FinalWin Prob.pScore
370%104
128
2630%97
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
140.79185.2
SAC logo SAC
108.89197.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA128
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)128
100%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SACHoneycutt 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Fredette 1 AST)128
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SACMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SACMISS Fredette 19' Jump Shot128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIACole 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)128
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23SACFredette 7' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)126
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)126
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Harrellson 25' 3PT Jump Shot126
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55SACRobinson 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)126
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIALewis 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)126
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHeat Rebound124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54SACMISS Honeycutt 25' 3PT Jump Shot124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SACMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SACMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22SACRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)121
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22SACRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SACMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SACKINGS Rebound121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SACMISS Fredette 9' Jump Shot121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAVarnado 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16SACJohnson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)119
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23SACKINGS Rebound119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23SACMISS Evans 3' Driving Layup119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)116
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58SACMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30MIAHeat Rebound116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30SACMISS Evans 23' Jump Shot116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:42MIAChalmers Palming Turnover (P2.T9)116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04SACEvans 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)116
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot116
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)116
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot116
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50SACJohnson 4' Layup (9 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)116
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)116
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21SACJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)113
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIACole 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)113
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:55SACThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T17)111
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)111
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:24SACThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)111
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:39SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)111
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)111
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56SACMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot111
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:16MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)111
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 10:11SACJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)108
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 10:33SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)105
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 10:35SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)105
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 10:59SACJohnson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)105
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAAllen 15' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)105
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 11:32SACJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0SACThomas 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)102
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0SACThomas 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)101
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q3 - 1:01MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)101
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q3 - 1:19SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)98
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q3 - 1:24SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)98
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 1:26SACMISS Evans 4' Jump Shot98
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 1:34SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot98
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 1:47SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)98
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 2:05MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)98
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:15SACMISS Thornton 5' Jump Shot95
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:33MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)95
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:33MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)94
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:51SACRobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:55SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 2:56SACMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 3:00SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 3:02SACMISS Cousins 4' Jump Shot93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 3:15MIAJames Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)93
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 3:15MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)92
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 3:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 3:29SACMISS Cousins 19' Jump Shot89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 3:42SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 3:54SACEvans 2' Layup (5 PTS)89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 3:55SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 3:56SACMISS Robinson 4' Layup89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 3:57SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 3:58SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 4:04SACKINGS Rebound89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 4:04SACMISS Thomas 4' Driving Layup89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 4:27MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)89
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 4:52SACThomas 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)87
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 4:56MIACousins STEAL (1 STL)87
99.8%
56
0.2%
Q3 - 5:07SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
99.8%
56
0.2%
Q3 - 5:07SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 287
99.8%
55
0.2%
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames 3' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)87
99.8%
55
0.2%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 5:28SACMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot85
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWade 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)85
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 5:55SACMISS Salmons 8' Jump Shot83
99.6%
55
0.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)83
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 6:21SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 6:33SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
99.3%
55
0.7%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot81
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 6:58SACThomas 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)81
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 7:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 7:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)80
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 7:23SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)79
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHaslem 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)79
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 8:01SACThompson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)77
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 8:23MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 5 AST)77
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 8:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 8:30SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)74
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q3 - 8:57SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)72
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames 3' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)72
98.7%
48
1.3%
Q3 - 9:18SACCousins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
98.6%
48
1.4%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 269
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 9:43SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)69
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 10:13SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)67
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 10:19SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 10:35SACThomas 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)66
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 10:50SACKINGS Rebound66
97.7%
46
2.3%
Q3 - 10:50SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot66
97.9%
46
2.1%
Q3 - 11:02MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)66
97.5%
46
2.5%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
97.8%
46
2.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot66
97.6%
46
2.4%
Q3 - 11:25SACThomas 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
97.8%
46
2.2%
Q3 - 11:44SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup66
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA66
98.4%
44
1.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound66
98.4%
44
1.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 32' 3PT Jump Shot66
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SACMISS Salmons 16' Pullup Jump Shot66
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)66
97.9%
44
2.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0SACGarcia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
97.6%
44
2.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)64
97.3%
44
2.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot61
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q2 - 1:19SACGarcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)61
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q2 - 1:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
97.1%
41
2.9%
Q2 - 2:11SACFredette 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)58
96.0%
41
4.0%
Q2 - 2:24SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
96.9%
38
3.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
97.0%
38
3.0%
Q2 - 2:47SACFredette Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)58
97.2%
38
2.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)58
96.7%
38
3.3%
Q2 - 3:06SACSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
95.9%
38
4.1%
Q2 - 3:07SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q2 - 3:09MIAGarcia BLOCK (1 BLK)55
95.5%
38
4.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
95.9%
38
4.1%
Q2 - 3:20SACMISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot55
95.7%
38
4.3%
Q2 - 3:34SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot55
95.5%
38
4.5%
Q2 - 3:44SACFredette 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)55
95.9%
38
4.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)55
96.1%
36
3.9%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
95.6%
36
4.4%
Q2 - 4:08SACMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot53
95.5%
36
4.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)53
95.1%
36
4.9%
Q2 - 4:46SACCousins 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)50
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
94.5%
34
5.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
94.4%
34
5.6%
Q2 - 5:18SACRobinson 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)48
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)48
94.4%
32
5.6%
Q2 - 5:58SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
93.8%
32
6.2%
Q2 - 5:58SACRobinson Tip Shot (4 PTS)46
93.8%
32
6.2%
Q2 - 6:00SACMISS Robinson 4' Jump Shot46
94.8%
30
5.2%
Q2 - 6:02SACRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
94.1%
30
5.9%
Q2 - 6:03SACMISS Thornton 2' Layup46
94.6%
30
5.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
94.1%
30
5.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
93.6%
30
6.4%
Q2 - 6:37SACMISS Robinson 3' Layup44
93.3%
30
6.7%
Q2 - 6:56MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)44
92.8%
30
7.2%
Q2 - 7:16SACHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
91.8%
30
8.2%
Q2 - 7:16SACHayes 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)42
91.8%
30
8.2%
Q2 - 7:18SACMISS Fredette 14' Jump Shot42
93.1%
28
6.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAAnthony 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)42
92.5%
28
7.5%
Q2 - 8:03SACFredette Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
91.5%
28
8.5%
Q2 - 8:03SACFredette Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
91.6%
27
8.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)40
92.2%
26
7.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
90.7%
26
9.3%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
90.0%
26
10.0%
Q2 - 8:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
90.7%
26
9.3%
Q2 - 8:36SACMISS Evans 5' Jump Shot37
90.4%
26
9.6%
Q2 - 8:41SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
89.7%
26
10.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot37
90.0%
26
10.0%
Q2 - 9:04SACRobinson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)37
90.5%
26
9.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
91.2%
24
8.8%
Q2 - 9:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
91.1%
24
8.9%
Q2 - 9:37SACThornton Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)35
90.5%
24
9.5%
Q2 - 9:37SACKINGS Rebound35
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 9:37SACMISS Thornton 3' Running Jump Shot35
90.2%
24
9.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 10:01SACThornton 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
87.4%
24
12.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
88.2%
22
11.8%
Q2 - 10:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
88.1%
22
11.9%
Q2 - 10:38SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
87.4%
22
12.6%
Q2 - 10:38SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
87.6%
21
12.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)30
88.3%
20
11.7%
Q2 - 11:19SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)28
87.0%
20
13.0%
Q2 - 11:42SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
89.1%
17
10.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
89.4%
17
10.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC28
90.0%
17
10.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound28
89.1%
17
10.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Johnson 5' Layup28
89.7%
17
10.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
89.1%
17
10.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Cousins 2' Layup28
89.7%
17
10.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
88.9%
17
11.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACMISS Thomas 2' Layup28
89.4%
17
10.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
88.9%
17
11.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
87.7%
17
12.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
87.5%
17
12.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
86.9%
17
13.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
87.2%
17
12.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
87.7%
17
12.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
89.7%
14
10.3%
Q1 - 1:27SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
88.5%
14
11.5%
Q1 - 1:41MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
86.5%
14
13.5%
Q1 - 1:47SACMISS Cousins 7' Jump Shot22
86.3%
14
13.7%
Q1 - 2:03MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 2:10SACThomas 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)22
86.7%
14
13.3%
Q1 - 2:13SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
87.7%
12
12.3%
Q1 - 2:14MIAThompson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
88.0%
12
12.0%
Q1 - 2:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
88.6%
12
11.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot22
88.0%
12
12.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
88.6%
12
11.4%
Q1 - 2:27SACMISS Evans 1' Layup22
88.4%
12
11.6%
Q1 - 2:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
87.7%
12
12.3%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
88.6%
12
11.4%
Q1 - 3:00SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
88.4%
12
11.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
87.7%
12
12.3%
Q1 - 3:29SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
86.8%
12
13.2%
Q1 - 3:40SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
85.7%
12
14.3%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot20
86.0%
12
14.0%
Q1 - 4:06SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 4:06SACMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 220
86.9%
11
13.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)20
86.6%
11
13.4%
Q1 - 4:25SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)20
87.7%
11
12.3%
Q1 - 4:37SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
89.4%
8
10.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 220
89.5%
8
10.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
90.1%
8
9.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
89.5%
8
10.5%
Q1 - 4:51SACMISS Thompson 14' Jump Shot19
89.2%
8
10.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
87.9%
8
12.1%
Q1 - 5:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
87.8%
8
12.2%
Q1 - 5:35SACCousins 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)17
87.1%
8
12.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
88.0%
6
12.0%
Q1 - 5:59SACCousins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)17
88.9%
6
11.1%
Q1 - 6:03SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
87.6%
6
12.4%
Q1 - 6:06SACMISS Evans 2' Layup17
88.2%
6
11.8%
Q1 - 6:08SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
87.6%
6
12.4%
Q1 - 6:09SACMISS Evans 18' Jump Shot17
88.2%
6
11.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
87.6%
6
12.4%
Q1 - 6:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
85.8%
6
14.2%
Q1 - 6:33SACMISS Thomas 3' Layup14
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)14
84.7%
6
15.3%
Q1 - 6:50SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
85.8%
6
14.2%
Q1 - 6:50SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
86.1%
5
13.9%
Q1 - 6:53SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
86.7%
4
13.3%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot14
87.0%
4
13.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
87.5%
4
12.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
86.8%
4
13.2%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
87.5%
4
12.5%
Q1 - 7:28SACMISS Thompson 3' Layup14
87.2%
4
12.8%
Q1 - 7:41SACKINGS Rebound14
86.5%
4
13.5%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
86.8%
4
13.2%
Q1 - 8:00SACThomas 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
87.6%
4
12.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
88.3%
2
11.7%
Q1 - 8:34SACCousins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
86.7%
2
13.3%
Q1 - 8:53SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
85.8%
2
14.2%
Q1 - 8:53SACMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot11
86.4%
2
13.6%
Q1 - 9:02SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
85.7%
2
14.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot11
86.0%
2
14.0%
Q1 - 9:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 9:17SACMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot11
86.4%
2
13.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)11
85.7%
2
14.3%
Q1 - 9:36SACThompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
83.9%
2
16.1%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
82.8%
2
17.2%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
82.6%
2
17.4%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
81.8%
2
18.2%
Q1 - 9:50SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot6
81.4%
2
18.6%
Q1 - 10:02MIAChalmers 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
80.4%
2
19.6%
Q1 - 10:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
79.5%
2
20.5%
Q1 - 10:11SACMISS Thomas 3' Jump Shot4
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 10:17SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 5' Running Hook Shot4
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
79.5%
2
20.5%
Q1 - 10:30SACMISS Cousins 16' Jump Shot4
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 10:40SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot4
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 10:58SACCousins 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
79.5%
2
20.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIAJames Slam Dunk (2 PTS)4
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 11:22SACSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
77.1%
0
22.9%
Q1 - 11:44SACMISS Cousins 2' Layup0
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Thompson vs. Bosh: Tip to Garcia0
75.9%
0
24.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.36 68.1%
SAC
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
21
76%
SAC
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
22
55%
SAC
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
17
25.5
37
46%
69%
SAC
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
21
24
88%
SAC
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers34106%17.0 / 16
L. James2077%10.0 / 13
C. Bosh1662%8.0 / 13
M. Miller1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wade1169%5.5 / 8
R. Allen1056%5.0 / 9
R. Lewis880%4.0 / 5
N. Cole650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem550%2.5 / 5
J. Anthony450%2.0 / 4
J. Varnado2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
J. Harrellson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Thomas3474%17.0 / 23
D. Cousins1146%5.5 / 12
J. Johnson1161%5.5 / 9
T. Robinson1050%5.0 / 10
J. Fredette964%4.5 / 7
T. Evans833%4.0 / 12
M. Thornton531%2.5 / 8
T. Honeycutt467%2.0 / 3
F. Garcia338%1.5 / 4
J. Thompson233%1.0 / 3
C. Hayes2100%1.0 / 1
J. Salmons0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+12
-10
93
SAC
74
+22
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.36 68.1%
SAC
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
106.7
MIA 140.7 +31.9
SAC 108.8
Pace
90.9
93.3
MIA 85.2
SAC 97.6 +12.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 16.9
SAC 14.7 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
49.1%
MIA 66.9% +18.0%
SAC 48.9%
TO %
14.5%
14.9%
MIA 9.9% +5.2%
SAC 15.1%
ORB %
22.2%
26.7%
MIA 29.4%
SAC 38.1% +8.7%
FTrt
29.7
27.1
MIA 30.0 +8.2
SAC 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
55.3%
MIA 77.8% +17.3%
SAC 60.5%
STL %
9.5%
8.7%
MIA 12.1% +7.7%
SAC 4.4%
BLK %
9.1%
6.7%
MIA 15.9% +11.2%
SAC 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
52.0%
MIA 68.1% +16.5%
SAC 51.6%
Rim FG%
65.9%
56.8%
MIA 76.2% +28.7%
SAC 47.5%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.8%
MIA 54.5% +20.0%
SAC 34.5%
3P %
39.6%
36.3%
MIA 45.9%
SAC 50.0% +4.1%
FT %
75.4%
76.9%
MIA 87.5% +13.8%
SAC 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
40.0%
MIA 26.3%
SAC 46.0% +19.7%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
35.7%
MIA 27.5% +5.8%
SAC 33.3%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.3%
MIA 46.3% +25.6%
SAC 20.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points12899
Rebounds3640
Assists3523
Steals114
Blocks112
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)24 (1)
Field Goals45-8038-87
At-the-Rim FG16-2119-40
Midrange FG12-2210-29
2-Point FG28-4329-69
3-Point FG17-379-18
Free Throws21-2414-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
30.1
34
106%
2
3
2
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
10-13
77%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
29.1
20
77%
5
7
5
2
1
0
1
4
6-7
86%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
28.3
16
62%
4
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
25.1
11
69%
5
7
2
4
2
2
1
4
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
18.0
5
50%
8
1
0
0
1
4
2
6
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
24.0
4
50%
7
2
1
3
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
20.9
6
50%
1
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
20.9
12
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-8
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
17.1
10
56%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
12.0
8
80%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
5.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#31 · F · 6'8" 220 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
68%
36
35
11
11
10
0
10
26
21-24
88%
28-43
65%
17-37
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.