FinalWin Prob.pScore
1155%95
86
2545%93
97
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
94.59192.0
ORL logo ORL
107.89089.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND86
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLMoore 21' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDGreen 2' Dunk (10 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLHarkless 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0INDGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0INDGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0INDGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 182
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00INDMISS Pendergraph 9' Fadeaway Jumper80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ORLMISS Moore 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30INDHansbrough 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43INDPacers Rebound78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMISS Nicholson 3' Layup78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14INDMISS Green 22' Jump Shot76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33INDHansbrough 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46INDPacers Rebound74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46INDMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Nicholson 8' Hook Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22INDMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32ORLAfflalo 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:51INDMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:08ORLNicholson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redick 6 AST)74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:24INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)74
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:38ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:54ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot74
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 5:07ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 5:26INDGreen 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 5:36INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 5:38ORLMISS Nicholson 2' Layup72
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:40ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:41ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMAGIC Rebound72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Nicholson 1' Layup72
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56ORLMISS Davis 2' Layup72
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 6:13INDHansbrough 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)72
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 6:31ORLAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)70
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 6:45INDWest 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (George 4 AST)70
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 6:53INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 6:55ORLMISS Davis 4' Hook Shot68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 7:16INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P4.T14)68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:23INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 7:24INDMISS Hibbert 10' Hook Shot68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:38INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 7:49ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:50INDMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 8:10ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 8:29INDWest 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (George 3 AST)68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 8:46ORLDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)66
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 8:58ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 9:01INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot66
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:14ORLAfflalo 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)66
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 9:17INDMoore STEAL (2 STL)66
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 9:32ORLNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 9:51INDHill 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 10:13INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 10:13ORLMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMAGIC Rebound64
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:29INDMISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot64
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 10:33INDPacers Rebound64
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 10:33INDMISS Hansbrough 4' Jump Shot64
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 10:54ORLNicholson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)64
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 11:13INDNelson STEAL (4 STL)64
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q4 - 11:25ORLJump Ball Moore vs. Hill: Tip to Augustin64
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 11:45ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 11:46INDMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL64
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDWest 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMISS George 2' Tip Shot62
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDRedick BLOCK (1 BLK)62
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Moore 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDMISS West 9' Jump Shot62
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMcRoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)62
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 1:11INDWest 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)62
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 1:17INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot60
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 1:43ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Moore 5 AST)60
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 1:58INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)60
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 1:58INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)59
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 2:06INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup58
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q3 - 2:25INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 2 AST)58
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 2:40ORLVucevic 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)55
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 2:56INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 2:56INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 3:04ORLMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)53
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 3:21INDGeorge 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)53
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 3:37ORLRedick 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)51
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 3:53INDStephenson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)51
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMcRoberts 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)49
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 4:32ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 4:32INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 4:52ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)49
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 5:14INDHill 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 5:30ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)47
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 5:53INDWest 1' Layup (6 PTS)47
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 5:58INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 5:59INDMISS George 22' Jump Shot45
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 6:22INDPacers Rebound45
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 6:22INDMISS Hill 5' Running Hook Shot45
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 6:29ORLDavis 2' Layup (11 PTS)45
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 6:51INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)45
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 6:51INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 6:53ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup45
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 7:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)45
11.9%
59
88.1%
Q3 - 7:02INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q3 - 7:14INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 7:15ORLMISS Redick 17' Fadeaway Jumper45
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 7:29INDStephenson 2' Layup (4 PTS)45
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 7:45INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot43
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q3 - 8:13INDHill 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 8:26ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 8:26ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 8:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)41
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 8:35INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot41
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 8:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)41
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 8:52ORLVucevic 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)41
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup41
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 9:14INDHill 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)41
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 9:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Afflalo 23' Jump Shot39
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 9:41INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)39
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:53ORLJones 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)37
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 9:59INDAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)37
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 10:09ORLAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)37
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q3 - 10:27INDStephenson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)37
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q3 - 10:41INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q3 - 10:42ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot35
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Rebound35
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup35
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:56ORLMAGIC Rebound35
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q3 - 10:56INDMISS West 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q3 - 11:13ORLAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)35
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 11:19ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)35
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 11:20INDMISS George 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q3 - 11:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q3 - 11:41ORLMISS Davis 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL35
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound35
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McRoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot35
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLVucevic 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)35
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLMISS McRoberts 3' Running Jump Shot35
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDGeorge 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)35
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 1:00ORLRedick 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)33
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 1:14ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)33
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 1:15INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 2:03INDHill 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 2:18ORLVucevic 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)31
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 2:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 2:35INDHibbert 1' Dunk (9 PTS)31
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Hill 2' Driving Reverse Layup29
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 2:43INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot29
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q2 - 3:03INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)29
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 3:19ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
18.8%
42
81.2%
Q2 - 3:31INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 3:31INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 3:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 3:43ORLMISS McRoberts 16' Jump Shot25
18.1%
40
81.9%
Q2 - 3:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)25
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 3:59INDMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)25
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 4:07ORLAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)25
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 4:26INDJones STEAL (1 STL)25
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 4:38INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 4:39ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 4:58INDHibbert 2' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)25
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 5:12INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 5:13ORLMISS McRoberts 22' Jump Shot23
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 5:27ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 5:27INDMISS Augustin 21' Jump Shot23
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 5:41ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 6:03INDNelson STEAL (3 STL)23
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 6:30ORLAfflalo 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)23
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 6:39ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 6:39INDMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot23
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 7:09ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)23
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 7:24ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
32.3%
32
67.7%
Q2 - 7:24INDMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot23
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 7:48INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.9%
32
65.1%
Q2 - 7:49ORLMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 7:58ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q2 - 7:59INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot23
33.0%
32
67.0%
Q2 - 8:16ORLMcRoberts Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)23
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 8:34INDWest 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)23
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q2 - 8:50INDPacers Rebound21
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 8:50ORLMISS Afflalo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot21
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 9:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 9:04INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot21
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 9:04INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 9:05INDMISS West 5' Hook Shot21
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 9:21ORLVucevic 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)21
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 9:36INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P3.T7)21
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 9:45INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 9:45ORLMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot21
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q2 - 10:13INDGreen 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)21
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 10:31ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)19
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 10:51ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q2 - 10:52INDMISS Green 19' Jump Shot19
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q2 - 11:06ORLMcRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)19
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 11:26INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
48.1%
22
51.9%
Q2 - 11:41INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q2 - 11:41ORLMISS Davis 7' Jump Hook Shot17
45.0%
22
55.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND17
43.2%
22
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound17
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot17
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)17
45.5%
22
54.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P2.T6)17
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
52.6%
19
47.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Moore 21' Pullup Jump Shot17
52.1%
19
47.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q1 - 1:07ORLDavis 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)17
52.8%
19
47.2%
Q1 - 1:17ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q1 - 1:17INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Driving Hook Shot17
56.2%
17
43.8%
Q1 - 1:24INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.4%
17
42.6%
Q1 - 1:25ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot17
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q1 - 1:33INDMoore STEAL (1 STL)17
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q1 - 1:53ORLMoore 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
57.4%
17
42.6%
Q1 - 2:13INDVucevic STEAL (1 STL)17
60.1%
15
39.9%
Q1 - 2:27ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
62.2%
15
37.8%
Q1 - 2:27ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
62.2%
15
37.8%
Q1 - 2:29ORLMISS Nicholson 16' Jump Shot17
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 2:46INDGreen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)17
64.4%
13
35.6%
Q1 - 2:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 2:51INDMISS Hill 1' Layup15
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 2:58INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 3:01ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 3:01ORLMISS Nicholson 2' Layup15
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 3:02ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup15
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 3:12ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 3:12INDMISS Green 20' Jump Shot15
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 3:39INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.6%
13
38.4%
Q1 - 3:48ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 3:49INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot15
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 4:01ORLNelson 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)15
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 4:14ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 4:15INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 4:28INDGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 4:29INDMISS Hill 17' Step Back Jump Shot15
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 4:49ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 4:54INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)15
70.0%
8
30.0%
Q1 - 4:59INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 5:00ORLMISS Jones 3' Driving Layup15
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 5:24INDWest 2' Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)15
69.2%
8
30.8%
Q1 - 5:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 5:37ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot13
66.9%
8
33.1%
Q1 - 5:46INDNelson STEAL (2 STL)13
65.5%
8
34.5%
Q1 - 5:59INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 6:00ORLMISS Nelson 16' Pullup Jump Shot13
66.9%
8
33.1%
Q1 - 6:14INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
65.0%
8
35.0%
Q1 - 6:27ORLAfflalo 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)10
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 6:47INDGeorge 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)10
63.1%
6
36.9%
Q1 - 6:53ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 6:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot8
60.8%
6
39.2%
Q1 - 7:11ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:13INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot8
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 7:36ORLJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 7:53ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 7:54INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot8
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 8:11ORLDavis 5' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
65.0%
4
35.0%
Q1 - 8:27INDHill 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 8:31ORLAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 8:39ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 8:40INDMISS West 16' Jump Shot6
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 8:54INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 8:55ORLMISS Afflalo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot6
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 9:08INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 9:28ORLDavis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)3
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 9:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 9:53INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:00INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 10:01ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:12ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 10:13INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 23
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 10:13INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:24INDPacers Rebound2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 10:24ORLMISS Davis 3' Driving Layup2
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 10:35ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:36ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Driving Jump Shot2
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 10:53INDHibbert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:13INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:15ORLMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:45INDNelson STEAL (1 STL)0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Hibbert: Tip to Stephenson0
57.8%
0
42.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.7%
ORL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
20
30
67%
ORL
14
29
48%
Midrange
IND
15
38
39%
ORL
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
2
3.0
17
12%
18%
ORL
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
Free Throws
IND
10
12
83%
ORL
5
5
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2059%10.0 / 17
G. Hill1547%7.5 / 16
D. West1447%7.0 / 15
R. Hibbert1169%5.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough1063%5.0 / 8
G. Green1042%5.0 / 12
L. Stephenson650%3.0 / 6
D. Augustin0-0.0 / 3
O. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
J. Ayres0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević1657%8.0 / 14
A. Afflalo1558%7.5 / 13
J. Nelson1458%7.0 / 12
J. Redick1488%7.0 / 8
G. Davis1139%5.5 / 14
E. Moore964%4.5 / 7
J. McRoberts850%4.0 / 8
D. Jones467%2.0 / 3
A. Nicholson425%2.0 / 8
M. Harkless2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+16
-15
92
ORL
78
+11
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.7%
ORL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
102.0
IND 94.5 +13.3
ORL 107.8
Pace
89.9
91.9
IND 92.0 +3.0
ORL 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
IND 15.6 +0.5
ORL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
48.5%
IND 44.7%
ORL 53.5% +8.8%
TO %
16.1%
15.2%
IND 14.2%
ORL 12.0% +2.2%
ORB %
30.3%
25.4%
IND 27.3% +7.3%
ORL 20.0%
FTrt
29.3
19.7
IND 14.1 +8.3
ORL 5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.5%
IND 48.6%
ORL 72.5% +23.9%
STL %
7.9%
7.0%
IND 6.6%
ORL 11.1% +4.5%
BLK %
9.7%
7.0%
IND 10.8% +7.9%
ORL 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.2%
IND 46.7%
ORL 53.9% +7.2%
Rim FG%
55.7%
58.5%
IND 66.7% +18.4%
ORL 48.3%
Mid FG%
38.2%
39.6%
IND 39.5% +0.6%
ORL 38.9%
3P %
34.7%
32.9%
IND 11.8%
ORL 57.1% +45.3%
FT %
74.6%
75.5%
IND 83.3%
ORL 100.0% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
35.4%
IND 35.3% +1.6%
ORL 33.7%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
42.3%
IND 44.7%
ORL 41.9% +2.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
22.3%
IND 20.0%
ORL 24.4% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8697
Rebounds4440
Assists1829
Steals610
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals37-8540-86
At-the-Rim FG20-3014-29
Midrange FG15-3814-36
2-Point FG35-6828-65
3-Point FG2-1712-21
Free Throws10-125-5
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
36.2
20
59%
10
4
0
1
1
0
1
9
7-7
100%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
34.7
15
47%
4
6
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
31.6
14
47%
7
1
1
2
3
0
4
3
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 22
29.1
6
50%
3
3
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 26
22.6
11
69%
7
1
0
2
4
5
2
5
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 27
19.6
10
63%
4
1
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 25
18.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 26
15.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27
13.9
10
42%
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
11.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26
6.4
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 249 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
44
18
6
7
15
0
12
32
10-12
83%
35-68
51%
2-17
12%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.