FinalWin Prob.pScore
358%100
97
1942%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.58485.3
UTA logo UTA
122.48583.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA97
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 195
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)93
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0UTAHayward 14' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)93
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)93
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 1:00UTAMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAJames 11' Floating Jump Shot (32 PTS)93
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 1:36UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot91
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 1:47UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot91
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 2:03UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
6.0%
98
94.0%
Q4 - 2:03UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 291
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 2:19UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
6.3%
97
93.7%
Q4 - 2:34UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
9.6%
97
90.4%
Q4 - 2:34UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
10.4%
96
89.6%
Q4 - 2:40UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
12.8%
95
87.2%
Q4 - 2:42UTAMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
18.8%
95
81.2%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T14)91
15.3%
95
84.7%
Q4 - 3:13UTAHayward 7' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
23.9%
95
76.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)91
35.1%
93
64.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 290
33.0%
93
67.0%
Q4 - 3:43UTAJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)90
35.7%
93
64.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)90
26.3%
93
73.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
20.1%
93
79.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 287
18.7%
93
81.3%
Q4 - 4:10UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)87
14.7%
93
85.3%
Q4 - 4:27MIAAllen 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
10.0%
93
90.0%
Q4 - 4:51UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)85
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)85
17.8%
90
82.2%
Q4 - 5:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
13.6%
90
86.4%
Q4 - 5:22UTAMISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot83
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 5:38UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
9.8%
90
90.2%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot83
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q4 - 5:49MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 5:50UTAMISS Hayward 13' Jump Shot83
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q4 - 6:20MIALewis 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
12.6%
90
87.4%
Q4 - 6:44UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
9.8%
90
90.2%
Q4 - 6:44UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 6:44UTAJAZZ Rebound81
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 6:44UTAMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot81
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 6:49UTAJAZZ Rebound81
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 6:49UTAMISS Millsap 3' Jump Shot81
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 7:12MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)81
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 7:19UTAMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot78
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 7:38MIAJames 2' Layup (30 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)78
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 8:03UTAMISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot76
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 8:21UTAJAZZ Rebound76
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 8:21UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot76
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 8:39UTAJAZZ Rebound76
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 8:39UTAMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot76
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 8:41UTAJAZZ Rebound76
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 8:41UTAMISS Hayward 4' Jump Shot76
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 9:01MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)76
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 9:17UTACarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)73
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)73
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 9:48UTAMISS Hayward 11' Jump Shot73
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 10:01MIALewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)73
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 10:01MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)72
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)71
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:18UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 10:18UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 10:24MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)70
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 10:34UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)70
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 10:34UTAJAZZ Rebound70
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMISS Carroll 15' Jump Shot70
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 10:34UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 10:36UTAMISS Favors 1' Dunk70
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJames 7' Running Bank Shot (28 PTS)70
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 11:25UTABurks 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)68
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)68
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA65
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound65
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0UTAMISS Millsap 2' Tip Shot65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Foye 2' Layup65
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 1:19UTAMillsap 2' Layup (15 PTS)63
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 1:21UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 1:22UTAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot63
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 1:41UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 1:55UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 1:59UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Lewis 7' Jump Shot63
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 2:20UTAWilliams 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)63
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)63
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 3:07UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 3:07UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 3:32UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)57
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 4:00UTAFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)57
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 4:24MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 4:41UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 4:41UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 4:44UTAJAZZ Rebound55
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 4:44UTAMISS Tinsley 2' Layup55
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 4:44UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot55
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 4:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot55
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 5:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 5:47UTAJefferson 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)55
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 6:12MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)55
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 6:30UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 6:30UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 6:43UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot53
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 7:10UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 7:10UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 253
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)53
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 7:47UTAFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)50
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 8:20UTATinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)47
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 8:25UTAFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot47
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 8:48UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 8:48UTAJefferson 2' Layup (14 PTS)47
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 8:49UTAMISS Millsap 5' Floating Jump Shot47
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 9:06UTAJAZZ Rebound47
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot47
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 9:14UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 9:14UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot47
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 9:18UTAMISS Williams 3' Jump Shot47
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 9:42UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot47
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 9:54MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)47
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 10:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 10:03UTAMISS Millsap 3' Reverse Layup46
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:12UTAFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:14UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:31MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)46
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:37UTAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)44
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 10:43MIAFoye STEAL (1 STL)44
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 10:57UTAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 11:02UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 11:03UTAMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot44
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 11:23UTAJAZZ Rebound44
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup44
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 11:41UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 11:41UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
14.2%
60
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA44
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound44
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Tinsley 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0UTATinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)42
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)42
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)40
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 1:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS James 1' Layup40
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q2 - 1:17UTATinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)40
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)40
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 1:40UTAHayward 4' Hook Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 1:54UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot40
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q2 - 2:06UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 2:20UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Reverse Layup40
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIAHeat Rebound40
22.6%
54
77.4%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q2 - 2:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
22.6%
54
77.4%
Q2 - 2:39UTAMISS Millsap 3' Jump Shot40
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q2 - 2:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot40
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q2 - 2:57UTATinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)40
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q2 - 3:19UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 140
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q2 - 3:32UTATinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)38
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T7)38
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 4:00UTAHayward Driving Dunk (10 PTS)38
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q2 - 4:05UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot38
23.3%
52
76.7%
Q2 - 4:22UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)38
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q2 - 4:22UTAJAZZ Rebound38
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q2 - 4:22UTAMISS Hayward 15' Jump Bank Shot38
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)38
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q2 - 5:14UTAFavors 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)35
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 5:41MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 5:59UTAHayward 3' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)33
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJames 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)33
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 6:40UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)31
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 7:00MIAJames 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)31
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 7:19UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)29
23.6%
45
76.4%
Q2 - 7:25UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot29
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 7:41UTACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
29.8%
42
70.2%
Q2 - 7:41UTAMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 229
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 7:46UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
29.5%
41
70.5%
Q2 - 7:47MIAFavors BLOCK (1 BLK)29
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 7:51MIAHeat Rebound29
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot29
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 8:14UTACarroll 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
35.0%
39
65.0%
Q2 - 8:54UTAHayward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 8:57UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot27
31.1%
39
68.9%
Q2 - 9:13UTAFavors Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Kanter 2 AST)27
33.7%
39
66.3%
Q2 - 9:26UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36.5%
37
63.5%
Q2 - 9:50UTAKanter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)27
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
40.6%
35
59.4%
Q2 - 10:27UTACarroll 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kanter 1 AST)27
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHeat Turnover: 3 Second Violation (T#5)27
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 11:10UTAKanter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
48.1%
33
51.9%
Q2 - 11:30MIALewis 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 11:46UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA25
48.0%
30
52.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)25
48.6%
30
51.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0UTAJefferson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)25
50.3%
30
49.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)25
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)24
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0UTAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)23
50.4%
28
49.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)23
53.3%
26
46.7%
Q1 - 1:13UTAJefferson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Favors 2 AST)20
48.4%
26
51.6%
Q1 - 1:26UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper20
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q1 - 2:00UTACarroll 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJames 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)20
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q1 - 2:45UTAJefferson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)18
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 3:06UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
56.1%
20
43.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
56.8%
20
43.2%
Q1 - 3:25UTACarroll 2' Layup (5 PTS)18
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 3:26UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 3:26UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot18
62.1%
18
37.9%
Q1 - 3:44MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)18
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 3:59UTACarroll Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 4:12UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 4:13UTAMISS Carroll 19' Jump Shot18
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 4:27UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot18
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)18
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 4:40UTAMISS Millsap 9' Jump Shot18
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 4:50UTAMISS Foye 21' Jump Shot18
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 4:56UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 218
67.0%
15
33.0%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
68.2%
15
31.8%
Q1 - 5:08UTAMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot18
67.6%
15
32.4%
Q1 - 5:16UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
66.8%
15
33.2%
Q1 - 5:34UTAFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)18
68.2%
15
31.8%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)18
71.6%
12
28.4%
Q1 - 6:10UTAMillsap 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)16
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)16
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 6:29UTAMillsap Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 6:43MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
74.4%
8
25.6%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
72.7%
8
27.3%
Q1 - 7:03UTAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot14
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
70.9%
8
29.1%
Q1 - 7:40UTATinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
69.6%
8
30.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAWade 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 8:01UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)10
66.3%
8
33.7%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
69.5%
5
30.5%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
66.3%
5
33.7%
Q1 - 8:24UTAMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot7
65.8%
5
34.2%
Q1 - 8:48UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
64.4%
5
35.6%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Running Layup7
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 8:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
66.3%
5
33.7%
Q1 - 8:57UTAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot7
65.7%
5
34.3%
Q1 - 9:21MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
64.6%
5
35.4%
Q1 - 9:36UTAJefferson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
61.3%
5
38.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)4
62.9%
3
37.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
64.7%
3
35.3%
Q1 - 10:04UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 24
64.5%
3
35.5%
Q1 - 10:04UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
63.5%
3
36.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAJames Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 10:38UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot2
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:00UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot2
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 11:22UTAMillsap 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
62.9%
0
37.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.0%
UTA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
24
71%
UTA
15
27
56%
Midrange
MIA
13
25
52%
UTA
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
UTA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
UTA
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3280%16.0 / 20
C. Bosh1662%8.0 / 13
R. Lewis1359%6.5 / 11
M. Chalmers1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wade1146%5.5 / 12
R. Allen1083%5.0 / 6
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 1
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2364%11.5 / 18
G. Hayward2273%11.0 / 15
P. Millsap1745%8.5 / 19
D. Carroll1286%6.0 / 7
R. Foye975%4.5 / 6
D. Favors788%3.5 / 4
M. Williams531%2.5 / 8
A. Burks467%2.0 / 3
J. Tinsley321%1.5 / 7
E. Kanter2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+7
-14
77
UTA
71
+23
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.0%
UTA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
106.4
MIA 115.5
UTA 122.4 +6.9
Pace
90.9
91.3
MIA 85.3 +1.6
UTA 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 16.9 +0.3
UTA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
49.2%
MIA 60.4% +7.8%
UTA 52.6%
TO %
14.5%
15.4%
MIA 16.0%
UTA 15.3% +0.7%
ORB %
22.2%
28.8%
MIA 15.6%
UTA 41.9% +26.3%
FTrt
29.7
28.1
MIA 22.2
UTA 36.8 +14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
61.0%
MIA 64.1%
UTA 69.4% +5.3%
STL %
9.5%
9.2%
MIA 9.5%
UTA 10.6% +1.1%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
MIA 6.9% +2.8%
UTA 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
51.9%
MIA 63.0% +8.3%
UTA 54.7%
Rim FG%
65.9%
58.8%
MIA 70.8% +15.2%
UTA 55.6%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.2%
MIA 52.0% +10.1%
UTA 41.9%
3P %
39.6%
36.6%
MIA 39.1%
UTA 44.4% +5.3%
FT %
75.4%
76.5%
MIA 62.5%
UTA 85.7% +23.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
36.4%
MIA 33.3%
UTA 35.5% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
43.0%
MIA 34.7% +6.1%
UTA 40.8%
3P Att. %
28.5%
20.6%
MIA 31.9% +8.3%
UTA 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points97104
Rebounds2340
Assists2525
Steals89
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)13 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (0)27 (2)
Field Goals39-7236-76
At-the-Rim FG17-2415-27
Midrange FG13-2513-31
2-Point FG30-4928-58
3-Point FG9-238-18
Free Throws10-1624-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
43.7
32
80%
4
6
3
2
3
5
1
3
4-4
100%
11-15
73%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
37.3
12
75%
2
7
1
0
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
29.3
11
46%
5
4
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-3
0%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
26.6
16
62%
1
1
0
1
2
4
1
0
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
18.8
0
0%
5
1
1
0
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
27.3
13
59%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
23.4
10
83%
0
3
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
22.9
3
75%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
63%
23
25
8
4
14
0
5
18
10-16
63%
30-49
61%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.