FinalWin Prob.pScore
2729%94
98
1371%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.19699.0
MIL logo MIL
111.59693.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL98
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMagic Rebound98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)98
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)96
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Moore 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILMISS Sanders 4' Hook Shot93
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 1:08MILMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot93
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 292
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:26MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:46ORLRedick 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Moore 6 AST)92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:50ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)90
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Jump Shot90
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:14MILBUCKS Rebound90
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:14ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:24MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)90
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 2:38ORLRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)90
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 2 of 389
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:53MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLVucevic Dunk (20 PTS)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Moore 1' Layup86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MILBUCKS Rebound86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:49ORLMcRoberts 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vucevic 6 AST)86
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 4:16MILJennings 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:26ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)83
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48MILJennings 1' Layup (15 PTS)80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52MILSanders REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)80
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:56ORLSanders BLOCK (6 BLK)80
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:13MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:13MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 5:19MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Vucevic 14' Jump Shot80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:34MILSanders 1' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:52MILBUCKS Rebound80
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 5:53ORLMISS Moore 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 6:11MILDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)80
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 6:25ORLVucevic 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Moore 5 AST)80
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 6:35ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)78
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 6:36MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 6:50ORLO'Quinn Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)78
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 6:59ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 7:00MILMISS Henson 20' Jump Shot78
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 7:15ORLHarkless 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Vucevic 4 AST)78
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 7:40MILEllis Palming Turnover (P3.T13)76
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:56ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)76
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 7:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 7:58ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup74
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 8:00ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)74
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:02ORLDunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)74
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 8:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Moore 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 8:28MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 8:28MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 274
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 8:38MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 8:39ORLMISS McRoberts 13' Jump Shot74
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 8:55ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 8:57MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 174
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 9:09ORLMcRoberts 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)74
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 9:34MILHenson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)71
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 9:51ORLNicholson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Redick 8 AST)71
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 9:58ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 9:59MILMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 10:17ORLNicholson 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 10:35MILUdrih 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)67
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 10:44ORLUdoh STEAL (1 STL)67
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 10:54ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 10:55MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot67
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 11:07ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 11:17ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 11:18MILMISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 267
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 11:18MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 267
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 11:32MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 11:33ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 11:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 11:47MILMISS Dunleavy 1' Layup67
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ellis 43' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 267
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 267
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MILEllis 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILBUCKS Rebound67
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot67
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Udoh 15' Jump Shot67
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)67
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 1:01MILMISS Udoh Layup67
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 1:02MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 1:04MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot67
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 1:28ORLVucevic 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Redick 7 AST)67
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 1:36ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 1:37MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 1:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q3 - 1:54ORLMISS Moore 20' Jump Shot65
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 2:13MILEllis 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)65
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 2:17ORLEllis STEAL (1 STL)65
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 2:28MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)65
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 2:38MILSanders REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)65
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup65
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 2:41ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)65
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 2:42ORLMISS O'Quinn 2' Slam Dunk65
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 3:04MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)65
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q3 - 3:18ORLO'Quinn 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)65
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 3:19ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 3:20ORLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.2%
70
88.8%
Q3 - 3:47MILJennings 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 4:01ORLO'Quinn 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)63
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 4:19MILSanders 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)61
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 4:23ORLMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)61
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 4:43MILSanders 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)61
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 5:03MILBUCKS Rebound61
19.5%
64
80.5%
Q3 - 5:04ORLIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)61
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q3 - 5:17MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 5:17MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q3 - 5:17MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q3 - 5:17MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup61
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q3 - 5:49MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)61
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 6:04ORLO'Quinn 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 6 AST)61
31.5%
60
68.5%
Q3 - 6:14ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 6:15ORLMISS O'Quinn 3' Layup59
26.1%
60
73.9%
Q3 - 6:24ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup59
27.6%
60
72.4%
Q3 - 6:47ORLMoore 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)59
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q3 - 7:08ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
22.3%
60
77.7%
Q3 - 7:09MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 157
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 7:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 7:41MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 7:41MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (6 PTS)57
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Sanders 3' Hook Shot57
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 7:55MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Harkless: Tip to Ilyasova57
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 7:56ORLSanders BLOCK (5 BLK)57
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 8:01MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)57
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 8:17ORLVucevic 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
30.7%
56
69.3%
Q3 - 8:30MILEllis Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q3 - 8:48ORLRedick 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)55
30.8%
54
69.2%
Q3 - 8:59ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q3 - 9:15ORLVucevic 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
24.6%
54
75.4%
Q3 - 9:18ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 9:19ORLMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot51
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q3 - 9:31ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 9:32MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 9:52ORLMoore 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)51
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 10:16MILIlyasova 2' Layup (13 PTS)48
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q3 - 10:17MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q3 - 10:19MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 10:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q3 - 10:40ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 248
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 10:40ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 248
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 10:42ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)48
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 10:43ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 248
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 10:43ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 248
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q3 - 10:45ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)48
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 10:46ORLMISS Moore 3' Layup48
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 10:58ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 10:59MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 11:14ORLJones Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T8)48
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 11:19ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q3 - 11:20MILMISS Sanders 17' Jump Shot48
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q3 - 11:38MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Layup48
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL48
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound48
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jennings 44' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMoore 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)46
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot46
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup46
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLVucevic 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)46
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 1:00ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot44
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q2 - 1:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 1:04ORLMISS Smith 2' Layup44
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 1:19MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 1:19MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 244
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 1:32MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)44
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:33ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 244
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 1:33ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 1:48MILJennings 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)43
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 1:55MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)43
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 1:56MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot43
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q2 - 2:08MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 2:09ORLMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot43
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 2:28MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)43
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 2:45MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Harkless: Tip to Mbah a Moute43
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLSanders BLOCK (4 BLK)43
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 2:45ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup43
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 2:47ORLMISS Vucevic 4' Jump Shot43
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 3:03MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)43
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q2 - 3:17ORLO'Quinn 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS)43
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 3:18ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 3:21ORLIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)41
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 3:27ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 3:28MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 3:52ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)41
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 4:01ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 4:02MILMISS Mbah a Moute 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 4:16ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS O'Quinn Free Throw 1 of 238
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 4:27MILJennings 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sanders 2 AST)38
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 4:41ORLSmith 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)38
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 4:54MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)36
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 4:58MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:17MILMbah a Moute 2' Layup (4 PTS)36
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 5:38ORLDaniels STEAL (1 STL)36
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 5:54MILDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 6:14ORLJones 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)36
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 6:30ORLHarkless Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 233
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 6:31MILUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 6:41ORLVucevic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)33
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 6:50ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 6:51MILMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot33
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 7:10ORLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)33
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 7:31MILUdrih 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)31
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 7:35MILBUCKS Rebound31
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 7:36MILMISS Udrih 1' Layup31
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 7:57ORLNicholson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)31
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 8:12MILHenson 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)29
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 8:30ORLHarkless 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)29
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 8:35ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)27
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 8:54MILDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)26
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:08ORLHarkless 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)26
11.8%
35
88.2%
Q2 - 9:27MILHenson 1' Layup (2 PTS)24
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 9:28MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:30MILMISS Dalembert 1' Layup24
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 9:43ORLVucevic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:57MILDunleavy 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)24
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 10:09MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 10:10ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:25MILDalembert Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)24
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:39ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)24
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 10:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS Henson 4' Hook Shot24
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 11:12ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)24
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 11:21MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)22
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 11:27MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 11:29ORLMISS Smith Layup22
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 11:31ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 11:33MILMISS Henson 2' Layup22
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 11:36MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 11:38MILMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot22
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 11:46MILDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 11:47ORLMISS Redick 1' Layup22
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound22
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup22
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLVucevic Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)22
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILMISS Ilyasova 13' Jump Shot20
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLVucevic Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)20
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)18
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)18
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q1 - 1:00MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot18
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 1:14ORLHarkless 1' Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)18
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q1 - 1:17ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Harkless 4' Jump Shot16
9.2%
29
90.8%
Q1 - 1:38MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 1:53ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)16
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 2:13MILDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)14
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q1 - 2:22MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup14
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 2:25ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 2:27ORLSanders BLOCK (3 BLK)14
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 2:40MILIlyasova 1' Layup (9 PTS)14
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 2:41MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13.6%
22
86.4%
Q1 - 2:43MILMISS Sanders 14' Jump Shot14
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 3:02ORLHarkless 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 3:19MILSanders 2' Dunk (6 PTS)12
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 3:20MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)12
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:21MILMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 3:28ORLJennings STEAL (1 STL)12
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:30ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 3:31MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot12
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 3:42MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:44ORLMISS Moore 17' Jump Shot12
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 4:12MILEllis 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)12
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 4:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 4:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot12
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 4:42MILEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)12
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 4:59MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMISS Smith Layup12
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 5:13MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 5:31ORLAyon 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)12
19.6%
15
80.4%
Q1 - 5:52ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 5:54MILMISS Sanders Layup10
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 6:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 6:03ORLSanders BLOCK (2 BLK)10
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 6:17MILEllis 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)10
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 6:26ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)10
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 6:30MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:36MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:37ORLSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)7
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:40ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:54MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:57MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)7
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Ayon 2' Layup7
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 7:10MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)7
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 7:10MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 7:14MILMISS Ilyasova Layup7
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 7:30ORLJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)7
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:45MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)5
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:45MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)5
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 8:02ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 8:06MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 8:11ORLSanders STEAL (1 STL)2
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 8:29MILMbah a Moute 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)2
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 8:51MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot2
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 9:01ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 9:03MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup2
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:05MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 9:07MILMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:13MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 9:15ORLMISS Moore Layup2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 9:17ORLMISS Moore 9' Jump Shot2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMagic Rebound2
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 9:51MILSanders Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)2
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 9:58MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 9:59ORLMISS Vucevic 17' Jump Shot2
19.8%
5
80.2%
Q1 - 10:13MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 10:23ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:36MILIlyasova Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:56MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot2
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:09ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:10MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup2
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:30ORLHarkless 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:47MILSanders Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Vucevic: Tip to Jennings0
22.9%
0
77.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
25
50
50%
MIL
23
42
55%
Midrange
ORL
11
25
44%
MIL
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
11
22
50%
MIL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2063%10.0 / 16
M. Harkless1950%9.5 / 19
J. Redick1544%7.5 / 17
K. O'Quinn956%4.5 / 8
D. Jones844%4.0 / 9
E. Moore725%3.5 / 14
A. Nicholson6100%3.0 / 3
J. McRoberts660%3.0 / 5
I. Smith429%2.0 / 7
G. Ayon250%1.0 / 2
H. Turkoglu250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2155%10.5 / 19
B. Jennings2059%10.0 / 17
L. Sanders1750%8.5 / 17
E. Ilyasova1657%8.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy1161%5.5 / 9
J. Henson950%4.5 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute857%4.0 / 7
B. Udrih563%2.5 / 4
E. Udoh0-0.0 / 2
S. Dalembert0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+23
-17
102
MIL
80
+19
-16
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
103.6
ORL 102.1
MIL 111.5 +9.4
Pace
91.9
94.8
ORL 99.0 +5.7
MIL 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.4
ORL 14.6 +0.9
MIL 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
47.6%
ORL 46.3%
MIL 51.7% +5.4%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
ORL 14.1%
MIL 13.9% +0.2%
ORB %
25.4%
28.0%
ORL 41.7% +11.3%
MIL 30.4%
FTrt
19.7
23.6
ORL 23.4 +1.2
MIL 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
60.0%
ORL 78.0% +16.1%
MIL 61.9%
STL %
7.0%
8.8%
ORL 9.4% +3.1%
MIL 6.3%
BLK %
7.0%
10.1%
ORL 7.6%
MIL 12.0% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
49.7%
ORL 46.7%
MIL 53.5% +6.8%
Rim FG%
58.5%
54.6%
ORL 50.0%
MIL 54.8% +4.8%
Mid FG%
39.6%
36.8%
ORL 44.0% +2.3%
MIL 41.7%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
ORL 26.3%
MIL 37.5% +11.2%
FT %
75.5%
73.6%
ORL 50.0%
MIL 70.0% +20.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
38.4%
ORL 53.2% +6.5%
MIL 46.7%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
38.3%
ORL 26.6% +0.1%
MIL 26.7%
3P Att. %
22.3%
23.2%
ORL 20.2%
MIL 26.7% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points98107
Rebounds5242
Assists3226
Steals96
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)28 (6)
Field Goals41-9442-90
At-the-Rim FG25-5023-42
Midrange FG11-2510-24
2-Point FG36-7533-66
3-Point FG5-199-24
Free Throws11-2214-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
42.0
19
50%
14
1
4
1
0
3
6
8
5-9
56%
7-15
47%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 29
39.1
15
44%
1
8
1
0
2
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
2-9
22%
G · 6'4" 191 · 24
34.6
7
25%
7
6
1
0
4
4
4
3
0-0
-
2-10
20%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
33.6
20
63%
12
6
2
2
2
2
5
7
0-0
-
10-16
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
10.2
6
100%
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
23.5
4
29%
1
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 221 · 23
19.0
8
44%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 26
15.0
6
60%
8
2
0
0
2
1
2
6
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23
11.7
9
56%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 250 · 28
5.9
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 34
5.4
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 31
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27
#4 · G · 6'5" 210 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
47%
52
32
9
5
17
0
20
32
11-22
50%
36-75
48%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.