordon 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 6:15CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 9' Fadeaway Jumper30
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)30
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup30
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 6:33CHAMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 7:05MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)30
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 7:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 7:11CHAMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 7:17CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot30
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 7:38CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)30
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 8:03MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
8.1%
32
91.9%
Q2 - 8:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.8%
30
91.2%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot27
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 8:31CHAGordon 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
8.8%
30
91.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.8%
28
91.2%
Q2 - 9:01CHAMISS Mullens 9' Jump Bank Shot25
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 9:10CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot25
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)25
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup25
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIAHEAT Rebound25
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup25
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q2 - 9:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:35CHAMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot25
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)25
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIAHEAT Rebound25
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup25
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q2 - 10:14CHASessions Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)25
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q2 - 10:25MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
9.6%
28
90.4%
Q2 - 10:45CHASessions 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)25
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q2 - 10:50CHASessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot23
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 11:09CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q2 - 11:09CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIABattier 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q2 - 11:20CHAMISS Mullens 16' Jump Shot21
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)21
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA21
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHASessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot21
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0CHAMullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)21
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)18
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 218
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0CHAMullens 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)18
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)16
7.9%
21
92.1%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 1:21CHAMISS Henderson 2' Driving Layup16
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 1:27CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:28CHAMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot16
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJames 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)16
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 2:06CHAGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJames 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)16
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 2:41CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)16
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 2:41CHABobcats Rebound16
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 2:42CHAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)16
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 3:17CHAJames STEAL (1 STL)16
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
15.0%
13
85.0%
Q1 - 3:48CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 3:48CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWade 1' Layup (3 PTS)14
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 3:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
13.9%
11
86.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup14
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 4:05CHAMISS Adrien 15' Jump Shot14
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 4:29CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 4:48CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 4:49CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot12
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 4:54CHABobcats Rebound12
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 4:55CHAMISS Adrien 1' Driving Layup12
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 5:16CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 212
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 212
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup12
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Jump Shot12
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 5:44CHAAdrien 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
12.0%
9
88.0%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 6:25CHAMISS Adrien Free Throw 1 of 110
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 6:31CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 6:32CHAMISS Biyombo 6' Turnaround Hook Shot8
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 6:36CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 6:37CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot8
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 6:43CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 6:44CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot8
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 7:25CHAAdrien 9' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 7:51CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 26
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 7:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 7:58CHAHenderson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 7:59CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
10.9%
4
89.1%
Q1 - 8:00CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.3%
4
89.7%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 8:37CHATaylor 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Adrien 1 AST)4
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 8:56CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot2
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 9:12CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 9:18CHAAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 9:30CHAMISS Taylor 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 9:56CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 10:00CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 10:11CHAMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 10:26MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIAHEAT Rebound2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 10:41CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:02CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:13MIAHEAT Rebound2
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 14' Floating Jump Shot2
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:38CHAAdrien 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Biyombo: Tip to Taylor0
10.0%
0
90.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
13
23
57%
MIA
28
41
68%
Midrange
CHA
13
32
41%
MIA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
Free Throws
CHA
18
20
90%
MIA
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Sessions1864%9.0 / 14
B. Gordon1647%8.0 / 17
G. Henderson1250%6.0 / 12
B. Mullens1243%6.0 / 14
K. Walker1155%5.5 / 10
J. Taylor1063%5.0 / 8
J. Adrien857%4.0 / 7
R. Williams375%1.5 / 2
B. Biyombo225%1.0 / 4
B. Haywood2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3191%15.5 / 17
C. Bosh2361%11.5 / 19
D. Wade2042%10.0 / 24
R. Allen739%3.5 / 9
S. Battier550%2.5 / 5
N. Cole433%2.0 / 6
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
M. Chalmers325%1.5 / 6
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
76
+18
-13
94
MIA
77
+15
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
112.1
CHA 105.6
MIA 112.5 +6.9
Pace
91.6
90.9
CHA 95.3 +12.7
MIA 82.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
CHA 15.1 +2.3
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
55.2%
CHA 47.5%
MIA 51.2% +3.7%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
CHA 15.3%
MIA 10.7% +4.6%
ORB %
25.9%
22.2%
CHA 30.8% +0.8%
MIA 30.0%
FTrt
31.0
29.7
CHA 25.0
MIA 29.6 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
60.0%
CHA 38.2%
MIA 56.1% +17.9%
STL %
7.8%
9.5%
CHA 9.0% +2.2%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
9.7%
9.1%
CHA 7.2%
MIA 9.1% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
57.0%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 53.2% +3.2%
Rim FG%
53.1%
65.9%
CHA 56.5%
MIA 68.3% +11.8%
Mid FG%
37.0%
41.9%
CHA 40.6%
MIA 42.9% +2.3%
3P %
33.5%
39.6%
CHA 32.0% +23.7%
MIA 8.3%
FT %
75.0%
75.4%
CHA 90.0% +23.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
34.8%
CHA 28.7%
MIA 50.6% +21.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
36.7%
CHA 40.0%
MIA 34.6% +5.4%
3P Att. %
21.0%
28.5%
CHA 31.3% +16.4%
MIA 14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points9499
Rebounds4039
Assists1323
Steals86
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)27 (3)
Field Goals34-8041-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2328-41
Midrange FG13-3212-28
2-Point FG26-5540-69
3-Point FG8-251-12
Free Throws18-2016-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
37.6
12
50%
7
1
2
0
1
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
28.4
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 255 · 20
23.4
2
25%
9
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 184 · 23
22.0
11
55%
3
3
2
0
3
5
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 245 · 27
14.8
8
57%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 27
35.8
18
64%
3
2
1
1
2
2
0
3
10-10
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
28.1
12
43%
9
1
2
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-9
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
27.8
16
47%
1
4
0
0
1
4
1
0
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
2-7
29%
F · 6'6" 205 · 26
13.3
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 263 · 33
8.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 26
F · 6'9" 219 · 31
C · 7'0" 280 · 31
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
40
13
8
5
13
0
12
28
18-20
90%
26-55
47%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.