FinalWin Prob.pScore
248%101
99
952%102
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.59392.4
LAL logo LAL
96.89393.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL99
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (39 PTS)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0LALMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot96
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJames 6' Pullup Bank Shot (36 PTS)96
97.9%
90
2.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
94.8%
90
5.2%
Q4 - 1:10LALMISS Nash 4' Finger Roll Layup94
93.3%
90
6.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAAllen 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST)94
87.4%
90
12.6%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
78.5%
90
21.5%
Q4 - 1:51LALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 292
77.3%
90
22.7%
Q4 - 1:51LALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 292
73.0%
90
27.0%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade 13' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) (James 7 AST)92
68.2%
90
31.8%
Q4 - 2:33LALBryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)90
60.7%
90
39.3%
Q4 - 2:50LALLAKERS Rebound90
77.8%
87
22.2%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
81.1%
87
18.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
84.5%
87
15.5%
Q4 - 3:00LALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 290
83.5%
87
16.5%
Q4 - 3:00LALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
80.5%
87
19.5%
Q4 - 3:15MIAAllen 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)90
83.3%
86
16.7%
Q4 - 3:48LALNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)88
73.5%
86
26.5%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (34 PTS)88
85.4%
83
14.6%
Q4 - 4:41LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)86
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 4:55MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
73.2%
83
26.8%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
55.3%
83
44.7%
Q4 - 5:04LALMISS Bryant 20' Running Jump Shot83
52.5%
83
47.5%
Q4 - 5:27LALLAKERS Rebound83
46.2%
83
53.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Battier 29' 3PT Jump Shot83
49.0%
83
51.0%
Q4 - 5:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
55.4%
83
44.6%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot83
49.0%
83
51.0%
Q4 - 5:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
55.4%
83
44.6%
Q4 - 5:59LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot83
52.6%
83
47.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)83
46.5%
83
53.5%
Q4 - 6:33LALBryant 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)81
39.8%
83
60.2%
Q4 - 6:43LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
46.5%
81
53.5%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
49.1%
81
50.9%
Q4 - 7:05LALBryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)81
54.6%
81
45.4%
Q4 - 7:22MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)81
67.2%
78
32.8%
Q4 - 7:46LALGasol 3' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)78
54.6%
78
45.4%
Q4 - 8:00LALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
60.8%
76
39.2%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Battier 2' Reverse Layup78
62.2%
76
37.8%
Q4 - 8:17LALWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
66.3%
76
33.7%
Q4 - 8:17LALWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)78
67.7%
75
32.3%
Q4 - 8:29LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
71.8%
74
28.2%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
73.4%
74
26.6%
Q4 - 8:49LALBryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)78
76.7%
74
23.3%
Q4 - 8:51LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
84.7%
71
15.3%
Q4 - 8:52LALMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot78
86.8%
71
13.2%
Q4 - 9:02LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
82.9%
71
17.1%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot78
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q4 - 9:27LALBryant 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)78
86.1%
71
13.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)78
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 277
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
87.4%
69
12.6%
Q4 - 10:14LALMISS Bryant 3' Layup77
86.7%
69
13.3%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWade 4' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)77
84.8%
69
15.2%
Q4 - 10:45LALWorld Peace 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)75
81.7%
69
18.3%
Q4 - 11:07MIACole 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)75
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q4 - 11:21LALHoward 3' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)73
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q4 - 11:22LALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)73
83.5%
65
16.5%
Q4 - 11:24LALMISS Duhon 4' Jump Shot73
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 11:41LALLAKERS Rebound73
83.5%
65
16.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound73
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 49' 3PT Jump Shot73
83.3%
65
16.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
85.0%
65
15.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0LALMISS Bryant 13' Fadeaway Jumper73
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJames 2' Driving Reverse Layup (29 PTS)73
82.5%
65
17.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0LALGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)71
79.2%
65
20.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)71
75.8%
65
24.2%
Q3 - 1:14LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
66.5%
65
33.5%
Q3 - 1:14LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
67.4%
64
32.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
70.8%
63
29.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
70.4%
63
29.6%
Q3 - 1:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 1:44LALMISS Bryant 12' Jump Shot66
65.2%
63
34.8%
Q3 - 2:01LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
61.1%
63
38.9%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 266
61.7%
63
38.3%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 266
64.3%
63
35.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
65.5%
63
34.5%
Q3 - 2:16LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIACole 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)66
61.1%
63
38.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 2:47LALMISS Jamison 5' Hook Shot64
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJames Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)64
51.9%
63
48.1%
Q3 - 3:27LALJamison 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)64
56.5%
63
43.5%
Q3 - 3:49MIAJames 2' Running Layup (24 PTS)64
60.6%
61
39.4%
Q3 - 4:03LALJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)62
56.4%
61
43.6%
Q3 - 4:03LALJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
63.9%
58
36.1%
Q3 - 4:04LALMISS Clark 2' Layup62
67.1%
58
32.9%
Q3 - 4:08LALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)62
64.0%
58
36.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot62
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHeat Rebound62
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 4:43LALMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 4:50LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
64.0%
58
36.0%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup62
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 5:10LALBryant Foul Turnover (P6.T18)62
67.6%
58
32.4%
Q3 - 5:23LALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)62
63.3%
58
36.7%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot62
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 5:49LALJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)62
67.7%
58
32.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)62
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 6:10LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot59
65.8%
55
34.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
62.9%
55
37.1%
Q3 - 6:53LALClark 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)57
59.6%
55
40.4%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHaslem 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)57
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
62.4%
52
37.6%
Q3 - 7:18LALMISS Bryant 4' Jump Shot55
61.3%
52
38.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q3 - 7:45MIAHeat Rebound53
55.0%
52
45.0%
Q3 - 7:45LALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot53
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q3 - 7:55LALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)53
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Jump Shot53
52.2%
52
47.8%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJames Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)53
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 8:33LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Clark 2 AST)52
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (James 5 AST)52
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q3 - 8:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
54.8%
49
45.2%
Q3 - 8:52LALMISS Howard 2' Layup50
53.6%
49
46.4%
Q3 - 8:54LALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q3 - 8:55LALMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot50
53.6%
49
46.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)50
50.5%
49
49.5%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 9:31LALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 247
43.0%
49
57.0%
Q3 - 9:31LALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 247
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)47
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot47
40.8%
49
59.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHeat Rebound47
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 9:58LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot47
42.3%
49
57.7%
Q3 - 10:16LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
40.0%
49
60.0%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot47
41.1%
49
58.9%
Q3 - 10:35LALWorld Peace 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)47
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q3 - 10:47MIABosh 3' Layup (7 PTS)47
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q3 - 11:03LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q3 - 11:03LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
44.5%
46
55.5%
Q3 - 11:13LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
50.0%
45
50.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q3 - 11:20LALMISS World Peace 3' Driving Layup44
46.3%
45
53.7%
Q3 - 11:25LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot44
44.9%
45
55.1%
Q3 - 11:43LALBryant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T17)44
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL44
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound44
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALMISS Nash 52' 3PT Jump Shot44
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0LALHoward 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)42
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0LALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)41
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot41
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 1:03LALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 241
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q2 - 1:03LALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 241
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 1:13LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot41
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 1:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 1:31LALMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q2 - 1:42LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot41
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 1:55LALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)41
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 2:00LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot41
42.3%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 2:14LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)41
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 2:24LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot41
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 2:39LALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
59.8%
37
40.2%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
59.1%
37
40.9%
Q2 - 3:07LALNash 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)39
56.8%
37
43.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)39
59.3%
35
40.7%
Q2 - 3:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
56.8%
35
43.2%
Q2 - 3:26LALMISS Bryant 15' Turnaround Jump Shot37
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames 7' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)37
53.3%
35
46.7%
Q2 - 3:44LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)35
50.8%
35
49.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
47.3%
35
52.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 4:23LALMISS Jamison Free Throw 3 of 333
44.3%
35
55.7%
Q2 - 4:23LALJamison Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)33
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 4:23LALMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 333
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 4:33LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Driving Layup33
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 4:47LALJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 4:47LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q2 - 4:48LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot33
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 5:09LALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
53.3%
31
46.7%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot33
54.2%
31
45.8%
Q2 - 5:30LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)33
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q2 - 5:42LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
58.9%
29
41.1%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot33
59.7%
29
40.3%
Q2 - 6:01LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)33
61.4%
29
38.6%
Q2 - 6:19LALJump Ball Bryant vs. Wade: Tip to Howard33
58.2%
29
41.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
61.4%
29
38.6%
Q2 - 6:34LALMISS Bryant 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot33
60.5%
29
39.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 7:01LALMISS Gasol 3' Layup31
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q2 - 7:15LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
52.8%
29
47.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup31
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 7:32LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)31
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q2 - 7:49MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T3)31
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 7:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q2 - 7:55LALMISS Clark 18' Jump Shot31
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q2 - 8:03LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot31
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q2 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q2 - 8:23LALMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
54.5%
29
45.5%
Q2 - 8:28LALDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Allen 3' Driving Layup31
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 8:40LALClark Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)31
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q2 - 8:54LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot31
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 9:07LALGasol 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)31
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 9:25LALLAKERS Rebound31
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q2 - 9:25LALMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
59.1%
27
40.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 230
57.0%
27
43.0%
Q2 - 10:00LALClark 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)30
57.5%
27
42.5%
Q2 - 10:15LALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot30
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q2 - 10:35LALGasol 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)30
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q2 - 10:50MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)30
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 10:59MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 11:00LALMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot28
63.6%
22
36.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)28
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 11:30LALClark Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)28
64.0%
22
36.0%
Q2 - 11:49MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)28
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 11:53LALMorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)26
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL26
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound26
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Bryant 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
58.6%
22
41.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)24
54.0%
22
46.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAJames 3' Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)24
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 1:01LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
52.2%
20
47.8%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Battier 22' Jump Shot22
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 1:35LALGasol 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)22
53.9%
20
46.1%
Q1 - 1:45LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.8%
18
43.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.3%
18
42.7%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.7%
18
41.3%
Q1 - 2:03LALMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade 3' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)22
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 2:23LALMISS Bryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q1 - 2:31MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
52.0%
18
48.0%
Q1 - 2:36LALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)18
49.6%
18
50.4%
Q1 - 2:44LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 3:06LALWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)18
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 3:18MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
54.1%
15
45.9%
Q1 - 3:34LALWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
52.0%
15
48.0%
Q1 - 3:34LALWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
52.5%
14
47.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)16
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 3:57LALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)14
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 4:35LALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 4:58LALBryant 4' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
53.3%
9
46.7%
Q1 - 5:34LALNash 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
53.3%
7
46.7%
Q1 - 6:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
51.0%
7
49.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot8
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 6:27LALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
51.0%
7
49.0%
Q1 - 6:27LALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
51.8%
6
48.2%
Q1 - 6:31LALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 6:32LALMISS Howard 2' Layup8
54.4%
5
45.6%
Q1 - 6:46LALLAKERS Rebound8
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot8
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 7:04LALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
54.9%
5
45.1%
Q1 - 7:04LALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 28
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 7:12LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)8
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot8
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 7:43LALHoward 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 7:44LALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 7:47LALMISS Bryant 2' Jump Shot8
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 7:56LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup8
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 8:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 8:07LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 8:20LALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot8
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 8:37LALWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)8
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 8:49LALClark Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWade 3' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:01LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
52.9%
2
47.1%
Q1 - 9:07LALLAKERS Rebound4
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 9:09LALMISS Clark 2' Layup4
52.3%
2
47.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAJames 2' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 9:26LALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 9:38LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 9:54LALMISS Nash 6' Floating Jump Shot2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 10:09LALLAKERS Rebound2
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 10:12LALMISS World Peace 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 10:24MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 10:28LALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:51LALLAKERS Rebound0
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 11:02LALWorld Peace 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 11:12MIANash STEAL (1 STL)0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:18LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:39LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Howard vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
48.8%
0
51.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
LAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
27
35
77%
LAL
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
11
35
31%
LAL
7
22
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
LAL
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
17
23
74%
LAL
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3978%19.5 / 25
D. Wade2759%13.5 / 23
R. Allen950%4.5 / 9
C. Bosh732%3.5 / 11
N. Cole650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers425%2.0 / 8
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
J. Anthony125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2242%11.0 / 26
M. World Peace1662%8.0 / 13
D. Howard1350%6.5 / 13
P. Gasol1267%6.0 / 9
A. Jamison1275%6.0 / 8
S. Nash964%4.5 / 7
E. Clark660%3.0 / 5
C. Duhon0-0.0 / 1
D. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+6
-6
93
LAL
73
+13
-20
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
LAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
108.3
MIA 106.5
LAL 96.8 +9.7
Pace
90.9
94.1
MIA 92.4
LAL 93.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.2
MIA 15.6
LAL 15.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
51.2%
MIA 49.4%
LAL 50.0% +0.6%
TO %
14.5%
15.5%
MIA 6.1% +13.1%
LAL 19.2%
ORB %
22.2%
27.0%
MIA 10.5%
LAL 20.5% +10.0%
FTrt
29.7
34.5
MIA 27.7
LAL 38.9 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
59.8%
MIA 55.0%
LAL 71.0% +16.0%
STL %
9.5%
7.5%
MIA 15.1% +11.9%
LAL 3.2%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
MIA 4.0% +2.6%
LAL 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
53.3%
MIA 53.2% +0.9%
LAL 52.3%
Rim FG%
65.9%
59.2%
MIA 77.1% +27.1%
LAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
40.3%
MIA 31.4%
LAL 31.8% +0.4%
3P %
39.6%
35.5%
MIA 15.4%
LAL 45.5% +30.1%
FT %
75.4%
69.2%
MIA 73.9% +9.6%
LAL 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.0%
MIA 42.2% +3.3%
LAL 38.9%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
32.7%
MIA 42.2%
LAL 30.6% +11.6%
3P Att. %
28.5%
30.3%
MIA 15.7%
LAL 30.6% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points9990
Rebounds3542
Assists2222
Steals143
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (5)
Field Goals40-8331-72
At-the-Rim FG27-3514-28
Midrange FG11-357-22
2-Point FG38-7021-50
3-Point FG2-1310-22
Free Throws17-2318-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.1
39
78%
7
8
3
1
2
2
0
7
4-4
100%
16-23
70%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
37.8
27
59%
4
5
2
1
1
3
0
4
5-7
71%
11-19
58%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
35.0
7
32%
6
2
6
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
21.1
4
25%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
11.5
4
67%
7
0
1
0
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
31.0
9
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
19.4
1
25%
4
1
1
0
0
3
1
3
1-4
25%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
17.9
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
6
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
15.7
6
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
8.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
C · 6'11" 285 · 25
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
35
22
14
2
6
0
4
31
17-23
74%
38-70
54%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.