FinalWin Prob.pScore
840%95
101
560%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
107.49488.2
DEN logo DEN
109.79399.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN101
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound101
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2101
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
61.3%
101
38.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Gallinari 17' Jump Shot101
52.9%
101
47.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDWest 2' Layup (17 PTS)101
36.1%
101
63.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
22.7%
101
77.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot99
14.0%
101
86.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
25.3%
101
74.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
27.0%
100
73.0%
Q4 - 1:14DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
38.4%
99
61.6%
Q4 - 1:16INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
43.3%
99
56.7%
Q4 - 1:30INDPacers Rebound99
54.3%
99
45.7%
Q4 - 1:31DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
49.5%
99
50.5%
Q4 - 1:50DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
39.5%
99
60.5%
Q4 - 1:52INDMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 199
41.2%
99
58.8%
Q4 - 2:09INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
31.7%
99
68.3%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 297
29.9%
99
70.1%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 297
24.7%
99
75.3%
Q4 - 2:12INDLawson STEAL (5 STL)97
19.8%
99
80.2%
Q4 - 2:24INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)97
32.0%
99
68.0%
Q4 - 2:26DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 297
30.2%
99
69.8%
Q4 - 2:26DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 297
25.0%
99
75.0%
Q4 - 2:29DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
19.7%
99
80.3%
Q4 - 2:29INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot97
23.1%
99
76.9%
Q4 - 2:45INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
32.3%
99
67.7%
Q4 - 2:46DENMISS Lawson 20' Fadeaway Jumper97
28.0%
99
72.0%
Q4 - 3:08INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)97
21.2%
99
78.8%
Q4 - 3:14INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
7.3%
99
92.7%
Q4 - 3:14DENMISS Koufos 8' Jump Hook Shot93
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 3:35DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
6.7%
99
93.3%
Q4 - 3:35INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot93
7.6%
99
92.4%
Q4 - 3:57INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
9.4%
99
90.6%
Q4 - 3:57DENMISS Brewer 2' Layup93
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 4:01DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
6.4%
99
93.6%
Q4 - 4:01DENMISS Brewer 2' Layup93
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 4:26INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 4:26INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 4:29DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)91
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 4:54INDStephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)91
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 5:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 5:14DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 5:33INDHibbert 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)88
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 5:45DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Mozgov 2 AST)86
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 6:02INDWest 4' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 6:10INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 6:11DENMISS Lawson 13' Jump Shot84
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 6:28INDStephenson 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)84
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 6:44DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 6:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup82
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 6:59INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 7:00INDMISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot82
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 7:18DENGallinari 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)82
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 7:23INDBrewer STEAL (3 STL)82
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 7:34DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 7:34DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 7:49INDHansbrough 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 5 AST)82
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 7:59DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)80
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 8:13INDHibbert Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)80
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 8:19INDHill Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)80
6.4%
90
93.6%
Q4 - 8:34DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 8:34DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 279
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q4 - 8:39DENNUGGETS Rebound79
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 8:39DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup79
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 8:50DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 8:51INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot79
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 9:02INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 9:02INDMISS George 21' Jump Shot79
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:26DENBrewer 8' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)79
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 9:43INDGeorge 1' Driving Dunk (19 PTS)79
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q4 - 9:50DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)77
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q4 - 9:53DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 9:55INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 277
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 9:55INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 9:56INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 9:57INDMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 10:19DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)76
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q4 - 10:28DENJump Ball Brewer vs. George: Tip to76
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q4 - 10:47DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 10:47DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 11:02INDAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
15.8%
82
84.2%
Q4 - 11:02INDAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
15.4%
82
84.6%
Q4 - 11:02DENKoufos Foul Turnover (P1.T12)74
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q4 - 11:13DENNUGGETS Rebound74
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 11:14INDMISS Mahinmi 17' Jump Shot74
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q4 - 11:29DENMozgov Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)74
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 11:44DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 11:46INDMISS Mahinmi 18' Jump Shot74
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN74
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound74
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Iguodala 11' Jump Shot74
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Iguodala 8' Jump Shot74
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot74
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)74
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 274
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q3 - 1:01INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 1:02DENMISS Iguodala 3' Driving Layup73
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 1:18DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q3 - 1:19INDMISS West 16' Jump Shot73
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q3 - 1:50DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)73
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 2:03INDMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)73
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q3 - 2:13DENMozgov Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)73
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q3 - 2:29INDGeorge 19' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)73
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q3 - 2:56DENKoufos 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)71
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q3 - 3:10INDGeorge 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 3:33DENKoufos 2' Putback Layup (7 PTS)69
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 3:37DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Lawson 11' Fadeaway Jumper69
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q3 - 3:51DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 269
18.6%
75
81.4%
Q3 - 3:53INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q3 - 3:54INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q3 - 3:55INDMISS West 16' Turnaround Jump Shot68
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q3 - 4:14INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q3 - 4:15DENMISS Koufos 8' Jump Bank Hook Shot68
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q3 - 4:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 4:33INDMISS George 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper68
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 4:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q3 - 4:39INDMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot68
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 5:01DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)68
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q3 - 5:20INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T12)68
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 5:30DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
28.2%
72
71.8%
Q3 - 5:43INDStephenson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
34.9%
69
65.1%
Q3 - 5:52INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
31.7%
69
68.3%
Q3 - 5:52DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup66
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 6:09INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)66
28.1%
69
71.9%
Q3 - 6:31DENKoufos 4' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)63
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q3 - 6:55INDWest 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)63
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 7:18DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)61
22.7%
67
77.3%
Q3 - 7:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 7:23INDKoufos BLOCK (3 BLK)61
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q3 - 7:44DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)61
28.5%
65
71.5%
Q3 - 7:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
31.5%
63
68.5%
Q3 - 7:50INDKoufos BLOCK (2 BLK)61
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 8:19DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
35.2%
63
64.8%
Q3 - 8:26INDHill 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (George 4 AST)61
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 8:49INDPacers Rebound58
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 8:49DENMISS Iguodala 19' Jump Shot58
30.7%
61
69.3%
Q3 - 9:01INDLawson STEAL (4 STL)58
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 9:16DENIguodala 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 9:25DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot58
35.8%
59
64.2%
Q3 - 9:40INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Lawson 15' Running Jump Shot58
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 9:51INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 3 AST)58
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 10:11DENLawson 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q3 - 10:16DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q3 - 10:17DENMISS Gallinari 4' Jump Shot55
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 10:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q3 - 10:27INDMISS Hibbert 1' Putback Layup55
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 10:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 10:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 10:29INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot55
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 10:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 10:30INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot55
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 10:31INDMISS Stephenson 1' Layup55
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 10:49INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 10:51DENMISS Koufos 15' Jump Shot55
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 11:11INDWest 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)55
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q3 - 11:36DENGallinari 10' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)53
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND53
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot53
33.9%
55
66.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0INDStephenson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENLawson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)51
28.9%
55
71.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENMISS Iguodala 1' Layup51
28.3%
55
71.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot51
27.5%
55
72.5%
Q2 - 1:11INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
29.1%
55
70.9%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 251
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q2 - 1:12DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 1:24INDStephenson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)51
30.0%
54
70.0%
Q2 - 1:46DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
26.5%
54
73.5%
Q2 - 1:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q2 - 1:46DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)49
30.0%
52
70.0%
Q2 - 1:54INDStephenson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)49
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 2:11DENGallinari 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)47
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q2 - 2:17INDGallinari STEAL (1 STL)47
32.3%
49
67.7%
Q2 - 2:35DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)47
35.1%
49
64.9%
Q2 - 2:56DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
41.0%
46
59.0%
Q2 - 2:57INDMISS George 22' Jump Shot47
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 3:08INDPacers Rebound47
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q2 - 3:09DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 247
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 3:09DENKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
42.0%
46
58.0%
Q2 - 3:15DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 3:16INDMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot47
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 3:26INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 3:30DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup47
45.9%
45
54.1%
Q2 - 3:31DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 3:32DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup47
45.9%
45
54.1%
Q2 - 3:35DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 3:36INDMISS Hibbert 18' Jump Shot47
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 4:01DENGallinari 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)47
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 4:06INDLawson STEAL (3 STL)47
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 4:11INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q2 - 4:12DENMISS Gallinari 7' Fadeaway Jumper47
51.1%
43
48.9%
Q2 - 4:27INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 4:27INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 4:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 4:29INDMISS West 9' Jump Shot45
44.1%
43
55.9%
Q2 - 4:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 4:43DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 4:59INDHill Foul Turnover (P2.T8)45
43.2%
43
56.8%
Q2 - 5:16DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 5:16DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 5:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Stephenson 4' Jump Shot45
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:19INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 5:20INDMISS Stephenson 2' Reverse Layup45
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:29DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 5:31INDLawson STEAL (2 STL)45
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 5:45INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Hook Shot45
50.8%
41
49.2%
Q2 - 5:51INDBrewer STEAL (1 STL)45
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 5:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 5:56DENMISS Miller 10' Jump Shot45
50.8%
41
49.2%
Q2 - 6:06INDAugustin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (West 4 AST)45
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 6:13DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 6:28INDMahinmi 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (West 3 AST)43
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 6:43DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)41
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 6:58DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 7:00INDMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 7:12DENMozgov 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)41
53.4%
36
46.6%
Q2 - 7:23INDWest 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 7:38DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 7:56INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)39
58.3%
31
41.7%
Q2 - 8:11INDPacers Rebound36
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 8:12INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Reverse Layup36
50.8%
31
49.2%
Q2 - 8:28DENMozgov 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)36
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 8:37DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 8:39INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot36
55.9%
29
44.1%
Q2 - 8:57INDPacers Rebound36
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 8:58DENMISS Brewer 13' Jump Shot36
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q2 - 9:14DENNUGGETS Rebound36
54.3%
29
45.7%
Q2 - 9:15INDMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot36
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 9:38DENMozgov 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)36
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q2 - 9:57INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
59.3%
27
40.7%
Q2 - 9:57INDMahinmi 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)36
59.3%
27
40.7%
Q2 - 9:58INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
55.2%
27
44.8%
Q2 - 10:22INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
56.7%
27
43.3%
Q2 - 10:23DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot34
55.9%
27
44.1%
Q2 - 10:33DENNUGGETS Rebound34
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q2 - 10:34DENMISS Brewer 5' Running Jump Shot34
55.9%
27
44.1%
Q2 - 10:49INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q2 - 10:52DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)34
56.7%
27
43.3%
Q2 - 11:04INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)34
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 11:25DENBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)31
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q2 - 11:42INDGeorge 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)31
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 11:48DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)29
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
48.9%
24
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
48.9%
24
51.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
41.7%
24
58.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 226
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
44.0%
23
56.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)26
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot26
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMiller 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 1:25INDJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 2 AST)26
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 1:43DENIguodala 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 2:00DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
46.2%
19
53.8%
Q1 - 2:02INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot23
46.6%
19
53.4%
Q1 - 2:24DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
48.1%
19
51.9%
Q1 - 2:42INDHansbrough Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
45.9%
19
54.1%
Q1 - 2:57DENMozgov 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)23
48.1%
19
51.9%
Q1 - 3:17INDJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)23
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 3:33DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 3:33DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:34DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 3:35DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup21
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 3:37DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 3:38INDGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)21
50.8%
15
49.2%
Q1 - 3:51DENBrewer 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)21
52.5%
15
47.5%
Q1 - 3:57DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 3:58INDMISS George 11' Turnaround Jump Shot21
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 4:11INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 4:12DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 4:31INDWest 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)21
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)19
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Rebound19
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 4:42DENMISS Brewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 4:49DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Gallinari Driving Layup19
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 5:07INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 5:07INDStephenson 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)19
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 5:07INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 5:16INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 5:16DENMISS Koufos 3' Layup17
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 5:28INDWest 8' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)17
44.5%
13
55.5%
Q1 - 5:43INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 5:44DENMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot15
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 5:57INDStephenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)15
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 6:10INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 6:11DENMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 6:19DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 6:21INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
34.9%
13
65.1%
Q1 - 6:37DENLawson 2' Layup (5 PTS)12
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 6:43INDLawson STEAL (1 STL)12
38.1%
11
61.9%
Q1 - 6:55DENIguodala Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)12
40.1%
11
59.9%
Q1 - 7:12INDHibbert 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)12
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 7:34INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.0%
9
60.0%
Q1 - 7:35DENMISS Iguodala 19' Jump Shot10
39.3%
9
60.7%
Q1 - 7:50INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 7:58DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
40.0%
9
60.0%
Q1 - 8:16INDWest 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 8:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:28DENMISS Randolph 6' Running Hook Shot8
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 8:41INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 8:58DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 8:58DENKoufos 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)6
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 9:00DENMISS Randolph 8' Jump Hook Shot6
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 9:07DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 9:08INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 9:24INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
36.3%
7
63.7%
Q1 - 9:26INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 26
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 9:26INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 9:37DENIguodala Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)5
34.6%
7
65.4%
Q1 - 9:44DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 9:45INDMISS West 6' Jump Hook Shot5
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 10:09DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)5
37.9%
5
62.1%
Q1 - 10:26INDHill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)5
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:44INDPacers Rebound2
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Iguodala 20' Jump Shot2
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:03INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)2
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:17DENFaried 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)0
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 11:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:35INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Koufos vs. Hibbert: Tip to West0
37.5%
0
62.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.3%
DEN
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
25
48%
DEN
20
34
59%
Midrange
IND
16
37
43%
DEN
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
DEN
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
12
17
71%
DEN
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2368%11.5 / 17
L. Stephenson2071%10.0 / 14
D. West1753%8.5 / 16
G. Hill1250%6.0 / 12
R. Hibbert831%4.0 / 13
O. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
I. Mahinmi643%3.0 / 7
D. Augustin440%2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2775%13.5 / 18
T. Lawson1847%9.0 / 19
C. Brewer1662%8.0 / 13
A. Iguodala1341%6.5 / 16
T. Mozgov1063%5.0 / 8
K. Koufos950%4.5 / 9
A. Miller583%2.5 / 3
K. Faried4100%2.0 / 2
A. Randolph0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+17
-18
93
DEN
79
+14
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.09 54.3%
DEN
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
110.6
IND 107.4
DEN 109.7 +2.2
Pace
89.9
95.0
IND 88.2
DEN 99.6 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.6
IND 16.3
DEN 14.5 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
51.5%
IND 52.4% +0.5%
DEN 51.9%
TO %
16.1%
15.3%
IND 16.3%
DEN 14.1% +2.2%
ORB %
30.3%
31.4%
IND 33.3% +8.3%
DEN 25.0%
FTrt
29.3
30.8
IND 20.0
DEN 38.5 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.0%
IND 59.0%
DEN 62.2% +3.2%
STL %
7.9%
9.7%
IND 6.4%
DEN 10.8% +4.4%
BLK %
9.7%
10.4%
IND 7.8% +1.3%
DEN 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.5%
IND 54.3% +0.6%
DEN 53.7%
Rim FG%
55.7%
60.5%
IND 48.0%
DEN 58.8% +10.8%
Mid FG%
38.2%
35.7%
IND 43.2% +9.9%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
34.7%
34.3%
IND 47.8%
DEN 50.0% +2.2%
FT %
74.6%
70.1%
IND 70.6% +0.6%
DEN 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
50.1%
IND 29.4%
DEN 43.6% +14.2%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
28.2%
IND 43.5%
DEN 38.5% +5.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.7%
IND 27.1% +9.1%
DEN 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points101102
Rebounds4341
Assists2323
Steals610
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (5)32 (2)
Field Goals39-8537-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2520-34
Midrange FG16-3710-30
2-Point FG28-6230-64
3-Point FG11-237-14
Free Throws12-1721-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
44.0
23
68%
10
5
4
1
3
5
3
7
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
4-9
44%
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
39.4
12
50%
1
6
0
1
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
3-6
50%
G · 6'6" 230 · 22
37.6
20
71%
8
4
1
1
2
4
3
5
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
35.2
17
53%
5
4
0
0
2
4
1
4
1-2
50%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 26
32.6
8
31%
11
2
0
2
3
4
4
7
2-2
100%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 26
15.4
6
43%
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
2
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 27
12.8
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
5
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 25
12.7
4
40%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
10.3
8
80%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
C · 6'11" 249 · 24
#4 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
43
23
6
5
18
0
16
27
12-17
71%
28-62
45%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.