FinalWin Prob.pScore
2241%92
96
1859%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
103.29384.3
ATL logo ATL
111.893103.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL96
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINSmith STEAL (2 STL)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MINMISS Cunningham 20' Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)96
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0MINKirilenko Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)96
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 1:09MINTimberwolves Rebound96
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 1:10MINMISS Rubio 21' Jump Shot96
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 1:19ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
3.8%
102
96.2%
Q4 - 1:19ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 296
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 1:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
3.6%
101
96.4%
Q4 - 1:20MINMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot96
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 1:30ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T22)96
7.5%
101
92.5%
Q4 - 1:47MINCunningham 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Rubio 6 AST)96
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 1:56ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T21)94
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 2:02MINRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 2:02MINMISS Ridnour Free Throw 1 of 293
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 2:06ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)93
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 2:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:24MINMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 2:31ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)93
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 2:36MINPargo STEAL (1 STL)93
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHorford 1' Dunk (25 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)93
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 3:07ATLTeague Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 3:07ATLTeague Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
4.8%
98
95.2%
Q4 - 3:10MINSmith STEAL (1 STL)93
10.2%
97
89.8%
Q4 - 3:27ATLPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)93
16.8%
97
83.2%
Q4 - 3:43MINKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)93
32.5%
94
67.5%
Q4 - 3:49MINRubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot89
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 4:02ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
9.4%
94
90.6%
Q4 - 4:04MINMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 4:32ATLSmith 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 10 AST)89
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 4:36MINHorford STEAL (2 STL)89
17.9%
92
82.1%
Q4 - 4:37MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
25.0%
92
75.0%
Q4 - 4:43ATLMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
22.6%
92
77.4%
Q4 - 5:02ATLHAWKS Rebound89
20.4%
92
79.6%
Q4 - 5:02MINSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)89
22.3%
92
77.7%
Q4 - 5:26ATLPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)89
26.9%
92
73.1%
Q4 - 5:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
41.3%
89
58.7%
Q4 - 5:35MINMISS Barea 11' Fadeaway Jumper89
44.0%
89
56.0%
Q4 - 5:55ATLHorford 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)89
50.5%
89
49.5%
Q4 - 6:05MINBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)89
56.2%
87
43.8%
Q4 - 6:17ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)89
64.2%
87
35.8%
Q4 - 6:26MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)89
56.3%
87
43.7%
Q4 - 6:26MINTimberwolves Rebound89
64.2%
87
35.8%
Q4 - 6:26MINMISS Barea 21' Jump Shot89
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 7:05ATLPargo 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
62.4%
87
37.6%
Q4 - 7:24MINBarea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
68.3%
85
31.7%
Q4 - 7:41ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)86
55.9%
85
44.1%
Q4 - 7:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
68.3%
82
31.7%
Q4 - 7:55MINMISS Stiemsma Free Throw 2 of 286
69.2%
82
30.8%
Q4 - 7:55MINStiemsma Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
72.7%
82
27.3%
Q4 - 8:15ATLJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)85
66.7%
82
33.3%
Q4 - 8:26MINCunningham 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 7 AST)85
72.2%
80
27.8%
Q4 - 8:42ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)83
66.8%
80
33.2%
Q4 - 9:04MINBarea 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)83
70.4%
78
29.6%
Q4 - 9:08ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)81
65.1%
78
34.9%
Q4 - 9:12MINJohnson STEAL (1 STL)81
59.6%
78
40.4%
Q4 - 9:22ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
65.1%
78
34.9%
Q4 - 9:22ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
66.7%
77
33.3%
Q4 - 9:39MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
70.5%
76
29.5%
Q4 - 10:10ATLPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)81
73.4%
76
26.6%
Q4 - 10:26MINCunningham 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barea 6 AST)81
81.3%
73
18.7%
Q4 - 10:42MINCunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
77.7%
73
22.3%
Q4 - 10:43ATLMISS Jenkins 3' Running Layup79
76.5%
73
23.5%
Q4 - 10:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
73.6%
73
26.4%
Q4 - 10:56MINMISS Cunningham 6' Driving Jump Shot79
74.9%
73
25.1%
Q4 - 11:18ATLTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)79
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 11:37MINWilliams 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)79
83.1%
70
16.9%
Q4 - 11:39MINWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
79.8%
70
20.2%
Q4 - 11:40MINMISS Cunningham 16' Jump Shot77
77.4%
70
22.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN77
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINGelabale REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot77
77.3%
70
22.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
74.9%
70
25.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MINMISS Stiemsma Free Throw 2 of 277
75.4%
70
24.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0MINMISS Stiemsma Free Throw 1 of 277
77.7%
70
22.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
78.4%
70
21.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Korver Free Throw 1 of 277
78.9%
69
21.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MINBarea Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
78.6%
69
21.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MINCunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot75
73.7%
69
26.3%
Q3 - 1:07MINRidnour 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
69.5%
69
30.5%
Q3 - 1:18MINCunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
65.2%
69
34.8%
Q3 - 1:20MINMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot73
62.1%
69
37.9%
Q3 - 1:27ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)73
65.2%
69
34.8%
Q3 - 1:39MINBarea 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)73
60.7%
69
39.3%
Q3 - 1:43ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)71
55.9%
69
44.1%
Q3 - 2:05MINCunningham 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)71
50.0%
69
50.0%
Q3 - 2:31MINTimberwolves Rebound69
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 2:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 269
44.9%
69
55.1%
Q3 - 2:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 269
42.5%
69
57.5%
Q3 - 2:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 2:36MINMISS Kirilenko 1' Tip Shot69
42.3%
69
57.7%
Q3 - 2:36MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 2:38MINMISS Ridnour 8' Jump Shot69
42.3%
69
57.7%
Q3 - 2:54MINBarea REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 2:55MINMISS Ridnour 21' Jump Shot69
42.3%
69
57.7%
Q3 - 3:18ATLScott 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)69
45.3%
69
54.7%
Q3 - 3:34MINWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)69
49.5%
67
50.5%
Q3 - 3:51MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
54.2%
67
45.8%
Q3 - 3:53ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 2 of 269
53.6%
67
46.4%
Q3 - 3:53ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 269
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 4:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 4:06MINMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot69
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q3 - 4:14MINWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
53.9%
67
46.1%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
52.4%
67
47.6%
Q3 - 4:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
48.9%
67
51.1%
Q3 - 4:23MINMISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q3 - 4:40ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)69
53.9%
67
46.1%
Q3 - 4:40ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 269
55.0%
66
45.0%
Q3 - 4:51MINBarea Foul Turnover (P1.T10)69
53.2%
66
46.8%
Q3 - 5:02ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T14)69
57.2%
66
42.8%
Q3 - 5:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
52.5%
66
47.5%
Q3 - 5:07MINHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)69
53.9%
66
46.1%
Q3 - 5:34ATLSmith 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)69
57.3%
66
42.7%
Q3 - 5:39MINKorver STEAL (2 STL)69
60.7%
64
39.3%
Q3 - 5:59ATLKorver 3' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)69
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q3 - 6:20MINWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 6:20MINWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
66.5%
62
33.5%
Q3 - 6:35ATLHorford 5' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
64.2%
62
35.8%
Q3 - 6:57MINRidnour 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)67
67.3%
60
32.7%
Q3 - 7:23ATLScott 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)65
62.9%
60
37.1%
Q3 - 7:32ATLHAWKS Rebound65
66.2%
58
33.8%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMISS Scott 1' Dunk65
68.7%
58
31.3%
Q3 - 7:43ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
66.2%
58
33.8%
Q3 - 7:44MINMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.3%
58
32.7%
Q3 - 7:56MINStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
69.9%
58
30.1%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Smith 10' Driving Hook Shot65
68.8%
58
31.2%
Q3 - 8:10MINKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 8:10MINKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 8:12ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)63
62.3%
58
37.7%
Q3 - 8:28MINRubio Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
58.3%
58
41.7%
Q3 - 8:28MINMISS Rubio Free Throw 1 of 262
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q3 - 8:50ATLKorver 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)62
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 9:04MINKirilenko Driving Layup (7 PTS)62
61.2%
56
38.8%
Q3 - 9:21ATLHorford 1' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS)60
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 9:44MINStiemsma Layup (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)60
61.3%
54
38.7%
Q3 - 10:07ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)58
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 10:22MINScott STEAL (2 STL)58
63.8%
51
36.2%
Q3 - 10:42ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)58
67.3%
51
32.7%
Q3 - 10:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q3 - 10:52MINMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
73.9%
48
26.1%
Q3 - 11:12ATLHorford 9' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)58
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q3 - 11:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
77.2%
46
22.8%
Q3 - 11:23MINMISS Stiemsma 19' Jump Shot58
78.0%
46
22.0%
Q3 - 11:37ATLSmith 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)58
79.7%
46
20.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN58
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)58
83.8%
44
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINWilliams Running Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)58
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLTolliver Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)56
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MINScott STEAL (1 STL)56
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
78.2%
44
21.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot56
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 1:00MINRubio 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)56
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 1:09MINTimberwolves Rebound54
72.4%
44
27.6%
Q2 - 1:09MINSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)54
71.3%
44
28.7%
Q2 - 1:22MINStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q2 - 1:25ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot54
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 1:47MINKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)54
70.8%
44
29.2%
Q2 - 2:05ATLHorford 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)54
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q2 - 2:23ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
74.3%
42
25.7%
Q2 - 2:24MINMISS Rubio 21' Jump Shot54
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q2 - 2:43ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)54
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 2:47MINKorver STEAL (1 STL)54
78.8%
40
21.2%
Q2 - 3:08MINRidnour REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 3:11MINMISS Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot54
78.4%
40
21.6%
Q2 - 3:28ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 3:28ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
80.3%
39
19.7%
Q2 - 3:30MINHorford STEAL (1 STL)54
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 3:46ATLTeague 5' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
83.6%
38
16.4%
Q2 - 3:56MINWilliams 1' Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)54
85.0%
36
15.0%
Q2 - 4:11ATLHorford 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)52
82.4%
36
17.6%
Q2 - 4:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
83.9%
34
16.1%
Q2 - 4:20MINMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot52
84.5%
34
15.5%
Q2 - 4:29MINRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
85.6%
34
14.4%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot52
85.1%
34
14.9%
Q2 - 4:49MINKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)52
84.0%
34
16.0%
Q2 - 5:13ATLHorford 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)49
79.9%
34
20.1%
Q2 - 5:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
81.7%
32
18.3%
Q2 - 5:15ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot49
82.9%
32
17.1%
Q2 - 5:40MINCunningham 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)49
81.7%
32
18.3%
Q2 - 5:53ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
80.0%
32
20.0%
Q2 - 5:53ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 247
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 6:05MINJohnson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)47
78.8%
31
21.2%
Q2 - 6:14MINGelabale REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
77.4%
31
22.6%
Q2 - 6:15ATLMISS Scott 21' Jump Shot45
76.6%
31
23.4%
Q2 - 6:17ATLHAWKS Rebound45
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Scott 1' Layup45
76.6%
31
23.4%
Q2 - 6:37MINGelabale 2' Running Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)45
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 6:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 6:57ATLHAWKS Rebound43
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 6:57ATLMISS Jenkins 7' Driving Jump Shot43
78.6%
28
21.4%
Q2 - 7:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 7:04MINMISS Cunningham 17' Jump Shot43
76.6%
28
23.4%
Q2 - 7:21MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
78.1%
28
21.9%
Q2 - 7:23ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot43
77.5%
28
22.5%
Q2 - 7:27ATLScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot43
77.5%
28
22.5%
Q2 - 7:49MINGelabale 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)43
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 7:55MINCunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
72.2%
28
27.8%
Q2 - 7:57ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup40
71.5%
28
28.5%
Q2 - 8:05MINCunningham 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)40
68.8%
28
31.2%
Q2 - 8:18ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
66.7%
28
33.3%
Q2 - 8:18ATLScott 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)38
66.7%
28
33.3%
Q2 - 8:20ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
70.4%
26
29.6%
Q2 - 8:38MINGelabale 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Amundson 1 AST)38
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q2 - 9:02ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)36
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 9:14MINJohnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cunningham 2 AST)36
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q2 - 9:33ATLScott 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)34
68.0%
23
32.0%
Q2 - 9:45MINAmundson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q2 - 9:58ATLScott Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)34
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q2 - 10:02ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
69.4%
21
30.6%
Q2 - 10:04MINMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q2 - 10:10MINBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
71.8%
21
28.2%
Q2 - 10:12ATLMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot34
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q2 - 10:19ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
69.4%
21
30.6%
Q2 - 10:20MINMISS Amundson 1' Layup34
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q2 - 10:35ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
71.8%
21
28.2%
Q2 - 10:35ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 234
72.3%
20
27.7%
Q2 - 10:46ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
71.5%
20
28.5%
Q2 - 10:48ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
73.1%
20
26.9%
Q2 - 11:05ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 11:07MINMISS Amundson 4' Jump Shot34
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q2 - 11:21ATLTolliver Foul Turnover (P1.T9)34
73.1%
20
26.9%
Q2 - 11:32MINBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 11:47ATLPargo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)31
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL31
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0MINBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MINMISS Stiemsma 19' Jump Shot31
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLScott Layup (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)31
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
72.6%
16
27.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0MINMISS Cunningham Free Throw 2 of 231
72.8%
16
27.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0MINCunningham Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
73.9%
16
26.1%
Q1 - 1:06MINStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
71.4%
16
28.6%
Q1 - 1:07ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
71.0%
16
29.0%
Q1 - 1:23MINRidnour 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Cunningham 1 AST)30
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 1:41MINTimberwolves Rebound28
67.5%
16
32.5%
Q1 - 1:43ATLMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot28
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 2:00MINBarea 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 2:18ATLHorford 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)26
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 2:28MINWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)26
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 2:44ATLTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)23
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 3:04MINKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 3:04MINKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 3:11MINStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Pargo 1' Reverse Layup21
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 3:27MINStiemsma Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
60.8%
11
39.2%
Q1 - 3:27MINStiemsma Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
60.3%
11
39.7%
Q1 - 3:32ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)19
58.8%
11
41.2%
Q1 - 3:45MINStiemsma 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)19
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 4:04ATLTeague Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)17
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 4:16MINRubio Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 4:16MINRubio Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 4:22MINWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 4:24MINHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)15
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 4:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 4:36ATLJohnson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)15
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 4:37ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot15
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 4:45ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot15
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 5:06MINRidnour 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Rubio 4 AST)15
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 5:08MINRubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 5:11ATLMISS Horford Driving Dunk13
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 5:30MINRidnour 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rubio 3 AST)13
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 5:34ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)11
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 5:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 5:39MINMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot11
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 5:56ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)11
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 6:09ATLHAWKS Rebound11
45.7%
7
54.3%
Q1 - 6:10MINMISS Stiemsma 17' Jump Shot11
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 6:19MINStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 6:20MINMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot11
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 6:24MINRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 6:26MINMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 6:43ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T5)11
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 6:54MINRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
45.8%
7
54.2%
Q1 - 6:54MINMISS Ridnour Free Throw 1 of 210
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 7:02ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 7:24MINWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stiemsma 1 AST)10
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 7:40ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)8
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 7:47ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 7:56MINMISS Kirilenko Running Layup8
40.3%
7
59.7%
Q1 - 8:12ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)8
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 8:21MINWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
43.4%
5
56.6%
Q1 - 8:36ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)6
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 8:53MINWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rubio 2 AST)6
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 9:07MINKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 9:08ATLMISS Horford 15' Turnaround Hook Shot4
37.5%
5
62.5%
Q1 - 9:21MINStiemsma Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 9:21MINStiemsma Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:40ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 9:50MINStiemsma 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rubio 1 AST)2
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 10:05ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:15MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:15MINTimberwolves Rebound0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:15MINHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:39MINWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:40ATLMISS Jenkins 19' Jump Shot0
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 10:48MINTeague STEAL (1 STL)0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:15ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 11:38ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:39MINMISS Kirilenko 15' Turnaround Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Pachulia vs. Stiemsma: Tip to Williams0
39.3%
0
60.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.05 52.7%
ATL
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
16
24
67%
ATL
23
31
74%
Midrange
MIN
15
36
42%
ATL
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ATL
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
Free Throws
MIN
19
26
73%
ATL
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams1757%8.5 / 15
J. Barea1464%7.0 / 11
A. Kirilenko1365%6.5 / 10
D. Cunningham1359%6.5 / 11
L. Ridnour1240%6.0 / 15
G. Stiemsma1150%5.5 / 11
M. Gelabale7117%3.5 / 3
R. Rubio542%2.5 / 6
C. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
L. Amundson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2861%14.0 / 23
J. Pargo1673%8.0 / 11
K. Korver1478%7.0 / 9
M. Scott1155%5.5 / 10
J. Smith1056%5.0 / 9
J. Teague956%4.5 / 8
I. Johnson8100%4.0 / 4
A. Tolliver6150%3.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jenkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
76
+14
-17
90
ATL
71
+10
-22
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.05 52.7%
ATL
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
104.6
MIN 103.2
ATL 111.8 +8.6
Pace
92.9
92.9
MIN 84.3
ATL 103.7 +19.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.4
MIN 17.1
ATL 13.9 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
51.7%
MIN 52.0%
ATL 64.8% +12.8%
TO %
15.2%
15.2%
MIN 19.0% +2.5%
ATL 21.5%
ORB %
27.3%
22.2%
MIN 28.6% +2.7%
ATL 25.9%
FTrt
30.5
24.4
MIN 35.1 +5.5
ATL 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
65.1%
MIN 66.7%
ATL 78.0% +11.3%
STL %
9.1%
8.7%
MIN 12.9% +1.1%
ATL 11.8%
BLK %
7.6%
7.1%
MIN 10.9% +2.6%
ATL 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
53.2%
MIN 52.7%
ATL 63.4% +10.7%
Rim FG%
56.8%
62.5%
MIN 66.7%
ATL 74.2% +7.5%
Mid FG%
38.5%
38.3%
MIN 41.7% +8.4%
ATL 33.3%
3P %
30.5%
37.1%
MIN 35.7%
ATL 62.5% +26.8%
FT %
74.2%
71.5%
MIN 73.1% +16.0%
ATL 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
34.9%
MIN 32.4%
ATL 43.7% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
36.5%
MIN 48.6%
ATL 33.8% +14.8%
3P Att. %
22.0%
28.6%
MIN 18.9%
ATL 22.5% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMINATL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points96104
Rebounds3032
Assists2432
Steals1211
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)17 (3)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals36-7441-71
At-the-Rim FG16-2423-31
Midrange FG15-368-24
2-Point FG31-6031-55
3-Point FG5-1410-16
Free Throws19-2612-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
37.3
17
57%
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
35.5
13
65%
6
5
2
0
6
1
2
4
6-6
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
34.3
12
40%
3
2
3
0
3
4
2
1
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 27
28.3
11
50%
5
1
0
2
0
2
1
4
5-8
63%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
25.1
5
42%
2
6
2
0
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 26
25.6
13
59%
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
22.9
14
64%
3
7
2
0
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 215 · 30
16.3
7
117%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 210 · 28
9.7
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 307 · 27
G · 6'6" 187 · 24
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 24
#10 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
30
24
12
6
17
0
10
20
19-26
73%
31-60
52%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.