FinalWin Prob.pScore
1924%93
116
276%102
123
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
119.69787.2
MIA logo MIA
124.29990.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA116
0%
123
100%
OT1 - 0:16.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)116
0.1%
123
99.9%
OT1 - 0:17.0TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot116
0.1%
123
99.9%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)116
0.2%
123
99.8%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)116
0.2%
122
99.8%
OT1 - 0:30.0TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)116
0.6%
121
99.4%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)114
0.5%
121
99.5%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2114
0.5%
120
99.5%
OT1 - 0:45.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)114
0.5%
120
99.5%
OT1 - 0:45.0TORMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot114
0.7%
120
99.3%
OT1 - 0:59.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)114
1.7%
120
98.3%
OT1 - 1:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)114
6.9%
117
93.1%
OT1 - 1:20TORMISS Calderon 3' Driving Layup114
8.4%
117
91.6%
OT1 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)114
13.7%
117
86.3%
OT1 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)114
15.0%
116
85.0%
OT1 - 1:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)114
20.6%
115
79.4%
OT1 - 1:49TORMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
23.5%
115
76.5%
OT1 - 2:01MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (32 PTS)114
32.8%
115
67.2%
OT1 - 2:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)114
41.3%
113
58.7%
OT1 - 2:14TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
46.1%
113
53.9%
OT1 - 2:37TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
57.6%
113
42.4%
OT1 - 2:38TORMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot114
46.3%
113
53.7%
OT1 - 3:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
54.0%
113
46.0%
OT1 - 3:02MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
49.8%
113
50.2%
OT1 - 3:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)114
40.3%
113
59.7%
OT1 - 3:19TORMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
44.7%
113
55.3%
OT1 - 3:38MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 11 AST)114
48.4%
113
51.6%
OT1 - 4:00TORAnderson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)114
66.3%
110
33.7%
OT1 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)112
58.5%
110
41.5%
OT1 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 3112
60.4%
109
39.6%
OT1 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 3112
53.2%
109
46.8%
OT1 - 4:38TORAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)112
57.8%
109
42.2%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Johnson: Tip to Calderon109
39.5%
109
60.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)109
27.4%
109
72.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup109
35.4%
109
64.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)109
51.9%
109
48.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)109
28.6%
109
71.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2109
43.7%
109
56.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)109
32.7%
109
67.3%
Q4 - 1:07TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)109
43.5%
108
56.5%
Q4 - 1:07TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2108
41.2%
108
58.8%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)108
44.4%
108
55.6%
Q4 - 1:23TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (DeRozan 7 AST)108
69.6%
105
30.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)105
42.7%
105
57.3%
Q4 - 1:51TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)105
53.1%
103
46.9%
Q4 - 2:10TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
33.3%
103
66.7%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup102
29.2%
103
70.8%
Q4 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
20.9%
103
79.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot102
29.3%
103
70.7%
Q4 - 2:27TORAnderson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T9)102
20.9%
103
79.1%
Q4 - 2:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
34.0%
103
66.0%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot102
28.6%
103
71.4%
Q4 - 3:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)102
21.5%
103
78.5%
Q4 - 3:02TORMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot102
24.5%
103
75.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Johnson: Tip to DeRozan102
33.0%
103
67.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
21.4%
103
78.6%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
25.0%
103
75.0%
Q4 - 3:53MIAAllen 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 10 AST)102
30.7%
103
69.3%
Q4 - 4:08TORDeRozan 2' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)102
38.4%
101
61.6%
Q4 - 4:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
30.7%
101
69.3%
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS DeRozan 8' Jump Shot100
24.7%
101
75.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)100
30.7%
101
69.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2100
32.4%
100
67.6%
Q4 - 4:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)100
29.8%
100
70.2%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot100
36.4%
100
63.6%
Q4 - 5:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)100
29.3%
100
70.7%
Q4 - 5:04TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 299
28.3%
100
71.7%
Q4 - 5:19TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
30.0%
100
70.0%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot99
27.7%
100
72.3%
Q4 - 5:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
22.9%
100
77.1%
Q4 - 5:34TORMISS Lowry 14' Jump Shot99
24.9%
100
75.1%
Q4 - 5:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
30.0%
100
70.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
27.7%
100
72.3%
Q4 - 6:08TORDeRozan 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)99
22.9%
100
77.1%
Q4 - 6:20TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
18.4%
100
81.6%
Q4 - 6:22TORMISS Lucas III 15' Turnaround Jump Shot97
15.2%
100
84.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (29 PTS)97
18.4%
100
81.6%
Q4 - 6:51TORLucas III 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)97
22.9%
98
77.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)94
14.7%
98
85.3%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 294
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 7:09TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)94
14.4%
97
85.6%
Q4 - 7:19TORRaptors Rebound94
18.6%
97
81.4%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot94
17.2%
97
82.8%
Q4 - 7:48TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)94
14.4%
97
85.6%
Q4 - 8:04MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)92
12.3%
97
87.7%
Q4 - 8:20TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
18.9%
94
81.1%
Q4 - 8:20TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
18.3%
94
81.7%
Q4 - 8:40MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)90
15.3%
94
84.7%
Q4 - 8:44TORCole STEAL (1 STL)90
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 8:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)90
23.1%
92
76.9%
Q4 - 8:57MIAHEAT Rebound90
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot90
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 9:25MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
19.3%
92
80.7%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Ross 10' Jump Shot90
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 9:39MIAJames 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)90
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
27.3%
90
72.7%
Q4 - 10:09TORMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q4 - 10:12TORGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
32.1%
90
67.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
30.6%
90
69.4%
Q4 - 10:35TORAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)90
27.4%
90
72.6%
Q4 - 10:46MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
19.3%
90
80.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 11:03TORAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)87
23.3%
88
76.7%
Q4 - 11:10TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
16.5%
88
83.5%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 11:20MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
13.7%
88
86.3%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup84
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 11:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
13.7%
88
86.3%
Q4 - 11:29TORMISS Lowry 4' Driving Layup84
14.5%
88
85.5%
Q4 - 11:42TORLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
16.4%
88
83.6%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
13.7%
88
86.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
14.1%
88
85.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORMISS Ross 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
16.6%
88
83.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)81
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0TORMISS Lowry 9' Running Jump Shot81
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)81
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
19.7%
83
80.3%
Q3 - 1:17TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 281
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q3 - 1:17TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
21.9%
83
78.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 8 AST)80
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 1:47TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)80
26.6%
80
73.4%
Q3 - 2:13MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
19.4%
80
80.6%
Q3 - 2:29TORAnderson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAChalmers 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
19.5%
78
80.5%
Q3 - 3:12TORRoss 2' Dunk (10 PTS)75
22.1%
76
77.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 3:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
16.5%
76
83.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 273
18.9%
76
81.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q3 - 3:25TORChalmers STEAL (2 STL)73
19.2%
75
80.8%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade 1' Layup (22 PTS) (James 7 AST)73
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 3:50TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)73
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 4:02TORRaptors Rebound73
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 4:04TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)73
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)73
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
31.8%
71
68.2%
Q3 - 4:30TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
33.1%
71
66.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
36.3%
71
63.7%
Q3 - 4:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
36.9%
70
63.1%
Q3 - 4:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
39.7%
69
60.3%
Q3 - 5:00TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot73
41.2%
69
58.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHaslem Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)73
43.3%
69
56.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot73
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q3 - 5:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 5:37TORMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
40.1%
69
59.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q3 - 6:20TORDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)73
45.4%
67
54.6%
Q3 - 6:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
50.0%
67
50.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
50.6%
66
49.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
53.4%
65
46.6%
Q3 - 6:38TORMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot73
54.8%
65
45.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
58.0%
65
42.0%
Q3 - 7:08TORFields 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)73
59.3%
63
40.7%
Q3 - 7:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)71
55.9%
63
44.1%
Q3 - 7:29TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)71
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 7:34MIAJames 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)68
44.4%
63
55.6%
Q3 - 7:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 7:41TORHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)68
49.2%
61
50.8%
Q3 - 7:55MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 8:09TORDavis 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)68
58.0%
58
42.0%
Q3 - 8:23TORRaptors Rebound66
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
53.5%
58
46.5%
Q3 - 8:43TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)66
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 8:45TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
43.5%
58
56.5%
Q3 - 8:49TORMISS Ross 17' Jump Shot63
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
43.1%
57
56.9%
Q3 - 9:24TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)63
45.7%
56
54.3%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q3 - 9:52TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)61
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q3 - 10:07TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
40.8%
54
59.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 259
40.3%
54
59.7%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 259
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q3 - 10:22TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q3 - 10:22TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
36.3%
54
63.7%
Q3 - 10:22TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
34.2%
54
65.8%
Q3 - 10:23TORBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)57
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
34.3%
54
65.7%
Q3 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
37.3%
52
62.7%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot57
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
36.2%
52
63.8%
Q3 - 11:07TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot57
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)57
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q3 - 11:37TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)57
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup57
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 257
44.2%
50
55.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
41.8%
50
58.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot57
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORBattier STEAL (1 STL)57
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)57
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0TORCalderon 29' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)57
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q2 - 1:08MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Johnson: Tip to Chalmers54
51.3%
44
48.7%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
53.4%
44
46.6%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
54.1%
43
45.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Bosh 4' Layup54
59.0%
42
41.0%
Q2 - 1:46TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)54
57.7%
42
42.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
58.5%
42
41.5%
Q2 - 2:24TORAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)54
64.4%
39
35.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 2:53TORAnderson 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)50
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)48
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
53.7%
36
46.3%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot48
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 3:34TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)48
53.7%
36
46.3%
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames Driving Layup (14 PTS)46
51.2%
36
48.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 4:07TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAJames 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 4:32TORRoss Dunk (8 PTS) (Fields 4 AST)46
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 4:36TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot44
54.4%
32
45.6%
Q2 - 4:54TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)44
52.2%
32
47.8%
Q2 - 5:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
42.7%
32
57.3%
Q2 - 5:29TORMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot41
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 5:38TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
44.7%
32
55.3%
Q2 - 5:54TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)41
42.8%
32
57.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 6:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 6:24TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
37.2%
30
62.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIABattier Foul Turnover (P1.T6)37
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 6:51TORRoss 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)37
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
33.3%
30
66.7%
Q2 - 7:30TORRoss 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)35
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)33
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 8:20TORMISS Ross 20' Jump Shot33
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q2 - 8:34MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)33
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 8:45MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 8:53MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 233
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 233
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 9:03MIAHEAT Rebound33
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot33
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 9:09TORAnderson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 9:28TORDavis 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fields 3 AST)32
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIACole 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)30
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q2 - 10:05TORFields 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)30
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 10:07TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 10:08TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup28
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIACole 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 10:26TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 10:50TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot28
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q2 - 11:07TORMISS Ross 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q2 - 11:17TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot28
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 11:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q2 - 11:26TORMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot28
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q2 - 11:29TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q2 - 11:30TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR28
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound28
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot28
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORMISS Anderson 10' Running Jump Shot28
31.6%
22
68.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Cole 13' Jump Shot28
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0TORRoss 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 1:04TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot26
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 1:30TORJohnson 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)26
27.0%
22
73.0%
Q1 - 1:52MIAJames 12' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 2:09TORMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 2:56TORJohnson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Fields 2 AST)24
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)22
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 3:39TORDeRozan 1' Layup (4 PTS)22
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 4:10TORMISS Fields 1' Layup20
22.8%
18
77.2%
Q1 - 4:15TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot20
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 4:42TORJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)20
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 5:15TORFields 8' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 5:54TORDavis 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)16
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 6:08TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 6:24MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 6:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 6:32TORMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup14
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 6:57TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot14
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:16TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot14
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot14
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 7:29TORDeRozan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:45MIABosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)12
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 7:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot12
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 8:07TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 8:07TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 8:14TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:36TORDavis 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Fields 1 AST)10
18.6%
10
81.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 8:59TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot8
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 9:16TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 9:32TORFields Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 9:32TORMISS Fields Free Throw 1 of 27
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 10:11TORDavis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)7
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 10:43TORJohnson 10' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)5
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 10:55MIAChalmers 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot3
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 11:23TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)3
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:42MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Johnson: Tip to Haslem0
18.2%
0
81.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.20 59.8%
MIA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
26
65%
MIA
19
28
68%
Midrange
TOR
13
31
42%
MIA
17
32
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
TOR
14
18
78%
MIA
24
38
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Anderson2056%10.0 / 18
J. Calderon1794%8.5 / 9
T. Ross1650%8.0 / 16
A. Johnson1575%7.5 / 10
E. Davis1365%6.5 / 10
K. Lowry1354%6.5 / 12
D. DeRozan1250%6.0 / 12
L. Fields758%3.5 / 6
J. Lucas III375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3567%17.5 / 26
L. James3160%15.5 / 26
R. Allen1890%9.0 / 10
M. Chalmers1464%7.0 / 11
C. Bosh1246%6.0 / 13
N. Cole675%3.0 / 4
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
89
+8
-8
97
MIA
86
+19
-13
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.20 59.8%
MIA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
112.1
TOR 119.6
MIA 124.2 +4.7
Pace
90.7
90.9
TOR 87.2
MIA 90.3 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
TOR 16.5
MIA 15.9 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
55.2%
TOR 58.0%
MIA 60.4% +2.4%
TO %
14.4%
14.5%
TOR 8.6% +3.8%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
25.6%
22.2%
TOR 15.9%
MIA 43.2% +27.3%
FTrt
27.4
29.7
TOR 20.5
MIA 46.3 +25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
60.0%
TOR 59.1% +1.3%
MIA 57.8%
STL %
7.9%
9.5%
TOR 8.2% +3.1%
MIA 5.1%
BLK %
7.9%
9.1%
TOR 1.7%
MIA 5.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
57.0%
TOR 59.8% +1.2%
MIA 58.6%
Rim FG%
59.3%
65.9%
TOR 65.4%
MIA 67.9% +2.5%
Mid FG%
39.2%
41.9%
TOR 41.9%
MIA 53.1% +11.2%
3P %
34.3%
39.6%
TOR 45.2% +4.3%
MIA 40.9%
FT %
78.8%
75.4%
TOR 77.8% +14.6%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
34.8%
TOR 29.5%
MIA 34.1% +4.6%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
36.7%
TOR 35.2% +3.8%
MIA 39.0%
3P Att. %
24.9%
28.5%
TOR 35.2% +8.4%
MIA 26.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes26.726.3
Points116123
Rebounds2853
Assists2626
Steals85
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)37 (0)
Field Goals44-8845-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2619-28
Midrange FG13-3117-32
2-Point FG30-5736-60
3-Point FG14-319-22
Free Throws14-1824-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
34.9
7
58%
5
4
1
0
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 240 · 26
32.0
15
75%
6
2
1
1
2
6
2
4
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
31.6
12
50%
2
7
1
0
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
30.8
17
94%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-6
83%
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
24.3
13
65%
5
2
0
0
1
4
2
3
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30
35.8
20
56%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
4-12
33%
G · 6'0" 196 · 27
28.0
13
54%
4
1
1
0
2
5
1
3
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22
25.6
16
50%
2
2
2
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
G · 5'11" 166 · 30
10.8
3
75%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 270 · 28
7.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 22
4.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 28
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
#7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
116
60%
28
26
8
1
8
0
7
21
14-18
78%
30-57
53%
14-31
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.