FinalWin Prob.pScore
2233%94
92
1167%99
93
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
96.89588.7
ATL logo ATL
97.995102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL92
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)92
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0TORHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)92
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot92
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORRaptors Rebound92
36.2%
93
63.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)92
18.2%
93
81.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLHorford 1' Dunk (22 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)92
36.7%
93
63.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
52.5%
91
47.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORMISS Lucas III 20' Jump Shot92
60.4%
91
39.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
67.2%
91
32.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
70.7%
90
29.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLHAWKS Rebound92
78.4%
89
21.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Teague 3' Layup92
85.8%
89
14.2%
Q4 - 1:09TORAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)92
76.8%
89
23.2%
Q4 - 1:25ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)89
50.2%
89
49.8%
Q4 - 1:29ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
35.0%
89
65.0%
Q4 - 1:30TORMISS Lowry 20' Jump Shot89
39.5%
89
60.5%
Q4 - 1:52ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)89
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 2:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)89
70.5%
86
29.5%
Q4 - 2:08ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup89
78.6%
86
21.4%
Q4 - 2:30TORDeRozan 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)89
70.6%
86
29.4%
Q4 - 2:36ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)87
63.3%
86
36.7%
Q4 - 2:53TORLowry 7' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)87
46.3%
86
53.7%
Q4 - 3:15TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)85
38.6%
86
61.4%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 3:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
26.0%
86
74.0%
Q4 - 3:26TORMISS Lowry 1' Tip Shot85
29.6%
86
70.4%
Q4 - 3:26TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
38.8%
86
61.2%
Q4 - 3:27TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot85
29.6%
86
70.4%
Q4 - 3:43ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
36.8%
86
63.2%
Q4 - 3:43ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
38.1%
85
61.9%
Q4 - 3:58TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)85
44.9%
84
55.1%
Q4 - 4:09TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
36.7%
84
63.3%
Q4 - 4:11TORMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
30.1%
84
69.9%
Q4 - 4:35ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)83
36.7%
84
63.3%
Q4 - 4:54TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
54.8%
81
45.2%
Q4 - 4:54TORAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
53.5%
81
46.5%
Q4 - 5:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)81
46.1%
81
53.9%
Q4 - 5:02ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot81
41.5%
81
58.5%
Q4 - 5:20TORLowry 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)81
35.6%
81
64.4%
Q4 - 5:42ATLSmith 1' Running Slam Dunk (17 PTS)79
28.8%
81
71.2%
Q4 - 5:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
35.6%
79
64.4%
Q4 - 5:48TORSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)79
38.2%
79
61.8%
Q4 - 6:08ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P4.T15)79
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q4 - 6:10TORHarris STEAL (2 STL)79
35.2%
79
64.8%
Q4 - 6:25TORGray REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)79
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot79
40.6%
79
59.4%
Q4 - 6:43TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
35.2%
79
64.8%
Q4 - 6:43TORAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
34.3%
79
65.7%
Q4 - 6:57TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
29.2%
79
70.8%
Q4 - 6:58ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot77
27.2%
79
72.8%
Q4 - 7:22TORLucas III 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Fields 2 AST)77
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q4 - 7:28TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
15.3%
79
84.7%
Q4 - 7:29ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup74
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 7:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 7:36TORMISS Lucas III Driving Layup74
12.8%
79
87.2%
Q4 - 7:49TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
15.3%
79
84.7%
Q4 - 7:51ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot74
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)74
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q4 - 7:59TORMISS Anderson 8' Running Jump Shot74
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 8:17ATLHorford 1' Running Layup (18 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)74
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 8:24ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
20.1%
77
79.9%
Q4 - 8:25TORMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q4 - 8:41ATLHorford 8' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)74
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q4 - 8:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
29.6%
75
70.4%
Q4 - 9:00TORMISS Fields 4' Driving Jump Shot74
31.2%
75
68.8%
Q4 - 9:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q4 - 9:13TORMISS Fields 21' Jump Shot74
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q4 - 9:25TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q4 - 9:27ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q4 - 9:47TORLucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)74
29.9%
75
70.1%
Q4 - 9:51TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q4 - 9:53TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot71
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 9:56TORRaptors Rebound71
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q4 - 9:57TORStevenson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 10:07ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
21.2%
75
78.8%
Q4 - 10:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q4 - 10:18TORMISS DeRozan 11' Running Jump Shot71
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q4 - 10:43TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
21.2%
75
78.8%
Q4 - 10:45ATLMISS Johnson 4' Running Hook Shot71
20.1%
75
79.9%
Q4 - 11:05TORLucas III 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)71
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q4 - 11:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot69
14.5%
75
85.5%
Q4 - 11:37ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q4 - 11:38TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.5%
75
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL69
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)69
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)68
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)67
11.9%
75
88.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot66
11.8%
73
88.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)66
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0TORRoss Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)66
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLTeague 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)66
18.7%
71
81.3%
Q3 - 1:07TORLucas III 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)66
22.4%
69
77.6%
Q3 - 1:19TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot64
18.2%
69
81.8%
Q3 - 1:36ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 1:39TORMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q3 - 1:49TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical64
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 1:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 1:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot64
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q3 - 2:00TORMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot64
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q3 - 2:28ATLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)64
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 2:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
25.8%
66
74.2%
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS DeRozan 14' Fadeaway Jumper64
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 3:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 3:10ATLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 264
29.0%
66
71.0%
Q3 - 3:10ATLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 264
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 3:10ATLHAWKS Rebound64
25.8%
66
74.2%
Q3 - 3:11TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 3:29ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 3:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 3:37TORMISS Gray 7' Hook Shot64
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 4:01ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
41.4%
63
58.6%
Q3 - 4:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
44.9%
61
55.1%
Q3 - 4:12ATLMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
48.4%
61
51.6%
Q3 - 4:19TORKorver STEAL (2 STL)64
44.9%
61
55.1%
Q3 - 4:38ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)64
50.0%
61
50.0%
Q3 - 4:50ATLHAWKS Rebound64
45.0%
61
55.0%
Q3 - 4:51TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
46.5%
61
53.5%
Q3 - 5:10ATLStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)64
48.9%
61
51.1%
Q3 - 5:34TORDeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)64
44.2%
61
55.8%
Q3 - 5:45TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 5:46ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Hook Shot61
35.4%
61
64.6%
Q3 - 6:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
32.2%
61
67.8%
Q3 - 6:12TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 261
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 6:12TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 261
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 6:31ATLHorford 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)61
36.3%
61
63.7%
Q3 - 6:43ATLHAWKS Rebound61
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 6:43ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup61
42.7%
59
57.3%
Q3 - 6:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 6:47TORHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)61
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 7:07ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)61
43.0%
59
57.0%
Q3 - 7:29TORJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)61
50.4%
56
49.6%
Q3 - 7:34TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 7:36TORMISS Lowry 1' Running Layup59
44.0%
56
56.0%
Q3 - 7:41TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
45.6%
56
54.4%
Q3 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 7:50TORMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot59
44.0%
56
56.0%
Q3 - 7:53ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 7:55TORHarris STEAL (1 STL)59
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 8:12ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 8:12ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
47.5%
55
52.5%
Q3 - 8:23TORDeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
49.6%
54
50.4%
Q3 - 8:38ATLHorford 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)57
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q3 - 8:56TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
49.7%
52
50.3%
Q3 - 9:22ATLSmith 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)55
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q3 - 9:31TORAnderson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)55
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 9:39TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot55
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q3 - 9:48ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 9:51TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot55
50.1%
50
49.9%
Q3 - 10:15ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)55
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q3 - 10:26TORSmith STEAL (3 STL)55
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 10:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 10:39ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
61.0%
47
39.0%
Q3 - 10:50ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.5%
47
41.5%
Q3 - 10:53TORMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot55
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 11:13TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q3 - 11:15ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot55
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 11:29TORLowry Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)55
57.2%
47
42.8%
Q3 - 11:43ATLSmith 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)55
60.8%
47
39.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR55
63.9%
45
36.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHarris 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
67.1%
45
32.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
68.8%
43
31.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
68.4%
43
31.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)53
65.2%
43
34.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
71.7%
40
28.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup50
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
63.0%
40
37.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 1:16ATLSmith Inbound Turnover (P2.T10)48
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 1:18TORGray REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)48
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q2 - 1:18TORGray 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)48
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q2 - 1:20TORMISS Gray 1' Layup46
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 1:28TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q2 - 1:29ATLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 1:46TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
49.7%
40
50.3%
Q2 - 1:46TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
48.6%
40
51.4%
Q2 - 1:49ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)44
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 2:08TORDeRozan 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)44
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 2:26ATLTeague Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)42
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 2:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q2 - 2:36TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot42
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 2:55ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)42
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 3:17TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 3:37TORGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 3:38ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 239
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 3:38ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 239
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 3:50TORTeague STEAL (3 STL)39
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q2 - 3:52TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 3:54ATLMISS Korver 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 4:02TORAnderson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
35.2%
37
64.8%
Q2 - 4:20ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 4:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 4:26TORMISS Fields 9' Running Jump Shot37
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 4:42ATLHorford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)37
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 4:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 4:51TORSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)37
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 4:53TORGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
38.2%
35
61.8%
Q2 - 4:54TORMISS Anderson 9' Jump Shot37
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 5:07ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 5:23ATLHAWKS Rebound37
35.2%
35
64.8%
Q2 - 5:23TORMISS Lucas III 4' Driving Jump Shot37
36.0%
35
64.0%
Q2 - 5:34TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 5:36ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 5:49TORFields 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)37
35.2%
35
64.8%
Q2 - 6:09ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)35
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 6:20TORAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)35
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 6:30TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
40.3%
32
59.7%
Q2 - 6:31ATLMISS Jenkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
39.3%
32
60.7%
Q2 - 6:40TORFields Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 6:40TORMISS Fields Free Throw 1 of 234
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 6:44TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 6:46TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.5%
32
64.5%
Q2 - 7:12ATLHorford 10' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)34
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 7:35TORLucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Fields 1 AST)34
39.3%
30
60.7%
Q2 - 7:48TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 7:49ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot31
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 7:58ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 8:00TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 8:22ATLJenkins 5' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)31
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 8:39TORLucas III Foul Turnover (P2.T8)31
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 8:55ATLJohnson 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)31
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 9:03TORLucas III 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q2 - 9:12TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 9:25ATLJenkins Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)29
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 9:37TORLucas III 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q2 - 9:50TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36.2%
25
63.8%
Q2 - 9:51ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q2 - 9:58ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q2 - 10:00TORMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 10:15ATLStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 10:38TORLucas III 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q2 - 10:43TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q2 - 10:45TORMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q2 - 11:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q2 - 11:06ATLMISS Johnson 1' Putback Layup25
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q2 - 11:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q2 - 11:09ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup25
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q2 - 11:29TORAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q2 - 11:29TORAcy Putback Dunk (2 PTS)25
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q2 - 11:32TORMISS Ross 22' Jump Shot23
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 11:48ATLJenkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)23
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound23
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Ross 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 121
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORAcy Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)21
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 1:01ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)21
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 1:25TORJohnson Putback Layup (4 PTS)21
35.6%
18
64.4%
Q1 - 1:27TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:29TORMISS Lucas III 19' Jump Shot19
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 1:51ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:54TORSmith STEAL (2 STL)19
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 2:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 219
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 2:05TORTeague STEAL (2 STL)19
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 2:09TORAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
35.2%
17
64.8%
Q1 - 2:11ATLMISS Teague 7' Driving Jump Shot19
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 2:40TORDeRozan 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)19
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 2:45ATLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 3:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 3:02TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 117
29.2%
17
70.8%
Q1 - 3:04TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:06ATLMISS Jenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 3:16TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 3:16TORMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 214
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 3:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 3:26ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot14
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 3:38ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q1 - 3:39TORMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot14
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 3:57ATLKorver 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)14
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 4:25TORDeRozan 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)14
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 4:30ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 4:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 4:51TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 5:18ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)12
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 5:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 5:24TORMISS Lowry 23' Jump Shot12
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 5:42ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
30.4%
12
69.6%
Q1 - 5:49TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)12
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 5:58TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 6:01ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot12
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 6:16TORAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)12
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 6:30TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 6:31ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 6:40TORKorver STEAL (1 STL)9
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:43TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 6:44ATLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 7:03TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)9
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 7:21ATLHarris 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)9
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 7:30ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 7:32TORMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot9
31.9%
7
68.2%
Q1 - 7:47ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 8:06TORGray 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)9
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:23TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 8:24ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot7
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 8:42TORGray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 8:54ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 8:54ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 27
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:59TORHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)7
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 9:24ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)7
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 9:36TORGray 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)7
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 9:37TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 9:38TORMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot5
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:52TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 9:54ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot5
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:19TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)5
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:36ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:42ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:44TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 11:02TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 11:03ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:09TORTeague STEAL (1 STL)2
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:28ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 11:42TORGray 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)2
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Gray: Tip to Anderson0
29.0%
0
71.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.95 47.4%
ATL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
19
31
61%
ATL
17
29
59%
Midrange
TOR
5
32
16%
ATL
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
ATL
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
TOR
17
23
74%
ATL
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2364%11.5 / 18
J. Lucas III1959%9.5 / 16
A. Anderson1550%7.5 / 15
K. Lowry1458%7.0 / 12
A. Gray850%4.0 / 8
A. Johnson623%3.0 / 13
L. Fields325%1.5 / 6
T. Ross220%1.0 / 5
Q. Acy2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2265%11.0 / 17
J. Smith2053%10.0 / 19
K. Korver1785%8.5 / 10
J. Teague938%4.5 / 12
D. Harris857%4.0 / 7
D. Stevenson660%3.0 / 5
I. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
J. Jenkins550%2.5 / 5
J. Pargo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+18
-17
96
ATL
78
+5
-17
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.95 47.4%
ATL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
104.6
TOR 96.8
ATL 97.9 +1.1
Pace
90.7
92.9
TOR 88.7
ATL 102.3 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.4
TOR 16.2
ATL 14.1 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
51.7%
TOR 44.1%
ATL 54.7% +10.6%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
TOR 15.2% +1.8%
ATL 17.0%
ORB %
25.6%
22.2%
TOR 31.3% +23.8%
ATL 7.5%
FTrt
27.4
24.4
TOR 27.1 +3.1
ATL 24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
65.1%
TOR 48.5%
ATL 72.2% +23.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.7%
TOR 6.3%
ATL 10.5% +4.2%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
TOR 10.2%
ATL 12.7% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
53.2%
TOR 47.4%
ATL 55.4% +8.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
62.5%
TOR 61.3% +2.7%
ATL 58.6%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.3%
TOR 15.6%
ATL 45.0% +29.4%
3P %
34.3%
37.1%
TOR 40.9% +2.4%
ATL 38.5%
FT %
78.8%
71.5%
TOR 73.9% +12.8%
ATL 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
34.9%
TOR 36.5%
ATL 38.7% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
36.5%
TOR 37.6%
ATL 26.7% +11.0%
3P Att. %
24.9%
28.6%
TOR 25.9%
ATL 34.7% +8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points9293
Rebounds5236
Assists1626
Steals610
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (0)33 (3)
Field Goals33-8536-75
At-the-Rim FG19-3117-29
Midrange FG5-329-20
2-Point FG24-6326-49
3-Point FG9-2210-26
Free Throws17-2311-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
39.2
6
23%
14
0
0
4
2
4
5
9
0-3
0%
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 30
34.9
15
50%
4
3
1
0
4
3
0
4
7-8
88%
1-7
14%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
34.9
23
64%
4
2
2
0
2
1
1
3
5-6
83%
6-13
46%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 270 · 28
34.6
8
50%
11
1
0
1
1
3
4
7
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 27
30.0
14
58%
10
5
1
0
3
3
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
G · 5'11" 166 · 30
24.0
19
59%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
56%
3-7
43%
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22
20.9
2
20%
3
1
2
0
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
14.8
3
25%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 22
6.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
F · 6'8" 234 · 28
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
52
16
6
5
17
0
15
37
17-23
74%
24-63
38%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.