| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 104.7 | 85 | 88.8 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BEC0C2;}%20.st1{fill:%23002D62;}%20.st2{fill:%23FDBB30;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M318.6,100.7c-20.1-24.2-48.9-37.7-81.3-37.7l-129.5,0L47.7,336.1l110.6,0.1l15.9-66.1c14.8,0,53.9,0,53.8,0%20c37,0.3,67.4-12.3,87.9-36.3C353,193.4,346.4,134.3,318.6,100.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M168.4,262.9L152.6,329l-96,0l56.9-258.8l123.7,0.1c30.8,0.1,57.2,12.5,75.8,35c27.4,33.1,30.1,88.1-2.7,123.9%20c-20.1,23.6-49.6,34-82.3,33.7L168.4,262.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M100.8,127.7l54.2,0c6.2,0,12.9,5.2,10,13.1c-1.8,4.9-3.1,10.6-3.8,15.9c-0.5,4.2,4.2,6.8,6.8,6.8l110.5,0.1%20c2.1,0,3.2-0.6,3.2-1.6c0-1-0.1-4.7-0.5-7.2c-0.4-2.4-0.8-2.9-2.8-2.9c-13.8,0-19.4-6.1-33.8-15.5c-14.4-9.3-35.6-14.7-53.8-14.7%20l-88.7-0.1L100.8,127.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M167.7,199.3c-1.9-4.1-3.7-9-4.8-13.4c-1.4-5.7-6.2-10.4-14.5-10.4l-58.2,0l1.4-6.5l188.5,0.1%20c1.9,0,1.5,0.8,1.4,2.9c-0.1,2.1-0.6,5.9-0.9,8.2c-0.3,2.3-2.2,1.7-4,1.8c-4.2,0.1-12.1,1.1-16.7,4.5c-7.8,5.9-24.5,16.2-33.8,19.2%20c-10,3.2-47.6,14.7-58.6-6.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M79.9,222.8l98.4,0.1c4.3,0,8.1,1,11,3.4c8.3,6.9,19.1,11.8,30.5,15.1c5.1,1.5,14-0.4,21.9-4.9%20c19.7-11.1,32.4-32.3,36.5-46c1.1-3.6-1-3.3-3.8-3.1c-8.3,0.6-17,8.1-28.5,15.4c-11.5,7.3-34.8,14.2-57,14.2l-107.8-0.1L79.9,222.8%20z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M224.2,91c1.4-0.2,6.4-0.5,9.1,0.5c18.7,7.4,36.4,26.8,43.8,47.5c1.4,4,1.8,6.5,0,6.7%20c-8.6,0.9-12.6-3.3-22.6-10.1c-10.1-6.8-19.4-11.5-32.1-15.5c-12.6-4-35.5-4.6-38.5-4.7c-3-0.1-2.6-1.3-1.3-2.6%20C193.6,101.9,208.3,93.9,224.2,91z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M313.9,162c0.1,0.8-0.8,1.7-1.8,1.7c-0.1,0-21.6,0-21.6,0c-2.8,0-2.8-1.3-2.9-2.9c-0.1-1.6-0.6-4.7-0.6-6.6%20c-0.1-1.8-0.8-3.9,1.7-4.9c6-2.5,11.7-8.4,14.3-13.4c0.9-1.7,2.2-4.5,3.6-2.1C311.7,141.8,313.3,151.9,313.9,162z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M306.2,200.7c-0.4,0.7-1.7,1.3-2.2,0.1c-3.1-8.4-10.6-14.2-15.8-17.1c-1.6-0.9-1.7-1.9-1.5-3.4%20c0.2-1.5,0.9-6.4,1-8.5c0.1-1.6,0.7-2.8,2-2.8l22.5,0c0.8,0,1.8,0.7,1.8,1.3C313.9,181,310.7,191.6,306.2,200.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M247.8,242.9c-1.6,0.2-5-0.3,0.4-3.5c16.3-9.5,30.9-31.8,34.7-44.5c1.5-4.9,1.6-5.1,3.5-4.6%20c2.5,0.7,6.4,4.1,9.4,8.3c3,4.1,4.3,12.2,2.6,14.6C286.8,228.8,268.1,239.9,247.8,242.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M289.3,142.1c-3.8,2-4.5,1.7-5.3-1.2c-7.1-24.9-28-43.3-36.6-48.7c-1.6-1-1.2-1.7,0-1.6%20c20.5,2.7,40.5,13.9,50.6,29.2C303.8,128.5,293,140.1,289.3,142.1z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) IND | 121.4 | 84 | 81.6 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+10
-11
84
IND
72
+14
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.0%
IND
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | IND | 89 0% | 102 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Battier 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 5 AST) | 89 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 86 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 86 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 86 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | IND | West 2' Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (George 6 AST) | 86 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | Hibbert BLOCK (2 BLK) | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | IND | George Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17) | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | MIA | MISS James 15' Step Back Jump Shot | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 86 0.2% | 100 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:50 | IND | MISS Augustin 41' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 0.2% | 100 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | MIA | MISS Allen 15' Floating Jump Shot | 86 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | IND | Stephenson 2' Layup (15 PTS) (George 5 AST) | 86 0.2% | 100 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:38 | MIA | Stephenson STEAL (1 STL) | 86 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 86 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | IND | MISS Stephenson 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 86 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | MIA | Wade 3' Layup (17 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 86 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:33 | IND | Stephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 84 0.9% | 98 99.1% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 84 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 83 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | IND | MISS West 9' Jump Shot | 83 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 83 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | Wade 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS) | 83 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Wade 13' Jump Shot | 81 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:31 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 81 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 81 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | IND | MISS Hibbert 3' Jump Shot | 81 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 81 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Battier 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | IND | George 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 81 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P3.T10) | 81 0.7% | 96 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | IND | George 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) | 81 1.0% | 96 99.0% |
| Q4 - 6:12 | MIA | Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 81 2.1% | 94 97.9% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | IND | Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 5 AST) | 79 1.6% | 94 98.4% |
| Q4 - 6:42 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 79 2.8% | 91 97.2% |
| Q4 - 6:42 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 78 2.7% | 91 97.3% |
| Q4 - 7:03 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 77 3.1% | 91 96.9% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | IND | MISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot | 77 2.8% | 91 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 77 2.3% | 91 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 2.2% | 91 97.8% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | IND | Mahinmi 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 76 2.3% | 91 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:48 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 2.9% | 89 97.1% |
| Q4 - 7:49 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 5' Jump Shot | 76 3.6% | 89 96.4% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | MIA | James 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 76 4.0% | 89 96.0% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | IND | Mahinmi 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST) | 74 3.1% | 89 96.9% |
| Q4 - 8:57 | MIA | Bosh 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 74 3.9% | 87 96.1% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 72 3.9% | 87 96.1% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 72 3.4% | 87 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | IND | George Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 72 3.9% | 87 96.1% |
| Q4 - 9:40 | MIA | Andersen 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 72 3.1% | 87 96.9% |
| Q4 - 9:56 | IND | George Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 70 2.4% | 87 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:56 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 70 2.5% | 86 97.5% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 70 3.8% | 85 96.2% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | IND | MISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 4.4% | 85 95.6% |
| Q4 - 10:24 | IND | Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 70 3.8% | 85 96.2% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | MIA | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 4.0% | 85 96.0% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | IND | Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 4 AST) | 70 4.7% | 85 95.3% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST) | 70 7.1% | 82 92.9% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | IND | Hansbrough 3' Dunk (11 PTS) (Young 1 AST) | 67 5.5% | 82 94.5% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | MIA | Andersen Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 67 6.7% | 80 93.3% |
| Q4 - 11:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 67 8.1% | 80 91.9% |
| Q4 - 11:32 | IND | MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 7.6% | 80 92.4% |
| Q4 - 11:49 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 67 6.6% | 80 93.4% |
| Q4 - 11:49 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 66 6.4% | 80 93.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 65 5.4% | 80 94.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | IND | Hill 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 65 6.3% | 80 93.7% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Bosh 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Allen 4 AST) | 65 7.6% | 78 92.4% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | IND | Hill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13) | 63 6.2% | 78 93.8% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 63 5.2% | 78 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | MIA | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 63 5.5% | 78 94.5% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 63 6.2% | 78 93.8% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | IND | MISS West 19' Jump Shot | 63 5.9% | 78 94.1% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Andersen 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST) | 63 5.1% | 78 94.9% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 61 4.9% | 78 95.1% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 61 4.0% | 78 96.0% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 4.6% | 78 95.4% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 61 4.0% | 78 96.0% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | IND | Stephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 59 3.3% | 78 96.7% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 3.3% | 78 96.7% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS Bosh 1' Layup | 59 3.5% | 78 96.5% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | IND | West 3' Dunk (28 PTS) (George 3 AST) | 59 4.0% | 78 96.0% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MIA | George STEAL (2 STL) | 59 4.7% | 76 95.3% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 59 5.6% | 76 94.4% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | IND | MISS Mahinmi 2' Layup | 59 5.3% | 76 94.7% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | MIA | Andersen 3' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 59 5.5% | 76 94.5% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 57 4.6% | 76 95.4% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 57 4.8% | 75 95.2% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 57 5.4% | 74 94.6% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 57 5.6% | 74 94.4% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 57 6.2% | 74 93.8% |
| Q3 - 3:49 | IND | Stephenson 6' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 56 5.5% | 74 94.5% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | James 15' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 56 6.9% | 72 93.1% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | IND | Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 54 6.1% | 72 93.9% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | IND | MISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 54 6.4% | 71 93.6% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | IND | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 54 5.9% | 71 94.1% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot | 54 6.2% | 71 93.8% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | IND | George 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 54 7.1% | 71 92.9% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | IND | Hill Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 54 8.8% | 69 91.2% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 54 10.3% | 68 89.7% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | MIA | Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK) | 54 10.8% | 68 89.2% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 12.1% | 68 87.9% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | MISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 54 10.8% | 68 89.2% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 54 12.1% | 68 87.9% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | IND | Hibbert 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS) | 54 12.1% | 68 87.9% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | IND | MISS Hibbert 3' Layup | 54 15.4% | 66 84.6% |
| Q3 - 5:49 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 54 13.7% | 66 86.3% |
| Q3 - 5:51 | MIA | MISS James 13' Jump Shot | 54 14.4% | 66 85.6% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 54 17.3% | 66 82.7% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 54 14.9% | 66 85.1% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | IND | MISS Stephenson 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 16.5% | 66 83.5% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | IND | MISS George Free Throw Technical | 54 14.8% | 66 85.2% |
| Q3 - 6:39 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 54 14.8% | 66 85.2% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 15.5% | 66 84.5% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | IND | Hibbert 2' Putback Dunk (5 PTS) | 54 17.2% | 66 82.8% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 54 19.3% | 64 80.7% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | IND | MISS Hill 20' Jump Shot | 54 21.3% | 64 78.7% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 54 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 53 19.8% | 64 80.2% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | IND | West 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST) | 52 18.1% | 64 81.9% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 52 20.2% | 62 79.8% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 50 18.8% | 62 81.2% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 50 17.1% | 62 82.9% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | IND | West 5' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS) (George 2 AST) | 50 18.7% | 62 81.3% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | MIA | Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 50 20.8% | 60 79.2% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 47 17.2% | 60 82.8% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | IND | MISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 | 47 17.7% | 59 82.3% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | MIA | James 4' Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 47 17.0% | 59 83.0% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | IND | West 11' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 45 15.2% | 59 84.8% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 17.0% | 57 83.0% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot | 45 17.7% | 57 82.3% |
| Q3 - 10:01 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 45 20.4% | 57 79.6% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 45 18.7% | 57 81.3% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | IND | Hibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 45 20.3% | 57 79.7% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 45 17.9% | 57 82.1% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 45 18.6% | 57 81.4% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | IND | West 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST) | 45 20.3% | 57 79.7% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 23.8% | 55 76.2% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 24.6% | 55 75.4% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | IND | Hibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (West 4 AST) | 45 26.5% | 55 73.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 45 29.1% | 53 70.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 45 32.1% | 53 67.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 45 30.0% | 53 70.0% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | IND | West 2' Putback Layup (16 PTS) | 45 32.8% | 53 67.2% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 45 36.6% | 51 63.4% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | IND | MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot | 45 38.1% | 51 61.9% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | IND | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 36.5% | 51 63.5% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 45 37.2% | 51 62.8% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 45 38.8% | 51 61.2% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | IND | MISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 | 45 38.5% | 51 61.5% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | IND | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 45 36.2% | 51 63.8% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 45 39.6% | 50 60.4% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 44 38.9% | 50 61.1% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | IND | West 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 4 AST) | 43 36.2% | 50 63.8% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 43 40.3% | 48 59.7% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 40.9% | 48 59.1% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 43 42.3% | 48 57.7% |
| Q2 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 40.9% | 48 59.1% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 43 42.3% | 48 57.7% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | IND | MISS Stephenson 20' Step Back Jump Shot | 43 41.6% | 48 58.4% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | MIA | Chalmers 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 43 40.3% | 48 59.7% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | IND | Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 3 AST) | 41 37.3% | 48 62.7% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | MIA | James Traveling Turnover (P2.T7) | 41 43.3% | 45 56.7% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | IND | George Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 41 47.2% | 45 52.8% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | James 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 41 43.7% | 45 56.3% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | IND | Stephenson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST) | 39 41.2% | 45 58.8% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 46.6% | 42 53.4% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | MIA | MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 48.1% | 42 51.9% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 50.3% | 42 49.7% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | IND | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 49.3% | 42 50.7% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | MIA | James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 39 47.1% | 42 52.9% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | IND | West 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS) | 39 50.3% | 42 49.7% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 39 53.4% | 40 46.6% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 47.7% | 40 52.3% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | IND | MISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot | 36 46.8% | 40 53.2% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | MIA | Wade 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 36 44.9% | 40 55.1% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 34 42.0% | 40 58.0% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 34 42.5% | 39 57.5% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 34 44.8% | 38 55.2% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 34 45.9% | 38 54.1% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 48.2% | 38 51.8% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | IND | MISS Stephenson 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 34 47.1% | 38 52.9% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | MIA | Battier Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 34 44.9% | 38 55.1% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 48.1% | 38 51.9% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | IND | MISS Young 20' Jump Shot | 34 47.1% | 38 52.9% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | MIA | Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 34 45.5% | 38 54.5% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | IND | Mahinmi Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 32 43.2% | 38 56.8% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 40.2% | 38 59.8% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 31 39.7% | 38 60.3% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | IND | West 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST) | 30 38.0% | 38 62.0% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Battier 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 30 40.8% | 36 59.2% |
| Q2 - 8:22 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 38.5% | 36 61.5% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 10' Jump Shot | 28 37.7% | 36 62.3% |
| Q2 - 8:47 | IND | Augustin Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 28 35.9% | 36 64.1% |
| Q2 - 8:47 | MIA | Young STEAL (1 STL) | 28 38.4% | 35 61.6% |
| Q2 - 9:01 | IND | Hansbrough 7' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST) | 28 41.5% | 35 58.5% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | MIA | Wade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 28 43.8% | 33 56.2% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 26 41.5% | 33 58.5% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 39.7% | 33 60.3% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | IND | Mahinmi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 26 41.5% | 33 58.5% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | MIA | Battier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 26 39.0% | 33 61.0% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | IND | Hansbrough 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 23 34.8% | 33 65.2% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | IND | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 36.7% | 31 63.3% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | Mahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 37.5% | 31 62.5% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | IND | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 23 39.4% | 31 60.6% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | IND | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 39.9% | 30 60.1% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | MIA | Mahinmi STEAL (1 STL) | 23 39.2% | 30 60.8% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | IND | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST) | 23 41.6% | 30 58.4% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 46.3% | 27 53.7% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 23 47.1% | 27 52.9% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 23 48.9% | 27 51.1% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 23 49.3% | 26 50.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 23 51.2% | 25 48.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 23 53.7% | 25 46.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 9' Running Jump Shot | 23 52.0% | 25 48.0% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 23 53.3% | 25 46.7% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 23 51.5% | 25 48.5% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 52.8% | 25 47.2% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 23 51.5% | 25 48.5% |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | IND | MISS Hansbrough 3' Jump Shot | 23 52.8% | 25 47.2% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 51.5% | 25 48.5% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | IND | MISS Mahinmi 21' Jump Shot | 23 52.8% | 25 47.2% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 51.5% | 25 48.5% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS James 11' Turnaround Hook Shot | 23 52.1% | 25 47.9% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 53.3% | 25 46.7% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | IND | MISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 53.1% | 25 46.9% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | IND | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 23 51.4% | 25 48.6% |
| Q1 - 1:16 | IND | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 54.1% | 24 45.9% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Allen 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 23 54.6% | 24 45.4% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 55.8% | 24 44.2% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | IND | MISS George Free Throw 1 of 1 | 23 55.6% | 24 44.4% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 58.7% | 22 41.3% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 23 59.2% | 22 40.8% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | IND | Hansbrough 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 23 60.7% | 22 39.3% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 23 63.0% | 20 37.0% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 62.5% | 20 37.5% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 62.8% | 20 37.2% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | IND | MISS George 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 62.2% | 20 37.8% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 22 60.8% | 20 39.2% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 21 60.3% | 20 39.7% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 20 58.4% | 20 41.6% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | MIA | MISS James 2' Layup | 20 57.0% | 20 43.0% |
| Q1 - 3:07 | IND | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 20 58.7% | 20 41.3% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | MIA | Andersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 20 56.4% | 20 43.6% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 17 52.0% | 20 48.0% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 17 49.6% | 20 50.4% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | IND | MISS Hill 22' Jump Shot | 17 51.2% | 20 48.8% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MIA | Haslem 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 17 49.6% | 20 50.4% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | IND | Hill 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 2 AST) | 15 47.7% | 20 52.3% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 49.8% | 18 50.2% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 15 50.1% | 18 49.9% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 51.5% | 18 48.5% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | IND | Stephenson 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 15 52.1% | 18 47.9% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 54.1% | 16 45.9% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot | 15 54.8% | 16 45.2% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | IND | George 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) | 15 56.3% | 16 43.7% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | MIA | George STEAL (1 STL) | 15 58.2% | 14 41.8% |
| Q1 - 6:16 | IND | George 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 2 AST) | 15 60.2% | 14 39.8% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 15 63.8% | 11 36.2% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 62.1% | 11 37.9% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | IND | MISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 61.5% | 11 38.5% |
| Q1 - 7:12 | MIA | James 3' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 13 59.9% | 11 40.1% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | IND | Hibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 11 58.4% | 11 41.6% |
| Q1 - 7:28 | MIA | James 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 11 56.1% | 11 43.9% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | IND | Stephenson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 8 52.6% | 11 47.4% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 54.2% | 9 45.8% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 8 54.9% | 9 45.1% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | IND | Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 8 56.7% | 9 43.3% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 8 60.2% | 6 39.8% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | IND | West 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS) | 6 58.5% | 6 41.5% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 60.2% | 4 39.8% |
| Q1 - 8:53 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 6 61.6% | 4 38.4% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | MIA | James 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 6 60.4% | 4 39.6% |
| Q1 - 9:44 | IND | West 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 4 58.8% | 4 41.2% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 4 60.4% | 2 39.6% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | IND | MISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot | 4 61.7% | 2 38.3% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 60.2% | 2 39.8% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 62.1% | 2 37.9% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 62.4% | 1 37.6% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | MIA | Wade 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 4 63.5% | 0 36.5% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 61.6% | 0 38.4% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | IND | MISS West 11' Jump Bank Shot | 2 61.2% | 0 38.8% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 2 60.2% | 0 39.8% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Running Jump Shot | 2 60.7% | 0 39.3% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | IND | Stephenson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 61.7% | 0 38.3% |
| Q1 - 11:47 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 60.2% | 0 39.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem | 0 58.5% | 0 41.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.0%
IND
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
IND
19
24
79%
Midrange
MIA
13
36
36%
IND
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
IND
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
IND
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 28 | 64% | 14.0 / 22 | |
| D. Wade | 17 | 45% | 8.5 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 13 | 50% | 6.5 / 13 | |
| S. Battier | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| C. Andersen | 9 | 113% | 4.5 / 4 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| U. Haslem | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| R. Allen | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. West | 30 | 83% | 15.0 / 18 | |
| P. George | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| L. Stephenson | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| G. Hill | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| T. Hansbrough | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| R. Hibbert | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| I. Mahinmi | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| D. Augustin | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| O. Johnson | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| S. Young | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+10
-11
84
IND
72
+14
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.06 53.0%
IND
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 112.1 104.7 | MIA 104.7 IND 121.4 +16.7 |
| Pace | 90.9 89.9 | MIA 88.8 +7.3 IND 81.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.0 16.3 | MIA 16.2 +1.4 IND 17.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 55.2% 47.9% | MIA 50.7% IND 60.7% +10.0% |
| TO % | 14.5% 16.1% | MIA 12.0% +5.4% IND 17.4% |
| ORB % | 22.2% 30.3% | MIA 18.8% IND 29.6% +10.8% |
| FTrt | 29.7 29.3 | MIA 34.3 IND 34.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.0% 57.8% | MIA 63.6% +9.8% IND 53.8% |
| STL % | 9.5% 7.9% | MIA 8.2% +2.2% IND 6.0% |
| BLK % | 9.1% 9.7% | MIA 11.3% +5.9% IND 5.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 57.0% 50.6% | MIA 53.0% IND 59.3% +6.3% |
| Rim FG% | 65.9% 55.7% | MIA 75.0% IND 79.2% +4.2% |
| Mid FG% | 41.9% 38.2% | MIA 36.1% IND 44.8% +8.7% |
| 3P % | 39.6% 34.7% | MIA 35.7% IND 41.2% +5.5% |
| FT % | 75.4% 74.6% | MIA 75.0% +4.2% IND 70.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.8% 35.7% | MIA 28.6% IND 34.3% +5.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 36.7% 39.8% | MIA 51.4% IND 41.4% +10.0% |
| 3P Att. % | 28.5% 24.5% | MIA 20.0% IND 24.3% +4.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
| Game Totals | MIA | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.0 | 24.7 |
| Points | 89 | 102 |
| Rebounds | 25 | 34 |
| Assists | 21 | 21 |
| Steals | 7 | 5 |
| Blocks | 6 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (0) | 12 (5) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (4) | 8 (6) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 19 (1) | 26 (3) |
| Field Goals | 33-70 | 39-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-20 | 19-24 |
| Midrange FG | 13-36 | 13-29 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-56 | 32-53 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-14 | 7-17 |
| Free Throws | 18-24 | 17-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.